NetApp taps Greenqloud for hybrid storage push

Contact: Scott Denne

NetApp’s reach for Greenqloud marks its third deal of 2017 as the storage vendor climbs its way out of a rocky couple of years. With the purchase of the cloud management provider, NetApp turns 2017 into a busy – although thrifty – year for M&A.

According to 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase, NetApp has never before bought more than two companies in a single year. The price it’s paying for Greenqloud hasn’t been disclosed, but the target has a modest headcount and raised little funding. In its other two transactions this year – Immersive Partner Solutions and Plexistor – NetApp shelled out less than $30m in cash (total). None of the three warranted a press release – instead they were announced via quarterly earnings calls.

After five years of revenue declines, NetApp’s sales are beginning to level off. In its last quarter (the first of its fiscal year), revenue rose 2% to $1.3bn and its profit increased by 2x. Part of its strategy for getting back to growth and improving margins has been a focus on flash storage with its last major acquisition, SolidFire ($870m).

Another part of the company’s strategy, unusual among storage OEMs, is its expansion of hybrid cloud storage capabilities. NetApp’s desire to push its cloud connections forward drove both today’s deal and its pickup in May of Immersive Partner Solutions, which makes hybrid cloud monitoring software. Greenqloud brings NetApp a team that’s been offering public cloud management since 2010, and its Qstack product gives NetApp the technology architecture to expand its delivery of cloud services.

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Microsoft tones its HPC cloud with Cycle Computing

Contact: Scott Denne, Csilla Zsigri

In an effort to extend Azure into a potentially lucrative corner of the cloud market, Microsoft picks up Cycle Computing, a company that enables HPC applications in multi-cloud environments. Microsoft’s move fits with a larger trend of cloud providers building and buying software assets to attract those applications with the most appetite for compute and storage.

Cycle Computing has more than a decade of experience orchestrating, provisioning and managing HPC and other intensive computing applications across multiple environments. First developed to take advantage of grid computing, it has more recently launched CycleCloud, and joined Microsoft’s Accelerator program in 2016.

HPC is about three to five years behind enterprise computing when it comes to new technology adoption – the applications are generally more sophisticated, and engineers are conservative. Yet the HPC cloud market is accelerating, and compute- and data-intensive applications in areas such as big data, machine learning, deep learning and IoT are also moving to the cloud. We believe that Microsoft is taking advantage of these trends and is looking to use Cycle Computing’s technology to enhance Azure’s current data-processing capabilities and build virtual supercomputers in the public cloud.

By investing in HPC and other data and analytics applications, Microsoft makes Azure fertile soil for new workloads. According to 451 Research’s Voice of the Enterprise Cloud Transformation survey, 21% of data and analytics workloads will move to public clouds in the next two years, a larger share than any category excepting web and media deployments, which, not coincidently, is where Amazon has focused its recent M&A with acquisitions of Thinkbox Software and Elemental Technologies.

Moreover, that same survey showed that IT departments have a greater threshold for price increases for mission-critical data analytics workloads. Almost half (44%) said they would be willing to pay an additional 26-50% to ensure quality of service, compared with just 30% who would pay such an increase for web workloads.

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Grand Junction buy shows that Target’s digital strategy goes through its stores

Contact: Scott Denne

While Walmart is attacking Amazon by air with its Jet.com asset, Target is planning a ground assault. Its acquisition of Grand Junction marks Target’s reentry into the tech M&A market after a nearly three-year absence. And although the price is likely modest – the target only has a dozen or so employees – it aligns with the big box retailer’s expansion strategy.

The deal adds to the list of steps Target is taking to adapt its business to the growth in digital shopping by leveraging its physical assets to improve fulfillment (both in cost and quality of service). The company has worked with Grand Junction on its first experiment with running same-day delivery out of one of its Manhattan locations. It’s also opening a new distribution facility designed to test supply chain and logistical innovations, integrating its existing stores with its digital supply chain and launching 100 new small-format locations.

Even its previous tech acquisition, PoweredAnalytics, expanded its physical capabilities by analyzing data to adjust the in-store experience. Its focus on adapting its physical assets to digital shoppers makes Target’s M&A strategy unique. Walmart, for example, has gone after established e-commerce businesses, starting with Jet.com, to build a niche in online retail in areas like fashion where Amazon hasn’t yet made its mark. Other traditional retailers and consumer goods vendors have bolted on firms that bring them into new markets, such as Barnes & Noble Education’s recent reach for student media provider Student Brands or Whirlpool’s pickup of recipe site Yummly.

Although retailers and consumer goods companies still make up just a fraction of overall tech M&A, their activity has grown as they encounter an accelerating pace of store closures and bankruptcies as shopping shifts to online channels. According to 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase, those buyers have spent $4.7bn across 22 tech transactions in 2017, the same pace as last year’s record level of dealmaking.

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Disney nabs BAMTech in $1.6bn play for streaming services

Contact: Scott Denne

At the dawn of the internet, Bill Gates famously said, “Content is king.” For most of the 20 years since then, that sentiment seemed like a sick joke to content makers in print and music who saw their markets eviscerated by Google, Apple and other tech vendors. Now Walt Disney is paying $1.6bn to find out if the adage is finally coming true.

Facing fleeing customers from its cable networks and having handed over online distribution of its films to Netflix, Disney is aiming to take back direct control of its content by building out its own streaming services through its ownership of BAMTech. Disney will spend $1.6bn to purchase 42% of BAMTech, adding to the 33% stake it previously bought in the video-streaming services spinoff of Major League Baseball.

Its desire to own – rather than just be a customer of – BAMTech shows that Disney sees value not only in building its own streaming services but also in enabling other studios to do the same. In that respect, its strategy aligns with those of the major tech companies, most of which have made a push for original content through expensive licensing deals and original content production.

With the pending launch of its own streaming services (it plans to unveil one for sports and one for its entertainment library), Disney hopes to build a direct distribution channel that will generate more value for its content – both in terms of fees and of having direct data about its customers and their viewing preferences – than what the combination of Netflix, MSOs and advertisers are able to pay. Disney watched as the economics of print and music flowed to digital distribution channels. But in buying BAMTech, Disney is making a bet that quality content will reign supreme in video.

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An M&A break for chip vendors

Contact: Scott Denne

Intel’s $15.3bn acquisition of Mobileye, which closed today, extended a wave of big-ticket semiconductor deals into 2017, but only barely. Since that transaction’s announcement, only one other $1bn-plus chip purchase has printed, putting 2017 on pace to have the fewest such deals since 2013. There’s little indication that the rate of big semi acquisitions will pick up through the rest of the year.

Toshiba is currently seeking to sell its flash business, which would easily fetch more than $1bn and bring this year’s total of 10-digit purchases to three, leaving it far below recent category totals. Last year’s largest chip transactions – Qualcomm’s $39.2bn reach for NXP Semiconductors (a deal that an activist investor is pushing to renegotiate) and SoftBank’s $32.4bn pickup of ARM – featured two among the 11 companies that fetched more than $1bn. The previous year saw nine such companies get bought.

Two consecutive record years of dealmaking in the category have left behind a dearth of targets for would-be buyers. According to 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase, acquirers spent $116bn on chip vendors last year, breaking the previous year’s record of $90bn – a number that itself was more than double the previous record set in 2006. And since venture capitalists have been absent from the market for a decade, the pool of companies that could command such a price has shrunk notably.

For those potential targets that remain, a run-up in stock prices makes a surge of big deals seem unlikely. The 43% growth in the PHLX Semiconductor index in the past 12 months has outpaced the broader Nasdaq by 20 percentage points. Accelerating stock prices make companies less inclined to launch a sale process or divest large units and the rising multiples that come with a rising stock won’t appeal to buyout shops – the driving force behind this year’s tech M&A market.

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Tremor Video shakes off its ad network roots with $50m divestiture

Contact: Scott Denne

The dizzying number of vendors and dozens of subcategories of advertising technology have had many predicting for several years now an imminent wave of consolidation. Yet for the ad-tech vendors trading on US exchanges, specialization – not consolidation – has become the chosen strategy. Tremor Video has become the latest to adopt such a strategy by selling its video ad network to Taptica for $50m in cash.

Tremor, like Rubicon Project, which earlier this year divested its $100m acquisition of Chango, sees more opportunity to expand its relationships with ad sellers, rather than buyers, although the resemblance ends there. Rubicon is a longtime player in supply-side platforms (SSPs) and generates most of its revenue from that business. Tremor will shed most of its revenue with this deal – its remaining assets accounted for $29m of its $167m in 2016 sales.

While Tremor’s business with buyers has declined, its burgeoning SSP – a video ad exchange – expanded its top line by 84% in the past 12 months to $34m in trailing revenue. Without the weight of its buyside business, Tremor can leverage its newfound capital to invest in an anticipated growth in the supply of video advertising coming through over-the-top and connected TV channels.

That Tremor shed almost all of its revenue with little impact on its stock price – it was up about 2% at midday – speaks partly to the opportunities investors see for it to expand with a business model with software-like margins. It also speaks to just how little value investors place on ad networks that sell services to both sides of an ad sale.

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Yelp delivers Eat24 to GrubHub in $288m deal

Contact: Scott Denne

GrubHub has topped off a series of snack-sized deals with its largest acquisition in four years as it seeks to fend off burgeoning competition. Its latest move, the $288m purchase of Yelp’s Eat24 business, shows the food delivery incumbent getting creative in its M&A strategy as it pushes to build out network effects among multiple metropolitan areas before bigger companies sidestep into its market.

Today’s deal values the target at $150m more than Yelp paid for the property two-and-a-half years ago and comes with a valuation that’s in the neighborhood of 3x annual revenue. (Neither company disclosed Eat24’s revenue, but its gross sales imply revenue of $90-120m.) According to 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase, that’s well above the median trailing revenue multiple of 1.4x for a public company divestiture in the past 24 months – a premium that’s more impressive considering that Yelp will continue to benefit from delivery orders placed through its restaurant directory.

In addition to the $288m in cash, Yelp’s restaurant reviews will link to delivery options from Eat24 and GrubHub, in exchange for collecting a fee for each order. With its previous deal, the pickup of 27 food delivery markets from Groupon’s OrderUp, GrubHub executed a similar arrangement to integrate its products into the seller’s platform. The company has been a frequent acquirer, inking three transactions so far this year on top of five over the past two years. But now it needs its acquisitions to do more than get it into new markets. Forging partnerships like the one it’s pursuing with Yelp could help pull more orders through its service, which should attract more restaurants, which should attract more orders.

While GrubHub is likely the largest online restaurant delivery company in the US today, it’s still early days for this market. By its own reckoning, 88% of people have never ordered food delivery online. GrubHub needs to work fast to expand and become the largest source of food orders in the markets it serves as other companies see an opportunity to enter this sector through ancillary strengths – Square is attempting to get in through its point-of-sale systems, Uber used its fleet of drivers and logistical prowess to launch UberEats and Amazon, with its demonstrated ability to destroy competitors in coveted markets, recently launched a restaurant-ordering service of its own.

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Competition cools appetite for new offerings

Contact: Scott Denne

Competition, not cash flow, has become a leading indicator of a successful IPO. Wall Street rallied behind Redfin’s mission to take on the staid real estate market but was far less enthusiastic about this year’s other consumer tech IPOs – Snap and Blue Apron – as both vendors pursue markets where the largest tech companies already tread.

Redfin seeks to grab share in the real estate brokerage market by developing technology that it claims enables it to find customers and deliver services at a lower cost. In that way it’s similar to Blue Apron, which brings a tech-driven business model to the sedate grocery market. After more than a decade in market, Redfin posted $285m in trailing revenue, up 42% from a year earlier. Blue Apron is three times the size of Redfin and has been around for one-third the time. Yet when the two comparable firms began trading shares publicly, they went in opposite directions.

Redfin priced its shares at $15 before it began trading on Friday and closed the day up 45% from there. It added another 15% in early trading on Monday and was flirting with $25 for a market cap that’s just shy of $2bn. Blue Apron cut its initial price range as Amazon struck a deal to acquire Whole Foods and move further into Blue Apron’s grocery market. Shares priced at the bottom of its revised range and have been sinking since, with some help from a trademark filing by Amazon that suggests that it’s launching a competing meal delivery service.

To be clear, competition isn’t the only difference. Blue Apron faces questions about the ability of its business to generate a profit. Both companies lose money, but the ratio of revenue to losses has shrunk at Redfin and gone the other way at Blue Apron. Snap provides another example of the challenges of going public under the shadow of a larger adversary. While Snap faces a tough road to reaching 200 million monthly users, Facebook’s Instagram has roared past 250 million, fueled in part by selective borrowing of Snap’s features, helping send the upstart social media company’s shares down by half since its first day of trading.

The contrast between Redfin’s successful offering and the struggles of Blue Apron and Snap highlights the towering impact that the largest tech vendors have on the ability of younger businesses to raise capital and generate liquidity. And while risks posed by larger competitors aren’t new, the scale and scope of their impact will increase as a few tech firms expand their resources and spread into more consumer markets.

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Advertisers continue to fly from Twitter

Contact: Scott Denne

Earnings calls this week from Google, Facebook and Twitter highlight how far the latter has fallen behind those two giants. While advertisers flocked to Google and Facebook, they fled from Twitter. Although its results were dismal, the onetime contender for Facebook’s social media crown seems to have correctly identified its differentiator and is building – slowly – a strategy to capitalize on that.

Twitter’s top line dropped 5% to $574m in the second quarter, a decline that would have been more dramatic without a rise in its data-licensing business. An 8% slide in its revenue from advertisers mixed with a 12% jump in daily active users points to the shrinking price of Twitter’s ad impressions. Facebook, by comparison, experienced a 25% boost in its revenue per user on its way to a 45% increase in revenue in Q2.

In an attempt to get sales growing once again, Twitter’s management has focused on the appetite of its audience for real-time information and embraced video partnerships in verticals with a similar focus – music, sports and news. Yet its drooping ad rates attest to the slow burn of such efforts: declining ad rates amid an environment of rising prices for digital video inventory.

To raise its ad sales, Twitter could pursue a media rollup in verticals that match its strengths. The $4bn it has in the bank, along with a stock that still trades near 5x TTM revenue, gives it the flexibility to pursue a series of modest-sized targets as well as larger digital media properties. For example, music video site VEVO would complement its existing streaming partnership with Live Nation and get Twitter one of the most trafficked video sites on the internet.

Twitter’s platform will never have the scale and reach of Facebook, whose monthly audience is six times larger and increasing at a higher rate. But it can expand its reach into the audiences it has by leveraging its real-time strength and extending them off its platform. As a social media company, Twitter’s a runt. But as a digital media company its open, conversational platform gives it a way to engage audiences in ways that aren’t available to other digital media firms.

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Internet Brands pays healthy premium for WebMD in otherwise ailing internet M&A market

Contact: Scott Denne

Private equity firms seem to be the only ones browsing for big consumer internet deals these days. Today’s acquisition of WebMD by Internet Brands marks the third billion-dollar purchase of a consumer internet company this year. The acquirers in those other deals, like KKR-owned Internet Brands, are also backed by PE firms.

Internet Brands’ $2.8bn acquisition of WebMD fits in the strategy, although not scope, of its past acquisitions. Since its days as Carsdirect, the company has rolled up 63 internet businesses across automotive, fashion and healthcare. Although the deal sizes of those were largely undisclosed, sites like dentalplans.com and racingjunk.com didn’t have the scale or notoriety of WebMD, and were certainly smaller deals – even Internet Brands itself was reported to have traded to KKR at just over $1bn in 2014.

In landing its biggest prize, Internet Brands paid a healthy valuation. At $66.50 per share, the deal prices the target company’s stock at a record level for the current iteration of WebMD (since its founding in the heyday of the dot-com bubble, WebMD has been through a couple of reorganizations, but has been trading on the Nasdaq since 2005). The acquisition values it at 3.9x trailing revenue, two turns above what Everyday Health – a competing health site that’s about one-third the size – took in its sale to j2 in 2016.

And while WebMD fetched a premium compared with its closest competitor, when compared with the broader market, it falls just shy of the 4.3x median multiple for similarly sized consumer internet deals across the last decade. As private equity firms account for an outsized amount of the consumer internet M&A market, premium valuations become harder to find. According to 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase, $2 of every $3 spent on M&A in this category this year has involved a PE firm or PE-backed buyer, yet none of the $1bn-plus consumer internet deals this year – Bankrate, Chewy and WebMD – printed above 4x.

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