Just a few days after we speculated on a Napster sale, BestBuy said it will pay $121m, or $2.65 a share, for the digital music service. This is an 80% premium from where the company was trading before the offer. After factoring in Napster’s cash and short-term investments, BestBuy paid just $54m, or 0.45 times Napster’s trailing twelve month revenue. A bargain by all means, but it remains to be seen whether BestBuy can do what Napster has failed to do for the past four years: Turn a profit.
Category: application software
Citrix sits out
Since announcing its landmark acquisition of XenSource a little more than a year ago, Citrix has largely taken itself out of the M&A market. And don’t expect that to change anytime soon. CFO David Henshall told the Deutsche Bank Technology Conference earlier this week that the company ‘has its hands full’ with working out its virtualization strategy, which it grandly refers to as a datacenter-to-desktop offering. (That strategy largely reflects the fact that VMware, with an estimated 85% of the server virtualization market, isn’t as vulnerable as Citrix initially thought, at least around ESX.)
While Citrix has inked three deals since XenSource, the acquisitions have been quiet technology purchases. For instance, in January Citrix snagged a product line from FullArmor, a self-funded business process orchestration tool vendor, and in May it added Sepago, a 30-person company that only launched a product a year ago after a few years as a consulting shop.
Instead of spending on M&A, Citrix’s Henshall indicated that the company will continue to put much of the cash it generates ($75-100m each quarter) toward buybacks. If nothing else, Citrix has been getting a relative bargain in the buyback. After two straight earnings warnings earlier this summer, shares sank to their lowest level in almost three years. Around that same time, perhaps not coincidentally, rumors began to surface that Cisco or IBM might be shopping Citrix. If Citrix does get acquired, we still think the deal will flow through Redmond, with Microsoft to reach for its longtime partner to shore up its own virtualization offering.
Citrix deal flow
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Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase
Napster sings the blues
Napster, once hailed as the king of digital music, has fallen on hard times. Its stock is down 35% this year alone, and 55% from its 52-week high set in October 2007. Resulting shareholder ire forced the company to announce last week that it is seeking strategic alternatives to boost value, and it has hired UBS Investment Bank to lead the effort. Who might acquire the house that Shawn Fanning built?
Since relaunching as a legal music service in late 2003, Napster has been unable to turn a profit. The company pulled in $125m in revenue for the trailing 12 months ended June 30 from about 708,000 paid subscribers. Despite increasing revenue 15% year-over-year, the company had a negative EBITDA of $12.3m and subscriber count decreased from last quarter’s total of 761,000. The switch from stagnation to a drop in subscribers for the first time means that Napster will be unable to keep growing revenue. Consequently, that makes it doubtful that it will be able to achieve profitability. Nevertheless, with $36.9m in cash and $30.7m in short-term investments, Napster is an attractive target at its current valuation of $62.25m.
We previously speculated that SanDisk would attempt to acquire a proprietary music service of its own. But given its financial woes, as well as reported takeover negotiations with Samsung, we do not think it will bite. We believe Napster’s fierce competitor RealNetworks, the majority owner of the Rhapsody music service, is the most likely acquirer. Amid growing competition from Apple, which unveiled its iTunes 8 and a new line of iPods this week, and with digital music newcomers Amazon, Nokia and a few promising startups making waves, this is a much more plausible proposition. Last year Rhapsody picked up Viacom’s Urge, which had been struggling despite its high-profile association with MTV and Microsoft. RealNetworks has the cash, and has repeatedly told us it is bullish on acquisitions that spur growth. Given Napster’s current valuation and similar deals, we estimate that it will fetch around $80-100m in a sale.
CA: Ghosts of deals past
When CA Inc opens the doors for its annual meeting today, we expect there will be more than a few ghosts floating around the hallways at the company’s Long Island headquarters. CA, which has been under one form of investigation or another for much of this decade, can’t seem to leave the past behind. Just last week, in a sort of Shakespearian development, the former chief executive, currently in jail, lobbed the charge that the company’s board and other executives knew all about the book-cooking. Sanjay Kumar may have initially taken the fall for the company’s ’35-day months,’ among other shady accounting practices. But now he’s looking to drag others down.
We mention the latest courtroom contretemps because we have the sense that it has taken CA out of the M&A market. CA, which typically buys a handful of companies each year, hasn’t inked a deal since July 2006. (One of those acquisitions, in the late 1980s, actually brought Kumar to CA.) While we have heard rumors that CA may be on the verge of ending the two-year drought, nothing has been closed. (One set of rumors had CA looking at acquiring a systems management vendor.) Further, a few conversations with bankers indicate that not many of them are bothering with a trip out to Long Island to pitch possible deals. That’s understandable, since the company’s lawyers are probably too busy with other matters to look at a deal book.
CA deal flow
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Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase
A battlefield Exchange
As the world’s largest and richest software company, Microsoft gets a lot of targets hung on it. Companies of all sizes are drawing a bead on Microsoft, whether it’s a startup looking to undercut or outperform one product or a fellow tech giant deciding Microsoft is making too damn much money on some particular line of business and buying a competing offering. (There are a lot of those cash-rich products at Microsoft, which hums along at an astounding mid-30% operating margin overall.)
Consider who’s been targeting Microsoft Exchange Server lately. In the last year, tech heavyweights Yahoo and, most recently, Cisco have both inked multimillion-dollar deals that allow them to offer a way around Exchange. The goal: siphon off some of the more than $1bn in high-margin revenue that flows to Microsoft from its email and collaboration server product line.
The first shot was fired almost exactly a year ago, when Yahoo spent $350m for Zimbra. (As a side note, it would have been interesting to watch how Microsoft if its planned $44.5bn purchase of Yahoo had gone through would have killed off Zimbra. We’re guessing it would have immediately and forcefully ‘cut off the air supply,’ to borrow a time-honored strategy in Redmond.)
In a direct echo of that deal, Cisco went shopping two weeks ago and found its own Linux-based replacement for Exchange, paying $215m for PostPath. Cisco says it picked up the five-year-old company, which had pocketed about $30m in venture backing, to enhance the email and collaboration tools available in WebEx.
Whatever the motivation, we’re guessing that at least one of PostPath’s board members may be relishing the chance to stick it to Microsoft. Bob Lisbonne, who led Matrix Partners’ investment in PostPath, spent a half-decade at Netscape, including the time in which Microsoft was trying to ‘cut off the air supply’ of the browser pioneer. Not that business is ever personal, of course.
Going after Exchange
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Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase
Open Text crashes LBO party (again)
For the second time in as many years, Open Text has topped a buyout shop to take home a struggling enterprise content management (ECM) vendor. In mid-2006, Open Text crashed a planned take-private of rival Hummingbird by Symphony Technology Group, along with financial backer Tennenbaum Capital Partners. To land Hummingbird, Open Text ended up paying about $18m more than the buyout firm had offered.
Open Text won’t have to reach nearly as far into its pockets this time around. On Thursday, the company bid $4.80 per share of Captaris, valuing the document capture technology vendor at $131m. That’s only a $1.4m – or less than 1% of deal value – bump over an existing offer from buyout firm Vector Capital. Vector made the offer of $4.75 per share of Captaris in March, six months after it began pushing the company to sell.
By the time Vector met with Captaris, it had snapped up about 2.7 million shares, or about 10% of the company. However, according to an SEC filing on its purchases, Vector paid around $5 per share. It’s hard to see how the buyout firm is going to be too far above water on its Captaris holdings, given the $4.80 per share offer from Open Text. As a final note, we close with the fact that if Vector had just bought a slug of Open Text stock when it started buying Captaris shares, it would be up nearly 40% on that holding. We know Vector isn’t a money management firm, but in this case, it would have been better to buy the buyer, rather than the seller.
Buying and building at Google
Since the beginning of 2007, Google has spent nearly $3.5bn on research and development. The freewheeling company, which makes liberal use of the ‘beta’ tag for many of the in-house projects it rolls out, often goes to great pains to present a corporate portrait of uninhibited engineers running wild on their whiteboards, coming up with the next Great Idea. (All the while, founders Sergey and Larry benevolently look on.)
With all the building going on at Google, it’s easy to lose sight of the fact that the company is also buying. In fact, since the beginning of 2007, Google has averaged about a deal a month. That’s about the same acquisition pace as both Cisco and Oracle over the last 18 months, although the sizes of the deals – and the rationale – are very different. Google, for instance, has never purchased a public company.
Instead of the consolidation plays inked by other large vendors, Google tends to pick up small bits of technology or even a team of engineers that the company can eventually turn into a product. Sometimes, the acquisitions show up directly in Google products, such as its mid-2005 purchase of Android Inc. At the time, Android was reportedly working on an operating system for mobile phones, which Google officially unveiled last November. Another example is Google’s purchase in November 2006 of iRows, which became the spreadsheet offering in Google Docs.
Other Google purchases show up only as features in more significant offerings. In May 2007, for instance, Google picked up GreenBorder Technologies, a small company with a fitful history and a doubtful commercial outlook, but some solid technology. Specifically, GreenBorder developed a virtualized browser session, which isolated any browser-based security threats from the user’s computer.
However, not much had been seen from this ‘sandbox’ technology over the past year. At least, not until Google rolled out its new Chrome browser on September 1. One of the key selling points of the would-be killer of Internet Explorer: security. According to Google, Chrome prevents malware from installing itself on a computer through a browser as well as by blocking one tab from infecting another tab. In our opinion, it won’t take many people switching to Chrome to justify the $20m-30m we estimate Google spent on GreenBorder for that acquisition to pay off.
Google deal flow
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Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase
Hiring bankers
Once thought to be just part of the broader ERP offering, the so-called human capital management (HCM) market has come into its own in recent years. That has meant a few IPOs (going back to when there was a market for the offerings) as well as two or three HCM deals each year worth more than $100m. Recently, those twin threads came together in HireRight. The $195m acquisition of that company, which sells pre-employment screening software, closed earlier this month, almost exactly a year after the company went public.
In addition to the acquisition of HireRight by a private company serving the US government, we also noted one of the largest deals for market consolidation earlier this summer when Taleo spent $129m for longtime recruiting software rival Vurv Technology. (As opposed to consolidation, earlier HCM deals were typically done as a way for the acquirer to get into new markets or expand its product portfolio, such as outsourcing giant ADP spending an estimated $160m two years ago for Employease, an on-demand HCM vendor focused on the midmarket.)
So what does HCM deal flow look like for the rest of the year? Salary.com, which picked up a small British firm on Tuesday, has indicated that it plans to ink another deal or two before the year is out. Salary.com went public last year and has done two deals since then, including this week’s $5m purchase of InfoBasis.
More intriguing, however, is the rumor we heard from two market sources that PreVisor, a PE-backed HCM vendor selling employee screening and testing software, is looking to sell. The company was formed in August 2005 through the combination of three companies, and it has done a handful of acquisitions since then. There is no initial word on who might be bidding on PreVisor, which is owned by Veronis Suhler Stevenson.
HCM deal flow
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Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase
Corporate castoffs
Look who’s hitting the corporate garage sales these days – other corporations. While divestitures used to go most often straight to private equity shops, more than a few castoff businesses are now finding homes inside new companies. The latest example: AMD’s sale of its digital TV chip division Monday to Broadcom for $193m.
Given AMD’s struggles, as well as the fact that rival Intel has shed a number of businesses in recent years, the divestiture wasn’t a surprise. In fact, my colleague Greg Quick noted two weeks ago that AMD was likely to dump its TV chip business, naming Broadcom as one of the likely acquirers.
On the buy side, Broadcom joins fellow publicly traded companies Overland Storage, L-1 Identity Solutions and Software AG, among others, that picked up properties from other listed companies this year. That’s not to say that buyout firms have been knocked out of the market, despite the tight credit conditions. PE shops Vector Capital, Thoma Cressey Bravo and Battery Ventures have all taken businesses off the books of publicly traded companies in 2008.
Still, the activity by the corporate shoppers is noteworthy. And the list is likely to grow as more companies look to clean up their operations during the lingering bear market. The next name we may well add to the list is Rackable Systems, which said earlier this month that it is looking to shed its RapidScale business. (The divestiture would effectively unwind its acquisition two years ago of Terrascale Technologies, and comes after a gadfly investor buzzed Rackable for much of the year.)
As to who might be eyeing the assets, we doubt there are many hardware vendors interested in RapidScale, because they have either made acquisitions (Sun’s purchase of Cluster File Systems, for instance) or have partnerships (both EMC and Dell partner with Ibrix). However, a service provider could use the technology to enhance its storage-as-a-service offering. In a similar move, we’ve seen telecom giants like BT and Verizon pick up security vendors to offer that as a service. And finally, we’d throw out a dark horse: Amazon, which is one of Rackable’s largest customers, could use RapidScale’s clustered storage technology to bolster its S3 offering.
Big, happy family or favorite child?
For an executive who learned the ropes from Larry Ellison, Marc Benioff has adopted a very ‘un-Oracle-like’ approach to M&A. Since the company he founded, Salesforce.com, went public in mid-2004, Benioff has inked just five deals. The total shopping bill: less than $100m. Oracle, on the other hand, hardly touches a deal worth less than $100m. In the same four-year period that Salesforce.com has been public, Oracle has closed 45 deals with an announced value of more than $30bn.
Of course, the two companies are in very different stages of their lives, which goes a long way toward shaping their M&A activity. While Ellison and Oracle look to consolidate huge blocks of the software landscape, Benioff and Salesforce.com target tiny technology purchases that allow them to extend their on-demand offering to new markets. We saw that with Salesforce.com’s purchase last year of content management startup Koral, which had just nine employees. And on Wednesday, Salesforce.com announced its largest deal so far, spending $31m on call center software vendor InStranet.
But we would add another – perhaps less obvious – reason for the rather shallow deal flow at Salesforce.com. In many ways, the company is caught between shopping and partnering. In an effort to get a richer valuation, Salesforce.com has pushed Force.com and AppExchange as a way to be viewed as a platform company, rather than merely an applications vendor. (That effort got a big boost this week from Dell, which said it will be developing applications on the Force.com platform over the next three years.)
However, the very success of these efforts helps to explain why Salesforce.com has to keep its checkbook in its pocket when shopping. It can either focus on building out its platform or it can focus on deal-making – it can’t do both. By design, platforms are broad, open and inclusive, while M&A necessarily involves selecting one above all others. Benioff can’t pick a favorite child and expect to have a big, happy family.
To illustrate the dilemma, consider the situation concerning sales compensation, a line of business that’s a logical extension of Salesforce.com’s core CRM product and one the company could easily buy its way into. Indeed, there are already more than a half-dozen companies offering their sales compensation products on AppExchange. But imagine if Salesforce.com decided to buy one of the vendors, say Xactly Corp. Obviously, that purchase would alienate AppExchange rivals like Centive and Callidus Software, which would probably pull their offerings from AppExchange the day the deal was announced. Salesforce.com may well make up that immediate loss of revenue down the line. But as indicated by Wall Street’s brutal reaction Thursday to the company’s second-quarter report, it’s best not to tamper with the top line.
Salesforce.com: an unwilling buyer
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*451 Group estimate, Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase