Category: Asia

China becoming social in public

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

While talk of social companies hitting the public markets has so far focused on US firms such as Facebook, GroupOn and LinkedIn, the first vendor to do so may actually come from the Far East. Dubbed the ‘Facebook of China,’ Beijing-based Renren filed its prospectus on Friday and will reportedly hit the NYSE in two weeks, trading under the symbol RENN.

Founded in 2002, Renren today offers social and professional networking, online commerce and gaming to an audience of approximately 117 million. According to its prospectus, the company added an average of two million users per month during the first quarter. Sales have grown at a similarly quick pace. Net revenue soared from $13.8m in 2008 to $76.5m in 2010, representing a compound annual growth rate of 136%.

Excluding underwriters’ overallotment options, Renren will offer a total of 53.1 million American Depository Shares (ADS). (Lead underwriters are Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank Securities and Credit Suisse.) The company expects to price at $9-11 per ADS, which at the top of that range would be a whopping $584m raised. However, if interest in previous Chinese IPOs is any indicator of what to expect, then Renren’s total amount raised could be significantly higher. Just two weeks ago, Beijing-based security vendor Qihoo 360 Technology made its debut on the NYSE, offering 12 million ADSs (excluding underwriters’ overallotment shares). Shares hit the market at $27 each, nearly twice the expected initial offering price of $14.50, and eventually closed at $34 each. Shares have dipped a bit since then, but Qihoo is still sporting nearly a $2.5bn market cap, which is approximately 43 times its 2010 sales of $57.7m.

3Leaf ends up at Huawei – but will it be staying there?

Brenon Daly

Contact: John Abbott

Six months ago, I/O virtualization startup 3Leaf Systems disappeared from our radar screens. A little digging around more recently revealed that key staff members had scattered. VP of marketing Shahin Kahn was now at ORION Marketing Group, a consulting firm, with other ex-Sun Microsystems colleagues. CEO B.V. Jagadeesh had turned up as CEO of Virtela Technology Services, a managed network, security and technology services company. In his company biography he revealed that 3Leaf had been sold in a ‘private transaction.’ The trail of clues led on to Bob Quinn, founder and CTO of 3Leaf, who could be traced (via his LinkedIn profile) to Chinese telecom equipment maker Huawei Technologies, where he was now acting as a consultant. We surmised, and later received confirmation, that Huawei was the new owner of 3Leaf’s technology.

Two weeks ago, Huawei submitted an application to CFIUS – the US government’s Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States – including its first public statement that it had acquired 3Leaf in May. No details emerged other than that only the intellectual property and 15 of the 50 employees had been obtained in a transaction worth around $2m. According to CFIUS, Huawei should have requested permission from the committee. Huawei said it regarded the deal as a patent sale and hiring exercise and so believed it didn’t need to clear it with CFIUS. In 2008, the company abandoned its bid for 3Com due to US security terms. Hewlett-Packard stepped in to acquire 3Com a year later. More recently, Huawei has faced opposition to a proposed equipment-supply partnership in the US with Sprint Nextel over security concerns.

Aside from all this, the deal is a sorry – and somewhat worrying – end for 3Leaf, which raised roughly $67m from VCs Alloy Ventures, Enterprise Partners Venture Capital and Storm Ventures, as well as money from strategic investors Intel and LSI. 3Leaf was working on what should be a hot sector, I/O virtualization, but perhaps it entered the market too early. Its first product, the V-8000, first shipped in May 2007, but used a somewhat proprietary approach due to the lack of standards at the time. The company effectively started all over again in 2009 with plans to build new technology for virtualizing CPU and memory resources across x86 server clusters. It was looking for deals from OEMs, although there were also plans to sell prepackaged versions based on SuperMicro servers. However, 3Leaf needed more money to fund the ongoing research, and those efforts appear to have been unsuccessful.

3Leaf looked promising when it was founded, but early technology decisions led it down a blind alley. There may be some value in its patents and certainly more in the experience of its engineers, but it seems unlikely that, if CFIUS forces Huawei to sell the assets it’s bought, there will be many takers. If one is found, it’s likely to be a major server vendor with networking pretensions such as HP or IBM, or an I/O and networking adapter specialist such as Emulex or QLogic. Meanwhile, other startups in closely related areas – including ScaleMP, NextIO, Numascale, RNA Networks, VirtenSys and Xsigo Systems – soldier on.

NTT makes $3.2bn IT services play

Brenon Daly

Contact: John Abbott

Japanese telecommunications giant Nippon Telegraph and Telephone (NTT) has made a surprise offer for one of its existing partners, Dimension Data Holdings, an LSE- and Johannesburg Securities Exchange-listed IT services firm with roots in South Africa. This is an unusually large acquisition for a Japanese company, worth 120 pence per share, approximately £2.12bn ($3.2bn) in cash. That’s just over a 15 times EV/EBITDA multiple and 18x the closing share price before the announcement. (NTT has plenty of cash, with about $10bn on hand).

The Dimension Data board has recommended the offer and NTT has assurances from the directors and major shareholders Venfin DD Holdings and Allan Gray covering 52% of Dimension Data’s issued shares. The deal is expected to close by the end of October.

NTT cited the cloud computing opportunity as the main motivation behind the transaction. It brings to NTT specialist managed IT infrastructure and services capabilities that can now be rolled out on a global scale. NTT has its own managed network services, datacenters, system integration and mobile services, but Dimension Data adds to the development, operations and maintenance side of IT infrastructure, including network devices and servers running in customer sites. Geographically, NTT’s main strengths are in Asia, followed by Europe and the US; Dimension Data is strongest in Africa, the Middle East and Australia. NTT rival China Mobile has been making noises recently about investments in South Africa.

Dimension Data was founded in 1983 and listed on the JSE four years later. A series of acquisitions, including that of Plessey South Africa in 1998 and the European networking business of Comparex Holdings in 1999, helped it grow to over $2bn in revenue by 2003. (The deals have continued, with eight listed in The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase since 2004). At the end of fiscal 2009, revenue hit nearly $4bn and net profit was $135m. The company has 11,500 employees and more than 6,000 clients. JPMorgan Cazenove advised on the transaction for Dimension Data and Morgan Stanley for NTT.

Rakuten buys beyond Asia

Contact: Jarrett Streebin

Japanese companies have never been known as serial acquirers, but Rakuten is certainly doing its best to stay busy. In each of the past two months, the Japanese conglomerate, which has a significant online retail operation, has spent a quarter-billion dollars in an effort to build up its Web retailing business. The deals represent significant bets by Rakuten to expand into new markets around the globe.

In its most recent acquisition, Rakuten said it will pay $245m for French e-tailerPriceMinister. According to one report, the purchase valued the 10-year-old target at 4 times trailing revenue and 24x trailing cash flow. The transaction comes one month after Rakuten said it will pay $250m in cash for Buy.com.

The deals make sense from a strategic view: Both Buy.com and PriceMinister are similar to Rakuten in that they act as aggregators for online shopping, connecting thousands of merchants to consumers. But these are Rakuten’s first significant steps toward expanding its online retail business outside of Asia. (It did make a sizable purchase of a New York City-based company, LinkShare, in September 2005, but that was primarily for sales and marketing analytics, rather than a consolidation move.) In the past, Rakuten has used joint ventures and acquisitions to expand its online retail capabilities in China, Indonesia, Taiwan and Thailand. And, we would add, the company still has the equivalent of hundreds of millions of dollars for shopping in other markets.

CDC Software’s rollup is rolling along

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Since being spun off from its parent company less than a year ago, CDC Software has been rolling along with its planned rollup. It has done a half-dozen acquisitions of small, on-demand software companies to help expand its portfolio of ERP, CRM and supply chain management offerings. (It got bigger eyes earlier this year, when it made a short-lived run at fellow public company Chordiant Software.) In general, the technology has come from startups that have been passed over by the market. That’s certainly the case in CDC Software’s latest – and largest – acquisition, the purchase of TradeBeam last week.

Ten-year-old TradeBeam had burned through a mountain of venture backing and had snatched up the assets of three other vendors, but had struggled to actually build its business. (We understand that the company generated only about $9m in recurring revenue in 2009, and that projections for this year called for $10m in recurring revenue. That got the target around $20m in its sale to CDC Software, according to our understanding.)

Still, TradeBeam was able to develop some fairly useful software, thanks to its generous VC subsidy, that should fit well inside CDC Software. The company had two main product lines, which each accounted for about half of overall sales. TradeBeam sold global trade management software, which helps customers handle regulatory compliance and other aspects of the import/export business, as well as supply chain visibility, which provides additional capabilities around forecasting and collaboration with suppliers.

CDC Software’s recent acquisitions are part of a larger plan to slowly but steadily transition its business from selling software licenses to ‘renting’ software through a subscription model. Recurring revenue will still be a small slice of the overall $220m or so of revenue that the vendor is expected to put up this year. But if CDC Software can pull off its SaaS rollup strategy – and couple that with even a smidgen of organic growth – it could very well see a bump in its valuation. The transition to SaaS has certainly put a shine on the valuation of Concur Technologies and, to a lesser extent, Ariba. For its part, CDC Software, which is still majority owned by CDC Corp, trades at basically 1 times sales and 4x EBITDA.

Revenue refresh through M&A

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Having recently lost several key Asian customers in the brutally competitive digital TV market, Trident Microsystems went shopping in Europe last week to rebuild its top line. On its trip, Trident got a pretty good bargain. It will hand over some seven million shares, valued at roughly $10.3m, to Switzerland’s Micronas Semiconductor for three consumer product lines. We understand that the three units were generating more than $100m a year in sales.

The purchase comes at a crucial time for Trident. Revenue at the company has plummeted from $258m in the past fiscal year, which ended last June. With two quarters and guidance for the third quarter already in the books, revenue at Trident has totaled just $61m. That implies sales for the current fiscal year could well be just one-quarter the previous fiscal year’s figure. Along the way, Trident has slipped from a profitable business to a cash-burning one. Its difficulties haven’t been lost on Wall Street, which values the debt-free vendor at about $100m, just half its current cash level.

Trident’s pending pickup of the three Micronas units should help, both on the top and bottom lines. (Union Square Advisors worked with Trident while Micronas went with hometown bank Credit Suisse Securities.) The company indicated that the acquisition should put revenue at $35m for the quarter that ends in September, essentially matching the previous year’s level. More importantly, the combination will boost Trident’s earnings from the very start and slow its cash burn. The firm will have more to say about the deal, which will dramatically expand its portfolio and end markets, when it reports fiscal third-quarter earnings later this month. Meanwhile, we would note that Trident shares are slightly above where they were when the vendor announced the acquisition

Cutting the ties that bind

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

As the business prospects for this year continue to deteriorate, companies are increasingly looking to shed underperforming divisions. VeriSign, for example, has already divested two units so far this year and still has a handful of others on the block. As drawn-out and money-losing as divestitures can be, it’s almost always preferable to the alternative of actually hanging on to the struggling businesses. At least that’s the view from Wall Street, which rarely dings a company for pruning.

We’ve been thinking about this in recent weeks as we’ve seen the projections for PC sales in 2009 get pulled back again and again. The bearish outlook has caused most PC makers to overhaul their strategies for selling boxes. For instance, Lenovo has scaled back its expectations for selling PCs in Europe and North America, and will instead focus on its home Chinese market, particularly the rural sector. The shift essentially undercuts the need for IBM’s PC business, which Lenovo picked up four years ago. (IBM took payment for the divestiture in cash and stock, booking a pre-tax gain of about $1bn.)

Of course, it’s hard to know how that division would have fared if Big Blue hadn’t shed it. And, it’s virtually impossible to calculate how much of a drag PCs, which accounted for about 10% of IBM’s sales, would have been on the overall company’s performance. But consider this: Since IBM closed the divestiture in mid-2005, Dell shares, which stand as the closest proxy to the PC industry, have lost 75% of their value and are trading at their lowest level since 1997.

How do you say ‘please come back’ in Korean?

-Contact Thomas Rasmussen

When SanDisk released its dismal earnings this week, dismayed shareholders hastily headed for the hills. The exodus caused SanDisk’s stock to plunge 25%. In the fourth quarter of 2008, the flash memory giant lost $1.6bn, pushing its total loss for the year to $2bn. This red ink from operations was exacerbated by the company’s $1bn of acquisition-related write-downs stemming from its $1.5bn acquisition of msystems in July 2006. In the days following the dire news, SanDisk has been trading at a valuation of around $2.2bn. That’s a far cry from the $5.6bn that Samsung offered for SanDisk in September.

To put the decline in perspective, SanDisk’s three largest outside shareholders – Clearbridge Advisors, Capital International Asset Management and Capital Guardian Trust, which collectively own more than 15% of SanDisk (as of September 30) – suffered a paper loss of more than $700m since the day Samsung walked away from the proposed deal. Given this, we wouldn’t be surprised if shareholder ire forced SanDisk to reconsider its strategic options this year. On its earnings call this past Monday, the company reiterated that its board is indeed open to deal with any interested parties, which begs the inevitable question: Who might be willing buyers?

With private equity largely stymied and longtime partner Toshiba repeatedly stating that it’s not interested in a deal, Samsung is still the most logical fit. It has the cash, has shown a willingness to pay a solid premium, and would integrate well with SanDisk’s overall portfolio of products. In addition to its valuable intellectual property assets (which would eliminate those ugly royalty fees) and flash and solid-state drive lineup, SanDisk would instantly give Samsung the second-largest share of the music player market, behind only Apple. Perhaps it’s time for SanDisk CEO Eli Harari to brush up on his Korean, or at least learn how to say ‘please come back’ in that language.

EA’s South Korean embrace

-Contact Thomas Rasmussen

Even as business at home deteriorates sharply for US-based videogame giant Electronic Arts, it has been quietly – but quickly – using acquisitions to build up its presence in South Korea, a country that has some of the highest broadband penetration rates in the world. In the past year EA has gone from a mere sales presence in Korea to a significant developer and marketing operation, adding about 50 employees there. It has done this by two acquisitions in the past six months. In May the company purchased Hands-On Mobile Korea for $30m to shore up its mobile and casual gaming business. And this month it added J2MSoft, a company with some 55 developers, for an estimated $30m.

If the pickup of J2MSoft represented simply an EA land-grab in a relatively small market, the story would end here. But beyond simple geographic expansion, the purchase indicates a strategy to focus on a quickly growing part of the industry: online gaming. The region is known for these offerings. J2MSoft, for instance, has already launched three successful online games in Asia. We recently profiled the growing interest in casual gaming as a viable business. But the shift to online is just as big, if not bigger.

EA certainly wouldn’t have missed the blockbuster success of the online division at rival Activision Blizzard. That company attributed more than 40% of its $649m revenue in the third quarter to this phenomenon. That was driven by its online game World of Warcraft, which single-handedly took in as much money as all of its properties across the four major videogame consoles. In addition, World of Warcraft‘s subscription-based model has generated billions for Vivendi (which owned Blizzard when it merged with Activision) since it launched four years ago. Along with casual gaming companies, we suspect shopping of online gaming companies will continue to dominate gaming M&A well into 2009.

Select shopping of online gaming companies

Date Acquirer Target Deal value
December 9, 2008 Atari [Infogrames Entertainment] Cryptic Studios $27.6m
December 8, 2008 Perfect World Global InterServ China $23m
August 1, 2007 Walt Disney Club Penguin $350m
October 11, 2007 Electronic Arts VG Holding $620m
June 20, 2006 Electronic Arts Mythic Entertainment $76m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Inconsistent currencies

Brenon Daly

Throughout much of the year, the US dollar looked like lightweight paper. A buck basically bought you a loonie (as our northern neighbors call their dollar), and foreign exchange traders were heard shouting jokes about ‘the American peso.’ We noted the weak US dollar as one of the key reasons that total M&A spending by US acquirers dropped by about two-thirds from mid-2007 to mid-2008, while European shopping jumped by one-third (see report).

In the wake of the global financial crisis, however, the dollar has strengthened. To get a sense of that, consider the relative value of the US dollar when two Silicon Valley-based multinational tech giants went on shopping trips to Australia this year. Back when Hewlett-Packard made its play for records management vendor Tower Software in late March, the US dollar bought about A$1.10. A few days ago, when Oracle reached for Haley Limited, $1 bought A$1.60. That’s a lot more buying power for the once-humbled US dollar.