So far, so good for Astaro inside Sophos

Contact: Brenon Daly

When Sophos reached for Astaro exactly a year ago, the two companies lined up very well on paper: Both Europe-based security vendors go to market entirely through the channel, selling primarily to SMBs. Yet they both addressed different aspects of security, with Sophos shoring up endpoints and Astaro focusing on the network.

While the two approaches appear complementary, the infosec landscape is fraught with endpoint/network pairings that haven’t gone to plan. (That goes for M&A both on a large scale, such as IBM-Internet Security Systems, and a small scale, such as Sourcefire-ClamAV.) So what’s the verdict on Sophos’ purchase of the German unified threat management (UTM) vendor? So far, so good.

As a company, Astaro has been fully integrated into Sophos over the past year while also maintaining its historic growth rate of about 30%. (We understand that the UTM business is currently running at about $70m.) Astaro’s growth would basically match the rate of UTM kingpin Fortinet, although that company will do more than a half-billion dollars of sales in 2012.

Sophos is currently in beta with a product that combines Astaro’s UTM technology and Sophos’ core endpoint security offering. The integrated product is due this summer. That offering will hit the market just as Dell works through the integration of its purchase of UTM provider SonicWALL. That deal, which represents Dell’s largest security acquisition, closed Wednesday.

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Spirent secures its testing platform with Mu

Contact: Brenon Daly, Eric Hanselman

A relatively infrequent shopper, Spirent Communications has picked up Mu Dynamics, adding security testing for applications to the company’s performance-testing portfolio. The deal, which is only the British company’s second acquisition in the past half-decade, was announced last week and closed Monday. Spirent paid $40m in cash for Mu, which is projected to contribute about $18m in sales next year. (We understand that talks got going only in December, with Duff & Phelps’ Pagemill Partners unit advising Mu.)

The purchase of Mu Dynamics should also help Spirent expand its market, both in terms of customers and products. Traditionally, Spirent has sold its performance analysis offering as a hardware-based platform to network equipment manufacturers that use it to test the performance of products before they launch them. (It primarily competes in this market with Ixia, although Spirent is much larger and more profitable than its rival.) With Mu, Spirent will get a software product that can be more quickly and easily deployed, even within corporate IT departments.

As more and more applications are run on virtualized infrastructure, the process of testing is adapting. Where hardware-based systems have traditionally been used in test environments, it’s much more difficult to connect them to the virtual and ‘cloudy’ application deployments that are predominating. Spirent’s move will give it tools to address these environments. Ixia has also developed product capabilities in this area. Software versions of testing products can also scale well to match the increased scaling demands placed on applications.

Additionally, Spirent obtains Mu Dynamic’s small – but potentially disruptive – cloud-based testing division called Blitz.io, which bumps up against startups such as SOASTA, Apica, AppDynamics, LoadStorm and other SaaS testing providers. Blitz.io already has some 15,000 users.

While both the performance and security of applications is important to increased cloud application adoption, security is turning out to be a far more significant factor. In a survey earlier this year, ChangeWave Research, a service of 451 Research, found that companies gave higher marks to the reliability of cloud apps than they did to the security of them. Further, of the companies that are not currently running cloud applications, one-third of them cited ‘security concerns’ as the reason they have passed so far. That was twice as high as any other concern voiced by the more than 1,500 respondents to our survey.

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Persistence may not pay off for Vodafone

Contact: Ben Kolada, Thejeswi Venkatesh

After three deadline extensions and interest from competitor Tata Communications, Vodafone Group announced on Monday its latest attempt to acquire Cable & Wireless Worldwide (CWW). Vodafone is offering £1bn, or approximately $1.7bn, to buy CWW. However, its offer has already hit a roadblock. CWW’s largest shareholder, Orbis, which owns 19% of the company, has rejected the bid on the grounds that it undervalues CWW. Vodafone initially expressed interest in acquiring CWW on February 13.

Orbis’ argument does hold some ground. Although Vodafone’s offer represents a 92% per-share premium to when the deal was originally announced, it still values CWW below some precedent transactions. Vodafone is valuing CWW at half times revenue and just 2.7x EBITDA for the 12 months ending September 30, 2011. In comparison, US cable company Knology recently sold to WideOpenWest for 2.8x sales and 8x EBITDA, while SureWest Communications was valued at 2.2x revenue and 6.8x EBITDA in its sale to Consolidated Communications in February. For more business-focused comparisons, PAETEC was valued at 1.3x sales and 8.4x EBITDA in its sale to Windstream Communications in August 2011. Level 3 Communications paid 1.1x revenue and 7.3x EBITDA for Global Crossing in April 2011.

Given the strategic significance of this deal to Vodafone, we expect that the company could appease Orbis with a higher bid. We’ve previously written that Vodafone, which is light on its fixed-line capacity in the UK, would likely use the acquisition to enable more bandwidth availability for its mobile users. The UK wireless operator will be able to take advantage of CWW’s vast infrastructure to backhaul its own cellular services, rather than rely on third-party operators. Throughout the wireless industry, cellular operators are increasingly feeling their networks squeezed as users consume more and more high-bandwidth data. Further, with £7.7bn ($12bn) of cash and marketable securities in its treasury, Vodafone could certainly afford a higher offer.

Citrix consolidates collaboration

Contact: Ben KoladaThejeswi Venkatesh

In its third collaboration deal in the past 18 months, Citrix Systems said Wednesday that it will acquire small Copenhagen-based startup Podio. The target provides team collaboration SaaS for SMBs, apparently mostly through a ‘freemium’ model. Its product is used for project management, social information sharing, sales lead management and employee recruitment management. It also provides related Apple iPhone and Google Android applications. But Citrix isn’t the only company consolidating in the collaboration market – its Podio buy comes at a time of record interest in this sector.

While there are many collaboration vendors in the market, Podio has a different approach – it enables users to create their own applications to carry out specific tasks. This allows teams to tweak the platform to cater to their specific needs. Citrix will integrate Podio into its GoTo cloud services suite, making it easy for existing customers to adopt the platform. Podio already integrates with Dropbox, Google Docs and Box.

Citrix isn’t disclosing terms of the acquisition, but we suspect that the three-year-old firm probably generated less than $5m in revenue. Podio claims tens of thousands of customers in 170 different countries, but the majority of them are likely only using its free product. If our revenue assumption is correct, then this deal should be considered more of ‘tech and talent’ play than anything else. Citrix traditionally pays above-average valuations, but we doubt that it paid more for Podio than the $54.2m it forked over in its last collaboration acquisition – ShareFile. The 27-employee firm had raised a total of $4.6m from Sunstone Capital, CEO Tommy Ahlers and private investors Thomas Madsen-Mygdal and Ulrik Jensen.

Beyond Citrix’s recent consolidation, the collaboration market is seeing increasing interest overall. The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase shows 79 collaboration acquisitions in 2011 – nearly double the volume in 2010 and an all-time record. Throughout the collaboration sector, some of the most notable transactions since the beginning of 2011 include Yammer buying oneDrum (announced just today), salesforce.com reaching for Manymoon and Dimdim, Citrix competitor VMware acquiring Socialcast and SlideRocket, and Jive Software picking up OffiSync (click on the links for disclosed and estimated valuations). Jive itself made its own splash in social collaboration when it went public in December. The company hit the Nasdaq at $850m and has since seen its market cap balloon to nearly $1.6bn, or 14 times projected 2012 revenue.

Citrix’s collaboration acquisitions

Date announced Target Collaboration sector Deal value
April 11, 2012 Podio Team collaboration Not disclosed
October 13, 2011 Novel Labs (aka ShareFile) File sharing & team collaboration $54.2m
December 17, 2010 Netviewer AG Web conferencing $115m

Source: 451 Research M&A KnowledgeBase; Click on the links for disclosed and estimated valuations

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HomeAway finds its way back into the market

Contact: Brenon Daly

As a private company, HomeAway was a steady buyer. Founded in 2005, the vacation rental website had notched 11 transactions through last year. When it went public last June, the company raised $216m. With the new cash – not to mention shares that, at least initially, were richly valued – HomeAway had plenty of resources to continue its shopping. But that’s not the way it played out for the consolidator.

The company only stepped back into the M&A market earlier this week, reaching for Top Rural, a Madrid-based site that offers vacation rentals in small towns and the countryside in Europe. (The purchase comes roughly 11 months since HomeAway’s previous acquisition, the second-longest M&A dry spell at the company.) What’s more, it’s a rather small step back into the market. HomeAway, which held some $184m in cash and short-term investments at the end of December, is handing over just $19m for Top Rural.

With Top Rural, HomeAway returns to an acquisition strategy it has frequently used: geographic expansion. The Austin, Texas-based company has reached for similar rental sites in Australia, Brazil, France and the UK. (Currently, HomeAway has listings in some 168 countries.) In its other international shopping trips, HomeAway has paid between $2m and $45m for the sites.

Monitise pays out now for payoff later

Contact: Ben Kolada

Mobile banking and payments vendor Monitise made a big bet on Monday when it moved to consolidate its industry with the acquisition of startup Clairmail. At first glance, the deal should have set off alarms among Monitise’s investors. The all-stock transaction will significantly dilute Monitise’s shareholders, leaving them owning three-quarters of the combined company. However, its investors remained calm – Monitise’s share price closed down only 2%. Why? Although the deal is richly valued and dilutes Monitise’s shareholders, those same investors are all but assured of their own rich payoff eventually.

Another explanation for the muted shareholder response is that the transaction only seems overvalued on the surface. It is actually fairly valued by several metrics. Monitise’s £109m ($173m) offer values Clairmail at 9.3 times trailing sales, a smidgen below its own current 10x enterprise value (Monitise held $68m in net cash at the end of 2011, while Clairmail had $5m). Further, Monitise is also obtaining more valuable customers. Clairmail had 48 banking customers generating a total of $18m in revenue last year, or about $375,000 per customer. Monitise, meanwhile, had more than 250 customers, each of which generated an average of less than $150,000 in annual revenue. And because of Clairmail’s growth rate (its revenue jumped 90% in 2011), its price-to-projected-sales valuation is certain to be much lower. Further placating investors, Monitise is forecasting continued heady growth. The combined company, which would have generated $56m in revenue in 2011 on a pro forma basis, is projecting 2012 total revenue close to $100m.

There’s certainly no reason for alarm among the acquirer’s investors, considering valuations across the mobile payments industry are already high and the potential for Monitise itself to one day find a fruitful takeover offer. In July, eBay announced that it was buying Zong for $240m. And in June, Visa announced that it was buying Fundamo for $110m, or about 11x estimated trailing sales. The latter deal is of particular note, given the growing relationship between Visa and Monitise. Following the Fundamo buy, will Visa make a larger play in mobile payments, perhaps by acquiring Monitise? The two companies are already partners – Visa Europe made a $38m investment in Monitise in October, the two companies equally share a joint venture in India and Visa Europe president and CEO Peter Ayliffe sits on Monitise’s board. And as of February 28, Visa and Visa Europe combined owned 21% of Monitise’s equity.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter: @MAKnowledgebase.

Tangoe finds a European dance partner

Contact: Brenon Daly

Looking to increase its international business, Tangoe recently reached across the Atlantic for UK-based ttMobiles. The geographic expansion effort is a key initiative for Tangoe, which opened its European headquarters in Amsterdam less than a year ago. The company currently gets virtually all of its revenue from US-based customers, although a representative for Tangoe noted Wednesday that slightly more than one-quarter of the $16.8bn that flowed over its platform in the fourth quarter came internationally.

The purchase of ttMobiles is the third acquisition Tangoe has made since its IPO last summer. (And that’s on top of the five deals it inked as a private company.) Like most of its other acquisitions, the latest purchase by the communications lifecycle management vendor is a small one: Tangoe will hand over just $9m for ttMobiles. At the end of 2011, Tangoe was basically running at breakeven and had $43m in its treasury, mostly thanks to the IPO.

Tangoe expects ttMobiles to contribute $4.5m in revenue this year, meaning it is valued at basically 2 times projected sales. (For its part, Tangoe trades at more than 4x projected sales.) We understand that the company will continue to pursue deals that offer geographic expansion, as well as look to consolidate rivals to bulk up the number of customers it serves

Cable & Wireless Worldwide may lose independence

Contact: Ben Kolada, Thejeswi Venkatesh

Just two years after parent company Cable & Wireless Group split itself into two businesses, the consumer division Cable & Wireless and the business services unit Cable & Wireless Worldwide (CWW), CWW may once again find itself as part of a larger organization. Vodafone confirmed Monday that it is in talks regarding the possible acquisition of CWW. The deal, which is rumored to be valued at roughly $1bn, should be welcome news to CWW’s investors, who have seen the company’s stock plummet by two-thirds in the past year.

Independent CWW, which provides fixed lines that link to wireless transmitters and switches, among other voice and data services, has fared poorly since the split, as revenue flatlined and the company issued several profit warnings. However, exploding Internet usage on mobile phones has caused renewed interest in CWW. Vodafone, which is light on its fixed-line capacity in the UK, would likely use the acquisition to enable more bandwidth availability for its mobile users. Vodafone will be able to take advantage of CWW’s vast infrastructure to backhaul its own cellular services, rather than rely on third-party operators. CWW’s investors are hopeful that the deal will come to fruition, with shares of the telco closing the trading day 30% higher. Vodafone has until March 12 to make a decision on the acquisition.

A vote of confidence?

Contact: Ben Kolada

There’s no denying that behavior in the equity markets is one of the main influencers on big-ticket M&A. Stock market stability provides a vote of confidence for corporate acquirers to pursue large, game-changing deals. Without stable markets, the valuation gap between buyers and sellers becomes too wide for potential sellers to accept. As a result, when the equity markets dip, so too does deal volume.

Nearly every drop in the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite stock index coincided with a drop in both the volume and value of acquisitions of publicly traded technology companies. (Note: we’ve limited the scope of this research to the acquisition of Nasdaq- and NYSE-listed companies valued at more than $250m.) The number of acquisitions of large public companies tracks the stock market so closely that while the Nasdaq ended 2011 basically flat from the prior year, so too did the number of large tech transactions.

Public company acquisitions relative to Nasdaq activity

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, 451 Research

By early 2012, the Nasdaq had effectively regained the level it held before the credit crisis. Despite this bull run, however, there’s very little certainty or stability in the equity markets. Although not a flawless metric, we can use predictions for the IPO market as a gauge of 2012 activity. A stable stock market is desired before a private company hits the public stage. According to our 2011 Tech Banking Outlook Survey, which forecasts activity for 2012, bankers expect the public markets to be stable enough to welcome 25 new technology firms this year – the same number predicted for 2011.

But the number of IPOs is only half of the equation, as subsequent stock performance shows longer-term confidence in the newly public companies’ businesses. In 2011, we saw a number of fairly successful tech IPOs, many of which came from the consumer technology sector, such as LinkedIn and Zynga. But some of these vendors’ initial good fortunes were short-lived. LinkedIn, for example, has lost one-quarter of its market value since the company debuted in May 2011, and Zynga is trading below its offer price.

Among the top issues affecting stock markets are progress toward resolving or containing the European debt crisis and an agreement by the US congress on a bipartisan plan that would reduce the federal deficit by at least $1.3 trillion over the next 10 years. A full 85% of tech bankers surveyed answered that progress on the European debt crisis would increase M&A activity, while 73% said the same about progress on reducing the federal deficit. However, neither of these issues seems likely to be resolved anytime soon. The European sovereign debt crisis appears particularly hairy, after credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s recently downgraded nine major European nations’ credit ratings. Meanwhile, presidential election season in the US is likely to cause most to focus on campaigning rather than the federal deficit. While many weigh their options in voting for the next US president, the stock market may lose its vote of confidence, and deal volume could decline as a result.

NTT continues global expansion, bags Netmagic

Contact: Ben Kolada

NTT Communications has made another move in the Indian datacenter services market, this time taking a 74% stake in Netmagic Solutions. Netmagic provides managed hosting, colocation and infrastructure management services, among others, from seven datacenters throughout India. This is the latest in a growing line of transactions NTT has inked that have been meant to expand the company’s global datacenter and cloud services footprint.

The deal is yet another international investment in datacenter and cloud services for NTT. In the press release announcing the transaction, the Japan-based telco noted Netmagic’s footprint in the growing Indian datacenter services market as among the top drivers for the acquisition. Our colleagues at Tier1 Research previously wrote that NTT subsidiary Datacraft has already been working with India-based telecom provider Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited (BNSL). However, NTT said the deal has strategic benefits beyond India, and that it will accelerate its infrastructure and cloud services throughout greater Asia.

This isn’t the first India-specific or international move NTT has made in the datacenter or cloud sectors. In July 2010, the company announced that it was forking over roughly $3.2bn for Johannesburg-based Dimension Data, which also has a footprint in India. NTT cited the cloud computing opportunity as the main motivation behind that transaction. Almost exactly a year later, Dimension Data, then a subsidiary of NTT, announced that it was acquiring cloud, colocation and managed hosting provider OpSource. Although based in Santa Clara, California, OpSource’s cloud technology and capabilities will be sold throughout Dimension Data’s global footprint.