What’s on NICE Systems’ shopping list?

Contact: Brenon Daly

After being out of the market for more than a year, NICE Systems is looking to do deals again. The Israeli company inked a pair of asset purchases in 2008, with a total bill just shy of $20m. Those pickups came after NICE made its largest acquisition to date, the $280m cash-and-stock purchase of Actimize. With no debt and some $530m in cash and equivalents, NICE certainly has the means to do deals. The firm didn’t offer a peak at its shopping list, but said Tuesday at the RBC Technology, Media and Communications Conference that it will be active.

As its most-significant acquisition, the addition of Actimize bolstered NICE’s analytics offering, helping to expand the number of applications the company sells. (Actimize has also thrived under NICE. We understand that the startup has doubled its revenue to $60m in the two years since NICE acquired it.) Founded in 1986, NICE sold recording technology for call centers for much of its corporate life. In the past year or so, it has expanded into additional applications, such as workforce management, customer feedback and governance, risk and compliance. Roughly three-quarters of NICE’s revenue comes from its enterprise business, with the rest coming from its security unit.

Of course, the market has been speculating on and off for many years about a large deal by NICE involving a combination with archrival Verint Systems. However, valuing any potential transaction remains a challenge because of Verint’s majority owner, Comverse Technology. (Yes, that’s the company that has been wracked by allegations of fraud and options backdating scandals, with its founder and former CEO living on the lam in Africa. The company’s financial statements are also woefully out of date.) We understand that Comverse retained a banker some time ago to help sell off some assets. If Comverse wanted to reheat that effort and shed Verint, we’re pretty sure that NICE would put aside historical rivalries and consider that consolidation play.

Quick to offer, slow to vote

Contact: Brenon Daly

Even with the recent flurry of deal announcements, the pace of actually getting those proposed transactions in front of shareholders hasn’t necessarily followed suit. On Monday, a pair of buyers of public companies said they wouldn’t be holding votes on the proposed acquisitions, which were both announced in mid-April, until mid-July. To be sure, the anticipated three-month gap between announcing the transactions and shareholders voting on them isn’t alarmingly long. But it does continue the rather drawn-out dealmaking process that we’ve seen since the credit crisis tore apart Wall Street.

In the larger of the two announcements, Oracle said Sun Microsystems shareholders will have the opportunity to sound off on the planned $7.4bn deal on July 16. That is almost two weeks longer than it took to close its slightly larger purchase of BEA Systems last year. And if, as expected, Sun shareholders agree to the pending acquisition and Oracle closes it immediately, the time from announcement to closing would be roughly twice as long as the time for its multibillion-dollar purchase of Hyperion Solutions as well as its smaller acquisition of Stellent.

Meanwhile, Thoma Bravo, which plans to pick up Entrust, originally intended to put its $114m offer before shareholders on Monday. Instead, they will vote on the deal July 10. The delay comes despite not a single superior bid surfacing for the security company during its ‘go-shop’ period. The target said it shopped itself to 35 other potential suitors from mid-April to mid-May, but received only three non-binding offers. Entrust’s board didn’t judge any of them ‘superior’ to Thoma Bravo’s original offer. Shareholders will have their say on that in a month.

Former high-flyer Cassatt sold in low-multiple deal to CA

Contact: Brenon Daly

Few datacenter startups in recent memory have commanded as much attention – or as much investment – as Cassatt. The company, which drew in some $100m in backing, had top engineering talent and proven executives, starting with CEO Bill Coleman. Realizing the promise of all that, however, has proved difficult for Cassatt. It has shuffled through a number of business plans, trying to find a viable strategy. And now, we understand, Cassatt has sold to CA Inc for a fraction of the amount it raised. An announcement is expected next week.

It’s an unfortunate – if unsurprising – end to Cassatt. The company has been for sale for several months and we understand that a number of tech giants, including Oracle and IBM, looked at Cassatt. We can only imagine that talks with any would-be buyers must have been complicated by the fact that they would have had a hard time knowing exactly what they would be buying. Cassatt itself would have had a different answer, depending on when the question was asked.

In its early days, Cassatt was a high-performance computing vendor, but then switched to utility computing and, most recently, positioned itself as an eco-efficient IT vendor. (One byproduct of the ever-evolving business model is that Cassatt was only able to collect two dozen or so customers over its six-year history. We understand that the company did about $12m in revenue last year.) That’s not a knock on Cassatt. The company had grand plans – and raised money to match them. But in the end, it was probably too early into this market. Cassatt’s technology may well play a role in helping to manage the datacenter in the future, but that’s up to CA now.

Just how far has the CDP market fallen?

by Brenon Daly, Henry Baltazar

In the days before the big storage vendors turned continuous data protection (CDP) into a feature rather than a stand-alone product, investors in CDP startups could still make decent returns. Both Kashya and Topio raised about $20m in VC backing, and ended up exiting for eight times that amount. Kashya sold to EMC for $153m in cash in May 2006 while Topio, which wisely blended CDP with heterogeneous replication in its offerings, went to NetApp for $160m in cash a half-year later. (Of the two deals, NetApp-Topio has been the underwhelming transaction. NetApp recently shuttered the SnapMirror for Open Systems product line that it picked up with Topio.)

Since those paydays, however, CDP valuations have plummeted. Symantec acquired assets of Revivio for an estimated $20m in November 2006, while Double-Take Software handed over just $8.3m for TimeSpring Software in late 2007. But even those deals seem rich when we consider BakBone Software’s recent reach for CDP startup Asempra Technologies. Under terms of the deal, BakBone is shelling out just $2.1m for Asempra, which had raised $36m from its backers. To add insult to injury, BakBone is paying for the acquisition mostly in equity, with $1.7m of the price tag covered by its illiquid, Pink Sheets-traded paper. We would note that Asempra’s owners are getting 3.8 million shares of BakBone, which typically only trade about 30,000 shares each session.

Select CDP transactions

Date Acquirer Target Price
May 2009 BakBone Software Asempra Technologies $2.1m
December 2007 Double-Take Software TimeSpring Software $8.3m
November 2006 Symantec Revivio $20m*
November 2006 NetApp Topio $160m
May 2006 EMC Kashya $153m
March 2006 Atempo Storactive Not disclosed

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase *451 Group estimate

Sun’s Sparc still has future, Ellison insists

Contact: John Abbott

With Oracle likely just two months or so away from closing its $7.4bn acquisition of Sun Microsystems, speculation is now picking up about what parts of Sun’s technology portfolio will be dropped. (And make no mistake, cost-cutting is a major driver of this deal. Oracle has pledged to wring at least $1.5bn of operating profit from Sun in the first year that it owns the company.) But Oracle is currently working hard to counter suggestions that it won’t take on Sun’s core hardware business, and in particular, that it will give up on Sparc processor development. That’s not the case, CEO Larry Ellison insists. In fact, Oracle will increase investment in Sparc, Ellison says.

His argument is that, by designing hardware and software together to work as a system, it’s possible to avoid the low-margin trap of the commodity server business. Sparc is a key part of that, says Ellison. He adds that, as IBM has found, some system features are best done in silicon. That said, Oracle doesn’t plan to work on a Sparc-Solaris version of its Exadata database machine. Instead, it will keep the arrangements it has with Hewlett-Packard in place over its current systems activities for the Exadata database machine, which Ellison claims has been the most successful product introduction in Oracle’s 30-year history.

However, it’s still hard to believe that Oracle will make a long-term commitment to the continuing development of a proprietary RISC chip architecture. IBM’s Power and Intel’s Itanium are now the only other significant architectures: Power has been bolstered by some lucrative and high-volume gaming console contracts, while Itanium sales, driven almost exclusively by HP, have done little more than replace shipments of older HP architectures (such as Alpha, PA-RISC and NonStop) without any significant market growth. So how does Ellison see his way out of this? He plans to work in partnership with Fujitsu to add features to Sparc aimed at improving Oracle’s database performance. But reading between the lines, it’s possible that this could lead to handing over most or all of the ongoing development work for Sparc chips to Fujitsu. Provided, of course, the Japanese tech giant wants to take that on.

What’s the return on Borland’s M&A?

Contact: Brenon Daly

Looking a bit closer at Micro Focus’ $75m acquisition earlier this week of Borland Software, my colleague John Abbott noted that the British company was essentially picking up the Segue Software business that Borland itself bought three years ago. Borland paid $100m, or an enterprise value (EV) of $86m, for the testing and quality assurance tools vendor, which worked out to about 2.3x EV/trailing 12-month (TTM) sales. The purchase of Segue in February 2006 came as part of a larger overhaul of its business, which included Borland ditching its developer tools division.

Fast-forward three years, and Segue is being valued by Micro Focus at just 80% of the amount that Borland paid for it. If we look at Borland’s overall EV of just $67m, the contrast is even starker. Micro Focus is paying a mere 0.7x EV/TTM sales for Borland, which is just one-third the multiple that Borland shelled out for Segue. This isn’t to pick on Borland or knock it for agreeing to sell itself for $1 per share, which is probably as good an outcome as it could have hoped for.

However, the valuation gap does highlight a larger problem in realizing value through M&A. Consider that since 2002, Borland – under various chief executives – has spent more than $300m on nearly a dozen deals. And yet, when all of the firm’s dealmaking was priced by another market participant (in this case, Micro Focus), the aggregate value was actually two-thirds lower. Granted, Borland was shopping in a different time than our current recession, which has obviously pushed valuations down these days. (And the valuation decline is nowhere near as drastic as we’ve seen elsewhere in the market, such as the bankruptcy of Nortel Networks, a company that was once worth more than $200bn.) Still, it’s always worth noting the price a company pays when it buys and the price it gets when it ultimately sells.

Select Borland acquisitions

Date Target Equity value
February 2006 Segue Software $100m
October 2002 TogetherSoft $185m
October 2002 Starbase $24m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Going it alone can be expensive

Contact: Brenon Daly, Henry Baltazar

Wall Street hasn’t been particularly supportive of tech companies that turn down unsolicited offers and opt to go it alone. Shares in a number of the targeted firms are currently changing hands at less than half the level that the would-be suitors were willing to pay for them. To wit: Microsoft was reportedly set to pay in the mid-$30s for each share of Yahoo, which is now trading in the mid-teens. And having spurned a $16-per-share unsolicited bid from Cadence Design Systems last summer, Mentor Graphics stock is now trading at about $7.

We mention that bit of cautionary history because there’s another showdown brewing. Broadcom, advised by Banc of America Securities, recently offered $9.25 for each share of Emulex, giving the unsolicited bid a total equity value of $764m. (As it often does, Goldman Sachs is advising the target.)

Broadcom’s bid values Emulex where it was trading last October. On an enterprise value basis, the proposed transaction values the maker of storage networking gear at just 1.2x its trailing 12-month (TTM) sales and 5.5x TTM EBITDA. Emulex investors want a richer valuation and have pushed the stock above $10 since the offer was unveiled. Broadcom has vowed to take the unsolicited bid directly to shareholders if the Emulex board rebuffs it. On its conference call Monday discussing fiscal third-quarter results, Emulex said only that it was ‘thoroughly’ reviewing Broadcom’s offer.

From Broadcom’s point of view, it’s understandable why it would want its fellow southern California-based company. If the deal goes through, Broadcom would get a foothold in a few interesting storage markets such as host bus adapters (for both standard servers and blade servers) and embedded storage processors for disk arrays. Broadcom sells Gigabit Ethernet and 10-Gigabit Ethernet products, but is not a player in the SAN market. With network convergence growing in popularity, Broadcom would also benefit from Emulex’s fiber channel technology and its new Fiber Channel over Ethernet adapters.

A somewhat secure M&A market

Contact: Brenon Daly

With RSA set to open later this week, we thought we’d take a look back on deal flow since the trade show closed last year. Over the past year, we’ve seen some 83 acquisitions of security companies, with total spending of about $4.2bn. While that’s down from the comparable year-earlier period (April 2007-April 2008: 90 deals worth $5.2bn), the drop-off in security M&A has not been as steep as the overall decline in tech deals. In fact, the number of security transactions slipped just 7% from the previous year, compared to an 18% drop in the number of total tech M&A. Spending on security deals also fell less than the overall market.

Moreover, there are a number of trends that have emerged since the last RSA event that suggest security M&A may well remain healthier than the overall market. For starters, the big shoppers have done big deals. By our tally, Symantec has inked the largest security transaction since the end of last year’s RSA, paying $695m in cash to bolster its on-demand offering with MessageLabs. And McAfee checked in with the second-largest acquisition. Its $497m all-cash purchase of Secure Computing was its largest deal in a decade, and its only acquisition of a public company in at least seven years (excluding the pickup of Bulletin Board-listed Citadel Security Software in 2006).

In addition to the strategic vendors, we’re also seeing financial buyers – both through funds and PE-backed companies – looking to do deals. For instance, Sophos went back to its investors to help finance its $341m acquisition of Utimaco, the largest purchase by a privately held security company of a public counterpart. Also, Vector Capital took home Aladdin Knowledge Systems and, more recently, Thoma Bravo has a pending $114m offer for Entrust. Certainly there have been a few scrap sales, but that’s to be expected in an over-funded market like security. Overall, deal flow remains comparatively healthy in the security sector.

Symantec goes box shopping?

Contact: Brenon Daly

After holding off for some time, Websense finally rolled out its first secure Web gateway appliance earlier this month. Now we’re hearing that another major security vendor is about to get into the box business. Only this time, it’ll be through acquisition, rather than internal development like it was at Websense. Several market sources have indicated that Symantec has purchased Mi5 Networks, a security appliance startup based in Sunnyvale, California.

The acquisition is expected to be announced at next week’s RSA conference, according to a source. If indeed the deal goes through, it will be Symantec’s first since picking up MessageLabs for $695m last October. Obviously, the purchase of five-year-old Mi5 would be much smaller. (We weren’t able to learn terms of the deal.)

Mi5 has raised just $3.5m in venture backing from Labrador Ventures, First Round Capital and several angel investors. Among the company’s early backers is Sunil Paul, who founded Brightmail. (That’s right, the very same company that was run by current Symantec CEO Enrique Salem.) And finally, there’s an even more direct link in the rumored pairing: Mi5 is currently headed by Doug Camplejohn, a former executive at Vontu, which Symantec acquired in late 2007.

Preemptive consolidation in financial IT?

-Contact Thomas Rasmussen

With reports indicating that IBM has pulled its multibillion-dollar offer for Sun Microsystems, the second-largest deal of the year so far is the $2.9bn all-equity purchase of Metavante by Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) announced in early April. (Yesterday, Express Scripts announced that it will fork over $4.7bn for WellPoint’s NextRx subsidiaries.) In fact, we recently noted that the first quarter closed without a single transaction worth more than $1bn. It was the first time a quarter passed without a 10-digit deal since we began keeping records in January 2002. This transaction consolidates two active acquirers. Metavante and FIS have together inked more than 30 purchases over the past five years: FIS has completed 18 deals worth north of $7bn (excluding this pickup), while Metavante has closed 15 to the tune of about $1.4bn.

The combined FIS and Metavante will have revenue of $5.1bn, about $300m in cash after the transaction closes, and free cash flow of about $700m. However, though the management of the new company outlined its healthy cash flow as means for making further acquisitions, we don’t expect them to step immediately back into the market as the giants work on integrating the blockbuster deal. (We would note that both FIS and Metavante were out of the market in 2008.) Instead, we expect near-term consolidation to likely come from the firm’s two remaining large competitors Fiserv and First Data Corp, which Kohlberg Kravis Roberts took private for $30bn two years ago. Additionally, we could see Oracle and IBM using their vast cash reserves to buy their way into this sector. In fact, FIS and Metavante said in their conference call discussing their planned transaction that one of the reasons they were getting together was to stave off the expected competition from Oracle and Big Blue. So who might be of interest to any of these buyers? We suspect smaller players such as Jack Henry & Associates or even payments competitors TeleCommunication Systems and S1 Corp could well become targets.

Financial IT M&A by the now three largest buyers since 2002

Acquirer Number of deals Total deal value
FIS-Metavante 42 $12.7bn
First Data Corp 20 $9bn
Fiserv 28 $5.3bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase