Category: infrastructure software

IBM-Sun: Nothing but March madness?

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Maybe the speculation around IBM buying Sun Microsystems was nothing more than a bit of March Madness. When reports surfaced last month that a deal could be in the works, Sun’s long-ailing shares soared from about $5 to nearly $9 in a single session. (At the time, we also looked at what a potential pairing of the tech giants might mean.) And it wasn’t just sporadic trading that powered the mid-March move. More than 160 million Sun shares traded the day after The Wall Street Journal carried its report on initial talks, meaning volume was eight times heavier than average.

It turns out that anybody who bought the stock from then until last Friday is now underwater. (Or to continue our NCAA basketball terminology, they’ve had their bracket busted.) Both the WSJ and The New York Times reported Monday that a deal – even at a lowered price – may be off the table. Sun shares gave up one-quarter of their value in Monday afternoon trading, falling to about $6.50 each. Volume was again several times heavier than average.

Amid all these reports of tough negotiating and ‘recalibrated’ deal terms, we’re reminded of the five-month saga of one public company buying another public company last year. In mid-July, Brocade Communications unveiled a $3bn offer for Foundry Networks, paying nearly all of that in cash and only a tiny slice in equity. As the equity markets plunged last October, the two sides agreed to lower the deal value to $2.6bn by trimming the cash price and removing the equity component. (Brocade shares had been cut in half during the time from the announcement to the readjustment.)

Now, the combined Brocade-Foundry entity, which has existed since mid-December, has a total market capitalization of just $1.5bn. In fact, my colleague Simon Robinson recently speculated that Brocade may be attracting interest from suitors. One of the names that has popped up? IBM, which would get an instant presence in the networking market. And if Big Blue is done with Sun (as reports suggest), then perhaps the company will just shift its M&A focus.

Oracle’s stimulus package

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

One way to read Oracle’s novel announcement on Wednesday that it will start paying a dividend is that after years of handing out money to shareholders of other companies in the form of acquisitions, it will dole out some to its own investors. Word that the software giant will pay a dividend for the first time comes after a quarter in which Oracle acquired just one company, mValent. It was the lowest quarterly total for the company in recent memory, and compares with the shopping spree in the same quarter last year that saw it take home BEA Systems for $8.5bn, among other deals.

Although terms for Oracle’s most-recent acquisition weren’t released, we understand that it paid less than $10m for mValent, a change and configuration management startup. Viewed in light of the announced dividend of a nickel per share, even assuming that Oracle paid $10m for mValent, the purchase price works out to just 4% of the cash that the company is set to return to shareholders next month. (With five billion shares outstanding, Oracle’s dividend bill will be $250m per quarter, or $1bn for the full year.)

Even though time and money can only be spent once (as the saying goes), merely committing to paying a dividend doesn’t necessarily take a company out of the M&A market. Look at Microsoft, which has been a dividend-paying company since the beginning of 2003. It has inked four of its five largest deals even as it handed back billions of dollars to its own shareholders. And that corporate largess has hardly imperiled the Redmond, Washington-based behemoth. It finished last year with more than $20bn in cash and short-term investments on its balance sheet.

Oracle’s M&A, by quarter

Period Deal volume Disclosed and estimated deal value
Fiscal Q3 (December-February) 2009 1 Estimated less than $10m
Fiscal Q2 (September-November) 2008 5 $455m
Fiscal Q1 (June-August) 2008 2 Not disclosed
Fiscal Q4 (March-May) 2008 2 $100m
Fiscal Q3 (December-February) 2008 4 $8.5bn
Note: Oracle’s fiscal year ends in May

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Crossbeam looks to deal

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

After growing organically to $90m in sales in 2008, Crossbeam Systems is actively looking to acquire a company in the near future, the company said Tuesday at the Montgomery Technology Conference. Crossbeam has been generating cash for more than a year, and currently has some $11m in the bank. It also has an untouched $15m line of credit and indicated that it could raise another round of funding for a significant transaction. (Crossbeam has already raised some $105m in venture backing over the past seven years.)

Although Crossbeam is lumped into the security market, it is a platform – rather than an application – vendor. In fact, it partners with several key security companies, including Check Point Software Technologies, Sourcefire and IBM’s ISS unit. Obviously, it couldn’t buy any single security application vendor without risking the loss of one of those partners. Instead, the company is looking to do a network-related deal, perhaps adding analysis or application acceleration. (However, Crossbeam won’t be considering WAN traffic optimization companies; the company said that market is too crowded.)

As it plans to shop, Crossbeam joins several other large privately held companies, which are all running at more than $50m in revenue, that are currently in the market. We understand that Tripwire may be looking to pick up some security technology, specifically in log management and vulnerability assessment. And, we recently noted that NetQoS is also considering a deal. In fact, we hear that the networking company may be close to a letter of intent on a small transaction, while it also continues to assess a much more significant acquisition.

Divesting at any costs

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

We recently noted how VCs are having to settle for scrap sales as they go through a bit of portfolio clean-out. But, hey, at least the value destroyed in each of the companies is only in the tens of millions of dollars. Companies that have been recently cleaning out their own portfolios in the form of divestitures have been eating hundreds of millions of dollars. Even billions of dollars.

Last week, two companies were in the news for what we would consider ‘divest at any cost’ transactions. First up, Motorola unwound its two-year-old purchase of Good Technology. After paying about $500m in November 2006 for Good, we would guess that Motorola almost certainly received less than $50m in selling the mobile messaging infrastructure vendor to privately held Visto. (At least there was something left to sell. The same can’t be said of Intellisync, which Nokia bought three years ago for $354.3m but recently said it will be shuttering.)

More dramatically, Nortel Networks looks likely to pocket just two pennies for every $1,000 that it handed over for Alteon WebSystems in mid-2000. (Keep in mind, however, that Nortel paid the $7.8bn total is stock, not cash.) The bankrupt telecom equipment vendor has put Alteon on the block, and the reported frontrunner is Israel-based Radware, which has put forward a bid of some $14m. (Since Nortel filed for Chapter 11, Alteon is being sold under an auction process run by the bankruptcy court, and other bidders could emerge.) As a final thought on both the Motorola and pending Nortel divestitures, we would note that both castoff divisions are landing in other companies, rather than a buyout shop.

NetQoS back in the market

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

When we caught up with NetQoS last June, the company had just inked its first purchase after a two-and-a-half-year hiatus, taking home trade-monitoring software startup Helium Systems. The Austin, Texas-based network performance management vendor is now ready to continue that shopping. Speaking at the Pacific Crest Securities Data Center Conference on Wednesday, Gordon Daugherty, the company’s head of corporate development, said NetQos is looking at a broad range of deals in a broad range of sizes.

Daugherty indicated that the company is eyeing companies in markets such as security and systems management, among others. Loosely, NetQoS is targeting a deal that could add about $10m in revenue to the $65m that it plans to record this year. However, Daugherty said the company is open to doing something larger than that placeholder. A larger purchase would require NetQoS to raise money for the first time in more than a half-decade. (The company has been profitable since 2005.) Daugherty added that the majority owner of NetQoS, New York City-based private equity firm Liberty Partners, has signed off on a fresh round to fund the right deal.

NetQoS acquisitions

Date Target Rationale
June 2008 Helium Systems Trade monitoring
December 2005 Pine Mountain Group Services
April 2005 RedPoint Network Systems Device management

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Real deal for Virtual Iron?

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly, Rachel Chalmers

Several sources, both from industry and financial circles, have indicated that server virtualization startup Virtual Iron Software is nearing a deal to sell to a strategic buyer. The name at the top of the list? Oracle, which has a Xen-based hypervisor (OVM), but lacks management tools. Virtual Iron would bring Xen management.

Another name that has surfaced is Novell. A year ago, the company handed over $205m for PlateSpin, which was its largest virtualization acquisition and one that valued eight-year-old PlateSpin at roughly 10 times its revenue. Virtual Iron would fit well with Novell’s virtualization efforts as well as with its open source leanings (Virtual Iron is based on Xen).

Sometimes viewed as a ‘down-market VMware,’ Virtual Iron sells primarily to SMEs through its channel. The Lowell, Massachusetts-based company has raised some $65m in funding since its founding in 2003. Backers include Highland Capital Partners, Matrix Partners, Goldman Sachs Group and strategic investors Intel Capital and SAP Ventures.

We understand that Virtual Iron had somewhat ‘frothy’ expectations after Citrix paid a half-billion dollars for XenSource in mid-2007. However, sources say Virtual Iron won’t get anywhere near the valuation of XenSource. In fact, most folks have doubts that the company will even sell for the amount of VC dollars that went into it.

Cisco: not a common-sense shopper

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Through both direct and indirect cues, Cisco Systems’ John Chambers has created the impression that he’s about set to start wheeling a shopping cart up and down the Valley, grabbing technology companies with abandon. Folks who anticipate a dramatic return of Cisco to the M&A market have been busy putting together a shopping list for the company. (As has been well reported, the networking giant has plenty of pocket money; it current holds some $29bn of cash, and just raised another $4bn by selling bonds.) Most of the names on the list are ones that have been kicked around for some time.

For instance, fast-growing Riverbed Technology tops the list for some people. Indeed, Chambers approached the WAN traffic optimizer at least twice before the company went public in 2006, according to a source. We understand that talks ended with Riverbed feeling rather disenchanted with the giant. Other speculation centers on Cisco making a large virtualization play, either reaching for Citrix or VMware. The thinking on the latter is that Cisco would actually buy EMC, which sports an enterprise value of $21bn, to get its hands on the virtualization subsidiary. And last year we added another name to the mix, reporting that Cisco may have eyes for security vendor McAfee.

There’s a certain amount of logic to all of the potential acquisition candidates. At the least, speculation about them is defensible since they are all rooted in common sense. The only hook is that Cisco isn’t a ‘common-sense’ shopper. That’s not to say it isn’t an effective acquirer. Cisco very much is a smart shopper, and we’d put its recent record up there with any other tech company. What we mean is that Cisco’s deals are anything but predictable.

For instance, Cisco was selling exclusively to enterprises when it did an about-face nearly six years ago and shelled out $500m in stock for home networking equipment vendor Linksys. And it got further into the home when it followed that up with its largest post-Bubble purchase, the late-2005 acquisition of Scientific-Atlanta for $6.9bn. (Although word of the deal for the set-top box maker leaked out, few people would have initially put the two companies together.) Similarly, WebEx Communications wasn’t on any of the Cisco shortlists that we saw before the company pulled the trigger on its $3.2bn purchase of the Web conferencing vendor. But what do we know? Maybe some folks out there not only called one or two of those deals, but also hit the unlikely trifecta. If so, maybe you could email us to let us know – and while you’re at it, could you pass along some numbers for lottery picks?

Informatica: Wheeling and dealing in the Windy City

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

It appears that the Second City is a first stop for M&A at Informatica. The data integration company picked up Chicago-based startup Applimation for $40m on Thursday. And there’s continuing speculation that Redwood City, California-based Informatica will reach for the Windy City’s Initiate Systems for a master data management platform. So, in addition to being (in the words of Carl Sandburg) the ‘Hog Butcher for the World/ Tool Maker, Stacker of Wheat/[and]… City of the Big Shoulders,’ Chicago is emerging as a bit of a data dealer.

Of course, there’s another Chicago connection to a possible Informatica deal, one that has the company on the sell side. We have speculated in the past that Oracle might make a play for Informatica to shore up its data quality and data integration business. How does the city figure into that rumored pairing?

As has often been recounted, Oracle CEO Larry Ellison was raised by his adoptive parents on the hardscrabble South Side and very briefly attended the University of Chicago. Shortly after dropping out and founding the company that would eventually go on to become Oracle, one of Ellison’s first hires at the fledgling firm was a young programmer, who had studied at the University of Illinois, for the Chicago office. The person hired was Sohaib Abbasi, who spent 20 years at the database giant before leaving to head up Informatica.

Is Open Text open for a deal?

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly, Kathleen Reidy

If Autonomy Corp’s $775m purchase last week of Interwoven came out of left field, we suspect the next major enterprise content management (ECM) deal will bring together a buyer and seller much more familiar with each other. As it stands now, Open Text is kingpin of the stand-alone ECM vendors. (The market capitalization of the Canadian company is almost 10 times larger than that of poor old Vignette, which we heard in the past was on the block.) Open Text is slated to report its fiscal second-quarter results Wednesday afternoon.

Most of the big software vendors have already done their ECM shopping, starting with EMC’s purchase of Documentum more than a half-decade ago. More recently, IBM and Oracle made significant purchases. And now we can add Autonomy to the list of shoppers, despite the company having downplayed the importance of content management in the past. (Apparently, it was important enough to Autonomy for it to ink the third-largest ECM deal.)

So who might be eyeing Open Text, which currently sports an enterprise value of $1.7bn? The obvious answer – and one that’s been around for some time now – is SAP. The German giant is Open Text’s largest partner, reselling four different products. Competitively, we don’t see Autonomy’s purchase of Interwoven affecting business much at Open Text, much less acting as a catalyst for any deal with SAP. (With its focus on the legal market, Interwoven only really bumped into the Hummingbird products that Open Text picked up when it bought the fellow Canadian company in mid-2006.) Still, SAP has already made one multibillion-dollar move to consolidate the software industry, acquiring Business Objects for $6.8bn in October 2007. If it looks to make another Oracle-style play, we guess Open Text would be at the top of the list.

Largest ECM deals

Date Acquirer Target Price EV/TTM sales multiple
October 2003 EMC Documentum $1.8bn 6x
August 2006 IBM FileNet $1.6bn 2.6x
January 2009 Autonomy Corp Interwoven $775m 2.8x
August 2006 Open Text Hummingbird $489m 1.6x
November 2006 Oracle Stellent $440m 2.9x

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Mr. Fixit sells again

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Known as a turnaround guy for most of his career, Joe Cowan didn’t actually have too much fixing up to do at his latest posting as chief executive of content management vendor Interwoven. After he took over Interwoven’s top post in early April 2007, the business hummed along with sales growth in the mid-teens and solid profitability. Under Cowan’s leadership, shares of Interwoven dropped just 9%, less than one-quarter the decline posted by the Nasdaq over that same period. And never mind the southbound performance of shares of rival Vignette.

Cowan’s work at Interwoven stands in sharp contrast to earlier postings at Baan and Manugistics, scandal-tainted companies with declining sales and heavy losses. However, the end result of most of his engagements has been the same: a sale of the company. As a testament to the difference in the relative health of the two most-recent exits that Cowan has helped broker, consider that Interwoven is getting valued at twice the price-to-sales multiple of Manugistics. Viewed another way, Interwoven sold for almost 19x EBITDA, compared to closer to 13x EBITDA for Manugistics. We understand that Cowan will be staying on at acquirer Autonomy Corp after the close of the deal, at least for a bit.

CEO Joe Cowan: A tale of two exits

Date Target Acquirer Deal value Price/TTM sales
April 2006 Manugistics JDA Software $211m 1.4x
January 2009 Interwoven Autonomy $775m 2.8x

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase