Nuance voices desire to expand in customer service with TouchCommerce buy

Contact:  Scott Denne Sheryl Kingstone

Nuance Communications breaks a two-year M&A dry spell with the $215m purchase of TouchCommerce. Building off its earlier acquisitions of Varolii and VirtuOz in 2013, today’s announcement gets Nuance deeper into the customer service segment with analytics software and tools for both self-service and agent-assisted service via multiple mobile and desktop channels.

Amid flat revenue and a cost-cutting program, Nuance hadn’t announced a new acquisition since its tuck-in of document software provider Notable Solutions in July 2014. In previous years, it directed some of its M&A spending toward customer service, although most went toward building out its medical transcription division – its largest business and one that declined slightly through its last fiscal year and the first two quarters of its current one.

Nuance isn’t the only one increasing its investments in customer service. According to 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase, acquirers have spent $1.4bn on that category so far in 2016, putting it on pace to be the second-largest year on record. Our data suggests that the investments, particularly in mobile-heavy players like TouchCommerce, is warranted. According to a recent 451 Research Voice of the Connected User Landscape survey, 37% plan to deploy customer self-service capabilities over the next 24 months.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.

Mobvista sees path to a broader gaming platform with GameAnalytics in the fold

Contact: Scott Denne

Mobvista makes its second international deal of the year with the acquisition of mobile behavioral analytics vendor GameAnalytics. Fueled by its recent listing on China’s NEEQ exchange, an over-the-counter board for Chinese startups, Mobvista is expanding from its roots as a mobile ad network into a broader platform for gaming monetization. Its previous transaction, the $25m purchase of NativeX, brought it reach into the US market as well as video advertising and other rich media formats.

Today’s pickup of Copenhagen-based GameAnalytics gets it software that provides game developers with audience behavioral and segmentation data that can be deployed for marketing campaigns or product development. The move mirrors Tapjoy’s (much earlier) transformation from a mobile ad network into a gaming monetization platform with its reach for South Korea’s 5Rocks two years ago. Other competitors selling a broad platform for game developers include Chartboost and Unity Technologies, a game engine developer that announced a $181m funding round earlier this week.

Mobvista is one of an expanding number of China-based businesses using M&A to grab a bigger share of the mobile app ecosystem. So far this year, Chinese companies have acquired 10 mobile assets for a total of $9.2bn – both numbers are higher than the total at the same point in any other year, according to 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase. This year’s deal value total, bolstered by Tencent’s $8.6bn acquisition of Supercell, is already double that of any other previous year. Mobile apps are a large and high-growth market in China. According to 451 Research’s Mobile Marketing and Commerce Forecast, mobile advertising revenue in China will increase 86% this year to $11.6bn and account for more than one-quarter of the global market.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.

Still early days for IoT security

Contact: Christian Renaud Brenon Daly

The Internet of Things (IoT) market is transitioning from early (over) hype to production deployments, causing problems with operational security. This has raised the visibility of an increasing number of IoT startups, ranging from legacy operational technology (OT) security vendors that have been ‘IoT washed’ to IT security providers and pure plays. In a just-published report, we profile 11 startups looking to take advantage of the growing interest in IoT security. (Collectively, these companies have received about $115m from venture investors, and we would note that they represent a small subset of all IoT security technology startups.)

In terms of exits, 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase tallies just nine security-related transactions that we believe were driven entirely, or in large part, by IoT. Spending on just those rather narrowly defined IoT security deals totaled $966m, with one pairing (Belden-Tripwire) accounting for the vast majority of the total.

The fact that security isn’t spurring more IoT acquisitions isn’t all that surprising, when viewed against how M&A has played out in other emerging tech markets. Vendors tend to focus on the opportunities – rather than the threats – that come with the new, new thing. Consider the SaaS space, which essentially changes the delivery of software. Literally, thousands of SaaS applications have been acquired in recent years, whether through consolidation or expansion into adjacent areas.

However, only a handful of transactions have gone toward securing the app, despite the fact that 451 Research surveys have shown that concerns about security are the primary obstacle for SaaS adoption, just as they are for IoT deployments. (For instance, just two of the 43 acquisitions that SaaS kingpin Salesforce has done since its founding have involved security, and both have been tiny deals.) As IoT deployments broaden and become more complex, we expect security to account for more than its current 3% of deal flow. Again, to see which startups might be figuring into upcoming deal flow, see our full report on IoT security M&A.

IoT MA as % of overall

Vonage pushes further into business communications with Nexmo buy

Contact: Mark Fontecchio

Vonage pays $230m for Nexmo, which offers enterprise voice and text messaging APIs. The deal, Vonage’s largest in 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase, pushes the VoIP provider further into the realm of unified business communications. Vonage has now spent about $600m on M&A in the past few years to pivot from a consumer-focused VoIP supplier into a business communications vendor. The gamble has paid off, with the company’s overall sales growing once again and its business revenue jumping exponentially.

Nexmo is Vonage’s biggest reach yet. Its previous nine-figure (or close to it) acquisitions – starting with Vocalocity in 2013, Telesphere Networks in 2014 and iCore Networks last year – involved business-focused VoIP providers, so Vonage stayed within its wheelhouse. With its cloud-based voice, messaging and chat APIs, Nexmo broadens Vonage’s horizons into business communications services, helping companies more easily embed voice and messaging services within their mobile apps. For that privilege, Vonage is paying a healthy multiple on Nexmo’s trailing 12-month revenue (see estimate here). The multiple is Vonage’s highest to date and one of the largest we’ve seen in mobile messaging and application development. Nexmo’s revenue is also growing at a fast 40% clip, according to Vonage.

Vonage’s overall sales grew 3% to $895m last year, but its business revenue more than doubled to $219m. Two years ago, the company had $8m in business revenue. Now its business revenue is higher than all of rival 8×8’s sales. By our math, at least three-fourths of that increase in business revenue came from its purchases of Telesphere, iCore and SimpleSignal. Meanwhile, its consumer revenue dropped 12% to $676m. Vonage’s challenge has been – and will continue to be – how quickly it can replace its disintegrating consumer revenue with business dollars, whether that be through continued M&A or more organic growth.

Vonage_copy[1]

What happened to Alphabet’s M&A bets?

Contact: Brenon Daly

As part of an effort to provide more strategic focus as well as financial transparency, Google reorganized and renamed itself Alphabet last October. In the half-year since that change, the company has lived up to the ‘alpha’ part of its new moniker, handily outperforming the Nasdaq, which is flat for the period. But when it comes to ‘bet,’ it hasn’t been placing nearly as many M&A wagers as it used to.

So far in 2016, the once-prolific buyer has announced just two acquisitions, according to 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase. That’s down substantially from the average of six purchases that Google/Alphabet has announced during the same period in each of the years over the past half-decade. (Nor do we expect this year’s totals to be bumped up by Google buying Yahoo, as has been rumored. That pairing would roughly be the sporting world’s equivalent of the Golden State Warriors nabbing the Los Angeles Lakers.)

The ‘alpha’ part of Alphabet is, of course, the Google Internet business, which includes the money-minting search engine, YouTube, Android and other digital units. This division generates virtually all of the overall company’s revenue and is the primary reason why Alphabet is the second-most-valuable tech vendor in the world, with a market cap of over a half-trillion dollars. For more on the company’s progress in dominating the digital world, tune in on Thursday for its Q1 financial report and forecast.

Google/Alphabet M&A

Period Number of announced transactions
January 1-April 18, 2016 2
January 1-April 18, 2015 6
January 1-April 18, 2014 8
January 1-April 18, 2013 4
January 1-April 18, 2012 4
January 1-April 18, 2011 8

Source: 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase

Facebook’s success in mobile media can’t be left to F8

Contact: Scott Denne

As Facebook opens its annual F8 developer conference today, it’s worth noting that while the company is clearly ascendant in mobile, it’s not dominant in digital media, where it is very much the challenger to Google. Facebook’s growth is impressive. Revenue spiked 44% to $18bn (80% of that in mobile) in 2015, a number it reported just after its 11th birthday: Google passed the $20bn mark in nine years and today is nearly quadruple that size. In the next phase of growth, where Facebook is positioning itself as a mobile media vendor, not just a social media vendor, Facebook faces a distinct set of challenges than Google was up against when it grew from its base in search to owning the Web.

Once Google sewed up the search market, it faced scant competition as it soaked up much of the digital advertising landscape and was the clear winner in the first phase of digital media. The same isn’t true of Facebook. It finds itself facing an incumbent in Google and its future lies in the outcome of a comparatively fluid media market. Now that it’s emerged as the dominant social media platform, the company is taking a subtler approach as it seeks to win the next phase of digital media. In addition to facing a strong incumbent, Facebook is saddled with higher expectations – its stock trades at 16x trailing revenue, while Google was valued between 5-6x at the same moment in its own history.

Facebook plans to own the next phase of digital media by offering measurement, metrics and distribution to enable advertisers and publishers to transition into mobile. The best indication of the difference in strategy is that while Facebook was widely expected to launch a media-buying platform along the lines of Google’s DoubleClick Bid Manager, its recent relaunch of Atlas instead focused on measurement and attribution. And most importantly, it focused on measurement of people and demographics, the lingua franca of today’s television business, not cookies and intent – the currency of display advertising. While Google made a mint dismantling the print media market, Facebook is pursuing a potentially more lucrative opportunity in capturing the shift of TV budgets to digital and hoping to do so wherever those dollars land – in-apps, in online videos, on its network or in any new format that could emerge from mobile.

Facebook’s bet is that once advertisers see that mobile works, more will shift to that medium and the company will be the largest beneficiary. It’s well positioned to do that. Nearly one billion people per month engage with the social network across multiple devices, making Facebook better positioned than anyone to link different devices into a common digital currency. The challenge in that strategy is that Facebook must not only be the dominant social network (to power its measurement capabilities), it must also remain the dominant mobile media provider – the money’s in selling the media, not the measurement.

That’s a more difficult and unpredictable path than the one it (or Google) faced in building out a browser-based business. Innovation and change is no longer limited to what can be done at a desk and on a PC. The mobile medium is still nascent. The next phase of digital media will play out across many types of devices (phones, TVs, watches and more to come), and many of those devices are part of consumers’ lives in a way that a TV set or PC never was. All of this makes the future of mobile media challenging to predict. Facebook’s need to own the unpredictable explains its wildly valued – though reasonable – purchases of Instagram, WhatsApp and Oculus VR and will be justification when the company bets on the next new media. Over the next two days, we’ll be watching to see what Facebook thinks that might be.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.

A new face for Google’s enterprise cloud

During last week’s GPC NEXT 2016 conference, it became pretty clear that Google is hoping that Diane Greene can do for the enterprise cloud what Andy Rubin did for mobility. In both cases, the search giant has set about acquiring a well-known ‘face’ to give it a credible and visible presence in a market that it cannot organically move into but – at the same time – can’t afford to miss. (See our full report on the conference, where the company bolstered its Google Cloud Platform with multi-cloud management, a machine-learning engine and more scalable containers, among other announcements.)

A decade ago, Google’s acquisition of Android Inc not only brought the company a fledgling OS for mobile phones, but also included the high-profile figure of Rubin. From those early days, Rubin served as a kind of ‘rock-star engineer’ as Android soared to become the world’s most-used mobile OS. (Rubin stepped out of his role in Google’s mobile business in 2013 and left the company altogether the following year.) More recently, Google made what could be characterized as one of the tech industry’s largest-ever ‘acq-hires’ when it paid $380m in cash and stock four months ago to snag bebop, a startup headed by VMware cofounder (and Google board member) Diane Greene.

Just as Rubin served as a senior VP at Google as part of his company being acquired, Greene is serving as a senior VP at Google as part of her company being acquired. However, where the parallel breaks down between the two executives is around timing. Google bought Rubin’s company in August 2005 – a full two years before Apple introduced its iPhone. In contrast, Google purchased Greene’s company just last November – nearly a decade after Amazon launched its Amazon Web Services and had grown it to a $10bn run-rate business. (Click here to to read more about the remarkable growth of AWS.)

That’s not to say that Google, led in its efforts by a proven executive such as Greene, can’t make inroads into the enterprise cloud arena, thereby closing the gap with AWS and second-place Microsoft Azure. After all, the company wasn’t anywhere among the earliest search engines, but it overtook every single one of them as it netted billions of dollars on its way to becoming the world’s most-popular search engine.

But there are challenges in Google’s ‘people and products’ strategy, as demonstrated by Rubin’s own experience at the company after he left the Android division. A true gadget guy, Rubin moved over to head the search giant’s grandly ambitious robotics unit when it launched in 2013. It was built on a series of acquisitions, most notably the December 2013 pickup of Boston Dynamics. However, Rubin couldn’t replicate in Replicant (the name for Google’s robotics business) the success he had with Android, and left the company in 2014. Google is now reportedly in the process of selling off and repurposing the Replicant assets.

Cloud computing as a service MarkMon

Source: 451 Research’s Market Monitor

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.

Cisco ‘sparks’ collaboration software with Synata buy

Contact: Mark Fontecchio

The race to replace email as the de facto standard for internal enterprise communications heats up as Cisco acquires Synata to power the search functionality in its Spark enterprise messaging offering. In addition to the tuck-in of Synata’s 10 employees, Cisco announced that it will invest another $150m toward supporting outside developers who are building apps around Spark. The deal marks Cisco’s fifth in the collaboration space since 2013, according to 451 Research’s M&A KnowledgeBase, and the company’s top line has benefited: its collaboration sales jumped 10% to $4.2bn in the past 12 months. The increased investment comes as a number of diverse vendors are converging on the enterprise collaboration and messaging market.

While collaboration software is convenient for instant communications, it can lead to a sea of messaging data that makes it difficult to find past conversations. Better search functionality helps providers pitch enterprise collaboration and messaging tools as a legitimate alternative to the old standby of email. Synata’s technology will help Cisco Spark do just that. In a recent survey of IT decision-makers, 80% said that instant messaging was of high importance when evaluating smartphones for their organization.

Those IT priorities are driving multiple players to push into collaboration. Microsoft recently revamped Lync as Skype for Business and purchased Talko at the end of 2015 to improve its VoIP capabilities. It’s not just legacy enterprises like Microsoft and Cisco that are drawn to this market. High-value startups such as Slack and Huddle are also making a mark here, and unified communications service supplier RingCentral and conference calling firm PGI bought into this sector last year. Even Facebook, with the recent launch of Work Chat, is eyeing this opportunity.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.

There’s not much data in these shoes

Contact: Scott Denne

All kinds of legacy brands are racing into the mobile app business. The latest example: shoemaker ASICS’s $85m reach for FitnessKeeper, maker of the RunKeeper app. The purchase is the first step in ASICS’s five-year-plan to become a direct-to-consumer business. To do so, ASICS will need a direct line of communication with and data about its customers. Shoes and apparel provide neither – RunKeeper offers both.

In the past, brands that built businesses via mass-media marketing and retail channels relied on inexact measurements to understand and reach the audience for their products. Data taken from surveys and panels was the main source of such knowledge. The rise of digital marketing ushered in a new set of metrics through which to gauge the success or failure of marketing strategies and tactics: this is finally providing legacy brands with the data and tools they need to execute on the latest metrics.

Sports and fitness companies like ASICS have been particularly aggressive in moving into mobile. Under Armour has picked up four mobile app providers since late 2013, spending more than $700m. Adidas inked a deal of its own last year by paying $241m for runtastic. Weight Watchers, Anytime Fitness and TopGolf have also bought apps related to their core businesses in the past 12 months.

Having that direct line into customers will surely be a boon for ASICS; however, a mobile app is a business unto itself and the challenges of developing and marketing an app are growing. Our conversations with app marketers indicate that the cost of downloads has risen substantially in the past year or two, while our surveys show that downloads are increasing. Therefore, ASICS and its peers will have to compete for engagement with a growing cohort of apps on each user’s phone. In our 2015 US Consumer Survey, 29% of respondents had downloaded five or more apps in the past month, up two percentage points from the same survey a year earlier.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.

BlackBerry sweetens its own turnaround

Contact: Scott Denne Chris Hazelton

BlackBerry looks to right another ship with the $425m cash acquisition of Good Technology. Brimming with confidence following the comeback from its own near-sinking, BlackBerry is taking on the mobile management software vendor, which was poised for a public offering earlier this year, yet never pulled the trigger – instead, it added another $80m in private financing to its then-dwindling cash pile.

BlackBerry is transforming itself from a device maker to a mobile security software provider for enterprises. Good is a leading mobile security vendor, but the two companies have often clashed when it comes to mobile messaging. With the future in supporting and securing mobile apps, Good is further along on this route when it comes to iOS and Android. This deal offers BlackBerry a major opportunity to catch up to and surpass the competition. Good has more than 2,000 ISV- and customer-developed apps, which now gives BlackBerry one of the largest mobile app ecosystems. There may be some overlap in customers, but BlackBerry did experience a long period of customer migration, and some of that went to Good. In effect, BlackBerry might be buying back former customers.

Good posted decent growth last year, racking up $211m in revenue for an increase of 32%. However, its losses were excruciating, at $95m for the year, and losses the previous two years were in the same neighborhood. While spending heavily on topline acceleration isn’t rare among its peers, Good didn’t have much to show for it once you take into account that one-third of that revenue came from its legacy consumer products and intellectual property licenses, two segments that were not expected to be meaningful contributors in the long term – more so today as BlackBerry was Good’s most significant licensee.

We’ll have a full report on this transaction in our next 451 Market Insight.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.