Category: mobile

Is DISH desperate for spectrum?

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

Eager to enter the cellular market, DISH Network has announced that it is interested in acquiring Clearwire for $3.30 per share, or about $4.8bn. The deal is actually a ‘take two’ for DISH, and shows the company’s desire (desperation?) to enter the wireless market. However, the market for wireless spectrum is so tight that those with such assets aren’t likely to sell them.

With mobile bandwidth consumption exploding, wireless spectrum is among the most coveted assets by wireless carriers. Over the past two years, there have been a handful of high-priced spectrum acquisitions announced by AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile and Sprint. The DISH proposal values Clearwire’s spectrum at $2.2bn.

DISH’s desperation to enter the wireless market is apparent in the fact that it previously tried to acquire some of Clearwire’s spectrum assets before Sprint announced that it would buy the remainder of Clearwire it didn’t already own. Obviously, the DISH-Clearwire deal never came to fruition, and the new transaction is likely to fail as well for the same reason.

This time around, spectrum is again at the top of the list of concerns. In responding to the offer, Clearwire issued a press release summarizing a list of Sprint’s objections. First and foremost, Sprint argues that its pending agreement with Clearwire prohibits the company from selling spectrum assets without Sprint’s consent.

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Imagination faces challenge over MIPS bid from CEVA

Contact: John Abbott

It may not be all done and dusted for the proposed acquisition of semiconductor IP company MIPS Technologies by Imagination Technologies, as MIPS has received an unsolicited better offer. CEVA, one of the oldest developers of licensable IP cores for communications, mobile handsets and multimedia, is offering $75m, compared with the $60m Imagination put on the table.

This shouldn’t affect the separate deal MIPS put in place to sell its patents for $350m to Bridge Crossing, an acquisition vehicle formed by patent consortium Allied Security Trust. What CEVA is bidding for is the operating MIPS business (with $83m in revenue and 160 employees), plus full licensing rights to the MIPS architecture, including just those patents directly related to MIPS products.

From a product portfolio perspective, CEVA is a very good fit for MIPS. Formed in November 2002 by the merger of two veteran chipmakers, DSP Group and Parthius Technologies, CEVA has focused steadily on developing and licensing digital signal-processing (DSP) cores for mobile, consumer and networking devices. Having shipped one billion CEVA-powered devices in 2011, it is one of the major suppliers of DSPs alongside much larger rivals such as Texas Instruments and Freescale. Its 200 licensees include Broadcom, Intel, Samsung, Sony, ST-Ericsson and Toshiba.

Given all that, it’s something of a shock to see that CEVA’s recently announced revenue for Q3 2012 was just $12m, down 19% compared with the same quarter last year. CEVA says the economic climate impacted licensing revenue but claims robust demand for DSPs to be used in next-generation products. It also claims to be making significant inroads into the lucrative 3-D smartphone space, with design wins from Huawei, Lenovo, Samsung and ZTE. And while CEVA may be smaller than MIPS in terms of revenue, it does have $156m of cash in the bank and no debt.

There’s little growth nowadays in sales of single-function DSP devices, although demand for DSP capabilities isn’t going away – it’s just becoming embedded in broader devices, such as system-on-chip (SoC) products. Hence the motivation behind CEVA’s bid for MIPS, which, despite a fairly late start in the SoC device sector compared with its primary rival ARM Holdings, has at least been pushing in that direction since 2006. Combining with MIPS would give CEVA a boost in its existing markets and a chance to broaden out from simple DSPs. Imagination, whose shares fell 3% on the news, may well come back with a revised offer of its own.

Ruckus debuts amid equity market uncertainty

Contact: Tejas Venkatesh

Even as the equity markets have been roiled by uncertainty and slowing corporate growth recently, Ruckus Wireless made it public on Friday. After pricing at the high end of its indicated range of $13-15, the stock edged lower in midday trading. Nevertheless, the Sequoia Capital-backed wireless provider raised $126m and debuts at a market cap of $1.1bn, valuing it at 5.7 times trailing sales. The robust value creation comes at a time when network operators are looking to Wi-Fi networks to offload data traffic that is crowding their wireless 3G and 4G/LTE networks.

With its Wi-Fi wares, Ruckus is capitalizing on concerns about how to handle the rapid expansion of traffic generated by mobile devices. High-performance wireless is clearly in high demand and Ruckus specializes in large-scale deployments that suit high-volume and high-density applications.

And Ruckus’ growth reflects that market opportunity. The 10-year-old company has more than doubled its top line in less than two years, going from $75m in calendar-year 2010 to $194m for the 12 months ended September 30. And even while ramping up sales and marketing, Ruckus has been running solidly in the black for two years. It raised $76.1m in venture funding from Sequoia Capital (which holds a 24% stake) and Motorola Mobility Ventures (5.4% stake), among others. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley were lead underwriters on the offering.

Ruckus has established itself as a distinct player in the crowded Wi-Fi market, and competes against bigger vendors like Cisco Systems, Ericsson, Hewlett-Packard, Motorola Mobility and Aruba Networks. Unlike Cisco and HP, Ruckus builds its devices using standard chipsets from Qualcomm’s Atheros and then uses its own intellectual property to more effectively manage the radios and data operations to improve performance.

The wireless startup’s successful offering comes less than a year after its archrival BelAir Networks was snapped up by Ericsson. While both companies were born at the same time in 2002, Ruckus was clearly the more successful of the two. BelAir had 120 employees at the time of its sale and Ruckus has five times that number, at 606.

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Priceline gets KAYAK for a good price

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada, Brenon Daly

For a price comparison website, KAYAK.com appears to be settling for a relatively low price in its purchase by online travel giant Priceline.com. At first glance, Priceline’s offer for KAYAK appears respectable. The $40-per-share bid is the highest KAYAK’s shares have seen in its short life on the Nasdaq. Using an enterprise value of $1.65bn, KAYAK is being valued at 5.8 times trailing revenue and about 5.6x full-year 2012 revenue.

But as we look closer, we see that KAYAK is being valued only slightly higher than Priceline’s current trading valuation, and that’s excluding any takeout premium for the acquirer. With an enterprise value of roughly $28bn, Priceline trades at about 5.5x trailing revenue and 5.3x 2012 revenue. (Priceline shares, which have tacked on roughly 15% so far this year, were unchanged on the news of its largest-ever acquisition.)

Valuation – especially for the acquirer – is a key concern in this transaction because unlike most tech deals, Priceline is covering almost three-quarters of the cost of its purchase with equity. Under terms, Priceline will hand over $1.3bn in stock and $500m in cash for KAYAK. As mentioned, paying with paper is relatively rare these days, because cash is king when it comes to M&A. In fact, according to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, Priceline’s acquisition of KAYAK is one of only 12 deals done by US public acquirers so far this year where stock has accounted for more than half the total consideration.

Despite faster growth, KAYAK’s valuation is only slightly above Priceline’s

Company EV EV/2012 projected revenue 2012/2011 revenue growth
Priceline $28.03bn* 5.3 21%
KAYAK $1.65bn 5.6 31%

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, 451 Research estimates. *Calculated as of 11/8/12.

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Is Backflip next for Nexon?

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

If the rumors are true, Japanese gaming giant Nexon will have spent nearly $1bn on gaming acquisitions in just one month. We’re hearing the company has acquired three-year-old gaming startup Backflip Studios for about $385m, and that’s not including a significant earnout. That would be on top of the $470m it dropped on fellow Japanese gaming company gloops at the start of the month.

Rumors of Nexon acquiring Backflip Studios first started circulating in September. We were recently told that Nexon is shelling out $385m, excluding a significant earnout, for Backflip. The Boulder, Colorado-based startup had grown considerably on its own. Published reports claim its revenue grew 200% in 2011, with 350% growth projected for this year. According to our sources, Backflip is set to generate roughly $40m in EBITDA this year.

The sale – provided it comes – would give a rather rich return to the entrepreneurs running Backflip, which has taken very little funding. In a lone SEC filing, Backflip disclosed it had secured just $140,000 in equity financing, but did not state who its investors were. Nexon may well provide more detail about the rumored transaction on or before its next earnings call, scheduled for November 8.

Will TeleNav be a buyer or a seller?

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

TeleNav’s revenue is expected to decline significantly in 2013, but the company is making attempts to expand into growth markets, as evidenced by its recent acquisition of local mobile advertising startup ThinkNear. With its shares continuously battered on the public market, could TeleNav spurn public scrutiny and seek a private equity buyer? Its mountain of cash could enable the company to go in either direction – buyer or seller.

TeleNav stumbled onto the Nasdaq in May 2010. After repeatedly issuing guidance below analysts’ estimates, the company’s shares are currently trading nearly one-third below their IPO price. Revenue for its fiscal 2013, which ends in June, is expected to decline 13% to $190m. The company’s revenue primarily comes from providing GPS navigation software to wireless carriers, though it also serves the automotive vertical and enterprises, and recently began targeting the local advertising market.

Although TeleNav is rarely an acquirer, its $22.5m ThinkNear pickup could be the beginning of a buying spree meant to propel growth in its local mobile advertising business. The mobile advertising market is in hyper-growth mode, and TeleNav has an audience of 34 million users accessing its services that it hasn’t yet materially targeted for advertising purposes.

Meanwhile, the debt-free company is sitting on nearly $200m of cash and short-term investments that it could use to fuel its M&A machine and inorganically grow this business segment, which represents less than 10% of its fiscal 2012 revenue.

Conversely, though, TeleNav’s treasury could attract buyout bidders. Its market value is currently about $260m, but its cash and short-term investments reduce its enterprise value to just about $60m. A lofty 30% per-share premium would give the company an enterprise value of less than half projected fiscal 2013 revenue. However, we expect that if the company is taken private, its newfound parent would continue to invest in its mobile advertising business because of that market’s growth potential. TeleNav reports fiscal 2013 first-quarter results after the bell tomorrow.

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Will SoftBank-backed Sprint look to M&A?

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada, Thejeswi Venkatesh

After churning through the rumor mill for the past half-week, official word came Monday that Japanese telco SoftBank is making a significant investment in Sprint, the third-largest mobile carrier in the US. SoftBank is acquiring 70% of Sprint in exchange for approximately $20bn, of which $12bn will be distributed to shareholders in exchange for 55% of the existing company. The remaining $8bn will be used for network expansion, primarily related to deploying 4G LTE. Beyond those efforts, the new Sprint could look to use some of its newfound cash to expand via M&A.

In announcing the deal, Sprint noted that this investment comes at a prime time. The company is continuing to execute on a multiyear turnaround. After Dan Hesse took the helm in December 2007, he spent the next three years focused on reversing Sprint’s customer attrition and improving its beleaguered brand. (Of course, some of those difficulties stemmed from its acquisition of Nextel in 2004. However, regarding customer service, those issues have largely been resolved, as the table below shows.) SoftBank’s move comes during Sprint’s investment phase, where it is now focused on building out its network and improving operational efficiency.

Now, with a stronger balance sheet, we wonder if SoftBank-backed Sprint will look to M&A for accelerated expansion. SoftBank has already shown a willingness to consolidate telecom assets in its home Japanese market. Earlier this month, it announced that it would buy Japanese wholesale broadband provider eAccess for $1.84bn. And in 2006, it picked up Vodafone K.K., the Japanese mobile unit of Vodafone Group, for about $16bn.

Although Sprint has struggled with M&A in the past, it could be spurred to move once more, as there are only a finite amount of targets left in the US and one was recently removed from reach. Earlier this month, T-Mobile announced that it was acquiring MetroPCS, which had long been rumored as a Sprint acquisition target. After MetroPCS, the next most likely candidate for Sprint to buy is Leap Wireless, which, including its cash and debt, is valued at about $3.2bn.

Wireless service provider satisfaction rating by company – ranking of customers who say they are very satisfied with their current wireless provider

Rank October 2006 September 2012
1 Verizon – 45% Verizon – 48%
2 T-Mobile – 33% Sprint – 32%
3 Cingular (now known as AT&T) – 30% T-Mobile – 28%
4 Sprint – 25% AT&T – 21%

Source: ChangeWave Research

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After failed sale, T-Mobile returns as buyer

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada, Thejeswi Venkatesh

After failing to sell its T-Mobile USA subsidiary last year to AT&T for $39bn, Deutsche Telekom has pivoted from trying to exit the T-Mobile business to pushing it even deeper into the US market. The company announced on Wednesday that T-Mobile USA has reached a merger agreement with low-cost competitor MetroPCS in an intricately structured deal.

MetroPCS’s shareholders will receive $1.5bn in cash and 26% of the combined company. While that looks straightforward at first glance, the deal is structured as a reverse acquisition.

MetroPCS will pay its shareholders $1.5bn in cash (it ended the second quarter with $2.3bn in its treasury) and halve the number of shares outstanding by performing a 1-2 reverse stock split. MetroPCS will then acquire all of T-Mobile’s stock in exchange for a 74% stake in the combined company, leaving MetroPCS’s shareholders with a 26% holding. Though MetroPCS is technically the surviving entity, it will assume the T-Mobile name and will continue to trade publicly in the US.

The combined company is projecting 2012 pro forma combined revenue of just shy of $25bn. For comparison, the US’s third-largest cellular provider, Sprint, is expected to put up about $35bn in sales this year.

A bit of irony here is that analysts expected that the previously planned AT&T-T-Mobile merger would reduce competition and increase prices. However, in announcing their merger, T-Mobile and MetroPCS repeatedly claimed that the combined company would be a ‘value-focused’ provider – a pretty way of saying that it would be a low-cost carrier.

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Buying your loyalty

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

Gannett Co announced on Thursday the acquisition of Mobestream Media, maker of the Key Ring customer loyalty application. The deal is one of only a handful of mobile rewards and loyalty purchases announced so far, but as the market matures, we expect that many startups will be acquired and tucked into larger digital marketing vendors’ portfolios.

Like its pickup of social media marketing startup BLiNQ Media last month, Gannett bought Mobestream to build out its digital marketing portfolio. Mobestream’s Key Ring app allows smartphone users to store and receive merchant loyalty card information and digital coupons. The company’s retail customers also use its platform for marketing campaigns. So far, more than five million users have downloaded the app. Horizon Partners advised Mobestream on its sale (this is Horizon’s fifth M&A deal this year, but won’t be its last).

Because the mobile loyalty sector is still so young, there have only been a few acquisitions. However, there are more than a dozen startups operating in this sector, and purchases by Gannett and Constant Contact suggest that their products are better suited as part of a larger digital marketing portfolio.

As the mobile loyalty market matures, the leading startups will likely become acquisition targets for larger tech marketing vendors and publishers such as Google, Vocus, Teradata and Advance Publications. Several startups have already secured funding to propel their growth. In May, RewardLoop announced a $1m series A round, Beintoo took $5m in its A round and Belly secured $10m in its series B. Kiip followed in July with an $11m B round.

Select mobile loyalty M&A

Date announced Acquirer Target
September 7, 2012 MasterCard Truaxis
September 6, 2012 Gannett Co Mobestream Media [dba Key Ring]
January 19, 2012 Constant Contact CardStar
December 8, 2011 Plum District Chatterfly
July 8, 2011 Google Punchd Labs
November 9, 2010 Angoss Software Hitgroup.ca (mobile solutions assets)

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

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Renewed rumors in MDM M&A, spotlight on Fiberlink

Ben Kolada

Contact; Ben Kolada

Rumors are swirling again about a possible takeover of one of the largest mobile device management (MDM) vendors. While we previously reported on speculation that AirWatch was nearing a sale to BMC, rumors this time put the spotlight on Fiberlink Communications.

Several industry sources have told us that mobile and laptop management veteran Fiberlink, better known nowadays for its MaaS360 mobile management product line, has been shopping itself. If a deal comes to fruition, it would most likely be the largest sale yet of an MDM provider.

We’re hearing varying rumors regarding the Blue Bell, Pennsylvania-based company. A couple of sources noted that Fiberlink had been shopping itself for a while, and that talks at one point fell apart, until an unknown suitor unexpectedly came back to the table. The company declined to comment on those rumors.

No word yet on who may be bidding for Fiberlink. Last year we wrote that the 21-year-old company was profitable, with revenue in the $50-100m range. Fiberlink has not taken funding since 2003, when it secured a $50m round led by Technology Crossover Ventures.

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