Mindful — and major — M&A by Mindjet

Contact: Brenon Daly

In its first major acquisition, Mindjet has handed over just less than one-third of its equity for Spigit, a social and innovation-focused front end to its collaboration platform. The deal comes as 20-year-old Mindjet continues its evolution from a Windows-based ‘brainstorming’ license software vendor to a multi-OS, subscription-based platform. That transformation – accelerated by the addition of Spigit – makes it a whole lot more likely that Mindjet will be in a position to join the ranks of public companies in a year or two.

According to our understanding, fast-growing Spigit will bump up Mindjet’s top line by about one-third. (Subscribers to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase can click here to see our specific revenue estimates for Spigit.) Importantly, all of Spigit’s revenue is subscription, which fits with Mindjet’s efforts to transition to a fully SaaS business. Mindjet basically stopped selling perpetual licenses last year and is tracking to finish 2013 with subscriptions accounting for about 70% of total revenue.

Initially backed by Warburg Pincus, Spigit got re-capped earlier this year with PICO Holdings taking a majority stake of the company. Collectively, Spigit shareholders will own 30% of the combined company, and its 100 employees will account for almost the same ratio of the combined company’s 400 employees. Arma Partners advised Spigit on the sale.

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Ringing Wall Street

Contact:Tejas Venkatesh Scott Denne

Virtual phone systems vendor RingCentral revealed its prospectus earlier this week, likely setting up an IPO for next month for the 14-year-old company. The offering comes as RingCentral continues to evolve from a hosted answering machine service to a full virtual phone systems provider. RingCentral now enables voice, text and fax communication across multiple devices, including smartphones, tablets, PCs and desk phones.

The four-year-long transition is paying off. RingCentral generated $73m in revenue in the first six months of the year, up nearly 40% from the same period last year. Advances in broadband communications have resulted in rapid growth of the number of business lines hooked up with VoIP. According to the Federal Communications Commission’s latest local telephone competition report, VoIP business lines grew 106% between the end of 2009 and last summer. Further, there’s still a lot of room for growth, as only 10% of business lines are currently VoIP-enabled.

In addition to expanding its product portfolio, RingCentral is also looking to move upmarket. The company, which counts 300,000 customers, mostly caters to businesses that have less than 10 employees. As it continues to grow, RingCentral is looking to land larger customers. That strategy makes sense because small businesses are more likely to disappear, and are more expensive to support than bigger companies with an in-house IT team.

When RingCentral hits the market, we figure it will command a premium valuation compared with rivals due to its superior growth. Its primary competitor 8×8 currently trades at roughly 6x trailing sales. But that company, which is smaller than RingCentral, only grew 19% in the first six months of the year – just half of RingCentral’s rate over the same period. As a result, we believe 7-8x trailing sales would be a good starting point for RingCentral’s valuation. Slapping that range on RingCentral, which generated $136m in sales for the year ended June 2013, would value the company at about $1bn.

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Welsh Carson cleans up cap table for IPO-bound Alert Logic

Contact: Brenon Daly

In its first major move into IT security, buyout firm Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe has acquired a majority stake in SaaS security vendor Alert Logic. The deal substantially cleans up the capital table at 11-year-old Alert Logic, which has drawn backing from six firms since its series A in 2005, including at least two shops that are designated as early-stage investors. As is typical for these late-stage growth investments by private equity (PE) firms, we would expect the next major capital event for Alert Logic to be an IPO.

Closer at hand, having a single, deep-pocketed owner should help Alert Logic take on its next opportunity for growth: international expansion. Currently only about 230, or 10%, of Alert Logic’s total customers are outside its home US market. The Houston-based company doesn’t have any direct sales outside the US.

International expansion for cloud-based companies like Alert Logic can be expensive because not only do they have to hire sales and marketing staff, they may also have to open in-country datacenters, depending on data residency laws. With $20bn in total capital, Welsh Carson can write those checks. (While Welsh Carson doesn’t currently hold any information security vendors in its portfolio, we would note that the PE firm is well-versed in the service-provider market, where Alert Logic does the majority of its business. The PE shop has put money into both Savvis and Peak 10.)

Alert Logic’s streamlined ownership also should help smooth the way for an IPO, although an offering may not come until 2015. The company finished 2012 with GAAP revenue of $30m and will likely bump that to nearly $45m in 2013. Assuming that growth rate roughly holds, Alert Logic could do $60-65m in sales in 2014. (Keep in mind, too, that Alert Logic is a subscription business, so revenue lags bookings.)

The two most-recent SaaS security providers to debut (Proofpoint and Qualys) both went public when their quarterly sales hit approximately $25m. (Proofpoint went public in April 2012, while Qualys followed suit last September. The two companies have market caps of $1bn and $600m, respectively.) However, we would note that although Alert Logic is smaller, it is growing twice as fast as Qualys and about half again as fast Proofpoint. Alert Logic has been clipping along at a 40-45% growth rate, compared with 20% at Qualys and 30% at Proofpoint.

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A solid offering from Cvent

Contact: Tejas Venkatesh

At first glance, event management software may seem like a niche business idea. But Wall Street gave Cvent a stellar reception on its first day as a public company today. The event management startup leaped onto the public markets, raising $118m. The company first priced its shares above range at $21 per share and traded up more than 60% from there. By midmorning, the stock changed hands at $34 per share, valuing the company at $1.3bn.

Cvent has put up impressive topline growth, while running solidly in the black. The startup has grown its revenue from $26m in 2008 to $84m in 2012, representing a CAGR of 35%. Cvent claims to be continuously cash-flow positive for the past eight years and estimates its total addressable market to be roughly $7bn.

In the 12 months ending March 31, the company generated $90m in sales. That means the market is valuing Cvent at 14.5x trailing sales. For comparison, we could look to Concur Technologies. The travel and expense management software vendor, which operates in a fairly compartmentalized part of the market like Cvent, currently garners a valuation of 11x trailing sales. Cvent’s premium valuation could be attributed to its higher growth clip compared with Concur, which grew 26% last year.

Cvent trades on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol CVT. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs were lead bookrunners for the IPO.

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Two strikes and counting for acquirers of Zimbra

Contact: Brenon Daly

Having already bounced around inside two tech giants before bouncing out of them altogether, Zimbra is now on its third owner in the past seven years. Telligent Systems, a relatively small VC-backed startup, has picked up the back-end email technology provider from VMware, which – in turn – had picked up the castoff business from Yahoo. Although terms weren’t released, we would guess Telligent spent a fraction of the $450m that the two previous buyers handed over for Zimbra.

With two tech giants having already whiffed on their ownership of Zimbra, however, we can’t help but wonder if Telligent’s purchase will be strike three for the once-promising company. The reason we ask is because in each of the deals, Zimbra was acquired in order to be something that it’s not.

For Yahoo, its mid-2007 purchase of Zimbra represented a way to counter Google Apps, which, at the time, was just starting to make its way into universities, small businesses and the service-provider market. Yahoo hosted hundreds of millions of unpaid consumer email accounts, but hadn’t been able to expand into businesses.

Yahoo’s efforts with Zimbra didn’t have any more success than the next owner, VMware. In early 2010, the infrastructure software giant made an ill-advised move into the application layer with Zimbra’s messaging and collaboration products. It has largely retreated from those efforts, divesting both Zimbra and SlideRocket as part of a larger corporate restructuring announced earlier this year.

And now it’s Telligent’s turn to see what it can do with Zimbra. From the outset, we would note that the stakes are much higher for Telligent than for either of the two previous acquirers. Both Yahoo and VMware, which do close to $5bn in annual sales, could absorb the financial impact of a questionable deal that didn’t work out. Privately held Telligent, which we estimate might generate $20m this year, doesn’t have that cushion. (Further, it may not have the brand equity to survive because Telligent is taking the unusual step of using the name of the acquired business for the surviving company.)

Telligent will have to stretch to blend its enterprise social networking products – hyped as real-time, collaborative and far more interactive than plain old email – with Zimbra. Simply put, the approaches come from different eras. Even a company as well-versed in software as Microsoft has recognized that and has adapted its M&A program accordingly. Although Microsoft dropped $1.2bn on social networking startup Yammer a year ago, the software giant only recently started integrating the Web 2.0 company with a select few stalwart programs such as SharePoint and Office, despite the connection between the applications.

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Adobe back in the market for marketing, drops $600m on Neolane

Contact: Brenon Daly

In its second-largest acquisition for its Marketing Cloud, Adobe Systems says it will hand over $600m in cash for marketing automation (MA) vendor Neolane. The purchase of Neolane, which is expected to close in Q3, trails only Adobe’s pickup of Omniture for $1.8bn in 2009 in terms of spending on deals to build out its Marketing Cloud. Collectively, these transactions have cost Adobe more than $3bn.

Although Adobe declined to discuss Neolane’s financials, the Paris-based startup has said it generated 2012 revenue of $58m, which would put it at roughly the same size as rivals Marketo and HubSpot. In terms of valuation, however, Neolane is a good bit off of Marketo’s market cap of some $870m.

We would chalk up the disparity in valuation to two main reasons. First, Neolane’s on-premises business is about as large as its subscription business, while Marketo is a pure SaaS company. Further, we understand that Neolane grew about 40% last year, which is a solid rate but just half the pace of the free-spending – and deeply unprofitable – Marketo. Through midyear, we would pencil out that Neolane generated roughly $70m in trailing 12-month revenue.

Adobe’s MA move comes after many other tech giants have already snapped up MA vendors, including salesforce.com paying a record $2.5bn for ExactTarget earlier this month. Other tech giants that have made significant MA acquisitions include IBM (Unica), Teradata (Aprimo), Oracle (Eloqua) and Intuit (Demandforce). Valuations for those transactions have ranged from 4.4x trailing sales to 11x trailing sales.

Select marketing automation transactions

Date announced Acquirer Target Deal value Price-to-sales valuation
June 27, 2013 Adobe Neolane $600m 8.6x*
June 4, 2013 salesforce.com ExactTarget $2.5bn 7.6x
December 20, 2012 Oracle Eloqua $956m 9.7x
April 27, 2012 Intuit Demandforce $424m 11.4x*
December 22, 2010 Teradata Aprimo $525m 6.3x
August 13, 2010 IBM Unica $523m 4.4x

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase *451 Research estimate

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Thoma Bravo hopes to unlock value from Keynote in LBO

Contact: Brenon Daly

After focusing its recent M&A activity on rounding out existing portfolio companies, buyout shop Thoma Bravo made another ‘platform play’ on Monday, offering $395m for Keynote Systems. Under terms, the private equity firm will pay $20 per share, or a total of $395m, for the 18-year-old testing and measurement vendor.

The deal, which is expected to close by September, comes at a time when Keynote is struggling to put up growth. Business across its two operating units – the core Internet measurement products as well as the newer mobile testing offerings – have both been flat so far this fiscal year. Further, the company has seen its operating and net income drop this year as some customers have recently narrowed Keynote projects or put them off.

The price Thoma Bravo is paying reflects the operating challenges at Keynote, which traded above the $20 bid for much of 2011. The dividend-paying company holds nearly $60m in cash and short-term investments. Backing out that amount from the $395m equity value for Keynote gives an enterprise value of $335m, or about 2.7 times the $125m in trailing sales the company has put up.

Keynote’s valuation of 2.7x sales is almost exactly the midpoint of Thoma Bravo’s two previous take-privates, the $195m buyout of Mediware Information Systems last September and the $1bn acquisition of Deltek in August. Since those LBOs, the buyout shop has been busy doing deals to bulk up its portfolio companies, including two follow-on acquisitions for Mediware as well as recent bolt-on deals for Blue Coat Systems, LANDesk Software and Tripwire.

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Marketing automation overshadows Web content management

Contact: Alan Pelz-Sharpe

The marketing automation industry is upending the Web content management (WCM) space. Our research tells us that pure-play WCM technology is unlikely to continue to grow as a market in any substantial way. We believe that going forward, the technology is likely to be bundled along with marketing automation platforms, rather than sold as stand-alone WCM systems. That prognosis is reflected in the pattern of M&A activity in the two sectors.

The critical fact missed by the WCM market was that the central content repository was not the be-all and end-all that it was claimed to be – certainly not for all organizations. While having marketing collateral in a single ordered, managed system is important, it is only when that content is connected to a chain of events that it results in a transaction of any value.

The last WCM acquisition of note was that of Day Software by Adobe in July 2010 for $243m. In sharp contrast, the marketing automation sector has been a hotbed of M&A and IPO activity. In the first week of June, salesforce.com announced the purchase of marketing automation provider ExactTarget for $2.5bn. A few weeks prior, rival Marketo came public in a well-received IPO and currently garners a market cap of $750m. Subscribers can click here for a full report on the WCM industry and prospects for existing players.

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A market-moving marketing move

Contact: Brenon Daly

In the largest-ever transaction in the rapidly emerging marketing automation industry, salesforce.com said on June 4 it will hand over $2.5bn in cash for ExactTarget. The deal represents a significant bet by the SaaS kingpin, which has talked about cross-channel marketing becoming a $1bn business in the coming years. Salesforce.com will nearly clean out its coffers to cover its purchase of ExactTarget, which is three times the size of salesforce.com’s second-largest deal.

Under terms, salesforce.com will hand over $33.75 for each share of ExactTarget. That represents the highest-ever price for the 13-year-old marketing automation vendor, which went public in March 2012 at $19. (J.P. Morgan Securities led ExactTarget’s IPO and advised the company on its sale. Bank of America Merrill Lynch worked the other side.) The deal is expected to close by mid-July.

At an enterprise value of $2.4bn, ExactTarget’s valuation of roughly 7.6 times trailing sales splits the difference between the two previous largest transactions in the marketing automation space. In December 2012, Oracle paid an uncharacteristically rich 9.7 times trailing sales for Eloqua, and Teradata paid 6.5 times trailing sales for Aprimo in December 2010, according to the 451 Research M&A KnowledgeBase. (For its part, rival Marketo, which salesforce.com and others were rumored to have looked at last fall, trades at nearly twice ExactTarget’s multiple.)

With the purchase of ExactTarget, the three largest deals salesforce.com has done have all been aimed at expanding the company’s marketing offering. It picked up Buddy Media in mid-2012 for $689m for its agency relationships after spending $326m on social media monitoring startup Radian6 in March 2011. But don’t look for any more deals in that space or any other from salesforce.com soon. During a call discussing the ExactTarget purchase, CEO Marc Benioff said salesforce.com will be on ‘vacation’ from M&A for the next 12-18 months.

High water in the channel

Contact: Brenon Daly

In an unexpectedly strong debut, ChannelAdvisor created nearly $400m in market value in its IPO earlier this week. The 12-year-old company, which trades on the NYSE under the ticker ECOM, priced at the high end of its range and then shot up some 30% in its first session.

At the risk of bearishly mauling this bullish debut, ChannelAdvisor appears richly priced. With some 20.5 million (undiluted) shares outstanding, investors are saying the e-commerce channel advisory vendor is worth about $380m. That’s a steep valuation for a relatively small company (2012 revenue of just $54m) that’s only growing in the low-20% range and still has a negative ‘adjusted’ EBITDA figure, not to mention a net loss.

The roughly 7x valuation that ChannelAdvisor got in its IPO also looks pricey when compared with the value that a smaller rival got in its exit earlier this year. Back in February, channel intelligence sold to Google for $125m, which we understand worked out to about 4.5x trailing sales. Channel intelligence was roughly the same vintage as ChannelAdvisor, but only about half the size of the now-public company.

Still, it’s unusual for an IPO to trade at such a sharp premium to an M&A valuation, which should, theoretically, be higher because it reflects the full life value of a company. The gulf could indicate that either Google got a steal in its deal or that Wall Street may be paying too much for ChannelAdvisor.

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