Braving the IPO market

Contact: Thejeswi Venkatesh

While the IPO pipeline is getting drier, GCT Semiconductor has taken the contrarian route, filing paperwork for its proposed $100m offering. The company, a fabless designer and supplier of 4G mobile system-on-a-chip semiconductor solutions, has seen revenue triple from 2009 to $68.64m. With the mobile industry transitioning to 4G to handle the increase in rich media content, GCT thinks it could be on the verge of seeing sustained growth.

Clearly, that growth is what GCT will be selling on Wall Street. The planned offering resembles the Sequans Communications IPO, with the business profiles and financials of the two companies lining up similarly. For instance, both firms had nearly identical revenue at the time of filing and neither had an operating profit. Sequans came to market in April at 5 times trailing sales, a valuation we suspect GCT would be delighted with, since Sequans is currently trading at 2-3x trailing sales.

Across the tech sector, vendors planning to go public have instead ended up inside companies that are already public. In June, ANSYS pulled Apache Design Solutions from its IPO track and acquired it for $335m. Similarly, SiGe Semiconductor accepted a bid from Skyworks Solutions in May. With Qualcomm, Intel and Broadcom investing heavily in 4G solutions, we wouldn’t be surprised if one of these well-funded players snared GCT.

The ball is rolling in semiconductor networking M&A

Contact: Ben Kolada, Thejeswi Venkatesh

In announcing its largest-ever deal, and paying a princely price at the same time, Broadcom is keeping the ball rolling in semiconductor networking M&A. The company’s nearly $4bn pickup of NetLogic Microsystems comes less than two months after rival Intel announced a smaller strategic play of its own, and it likely won’t be the last transaction before the buyout curtain closes.

After a dearth of big-ticket semiconductor networking acquisitions, such vendors are now becoming hot properties. Before announcing its landmark NetLogic purchase, Broadcom itself bought networking provider Teknovus in February 2010 for $123m (in an earnings call, Broadcom mentioned that Teknovus generated revenue in the single digits of millions, which implies a price-to-sales valuation far north of 10x). And in July, Intel announced that it was acquiring Fulcrum Microsystems for a price we hear was in the ballpark of $175m, or about 13x trailing sales.

Broadcom’s richly priced offer for NetLogic, which values the target at 9.2x trailing sales, likely won’t be the last deal in this sector. If you ask The Street, the next companies to get scooped up could be Cavium Networks or EZchip Technologies. Shares of both firms surged following Broadcom’s announcement. As for likely acquirers, we could point to deep-pocketed vendors Qualcomm and Marvell Technology. With $10.7bn and $2.4bn of cash in their coffers, respectively, either company could easily digest Cavium, which currently sports a market cap of roughly $1.7bn.

Microsemi opens the hostilities

Contact: Brenon Daly

In a bear-hug letter last month, Microsemi warned fellow chipmaker Zarlink Semiconductor that it was ready to ‘take all necessary actions’ to consolidate the Canadian company. On Wednesday, that came to pass: Microsemi said it would bypass Zarlink’s board, which shot down the unsolicited offer, and take its $549m all-cash bid directly to shareholders. Incidentally, the opening of this hostile offer in the semiconductor industry came on the same day that SABMiller launched its $10bn hostile bid for Australian brewer Foster’s Group.

Going hostile in deals is relatively rare, as the drawn-out procedure can be expensive and disruptive to business on both sides. Further, in the tech industry, the conventional wisdom has always been that hostile approaches would cause an exodus of employees at the target company, undermining the very reason for the acquisition. (Given our realpolitik view of the world, we’ve always been a little bit skeptical about that bromide. We just can’t help but think back a few years ago to how PeopleSoft, with its culture of hugs and Hawaiian shirts, stood up to the relentless push by Oracle.)

Whatever the theoretical concerns, Microsemi must have certainly factored them in before launching the offer. The company says it has the financing in place, and will have its bid open through September 22. (Morgan Stanley and Stifel Nicolaus Weisel are advising Microsemi, while Ottawa-based Zarlink is relying on RBC Capital Markets.) It’s hard to know exactly which way Zarlink shareholders will go on this one, but we can’t help but note that shares on the Toronto Stock Exchange have already traded through the bid since Microsemi floated its offer.

Dual track, but singular outcomes

Contact: Brenon Daly

For the third time in just two months, a tech company that had planned to go public has instead ended up inside a company that’s already public. The latest dual-track sale came Wednesday when Force10 Networks opted to accept a bid from Dell rather than see through its IPO plan. The networking gear vendor had filed its prospectus in March 2010.

The deal follows one month after would-be debutant Apache Design Solutions sold to ANSYS and two months after SiGe Semiconductor went to Skyworks Solutions. Those three transactions probably only generated about $1.2bn in liquidity, including Force10’s reported price of roughly $700m. (As a side note, we might point out that Deutsche Bank Securities was a book runner on all three proposed IPOs.)

As this trio of enterprise-focused startups finds itself snapped out of the IPO pipeline, consumer-oriented companies continue to receive a warm welcome on Wall Street. Consider this: Zillow, which went public earlier this week, now trades at about 20 times trailing revenue. In contrast, Force10, SiGe and Apache Design garnered much more modest valuations ranging roughly from 2-6x trailing revenue in their sales.

Intel buys Fulcrum to further datacenter product push

Contact: Thejeswi Venkatesh, Ben Kolada

In a move that further boosts its 10-Gigabit Ethernet push, Intel has announced that it will acquire Fulcrum Microsystems, a fabless semiconductor company that developed the fully integrated FocalPoint family of 10Gb and 40Gb Ethernet switch chips. The acquisition advances Intel’s desire to transform itself into a comprehensive datacenter provider that offers computing, storage and networking building blocks.

Terms of the deal were not disclosed, though we estimate that Fulcrum generated about $13m in revenue in the 12 months before its sale. For a comparable transaction, we could look to Broadcom’s November 2009 acquisition of Dune Networks for about 3 times trailing sales, or twice the median for all semiconductor design deals announced so far this year. However, given Fulcrum’s strategic importance to Intel, we wouldn’t be surprised if its valuation is not only higher than the median, but also surpasses Dune’s. We would also note that Intel already had an insider’s view into Fulcrum – its venture investment arm, Intel Capital, provided mezzanine financing to Fulcrum in 2010.

Connecting thousands of nodes at maximum bandwidth is the holy grail of datacenter networking. Fulcrum’s FocalPoint portfolio provides high-performance, low-latency network switches to support evolving cloud architectures and the growth of converged networks in the enterprise. Intel’s earlier foray on this front was with InfiniBand, which it supported for many years before finally being squeezed out by faster, ultra-low-latency architectures like AMD’s HyperTransport consortium on the one end and on the other end by cheaper but slightly slower 10GigE. Intel has been supportive of 10Gb architecture and this acquisition further enhances that strategy. More importantly, 10GigE makes more sense for Intel if it is looking for a common single interconnect architecture for datacenters, since all applications run on it anyway.

Flips and flops for PE shops

Contact: Brenon Daly

There are flips that fly, and flips that flop. Consider the two recent exits by private-equity (PE)-owned companies Skype Technologies and Freescale Semiconductor. One deal basically quadrupled the price of the portfolio company, while the other company is still lingering at a value of less than half its original purchase price. Granted, that ‘headline’ calculation misses some of the nuances of the holdings and their returns to the PE shops, but it’s nonetheless a solid reminder that deals need to be done with a focus on the ‘demand’ side of the exit.

For Skype’s PE ownership of Silver Lake Partners, Index Ventures and Andreessen Horowitz, the $8.5bn all-cash sale to Microsoft came less than two years after the consortium carved the VoIP provider out of eBay for just $2bn. The deal stands as the largest ever purchase by Microsoft, and the double-digit price-to-sales valuation suggests Redmond had to reach deep to take Skype off the board. Skype had filed to go public, but was also rumored to have attracted interest from Google as a possible buyer.

On the other hand, there wasn’t much demand for Freescale, which was coming public after undergoing the largest tech LBO in history. Freescale priced its recent IPO some 20% below the bottom end of its expected range. That had to be a painful concession for the PE owners of the company: Blackstone Group, Carlyle Group, Permira Funds and Texas Pacific Group. The club paid $17.6bn in mid-2006 for the semiconductor maker, loading up the company with billions in debt just as the market tanked. Freescale, which still carts around about $7.5bn in debt, has lower sales now than when it was taken private four years ago.

Taking chips off the table

Contact: Brenon Daly

A half-decade after financial buyers did their best to sweep up the semiconductor industry, it’s now the fellow corporate acquirers’ turn to continue the dealmaking. On Wednesday, Applied Materials Inc announced that it would hand over $4.9bn for Varian Semiconductor Equipment Associates. The deal between the chip equipment makers comes on the heels of two other multibillion-dollar transactions in the semiconductor sector earlier this year: Texas Instruments’ reach for analog chip maker National Semiconductor and Qualcomm’s bid to expand beyond cellular chips with its purchase of Atheros Communications.

All three of this year’s significant chip acquisitions rank among the 10 largest deals in the industry. However, all of the corporate transactions are still looking up at the buyouts done by private equity (PE) shops back when credit was cheap and easy. In fact, the total spending on the trio of landmark deals so far this year ($15bn) is less than the $17.6bn take-private of Freescale Semiconductor by a PE consortium in 2006.

Of course, bigger isn’t necessarily better. And we suspect that corporate buyers would hope to be at least a little more successful with their acquisitions than the buyout club has been with Freescale. Although Freescale is currently on file to once again be a public company, the buyout has been a tough one for its owners. Much of that difficulty stemmed from the fact that the PE shops put nearly $10bn of debt on the company. (It paid more than a half-billion dollars last year to service the debt.) Meanwhile, under its new ownership, Freescale is actually smaller than it was before the buyout.

TI-NatSemi: Large and analog

Contact: Brenon Daly

The fragmented market for makers of analog integrated circuits looks a whole less scattered now that Texas Instruments has reached for National Semiconductor. Already the largest analog vendor, TI will have some 17% of the market provided its $6.5bn all-cash offer for NatSemi closes later this year. (If it can’t close the deal, for whatever reason, TI faces a $350m reverse breakup fee, while NatSemi would have to pay a $200m termination fee.)

As it stands, the pending purchase of NatSemi would be the third-largest semiconductor deal, but the single largest by a non-financial buyer. Recall that in the pre-Credit Crisis days of 2006, buyout consortiums took Freescale Semiconductor private in a $17.6bn buyout while another private equity (PE) club carved the semiconductor business out of Royal Philips Electronics. Given the travails that the Freescale LBO has faced over the past half-decade, we suspect that PE shops won’t be looking to do any buyouts that big anytime soon.

Mentor Graphics’ ‘marginalized’ size

Contact: Brenon Daly

In knocking down Carl Icahn’s unsolicited bid, Mentor Graphics cited the regulatory difficulties that would likely accompany a combination with either of the two other large vendors of electronic design automation (EDA) software. However, the relative financial performances of the trio show the advantages of consolidation. As is true for most mature businesses, scale matters.

For the most part, the EDA industry has narrowed to three main suppliers: Mentor, Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys. Mentor and Cadence are basically the same size at slightly more than $900m in annual sales, while Synopsys is about half again as large. (It finished fiscal 2010 at $1.38bn in revenue).

Far more important than just top line, however, is the fact that Synopsys has used its size to run more efficiently – far more efficiently – than its smaller rivals, at least when measured by operating margin. (Cadence doesn’t figure into this discussion because it has posted operating losses in each of the past three years.) In Mentor’s recently closed fiscal year, it posted a 6% operating margin – its highest level in three years. That’s all well and good, but we should note that the level is just half the margin that Synopsys currently runs at.

Mentor Graphic’s looming showdown

Contact: Brenon Daly

Lost in the din surrounding Carl Icahn’s recent effort to take out Lawson Software is the fact that the activist shareholder is already much further along with his stirrings against another target, Mentor Graphics. In less than two months, the electronic design automation company is slated to hold its annual shareholder meeting – a get-together where Icahn hopes to replace several board members as a way to spur a sale of the company. It’s shaping up to be a real showdown.

Last month, Icahn floated an offer of $17 for each of the roughly 112 million shares of Mentor, giving the unsolicited bid an equity value of $1.9bn. (Icahn already owns 15% of Mentor, which is nearly four times more than all the company’s directors and executives hold collectively.) Icahn has been joined in his efforts – in practice, if not officially – by another hedge fund, Casablanca Capital, which has a 5% stake in Mentor.

Mentor has told its shareholders to stick with its current board and strategy. In the proxy filed Tuesday, the company takes a swipe at Icahn’s efforts, saying his selections to the board lack ‘the collective knowledge, skill and experience’ of the current directors. Recall that Mentor’s ‘just say no’ defense successfully stymied an unsolicited bid from rival Cadence Design Systems nearly three years ago. Cadence pulled its offer just two months after launching it, but not before blasting Mentor for refusing to even open its books to a prospective buyer. We doubt that Icahn will go away as quickly and quietly if Mentor continues to stiff-arm him