A four-bagger for VMware

Contact: Brenon Daly

If the virtualization thing doesn’t work out for VMware, the company could always spin off a hedge fund. At least that’s what we’ve been thinking as Verizon Communications’ purchase of Terremark Worldwide appears set to close very soon. When the deal does wrap, VMware will walk away with a tidy windfall from a savvy bet that the virtualization kingpin made on the hosting provider back in mid-2009.

Recall that in May 2009, VMware picked up a 5% stake in Terremark for $20m, paying just $5 for each of the four million shares. According to terms, that block of equity will be worth $76m when it comes time to cash out to Verizon, which is paying $19 for each Terremark share. A four-bagger in just a year and a half is a return that might even make John Paulson envious. The gain on VMware’s investment in Terremark even outpaces the return of its own highflying stock, which has ‘only’ tripled in that time.

The IPO pipeline just got even drier

Contact: Brenon Daly

Scratch another company off the list of potential IPO candidates for 2011. Managed security services provider (MSSP) SecureWorks got snapped up by Dell on Tuesday for what we understand was a table-clearing bid. (Subscribers can see our full report on the transaction, including our estimated price for SecureWorks.)

The trade sale comes two years after the MSSP was putting the final touches on its prospectus. That offering, which got derailed when the Credit Crisis knocked the equity markets for a loop, was set to be led by Merrill Lynch and Deutsche Bank. (Merrill Lynch, which got picked up by Bank of America later in 2008, got the print on the sale.) We understand that SecureWorks was getting ready to dust off the prospectus, update the numbers and (finally) get it on file with the SEC later this year.

Instead, Dell moved quickly to secure the deal, which will serve as the foundation for its security offering. We gather that talks only really got going after Thanksgiving, going exclusive almost immediately. And Dell had to pay up for that. Of course, Dell could consider its pickup of SecureWorks a bargain, compared to the last dual-track company it acquired. Recall that Dell paid an eye-popping $1.4bn, or 10 times trailing sales, for EqualLogic back in November 2007. The storage vendor, which had formally put in its prospectus, generated almost exactly the same amount of revenue as SecureWorks.

OpenTable booking seats at negotiating table in Europe

Contact: Brenon Daly

Often when a company takes its business to a foreign country, something gets lost in translation. EBay found that as it looked to expand its online auctions internationally, and on a smaller scale, OpenTable ran into some of that as well. Roughly two years ago, the San Francisco-based online restaurant reservation service pulled out of both Spain and France. Even now, OpenTable’s international operation contributes only about 6% of total revenue as it burns money.

So, perhaps the thinking in its recent transatlantic move is: If you can’t beat them, buy them. In its first acquisition for geographic expansion, OpenTable said last week that it will pay $55m in cash for toptable.com, a UK reservation site. (Frankly, we have been expecting a move across the ocean by OpenTable since its IPO.) OpenTable has had its offering in the UK since 2004, but the company has acknowledged that the UK is its most competitive market.

While the acquisition should help bolster its presence there, we should note that OpenTable operates in a very different way than toptable.com. OpenTable looks to replace a restaurant’s existing reservation book, which is typically a pen and some paper, with the company’s proprietary electronic reservation book. On top of that one-time installation fee, OpenTable then charges a monthly subscription fee as well as making money each time a diner sits down at a restaurant table that was booked through the service. In contrast, toptable.com – along with other services that use the ‘allocation’ model – simply moves some of the available reservations online, with reservations there then recorded in whatever system the restaurant is currently using.

One advantage that toptable.com has, according to OpenTable, is that its approach is ‘lighter’ in that it doesn’t require an upfront hardware purchase. OpenTable is considering taking toptable.com and its allocation approach back into continental Europe, where toptable.com had started to move. If that organic expansion from its inorganic acquisition doesn’t take off, look for OpenTable to buy again. Germany, where OpenTable has had operations since 2007, looks like another market where OpenTable might want to reserve a few seats at the negotiating table.

NTT makes $3.2bn IT services play

Contact: John Abbott

Japanese telecommunications giant Nippon Telegraph and Telephone (NTT) has made a surprise offer for one of its existing partners, Dimension Data Holdings, an LSE- and Johannesburg Securities Exchange-listed IT services firm with roots in South Africa. This is an unusually large acquisition for a Japanese company, worth 120 pence per share, approximately £2.12bn ($3.2bn) in cash. That’s just over a 15 times EV/EBITDA multiple and 18x the closing share price before the announcement. (NTT has plenty of cash, with about $10bn on hand).

The Dimension Data board has recommended the offer and NTT has assurances from the directors and major shareholders Venfin DD Holdings and Allan Gray covering 52% of Dimension Data’s issued shares. The deal is expected to close by the end of October.

NTT cited the cloud computing opportunity as the main motivation behind the transaction. It brings to NTT specialist managed IT infrastructure and services capabilities that can now be rolled out on a global scale. NTT has its own managed network services, datacenters, system integration and mobile services, but Dimension Data adds to the development, operations and maintenance side of IT infrastructure, including network devices and servers running in customer sites. Geographically, NTT’s main strengths are in Asia, followed by Europe and the US; Dimension Data is strongest in Africa, the Middle East and Australia. NTT rival China Mobile has been making noises recently about investments in South Africa.

Dimension Data was founded in 1983 and listed on the JSE four years later. A series of acquisitions, including that of Plessey South Africa in 1998 and the European networking business of Comparex Holdings in 1999, helped it grow to over $2bn in revenue by 2003. (The deals have continued, with eight listed in The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase since 2004). At the end of fiscal 2009, revenue hit nearly $4bn and net profit was $135m. The company has 11,500 employees and more than 6,000 clients. JPMorgan Cazenove advised on the transaction for Dimension Data and Morgan Stanley for NTT.

Vector ‘registers’ a solid exit

Contact: Brenon Daly

A half-decade after taking Register.com private, Vector Capital announced the sale of the website registration and design provider to Web.com Group for $135m. That’s a fair bit lower than the $200m the buyout shop paid for the equity of Register.com in the LBO, but a fair bit above the company’s net cost of about $90m. (Profitable and debt-free Register.com held about $55m in cash and another $55m in short-term investments when it was taken private.)

As for the return, we understand that between two dividends, a divestiture and now the sale of the business, Vector realized about 2.5 times its original $60m equity investment on Register.com. What’s interesting about the return is that Vector is making money on its holding even though Register.com actually shrank in the time it was owned by the buyout shop. Consider it a case of quality over quantity.

When it went private, Register.com was clipping along at a rate of about $25m per quarter. According to Web.com, that level has now dipped to $20m per quarter. (That may or may not be a sandbagged projection from the acquirer.) Part of the revenue decrease can be attributed to the fact that Register.com shed the corporate domain management business, which was doing just shy of $8m each quarter in business. So, on an absolute basis, the property is smaller, but on a comparable basis, the Register.com business grew on the top line.

Far more important than revenue growth is the fact that Register.com became far more profitable as a private company. (Some cuts appear pretty obvious to us: In the period before it went private, Register.com was spending about one-third of its revenue on sales and marketing.) On the conference call discussing the deal, Web.com indicated Register.com was running at a mid-to-high 20% ‘adjusted EBITDA’ margin. That’s a pretty rich level. In fact, it’s about 10 percentage points higher than Web.com’s own ‘adjusted EBITDA ‘ margins.

Sources: a take-private for Double-Take

Contact: Brenon Daly

The final bidders for Double-Take Software have narrowed to three buyout shops, and a purchase of the file-replication software vendor could be announced within the next two weeks, we have learned. The company said a month ago that an undisclosed bidder had approached it about a possible transaction.

A number of sources have pointed to Vector Capital as the unidentified suitor, adding that the firm is one of the three bidders still in the running. Although we speculated early on that Double-Take’s two main channel partners (Dell and Hewlett-Packard) might be interested, we understand now that there aren’t any strategic bidders currently at the table.

The price couldn’t immediately be learned, but we suspect there won’t be a huge premium for the company, which was trading at $9.36 on Monday afternoon. The reason? Double-Take recently trimmed its sales outlook for 2010, essentially saying it doesn’t expect to grow this year. It recently guided to about $86m in sales for 2010, about 10% lower than it had expected earlier this year. It finished the recession-wracked 2009 with revenue of $83m, down from $96m in 2008.

Even without growth, Double-Take undoubtedly holds some appeal to a private equity (PE) firm. For starters, the company is cheap. It currently sports a market capitalization of just $200m, but nearly half that amount is made of its cash and short-term investments. (The company held $89m in its treasury at the end of the first quarter.)

With an enterprise value of only $111m, Double-Take now garners just 1.3x projected sales. Another way to look at it: even with a decent premium to the company’s current valuation, a buyer could still pick up Double-Take for about 4x maintenance revenue. Small wonder that a few PE shops are still considering a Double-Take takeout.

Equinix: Datacenter dominance

Contact: Brenon Daly, Jeff Paschke, Aleetalynn Schenesky-Stronge

Wrapping up one of the largest recent deals in the datacenter market, Equinix said Monday that it has closed its $683m purchase of rival Switch and Data. (No fewer than five banks claimed a print on the transaction.) Terms call for Equinix to hand over $134m in cash and $549m in equity. Since the deal was announced in late October, shares of Equinix have added some 4% while the Nasdaq has gained 15%.

The consolidation play by Equinix creates the largest multi-tenant datacenter provider in an otherwise extremely fragmented market. Our colleagues at Tier1 Research estimate that there are more than 350 datacenter providers in North America alone. After the combination, Equinix will control 11% of the North American colocation market, up from 8.5% on its own, according to T1R. The acquisition of Switch and Data adds 16 new metropolitan areas in North America where Equinix will now offer service, including Atlanta, Toronto, Denver, Miami and Seattle.

On its own, Equinix recorded revenue of $882m last year and analysts projected that the company would hit $1bn this year. Switch and Data bumps up the vendor’s top line by about 20%. Equinix will provide further financial details of the combination during an investor presentation on Thursday.

HP buys big

Contact: Brenon Daly

Earlier this week, Hewlett-Packard closed its $3.1bn acquisition of 3Com. It was a significant shot at the company’s new rival Cisco Systems, adding additional networking and security products to HP’s ProCurve portfolio while also dramatically increasing its business in Asia (3Com generates roughly half its sales in China). The deal was announced on November 11, and closed on Monday.

What’s interesting is that HP, which was once a fairly steady dealmaker, has been out of the market since that purchase. Its rivals, however, haven’t been on the sidelines. In the five months since HP announced the 3Com buy, IBM has inked five deals, Dell has announced two transactions and Cisco has picked up one company. Of course, some of HP’s inactivity could be chalked up to its efforts to digest 3Com, which stands as the company’s fourth-largest acquisition. (On the other side, Cisco knocked out a pair of $3bn purchases in just two weeks in the month before HP reached for 3Com.)

But we understand from a couple of different sources that although HP is looking to do fewer deals, they will be larger. The shift has actually been taking place for some time at the company. In 2007, like a number of cash-rich tech giants, HP was basically knocking out a purchase each month. That pace slowed to just five deals in 2008, including the landmark acquisition of services giant EDS. Last year, HP bought just two other companies besides 3Com. It looks like the company, which is tracking to more than $120bn in sales this year, has realized that the big get bigger by buying big.

Peer 1 in hosting hookup

by Brenon Daly, Philbert Shih

In what was pretty much a straight customer acquisition play, Canadian hosting provider PEER 1 Hosting said Thursday that it has picked up Atlanta-based VIA Net.Works USA. Although terms were not disclosed, the purchase of VIA Net.Works, which had $2m in trailing revenue, is almost certainly in the low single digits of millions of dollars. With the deal, PEER 1 has acquired just under 200 dedicated and managed hosting customers, which generate about 80% of total revenue. The remaining 20% of revenue comes through a base of shared hosting customers. PEER 1 has not yet decided what to do with these customers, but it is a good bet that they will be sold. VIA Net.Works’ customer base consists of SMBs that are basically all hosted on the Windows platform, although VIA Net.Works does support Linux.

The deal continues a relatively healthy flow of transactions in the hosted/managed services market. While overall tech M&A spending last year dropped by half, both the number and value of deals in the hosted/managed services sector actually ticked up in 2009. We saw some 83 deals worth $2.1bn in 2009, up from 77 deals worth $1.6bn in 2008. The pace picked up throughout the year, with two-thirds of the transactions announced in the second half of 2009. We recently published a summary of a Tier1 Research report on M&A activity in the sector. To purchase a copy of that report, click here.

M&A activity in the hosted/managed services market

Year Deal volume Deal value
2009 83 $2.1bn
2008 77 $1.6bn
2007 84 $2.7bn
2006 88 $1.9bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

No recession for mobile advertising M&A

-Contact Thomas Rasmussen

Following Google’s purchase of AdMob in November, we predicted a resurgence in mobile advertising M&A. That’s just what has happened and, we believe, the consolidation is far from having run its course. Apple, which we understand was also vying for AdMob, acquired Quattro Wireless for an estimated $275m at the beginning of the year. At approximately $15m in estimated net revenue, the deal was about as pricey as Google’s shopping trip for its own mobile advertising startup. And just last week, Norwegian company Opera Software stepped into the market as well, acquiring AdMarvel for $8m plus a $15m earnout. We understand that San Mateo, California-based AdMarvel, which is running at an estimated $3m in annual net sales, had been looking to raise money when potential investor Opera suggested an outright acquisition instead.

These transactions underscore the fact that mobile advertising will play a decisive role in shaping the mobile communications business in the coming years. For instance, vendors can now use advertising to offset the costs of providing services (most notably, turn-by-turn directions) that were formerly covered by subscription fees. Just last week, Nokia matched Google’s move from last year by offering free turn-by-turn directions on all of its smartphones. Navigation is only the beginning for ad-based services as mobile devices get more powerful and smarter through localization and personal preferences.

While traditional startups such as Amobee will continue to see interest from players wanting a presence in the space, we believe the next company that could enjoy a high-value exit like AdMob or Quattro will come from the ranks that offer unique location-based mobile advertising such as 1020 Placecast. The San Francisco-based firm, which has raised an estimated $9m in two rounds, is a strategic partner of Nokia’s NavTeq. As such, we would not be surprised to see Nokia follow the lead of its neighbor Opera by reaching across the Atlantic to secure 1020 Placecast for itself.