Category: storage

Dell’s not-so-identical twin storage deals

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

From an investment banking perspective, both EqualLogic and 3PAR started out and finished their lives in much the same way. The two storage vendors filed to go public within a week of one another back in August 2007, and – pending the close of 3PAR’s sale – both will end up inside Dell. Yet while the final destination is the same, the two vendors’ not-so-parallel tracks to Round Rock, Texas, underscore the fact that the tech M&A market, as well as the capital markets, still have a long way to go to recover from the Credit Crisis.

Consider this: In the sale announced Monday, 3PAR garnered just half the multiple that fellow storage vendor EqualLogic got in its sale to the same buyer, at least based on one key metric. 3PAR sold for 5.6 times trailing sales, while EqualLogic went for 12x trailing sales. We would chalk up the eye-popping premium for EqualLogic mostly to the fact that Dell had to effectively outbid the public market to prevent the company from going public. More to the point, Dell had to outbid a bull market, as the Nasdaq had tacked on 20% in the year leading up to its purchase of EqualLogic in November 2007.

As any company – including 3PAR and Dell – can attest, the bull market ended abruptly and painfully just days after the EqualLogic trade sale. So now we’re left with a market where Dell can offer the highest-ever price for 3PAR shares (representing a staggering 87% premium) and still get a ‘half-off discount’ on valuation compared to its earlier billion-dollar storage deal. But then Dell knows all about discounts over that time period. The company’s market cap has been cut in half (to $25bn from $50bn) from the day it announced its EqualLogic acquisition to Monday’s announcement of the 3PAR purchase.

RainStor, the structured data retention and compression startup that recently renamed itself from Clearpace, has raised $7.5m in series B funding. The round brought in two new investors – Storm Ventures and data integration software specialist Informatica (which licenses RainStor’s technology as part of its Applimation data archive suit <!– /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:”Cambria Math”; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1107304683 0 0 159 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073750139 0 0 159 0;} @font-face {font-family:Verdana; panose-1:2 11 6 4 3 5 4 4 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:536871559 0 0 0 415 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:””; margin:0in; margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:”Times New Roman”,”serif”; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;} a:link, span.MsoHyperlink {mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; color:blue; mso-text-animation:none; text-decoration:none; text-underline:none; text-decoration:none; text-line-through:none;} a:visited, span.MsoHyperlinkFollowed {mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; color:purple; mso-themecolor:followedhyperlink; text-decoration:underline; text-underline:single;} p.bodytxt02, li.bodytxt02, div.bodytxt02 {mso-style-name:body_txt_02; mso-style-unhide:no; mso-margin-top-alt:auto; margin-right:0in; mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; margin-left:0in; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:”Times New Roman”,”serif”; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; font-size:10.0pt; mso-ansi-font-size:10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;} @page WordSection1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.WordSection1 {page:WordSection1;} –>
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by Brenon Daly

From an investment banking perspective, both EqualLogic and 3PAR started out and finished their lives in much the same way. The two storage vendors filed to go public within a week of one another back in August 2007, and – pending the close of 3PAR’s sale – both will end up inside Dell. Yet while the final destination is the same, the two vendors’ not-so-parallel tracks to Round Rock, Texas, underscore the fact that the tech M&A market, as well as the capital markets, still have a long way to go to recover from the Credit Crisis.

Consider this: In the sale announced Monday, 3PAR garnered just half the multiple that fellow storage vendor EqualLogic got in its sale to the same buyer, at least based on one key metric. 3PAR sold for 5.6 times trailing sales, while EqualLogic went for 12x trailing sales. We would chalk up the eye-popping premium for EqualLogic mostly to the fact that Dell had to effectively outbid the public market to prevent the company from going public. More to the point, Dell had to outbid a bull market, as the Nasdaq had tacked on 20% in the year leading up to its purchase of EqualLogic in November 2007.

As any company – including 3PAR and Dell – can attest, the bull market ended abruptly and painfully just days after the EqualLogic trade sale. So now we’re left with a market where Dell can offer the highest-ever price for 3PAR shares (representing a staggering 87% premium) and still get a ‘half-off discount’ on valuation compared to its earlier billion-dollar storage deal. But then Dell knows all about discounts over that time period. The company’s market cap has been cut in half (to $25bn from $50bn) from the day it announced its EqualLogic acquisition to Monday’s announcement of the 3PAR purchase. e

Storage sector M&A holding steady

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada, Henry Baltazar

In its eighth storage play, IBM announced last week that it is acquiring data compression vendor Storwize. The move, which came quickly on the heels of Dell’s purchase of data de-duplication provider Ocarina Networks, brings the number of storage deals we’ve tallied in 2010 to 19. That’s roughly on par with the volume of storage transactions in the same period last year.

Of course, deal flow in the sector last year was dominated by a bidding war over Data Domain, which sold to EMC for $2.3bn after NetApp put the data de-dupe specialist in play but then got topped. We would note that EMC – the most active acquirer in the storage industry, having picked up some 15 storage companies over the past eight years – has been out of the storage market since it bought Data Domain. However, the storage giant may figure into the industry’s most recent deal. What do we mean?

Big Blue’s purchase of Storwize appears to be a reaction to EMC’s announcement in May that it was adding compression to its midrange Clariion and Celerra platforms. (The Storwize deal was first rumored in June, just after EMC’s announcement.) Storwize is unique in the storage space because it offers real-time data compression of up to 80%. Further, my colleague Henry Baltazar claims that IBM has already been working with Storwize for about a year. Storwize’s appliances run on System x servers, which Big Blue points out should ease the integration process – and help it to match the competitive moves by rival EMC.

Symantec to talk shop — and shopping

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Although most of the attention in Symantec’s quarterly report Wednesday night will be focused on the top and bottom line, we expect the company’s recent shopping spree to also come up. The storage and security giant announced three acquisitions in its just-completed quarter – more deals than it did in all of 2009. The bill for Big Yellow’s almost unprecedented M&A activity in the quarter came in at $1.65bn. As we recently noted, Symantec on its own has accounted for one-third of the spending for all security deals so far this year.

The biggest part of Symantec’s spending will go toward covering its purchase of the identity and authentication business from VeriSign, its largest transaction in more than a half-decade. (As a reminder, VeriSign’s business was running at about $370m, generating a very healthy $100m or so in cash flow each year.) Big Yellow has yet to close that deal, which was announced in mid-May, or offer specific financial projections for that business. Look for more information on that acquisition on the call tonight.

Symantec will be reporting its fiscal first-quarter results, which covers the second calendar quarter, after the closing bell. Analysts are projecting earnings of about $0.35 per share on revenue just shy of $1.5bn. However, we would note that rivals in each part of Big Yellow’s two main businesses have come up short of Wall Street expectations in their recent quarters. Two weeks ago, storage vendor CommVault indicated that sales had softened while just this morning, security rival Websense offered a disappointing earnings outlook. Websense shares were down more than 10% in midday trading.

Preview: Will FCoE-driven networking convergence lead to M&A?

Contact: Henry Baltazar

In an upcoming 451 TDM report, we argue that momentum behind SAN and IP networking convergence could fuel M&A in the fiber channel over Ethernet (FCoE) space. It all started in August 2002, when Cisco Systems paid $750m for Andiamo Systems. Reinforcing that acquisition, the vendor acted again four years later, buying Nuova Systems – the company that was largely responsible for developing the FCoE protocol – for $50m. Not to be outdone, primary players in the FCoE market responded. Brocade shelled out $2.6bn for Foundry Networks in July 2008, and Emulex picked up ServerEngines for $159m last month.

Brocade is currently the FCoE market share leader, holding an estimated 70.1% of the market at the start of 2010, compared to 66.8% at the beginning of 2009. However, the tide appears to be turning in the SAN switch space. According to Cisco’s latest third-quarter fiscal year 2010 earnings report (for the period ending May 1, 2010), its SAN business (switches and directors) grew 100% to $140m from $70m a year ago. The vendor’s Nexus product line has seen particularly stellar growth. Cisco’s top-of-rack Nexus 5000 has seen its sales grow 425% year-over-year and is at a current run rate of $250m per year. Further, Cisco’s Nexus 7000 core switch, which typically aggregates network traffic from rack-mounted switches, has also exhibited rapid growth to the tune of 281%.

The emergence of pre-integrated stacks of consolidated server, networking and storage hardware could spur other major players to make moves as well. Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Oracle and Dell can now infuse new technologies and management tools into their offerings. As such, firms such as Akorri, Virtual Instruments and Aptare that can locate storage bottlenecks within SAN environments could become potential targets for these larger companies. There have already been a handful of storage management transactions over the last few years, including NetApp’s purchase of Onaro in January 2008, EMC’s takeout of WysDM Software in April 2008 and SolarWinds’ pickup of Tek-Tools in January.

Emulex goes from defense to offense

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

This time a year ago, Emulex was stiff-arming an unwelcome suitor. Now, it is warmly embracing another company. Emulex said Monday that it will acquire ServerEngines for $159m in cash and stock.

It will hand over about $78m in cash and eight million shares, which were valued at $81m based on Emulex’s closing price ahead of the announcement. The deal, which is expected to close in July, also has a possible earnout of four million shares that would be paid over the next two years. (While the terms are fairly straightforward, it does have one surprising agreement: a $10m breakup fee, representing a fairly steep 6% of the deal value.)

Emulex’s purchase of its partner comes a year after the vendor fended off an unsolicited bid from larger rival Broadcom. The fight between the two Southern California companies turned particularly nasty during the two-and-half-month process, which ended last July after Emulex’s board shot down Broadcom’s offer for a second time. (For the record, shares of Emulex trade at roughly the level of Broadcom’s first offer but 14% below its topping bid.) The two companies are still battling it out in the courtroom over alleged patent infringement.

As a final thought, we would note that Emulex’s contentious relationship with Broadcom is probably not an unknown feeling at the firm that it just acquired, ServerEngines. A decade ago, the CEO of SeverEngines, Raju Vegesna, sold his previous company ServerWorks to Broadcom for $1.8bn. He left two years later after a fallout with Broadcom leadership over the strategic direction of the business.

Thoma Bravo doubles down on Double-Take

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Just a week after we noted that the bidding for Double-Take Software had hit the final stretch, with a trio of buyout shops still in the running, one of the private equity firms announced plans Monday to pick up the file-replication software vendor. Thoma Bravo, through its Vision Solutions portfolio company, will pay $242m for Double-Take in a take-private that’s expected to close in the third quarter. Assuming it goes through, the deal will end Double-Take’s three and a half years as a public company.

Frankly, Double-Take’s run as a public company was one that we didn’t really understand. It never cracked $100m in sales, and has basically been trapped at the same revenue level it hit in 2007. In that year, the vendor recorded sales of $83m. Although sales jumped 16% to $96m in 2008, they ticked back down to $83m in 2009 and Double-Take recently guided to expect about $86m in revenue this year. And the small company was competing against the replication offerings from some of the largest storage providers on the planet: EMC with RepliStor, Symantec with Replication Exec and the replication products CA Inc obtained in its XOsoft purchase.

Perhaps it’s not surprising, then, that the $10.50-per-share bid is actually slightly below the price Double-Take fetched when it came public. In its December 2006 IPO, Double-Take priced its shares at $11 each. And although the stock did trade at twice that price in late 2007, it has been below the IPO price since September 2008. In its time as a public company, Double-Take basically matched the performance of the Nasdaq.

At an equity value of $242m, the actual cost of Double-Take is much lower. The profitable, debt-free vendor held $89m in its treasury at the end of the first quarter, meaning Thoma Bravo/Vision Solutions will only have to hand over $153m in cash. That’s just 1.8 times this year’s projected revenue, and about 4 times maintenance revenue.

Where might Symantec shop?

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

After its double-header encryption deals last week, Symantec appears set to return to M&A. Like a number of tech giants, Big Yellow largely shunned dealmaking last year. But the drop-off was particularly notable at Symantec: It spent more than $1bn on acquisitions in both 2007 and 2008, but less than $100m in 2009. We would hasten to add that in the fiscal year that just ended on April 2, Symantec generated $1.7bn in cash flow from operations. That brought its cash stash to more than $3bn.

As to where the company might be shopping, my colleague Paul Roberts in our Enterprise Security Program outlines five areas that make sense for Symantec to buy its way into – as well as who might be of interest in those markets. In a new report, Roberts looks for M&A activity from Symantec in the following areas: threat detection and reputation monitoring, SIEM and vulnerability management, enterprise rights management, database security and endpoint control. All of those areas are a long way from Symantec’s original market of antivirus software.

A final thought on Big Yellow and its possible shopping is that the company actually enjoys a fair amount of goodwill on Wall Street right now. Symantec’s fiscal fourth quarter, which it reported Wednesday, was surprisingly strong for many investors, particularly after rival McAfee had a less-than-stellar first quarter. In fact, on many trading screens Symantec was the only green stock Thursday on an otherwise blood-red day. Symantec shares closed up less than 2%, but that was on a day that saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummet almost 1,000 points, or 9%, in afternoon trading.

A Double-Take takeout?

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Never mind the business, somebody has their eye on Double-Take Software. The file-replication software vendor said Monday that it came up short in its first-quarter performance, continuing the struggles that it saw throughout 2009. Last year, maintenance revenue flat-lined, while license sales dropped by one-quarter. And although the first quarter is starting off a bit underwhelming, Double-Take is still projecting that it will grow this year. However, even if the company hits the high end of its estimate of $95m, sales for 2010 will still fall just short of 2008’s level of $96m.

Apparently, that lackluster performance hasn’t dimmed the company’s appeal. As Double-Take was announcing its Q1 miss, it also said – in an ‘Oh, by the way…’ manner – that it had received an ‘unsolicited, non-binding’ expression of interest from an unnamed suitor. No terms were revealed so it’s hard to know, specifically, what’s on offer to Double-Take shareholders. The company says only that the bid is ‘above recent trading prices.’ Does ‘recent’ mean a bit under $9, where shares have been since early February? Or does ‘recent’ also include the period in January when shares changed hands above $10, before the company warned (for the first time) that the quarter was coming in a bit light? On the report, Double-Take stock jumped 15% to $10.05 in Monday afternoon trading.

As to who might have floated the bid, it strikes us that this looks like a private equity (PE) play. If a strategic buyer wanted Double-Take, we don’t see it approaching the company in such a fast-and-loose way. Besides, there are basically only two companies that would make obvious bidders: Dell and Hewlett-Packard. The two tech giants are Double-Take’s main channel partners, with Dell accounting for a full 17% of the company’s revenue on its own. Also, both vendors could presumably benefit from Double-Take’s large customer base of SMBs, which numbers more than 22,000. Of course, an auction could draw out any interested strategic player, so the potential bidders aren’t necessarily limited to HP and Dell.

But as we say, we think this offer came from a buyout shop. And we can certainly understand Double-Take’s attractiveness to a financial buyer. In short, it’s cheap. Even with the stock’s pop on Monday, the company still only garners a market cap of about $220m. And the net cost is even cheaper, because the debt-free, profitable vendor carries almost $100m in cash on its balance sheet. At an enterprise value of just $120m, Double-Take is valued at less than three times its maintenance stream. That’s a valuation that any number of PE firms probably figure they could make money on.

SGI: buying low and heading higher

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

For any company looking to be acquired by Silicon Graphics, we have this rather unorthodox suggestion for how to position the business: declare bankruptcy. We’re kidding – but only a bit. In just the past 10 months, SGI has picked up two companies in wind-down sales. Last April, server vendor Rackable Systems bought the assets of SGI in a bankruptcy sale.

When the deal closed the following month, Rackable took on the SGI name. However, since then, the company has fashioned a new and improved performance, at least in the view of Wall Street. Shares of SGI – a vendor that had gone Chapter 11 twice under its previous incarnation – are up almost 140% since the combination of Rackable and SGI closed in May. That’s more than four times the return that the Nasdaq has posted during the same period.

On a smaller scale, SGI was back bottom-feeding again last week. The company purchased assets from COPAN Systems for just $2m. As my colleague Simon Robinson pointed out in his report on the deal, COPAN had struggled to get businesses to buy into its vision of massively consolidated storage arrays for data-archiving purposes. The startup, however, didn’t have the same difficulty in getting VCs to buy into it. COPAN had raised around $110m in backing since opening its doors in 2002.

Blue-light special on Brocade

Brenon Daly

by Brenon Daly

For all of the would-be suitors of Brocade Communications, now is seemingly the time to move on the enterprise networking vendor. The value of the company has been trimmed by about one-quarter this week, meaning that a buyer paying a typical premium would be getting Brocade for the price that it fetched on its own last week. (We understand that valuations aren’t quite that simple – and it probably shortchanges Brocade – but it’s directionally accurate.) The recent problems at Brocade stem largely from the Foundry Networks business that it acquired a little more than a year ago.

With investors lopping off the gains that Brocade had run up over the past 10 months, the company has clearly been marked down. Yet, on the other side of any theoretical deal for Brocade, the demand has probably dipped since M&A speculation was swirling around Brocade last October. The reason? One company that had been mentioned as a possible buyer for Brocade is probably now out of the market.

Hewlett-Packard made a major networking move of its own shortly after most people put it at the top of the list of potential suitors for Brocade. Last November, HP handed over some $3.1bn for 3Com, which means that it doesn’t need Brocade (or more specifically, Foundry) quite as much. Of course, IBM is still a big OEM partner for Brocade, as is Dell. Both of those vendors could still be interested in a major networking acquisition, particularly at a discounted price. Brocade currently sports an enterprise value of $3.1bn.