Category: storage

Bigger isn’t always better at Dell

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Bigger is better, right? That is often the rationale used by tech heavyweights who write multibillion-dollar checks in their quest for ‘scale.’ Not so with Dell in its recent M&A activity. In each of the company’s acquisitions so far this year, Dell passed over large, publicly traded vendors that the company knew well in favor of much smaller (and much less pricey) rivals.

To add to its security portfolio, for instance, Dell on Tuesday reached for unified threat management (UTM) provider SonicWALL. While the acquisition brings a significant UTM business to Dell, the $260m in trailing revenue is much smaller than the $440m or so UTM giant Fortinet produced last year. But then, Dell only had to pay a reported 4.5 times trailing sales, compared with Fortinet’s current market valuation of 10x trailing sales. (In a rumor that turned out to be half right, we indicated last week that Dell might be looking to pick up Fortinet, in what would have been the second-most-expensive information security acquisition.)

Dell’s security purchase comes less than a month after the company used M&A to fill a long-standing blank spot in its storage portfolio: backup and recovery. In that transaction, too, Dell opted for a startup (AppAssure Software) rather than the major-league player in the market (CommVault). That decision was even more notable because Dell was CommVault’s largest OEM partner, accounting for some 20% of that company’s total revenue. CommVault shares currently change hands near their all-time highs, giving the vendor a market cap of $2.2bn. Dell didn’t release the price it paid for startup AppAssure, but it was likely one-tenth that amount.

We might contrast Dell’s shopping trips with fellow tech giant Hewlett-Packard. For example, when HP wanted to add a SIEM product to its portfolio in 2010, it passed on any number of small SIEM providers as it settled on kingpin ArcSight, which was running at about $200m in sales – or nearly four times the revenue of any of the smaller firms. Similarly, it paid a double-digit valuation last summer for Autonomy Corp. The purchase of Autonomy, which was the largest software deal in seven years, brought nearly $1bn of revenue from the enterprise content management vendor.

Of course, those two behemoths – and their respective M&A styles – did bump up against each other in the tussle over storage giant 3PAR in 2010. Recall that Dell planned to take home the company before HP jumped the bid. A public bidding war followed. After several rounds of back-and-forth bidding, Dell dropped out, leaving HP as the buyer for 3PAR. In the end, HP paid nearly twice as much as for 3PAR as Dell had planned to pay – the deal printed at $33 for each 3PAR share, compared with Dell’s opening offer of $18 per share.

Dell uses M&A (again) to go it alone in storage

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Dell’s reach for AppAssure Software continues the tech giant’s trend of using M&A to reduce its reliance on outside vendors for its $2bn storage business. Most notably, the purchase of Compellent two years ago – following its unsuccessful effort to land 3PAR – reduced Dell’s long-standing partnership with storage powerhouse EMC. In a similar vein, Dell’s acquisition Friday morning of AppAssure is likely to trim its business with data-protection specialist CommVault. (Dell is CommVault’s largest OEM partner, accounting for roughly 20% of that company’s total revenue.)

Terms weren’t revealed but we would expect that Dell paid more than $100m for AppAssure. (Whatever the amount, the deal almost certainly represents a sterling return for Bain Capital, which is AppAssure’s sole backer, having put just $6m into the five-year-old startup.) According to our understanding, AppAssure generated about $20m in 2011, triple the level from the previous year.

For comparison, CommVault stock currently trades near its all-time high. CommVault’s steady run has put the company’s valuation at an eye-popping $2.3bn, or nearly 6 times the expected $400m in revenue for its current fiscal year, which wraps up next month. Word of Dell’s purchase of rival AppAssure put some pressure on CommVault’s high-flying shares. On an otherwise bull-market day on Wall Street, CommVault stock dipped 4% on trading that was more than twice as heavy as average by early Friday afternoon. We’ll have a full report on this deal in tonight’s Daily 451.

HP takes itself out of the market

Brenon Daly1 Comment

Contact: Brenon Daly

Over its two previous fiscal years, Hewlett-Packard has spent more than $20bn on a dozen acquisitions, with five of them costing the tech giant more than $1bn each. Those days are over, according to recently named CEO Meg Whitman. In her first conference call discussing quarterly financial results on Monday, Whitman told investors not to expect any ‘major M&A’ in the current fiscal year, which runs through the end of next October. That means HP will look to ink deals valued mostly at less than $500m, she added later in the call.

That conservative M&A plan comes as HP enters what Whitman described as a ‘reset and rebuilding year.’ Both revenue and earnings are projected to slide in the current fiscal year, but HP didn’t offer specifics on the decline. The company scrapped its revenue forecast altogether, while saying only that it expected to earn ‘at least’ $4 in non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS), compared to $4.88 in non-GAAP EPS in the just-completed fiscal year. With roughly two billion shares outstanding, that indicates HP will likely net at least $1bn less this year than last year. No wonder HP isn’t in the mood to go shopping these days.

Symantec gets the better end of a ‘win-win’ deal

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

When a marriage dissolves, it’s typically a messy process with bitter recriminations and resentments over how to divide the results of lives pooled together. Not so with Symantec’s step out of its three-and-a-half-year-old joint venture (JV) with Huawei. Selling its 49% stake in the storage and security appliance JV to its Chinese partner for $530m brings both companies a number of advantages. And while we might be tempted to label it one of those mythical win-win transactions, a closer look at the deal shows that Big Yellow gets more of the ‘win’ than Huawei, at least in our view.

From a purely financial standpoint, Symantec exits the JV having more than tripled the valuation of the entity. As CFO James Beer noted on a call discussing the sale, Symantec is realizing an annualized internal rate of return (IRR) of 31%. (We might add that performance came in the face of the worst global economic slowdown since the Great Depression, and is roughly three times the return of the Nasdaq over the same period. The IRR is undoubtedly higher than the numbers put up by many of the late-stage investors and buyout shops over that time.)

Additionally, the terms don’t limit Symantec from expanding its business in China, either in terms of distribution or even in new agreements with other hardware providers. Meanwhile, Huawei will be paying Symantec OEM royalties from its contributions to products for the next seven years. (No amount was given for those payments.) That’s not a bad deal at all for Symantec, which was advised by Citigroup Global Markets while Morgan Stanley banked Huawei.

In a flash, Fusion-IO plans secondary

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Just eight months after first filing its IPO paperwork and a scant five months after debuting on the NYSE, Fusion-io has already indicated that there will be a lot more of its shares hitting the market in the coming days. The flash memory specialist plans to sell $100m worth of stock in a secondary, with insiders slated to sell another $250m. In its June IPO, Fusion-io raised more than $200m, selling over 10 million shares. In that offering, insiders sold only 1.5 million shares.

Even though other companies often get slammed for insiders ‘running for the exits’ when selling such a large slug of equity so quickly after the offering, Fusion-io stock barely moved when it announced the secondary. If nothing else, that was consistent with the vendor’s overall stunning aftermarket performance. It priced at $19, first traded in the low $20s and was flirting around $36 on Monday afternoon. And although the stock is highly volatile, with some 10% intra-day swings, it only dipped briefly below its offer price in late September. Overall, any investor who bought on the opening day in June is up about 50%, compared to a flat performance during that period on the Nasdaq.

In that way, Fusion-io is rather unique among the other enterprise technology firms that have gone public so far this year. Cornerstone OnDemand, which went public in March, hit the market at about $19. While Cornerstone held that level for its first four months as a public company, it has been underwater for the last four months. It is down about 25% while the Nasdaq has flatlined. Even more dramatically, Responsys has sunk to just half the level it first traded back in April. Although Responsys had been slipping steadily since early September, the online marketing vendor got buried last week when it warned – in just its third report to Wall Street – that sales in the final months of 2011 would increase only about one-third the rate that revenue had been growing.

CommVault going it alone

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Even though many of the storage companies that went public over the past half-decade have subsequently been erased from the market through M&A, don’t look for CommVault to join that list. At least that’s the official word from the top of the company. CEO Robert Hammer said during his presentation at ThinkEquity’s Annual Growth Conference last week that the odds of his company getting acquired are ‘diminimous.’

CommVault is often mentioned as a takeover target, with Dell generally being viewed as the most likely buyer. Dell is CommVault’s largest OEM partner, accounting for a bit more than 20% of the company’s overall revenue. Dell has already purchased a half-dozen storage vendors, including EqualLogic and, most recently, Compellent Technologies. And now that Dell has punted its relationship with EMC, building up its own storage portfolio is a key mandate. (As one of the largest stand-alone backup software providers, CommVault competes primarily with Symantec, but also bumps up against EMC and IBM, among others.)

CEO Hammer says that rather than join the M&A parade, he’s planning to build CommVault into an independent company with sales of $1bn and an operating margin of 25%. That implies CommVault tripling revenue and more than doubling the operating margin. (One of the main reasons why CommVault runs at a relatively low 11% operating margin is because it spends more than half of its revenue on sales and marketing.) Hammer declined to set a timeframe for when the 11-year-old firm would hit those targets.

Fusion-io’s ‘flash-y’ and jumpy M&A currency

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

In the same breath that it announced quarterly results for the first time, Fusion-io also announced its first-ever acquisition. The flash storage specialist reached for IO Turbine, a caching software startup that had only emerged from stealth mode earlier this summer. Our storage analyst, Henry Baltazar, points out that although IO Turbine was only just getting started, its software had been bundled with Fusion-io’s PCIe flash cards. Fusion-io says the pairing boosts performance, and should open up new markets in virtualized environments.

Fusion-io will use both cash and stock to cover the $95m price of its inaugural purchase. The exact makeup of the consideration wasn’t released, but it’s basically one-third cash and two-thirds equity. That breakdown is noteworthy, given that Fusion-io – with some $220m in cash, thanks to its IPO two months ago – could have easily just used greenbacks to pay for IO Turbine.

Instead, the startup felt comfortable enough to take the majority of its payment in Fusion-io shares, which have been noticeably volatile since their June debut. Consider this: During last Thursday’s rough ride for the overall market, Fusion-io was particularly jumpy ahead of its earnings announcement. Shares opened at $28 each, dropped as much as 14% in the first hour of trading, actually popped above the opening trading price at midway through the session, and then slid almost uninterruptedly to close at the low of the day.

Granted, the trading last Thursday for individual equities was overshadowed by the historic 500-point drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average that day. But we would note that the Dow was in the red from the opening bell, while Fusion-io actually rallied into the green at one point before sliding. Given those sorts of swings, it might not be a bad idea for the new holders of Fusion-io shares to look into a hedging plan for their holdings.

What happened to the storage sector’s Class of 2007?

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Back in mid-2007, BlueArc was one of a quartet of storage vendors that put in their paperwork to go public during those go-go days on the stock market. However, if the NAS systems specialist, which recently re-filed its prospectus, does manage to see through its offering on this go-round, it will find itself very much alone. All three of BlueArc’s would-be fellow public storage contemporaries have been consumed by larger tech companies. The total bill for those three transactions: $4.8bn.

Dell would have had a hat trick for the Class of 2007 storage firms, if not for Hewlett-Packard. As it was, the Round Rock, Texas-based vendor took home EqualLogic in November 2007 before that company could even go public and then erased Compellent Technologies from the NYSE last December. Of course, Dell was lead bidder for 3PAR last summer, too, before losing out to HP. (And those deals are just for the big storage providers that filed their S1s in 2007. If we move back a year to 2006, another two vendors – Double-Take Software and Isilon Systems – that debuted that year were both gobbled up in 2010.)

With all this consolidation, where does that leave BlueArc? As we penciled out in our report on its planned IPO, the company is almost certain to be worth less when it does hit the market than it would have been worth before the Great Recession. Somewhat perversely, that’s true even though BlueArc will be twice the size that it was when it put in its prospectus in 2007.

If the company finds that prospect too demoralizing, it could always follow its fellow filers and opt for a trade sale. We would have put forward Oracle as a possible buyer of BlueArc, in a kind of ‘discount’ play for NetApp. But that seems even less likely since Oracle rolled in Pillar Data Systems on Wednesday morning. So, it looks like either HDS decides that it wants to own its OEM partner outright or BlueArc (finally) hits the market.

Is anyone going to play Violin?

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly, Henry Baltazar

As Fusion-io continues to bask in the glow of its newly created billion-dollar valuation, Wall Street is already looking for the next solid-state storage specialist. Conveniently enough, Violin Memory popped up earlier this week, announcing a $40m round at a $440m valuation. (It’s pure coincidence, certainly, that Violin – headed by the same guy who used to head Fusion-io – picked the same week as Fusion-io’s debut to trumpet not only the new investment but also the valuation it fetched. Just a fluke of the calendar, of course.)

Whatever the motivation for landing two rounds of funding in just four months, Violin also talked about topping $100m in sales this year, which would certainly put it on track for an IPO of its own. Provided, that is, the company intends to go public. If it should opt to head for the other exit and sell, we suspect that the most interested bidder in Violin may well be Hewlett-Packard.

The two companies have been publishing benchmark results from a combined offering, and HP undoubtedly could use the technology boost to more effectively compete with Oracle, which has been punching HP every chance it gets. (Oracle’s none-too-subtle ‘cash for clunkers’ ad campaign around HP servers comes to mind.) Another possible suitor for Violin would be Juniper Networks, which has already invested in the startup.

Apple drops interest in Dropbox for iCloud

Brenon Daly

by Brenon Daly

Earlier this year, rumors were flying that Apple was putting together a bid – valued at more than $500m – for cloud storage startup Dropbox. That speculation obviously didn’t go anywhere, but it looked a whole lot more credible in light of Monday’s introduction of Apple’s online storage and synching offering, iCloud. The service, which will be free for up to 5GB, will be available in the fall.

On the face of it, Apple’s new service looks mostly like a convenient and efficient way to move iTunes into the cloud. Viewed in that rather limited way, iCloud appears to compete most directly with Google and Amazon, which have both launched online music storage offerings in recent weeks. But as is the case with most of what Apple does, there’s much more going on.

In addition to automatically storing and synching media files such as music, photos and movies, iCloud will keep up-to-date documents as well as presentation and other files. In other words, the uses for iCloud are pretty much exactly the same reasons why some 25 million people also use Dropbox. Is this yet another case of a Silicon Valley giant initially looking to buy but then opting instead to build?