Category: technology stocks

IntraLinks limps onto the market

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

It turns out that the third time is not the charm for IntraLinks, at least not in terms of its initial valuation as a public company. IntraLinks cut the price for the 11 million shares it is selling to $13 each, down from the $14-16 range it had set. That means the company is raising $143m, some $22m less than it would have if it priced at the midpoint of its initial range. That’s a key consideration because unprofitable IntraLinks was counting on the IPO proceeds to help it pay down debt.

But at least it did manage to get public, unlike the times it filed back in 2000 and 2005. We recently noted how much more grown up IntraLinks looks now compared to its earlier S-1s. One kicker: when it originally filed in 2000, the company ran at negative gross margins compared to the fairly respectable 65% it notched in 2009. Although IntraLinks still isn’t printing black numbers, it’s come a long way from 2000, when it lost five times more money than it even brought in as revenue.

The weaker-than-expected pricing continues a trend that we’ve seen in most tech offerings so far this year: Motricity, Broadsoft, TeleNav, Convio and others have all priced below their range – and all of them are trading lower in the aftermarket. (The one exception to this weakness is QlikTech. The offering, which we indicated would be a hot one, priced above its range at $10, and is now trading at $15.) For its part, IntraLinks first traded at $13 and basically stuck around that level in its debut.

Shopping hard in the City of Light

Brenon Daly

Contact:  Brenon Daly

On its visit to Paris, Francisco Partners brought home more than just a miniature souvenir Eiffel Tower. In the past week, the buyout shop has announced not one but two $100m deals struck in the French capital. Francisco’s unusual double dip comes at a time when the dollar, which had been at multiyear highs against the euro earlier in 2010, has slumped in recent weeks. (We recently looked at the trade winds blowing across the Atlantic.)

For Francisco, the transactions would help restock its European holdings. The buyout shop sold Swiss chip company Numonyx to Micron Technology for $1.3bn in May. In its first deal, Francisco put forward a $100m offer for the Grass Valley Broadcast business, which is being divested by Paris-based Technicolor. (The actual Grass Valley Broadcast business operates in central California, an ocean away from The City of Light.) In probably the more interesting move, Francisco picked up a majority stake in on-demand email marketing company Emailvision. The purchase gave Emailvision, which was advised by Pacific Crest Securities, a fully diluted equity value of about $109m.

Symantec to talk shop — and shopping

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Although most of the attention in Symantec’s quarterly report Wednesday night will be focused on the top and bottom line, we expect the company’s recent shopping spree to also come up. The storage and security giant announced three acquisitions in its just-completed quarter – more deals than it did in all of 2009. The bill for Big Yellow’s almost unprecedented M&A activity in the quarter came in at $1.65bn. As we recently noted, Symantec on its own has accounted for one-third of the spending for all security deals so far this year.

The biggest part of Symantec’s spending will go toward covering its purchase of the identity and authentication business from VeriSign, its largest transaction in more than a half-decade. (As a reminder, VeriSign’s business was running at about $370m, generating a very healthy $100m or so in cash flow each year.) Big Yellow has yet to close that deal, which was announced in mid-May, or offer specific financial projections for that business. Look for more information on that acquisition on the call tonight.

Symantec will be reporting its fiscal first-quarter results, which covers the second calendar quarter, after the closing bell. Analysts are projecting earnings of about $0.35 per share on revenue just shy of $1.5bn. However, we would note that rivals in each part of Big Yellow’s two main businesses have come up short of Wall Street expectations in their recent quarters. Two weeks ago, storage vendor CommVault indicated that sales had softened while just this morning, security rival Websense offered a disappointing earnings outlook. Websense shares were down more than 10% in midday trading.

SonicWALL’s big-ticket buyout

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

The recently closed leveraged buyout (LBO) of SonicWALL represents the largest straight take-private of a technology company so far this year. Thoma Bravo announced the deal, which has an equity value of $717m, back in early June and shareholders gave the LBO their blessing on Friday. The bid of $11.50 for each share stood as the highest price for SonicWALL shares since 2002. The close came only after an unidentified bidder – which some observers suspect may have been the ever-aggressive Barracuda Networks – stepped out of the process.

While other private equity (PE) shops have handed over bigger checks so far this year than the one Thoma Bravo is writing for SonicWALL, the buyout of the unified threat management vendor is the most money that a single firm has spent to take a public company off the market in 2010. Other large deals have involved either carve-outs (IDC, for instance, was majority owned by Pearson), secondary transactions (Hellman & Friedman’s flip of Vertafore to TPG Capital) or club deals (the consortium buyout of SkillSoft, as well as IDC).

The big-ticket buyouts of SonicWALL and other companies have helped push PE activity so far this year to essentially where it was in 2008. PE spending in the first two quarters of 2010 hit $14bn, just a shade under the $16bn we tallied in 2008 but a dramatic rebound over the paltry $2bn we saw in the first half of last year. The seven-fold increase in spending by buyout shops so far in 2010 has vastly outpaced the broad M&A market, which is basically running at twice the spending of the same time in recession-wracked 2009. See our full report on first-half tech M&A activity.

A post-IPO shopping list for QlikTech

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly, Krishna Roy

Bucking the trend of trimmed prices and broken issues for tech IPOs, QlikTech debuted on the market Friday with a strong offering. The analytics vendor sold 11.2 million shares at $10 each, above the $8.50-9.50 range the company had set. In their Nasdaq debut, shares of QlikTech continued higher, changing hands at around $12.50 in early-afternoon trading. With 75 million shares outstanding, that gives the company an initial market capitalization of some $940m. (That’s basically spot-on to where we expected the company to begin its life on Wall Street when the paperwork first came in.)

As the proceeds from the IPO make their way to QlikTech, we’ve put together a handy-dandy shopping list for the company. Not that we necessarily expect QlikTech to immediately step into the M&A market. After all, it’s got a pretty solid business running right now. In recession-wracked 2009, QlikTech managed an impressive 33% increase in revenue. Even more impressive, the company doubled that rate in the first quarter of this year. Perhaps mindful of not messing with a good thing, QlikTech hasn’t done any deals up to now.

Nonetheless, my colleague Krishna Roy recently noted that QlikTech is essentially a one-product company that competes against the enterprise software giants that sell analytics as part of a larger product suite. (IBM, Oracle and SAP combined to snap up all three primary BI vendors in a string of deals that, collectively, set them back $15bn.) Further, one of QlikTech’s key technological advantages that the company helped pioneer (in-memory analytics) has become much more commonplace. Both of those facts turn up the competition on QlikTech, which might benefit from looking out-of-house for some additional technology.

If so, one area where we could imagine QlikTech going shopping is in the predictive analytics market. The company already offers some predictive analytics with the inclusion of advanced aggregation features in the latest QlikView 9. But additional technology could make for an easy knock-on sale to existing customers. (That’s a key for QlikTech, which gets roughly 60% of its revenue from existing customers.) Two small startups that might fit the bill for QlikTech are Revolution Analytics and Rapid-I.

NTT makes $3.2bn IT services play

Brenon Daly

Contact: John Abbott

Japanese telecommunications giant Nippon Telegraph and Telephone (NTT) has made a surprise offer for one of its existing partners, Dimension Data Holdings, an LSE- and Johannesburg Securities Exchange-listed IT services firm with roots in South Africa. This is an unusually large acquisition for a Japanese company, worth 120 pence per share, approximately £2.12bn ($3.2bn) in cash. That’s just over a 15 times EV/EBITDA multiple and 18x the closing share price before the announcement. (NTT has plenty of cash, with about $10bn on hand).

The Dimension Data board has recommended the offer and NTT has assurances from the directors and major shareholders Venfin DD Holdings and Allan Gray covering 52% of Dimension Data’s issued shares. The deal is expected to close by the end of October.

NTT cited the cloud computing opportunity as the main motivation behind the transaction. It brings to NTT specialist managed IT infrastructure and services capabilities that can now be rolled out on a global scale. NTT has its own managed network services, datacenters, system integration and mobile services, but Dimension Data adds to the development, operations and maintenance side of IT infrastructure, including network devices and servers running in customer sites. Geographically, NTT’s main strengths are in Asia, followed by Europe and the US; Dimension Data is strongest in Africa, the Middle East and Australia. NTT rival China Mobile has been making noises recently about investments in South Africa.

Dimension Data was founded in 1983 and listed on the JSE four years later. A series of acquisitions, including that of Plessey South Africa in 1998 and the European networking business of Comparex Holdings in 1999, helped it grow to over $2bn in revenue by 2003. (The deals have continued, with eight listed in The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase since 2004). At the end of fiscal 2009, revenue hit nearly $4bn and net profit was $135m. The company has 11,500 employees and more than 6,000 clients. JPMorgan Cazenove advised on the transaction for Dimension Data and Morgan Stanley for NTT.

Hardly a firecracker start to July M&A

Brenon Daly

Contact:  Brenon Daly

Just looking at the high-profile names that have been buyers so far this month, an observer could be forgiven for just assuming that we’re automatically going to top the record level of spending that we tallied for the second quarter. ADP, Facebook, EMC, IBM and Dell (among others) have all announced acquisitions in July, the first month of the third quarter. So M&A is back, right?

Maybe not. Although it’s still early (very early) in the third quarter, we don’t necessarily expect spending in the current quarter to eclipse the second-quarter level. In the April-June period, the value of transactions hit $62bn, more than 10% higher than any quarterly total we’ve seen since the Credit Crisis erupted two years ago. For the third quarter, we wouldn’t at all be surprised to see M&A spending slip back somewhere in the band of $30-50bn in quarterly deal flow that we’ve seen over the past two years.

Nearly halfway through July, we’re tracking to the lowest spending level in the past four months. In fact, July is shaping up to be 30-40% lower than the monthly totals from March to June. Granted, the start to July – with the long Independence Day weekend, not to mention the distraction of the World Cup – may not be representative for the full month. But it’s certainly an early indicator worth following. We’ll be looking at the current M&A market and what the rest of 2010 might hold for dealmakers in a special midyear webinar. Click here to register.

2010 activity, monthly

Month Deal volume Deal value
January 296 $5bn
February 278 $8.3bn
March 273 $17bn
April 252 $21.1bn
May 271 $20.3bn
June 260 $22.5bn

A different outcome of the EMC-Netezza rumors

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Although EMC paid top dollar for Greenplum, the startup may not have been EMC’s top choice for its move into data warehousing. At least two sources have indicated that the storage giant talked with fellow Boston-area company Netezza earlier this year. Talks were apparently short-lived, as the two sides never got close on price.

When discussions were going on, Netezza stock was trading at about $10. Our sources report that EMC was kicking around a bid that had a roughly 40% premium – in other words, essentially where shares change hands right now. Netezza, which came public three years ago, has been trading at its highest level since October 2007 lately.

Yet even with the run in Netezza shares (up 45% so far this year), the company isn’t egregiously expensive. It currently sports a market capitalization of $870m, but has about $110m in cash and equivalents, lowering its net cost to $760m. That’s about 3.2 times projected sales this fiscal year and just 2.7x next fiscal year’s estimated sales.

As it is, EMC paid a substantially higher multiple for Greenplum. (Our estimate, based on two sources familiar with the transaction, is that EMC handed over about $400m, or roughly 13x estimated trailing sales, for Greenplum.) Of course, there are different motivations – and, naturally, multiples – attached to either move. Netezza was a much more mature company, with more than twice the number of customers of Greenplum. On the other side, Greenplum had developed some pretty slick technology, particularly for cloud environments, that should fit easily into EMC’s broad sales channel.

In the dark on Big Blue’s buys

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

At the risk of stepping into a Kantian dialectic on ‘materiality,’ we can’t help but comment on the fact that when IBM does a deal – even a semi-large deal – mum’s the word. So far this year, Big Blue has picked up two companies that were large enough to consider going public at some point, with each acquisition costing the company around $400m in cash (according to our estimates). Yet in both the purchase of Initiate Systems and BigFix, IBM declined to disclose the price.

Viewed from the Big Blue side, it’s understandable that a startup like Initiate or BigFix, both of which were generating less than $100m in sales, is hardly a significant addition to a tech giant that’s going to post about $100bn in sales this year. Further, even though $400m sounds like a lot of money to most of us, we have to remember that IBM generates that much in cash roughly every two weeks. So, the thinking goes, Big Blue is well within its rights to not disclose ‘immaterial’ transactions. (That’s a view shared by Apple, for instance, which we have taken to task in the past for being run more like a private fiefdom than a public company.)

However, as is often the case in arguments based on relativism, there’s a distinct lack of accountability in it. After all, IBM is spending other people’s money. Shareholders own the company and, at least theoretically, the executives and management at the company – including all those who had a hand in the deals – work for shareholders.

Not to get overly sanctimonious about it, but in deals like Initiate and BigFix, IBM’s true owners are in the dark about how their employees are spending their money. And we’re not talking about dipping into the petty cash jar, but emptying hundreds of millions of dollars from the corporate treasury. That seems to us to be a fairly significant event.

The Big Blue erasure

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

In addition to the current snarling bear market and the onerous regulatory requirements, we’ve noticed yet another hurdle IPO candidates have to clear to get to the public market: IBM. With last week’s purchase of BigFix, the tech giant has gobbled up two private companies this year that were both tracking for an IPO. In February, Big Blue snagged Initiate Systems, a master data management vendor that had filed to go public in late 2007 but pulled its prospectus in mid-2008.

As we understand it, BigFix wasn’t nearly as close to an offering as Initiate. But the security management startup certainly had the financial profile to become a public company. (In fact, we’ve listed the Emeryville, California-based vendor as a possible IPO candidate in our outlook for the security market in each of the past two years.) BigFix was tracking to $65m in revenue for 2010, up from $52m in 2009, according to sources. (Bookings were closer to $85m last year.) The company also generated some $14m in free cash flow in 2009, a surprisingly large amount for a 13-year-old startup that had only raised $36m in venture backing.

In both of the deals, IBM paid a fairly rich multiple. Although terms weren’t disclosed, we understand that Big Blue handed over $425m, or 5.3 times trailing revenue, for Initiate. And we hear from multiple sources that IBM paid $400m, or nearly 8x trailing revenue, for BigFix. The multiple in both deals is substantially higher than the median price-to-sales multiple (1.8x) that we recently calculated for all tech transactions in the second quarter.

As a final thought, we highly (highly, highly) doubt that if either Initiate or BigFix came public right now, it would garner anywhere near a $400m valuation. (We recently put out a special report on the dreary IPO market.) More likely, skittish investors would discount the debut valuation to around $250m, give or take. Add in lockup periods and other considerations in an IPO that draw out the path to liquidity, and it’s no wonder both Initiate and BigFix took a rich, all-cash offer from IBM.