In leap year, tech M&A falls

Contact: Ben Kolada

The extra business day in February did little to prop up tech M&A volume, as the number of deals announced last month dropped to one of the lowest levels seen in the past year. The 257 tech acquisitions we recorded in February was one-third less than January’s total and 17% less than the trailing 12-month average. Although it’s impossible to predict the volume and value of tech acquisitions, one explanation is the somewhat seasonality of the business. In eight of the past 10 years, we saw a rise in sequential January deal volume followed by a dip in February volume.

Even total spending came in below the annual average. While the total amount spent on tech acquisitions in February ($10bn) was more than double what we recorded in January, it was still about half the average of the trailing 12 months. However, February wasn’t a complete wash. On a positive note, many of the largest technology companies were active in M&A last month: Akamai picked up small front-end optimization startup Blaze Software, Apple bought Chomp, Cisco acquired Lightwire, its largest deal since Starent Networks in 2009, F5 Networks reached for Traffix Systems and Quest Software scooped up BlueFolder. Further, we recorded four billion-dollar transactions in February, compared with none the previous month.

Still, the sharp downturn in volume marks a stark contrast to what’s been happening in the equity markets. Last month, we wrote that behavior in the stock markets is one of the main influencers on big-ticket M&A, and that big-ticket deals set the tone for overall dealmaking. But while the Nasdaq composite index continued its steady rise, reaching its highest point since the stock market crashed in the early 2000s, tech M&A volume in February moved in the opposite direction.

Few targets left in FEO, but are there any buyers?

Contact: Ben Kolada

In the past year, networking vendors have acquired many of the independent front-end optimization (FEO) startups, further narrowing the field in this already niche sector. In fact, there are only a few notable independents left. But is this really a race to consolidate the market, or are acquirers simply adding these capabilities to their portfolios by picking up properties at fairly cheap prices?

FEO focuses on getting a browser to display content more quickly, as opposed to dynamic site acceleration and other services that use network optimization to speed content delivery. For the most part, the FEO segment has been made up of a handful of startups. However, consolidation in the past year took three of these companies out of the buyout line. In May 2011, AcceloWeb sold to Limelight Networks for $12m and two months later Aptimize sold to Riverbed for $17m. Terms weren’t disclosed on Blaze Software’s recent sale to Akamai, but we’re hearing that the price was in the ballpark of $10-20m. That leaves Strangeloop Networks as one of the last companies standing, and its fate is basically secured. After the Blaze deal severed Strangeloop’s partnership with Akamai, the company is likely to find an eventual exit in a sale to remaining partner Level 3 Communications.

Firms interested in entering this sector shouldn’t fret over potentially losing Strangeloop to a competitor. Instead, they should actually reconsider their entry into the FEO market. FEO providers, both past and present, have done little to validate the space. According to our understanding, Aptimize was the largest of the acquired vendors, and its revenue was only in the low single-digit millions. The fact that each target sold for no more than $20m further suggests that the market isn’t yet living up to expectations.