Comings and goings on US exchanges

Contact: Brenon Daly

The flurry of M&A announcements on Wednesday not only boosted trans-Atlantic shopping totals so far this year by nearly 20%, it also continued the trend of thinning the ranks of US public companies. The pair of Nasdaq-listed firms that got erased on Wednesday (Borland and Vignette) brings the number of acquisition announcements of US public tech companies to some 22 so far this year.

To be clear, that sum is made up of deal announcements, not closed transactions. So it includes offers that have been rejected by the would-be target (Emulex) as well as bids where the terms are still in play (SumTotal Systems). Against that, we have had only a minimal ‘repopulation’ of the US exchanges. Just three tech companies – none of which is a true IT vendor – have gone public this year. That’s about to change with SolarWinds, which is expected to hit the market in a week or two. (And on the consumer Internet side, OpenTable set the terms of its planned IPO on Thursday.)

We would also note that Wednesday’s ‘twofer’ of Borland and Vignette is actually the third time in the past month that two deals for US public companies have been announced in a single day. The other days: April 20, with Oracle-Sun Microsystems and Trilogy-Autobytel, and April 13, with Thoma Bravo’s bid for Entrust and Image Holdings’ reach for InFocus. In terms of banking, JP Morgan Securities did the double Wednesday, advising both Borland and Vignette on their sales to Micro Focus and Open Text, respectively. But the bank is doing its part to add back public companies, leading the SolarWinds offering.

Trans-Atlantic transactions take off

Contact: Brenon Daly

It was a big and busy day on Wednesday for British companies shopping in the country’s former colony across the Atlantic. Collectively, the three deals boosted the total disclosed value of acquisitions by UK-based firms so far this year by nearly 20%. For starters, LSE-traded software vendor Micro Focus picked up one full Nasdaq-listed company and bits of another US public company, spending a total of about $155m. Taken together, the simultaneously announced deals are the second-largest transaction announced in 2009 by a UK-based buyer. Adding to that, British defense giant QinetiQ reached for a well-funded security startup in a deal that features a handsome valuation and a pretty rich possible earn out.

In the more significant purchase, Micro Focus picked up long-ailing Borland Software for $1 per share, or an equity value of about $75m. In the same breath, it also scored a business line from Compuware for $80m. Micro Focus says the addition of Compuware’s application testing/automated software quality (ASQ) unit will help bolster its existing ASQ offering, a suite of tools that it sells under the Data Express name.

One of the more interesting aspects of Micro Focus’ double-up deal is that the company tapped Arma Partners to run both processes. (The transaction was headed up by Arma’s Paul-Noël Guély, along with Keith Robinson, Varun Sunderraman and Graham Smith.) Arma has served as a kind of house bank for Micro Focus, advising on four of the company’s past five deals. On the other side of the table, Updata Advisors worked with Compuware on its divestiture and JP Morgan Securities advised Borland. We’ll have a full report on the moves by Micro Focus in Thursday’s 451 Group sendout.

In a separate transaction, QinetiQ (through its North American arm) moved deeper into the cyber-intelligence world by buying Cyveillance. Terms call for QinetiQ to hand over $40m upfront, along with a possible $40m earn out over the next two years. Cyveillance, which we understand didn’t use a banker, generated sales of about $10m in 2008. Look for a full report on the relatively richly valued transaction in tonight’s 451 Group MIS email.

M&A rumors follow reality

Contact: Brenon Daly

There’s yet more proof that the M&A market is back. No, we’re not talking about the fact that April boasted the highest monthly deal spending since June, with some $21bn worth of announced transactions. We’re referring to something that’s far less quantitative: deal whispers.

Indeed, the traffic in M&A rumors has grown substantially in recent weeks, and many big names are popping up. It may just be a byproduct of the resurgent Nasdaq, which has risen one-quarter in value over the past two months. But it’s nonetheless worth noting that there’s M&A buzz once again, even if some of the gossip strikes us as highly unlikely.

For instance, last week saw reports of QLogic attracting interest from EMC. We have a hard time understanding why EMC would want to be a storage networking company, particularly when it’s been tightening its relationship with networking powerhouse Cisco Systems. Nonetheless, the market was kicking around that possible pairing as Broadcom was pushing its unsolicited offer for QLogic rival Emulex. (Of course, QLogic was in the market last week, but on the buy side. It picked up seven-year-old startup NetXen for $21m. QLogic says NetXen, which generated essentially no revenue over the past four quarters, will contribute $5m in sales in the coming year.)

And then there were whispers of a deal that we suspect is even more of a long shot: the word was that BMC may be looking to snag SolarWinds before the latter goes public. However, that rumored pairing seemed unlikely from the start. We wonder, for instance, how BMC, which targets big-ticket sales at large enterprises, would have much success selling SolarWinds’ inexpensive, downloadable software. (The average license sale at SolarWinds is less than $6,000.) Still, it’s worth noting that it has been some time since we heard the term ‘dual-track,’ even if that’s almost certainly not the case with SolarWinds.

April M&A: not ‘cruel’ at all

Contact: Brenon Daly

With all due respect to T.S. Eliot, April actually turned out to be a pretty kind month, at least for dealmakers. (The poet’s justifiably renowned work, The Waste Land, begins, “April is the cruelest month, breeding / Lilacs out of the dead land….”) The number of transactions announced in the just-completed month hit the highest level we’ve seen so far in 2009. Indeed, it was the largest monthly tally since October, when Wall Street truly looked like a wasteland.

The surge in M&A spending is even more noteworthy. The aggregate value of announced deals in April was roughly $21bn, the richest single monthly total since June 2008. In fact, tech shoppers spent substantially more in April alone than they had in the previous four months combined (December 1, 2008-March 31, 2009: $16bn). We’ve noted some of the encouraging signs in the M&A market that could continue to boost shopping through the rest of the year. Maybe 2009 won’t be such a cruel year for dealmaking after all.

Deal flow, 2009

Month Deal volume Deal value
January 2009 219 $3bn
February 2009 191 $2bn
March 2009 235 $4bn
April 2009 255 $21bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Sales of tech assets are on the rise

-by Thomas Rasmussen, Yulitza Peraza

At a time when both M&A volume and deal values have declined dramatically, the relative volume of asset sales continues to rise. There are two main contributors to this. First, companies are under increasing pressure to focus on their core operations, so they’re looking to divest underperforming business units. And second, cash-burning startups often find their venture backers unwilling to sink more money into them, resulting in wind-down sales of the intellectual property they had developed.

For the first quarter of 2008, the volume of asset sales represented some 15% of total announced transactions. That number doubled in the first quarter of 2009 and has even inched up a bit in April. About one out of every three transactions announced so far this year has been an asset sale.

For all the talk of unbridgeable valuation gaps, however, we would note that the buyers often get a sharp markdown on the price of the assets. Consider Artistdirect’s acquisition of SafeNet’s MediaSentry unit this month. SafeNet, which originally paid $20m for the division in 2005, wanted the MediaSentry assets off its books before the end of the first quarter, and Artistdirect’s new management was happy to fork over less than $1m for the unit. We understand that the deal closed within a few weeks. Or look at semiconductor startup Nethra Imaging, which picked up the assets of Ambric for an estimated $1m this month. Ambric had received an estimated $30m in funding, but when investors refused to step up with another round, the startup had little choice but to sell.

Asset sales spike

Period Volume of asset sales, as % of overall M&A
April 1-24, 2009 32.4%
Q1 2009 31.8%
Q4 2008 19.9%
Q3 2008 17.4%
Q2 2008 16.2%
Q1 2008 15.8%
Q4 2007 13.7%

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Going it alone can be expensive

Contact: Brenon Daly, Henry Baltazar

Wall Street hasn’t been particularly supportive of tech companies that turn down unsolicited offers and opt to go it alone. Shares in a number of the targeted firms are currently changing hands at less than half the level that the would-be suitors were willing to pay for them. To wit: Microsoft was reportedly set to pay in the mid-$30s for each share of Yahoo, which is now trading in the mid-teens. And having spurned a $16-per-share unsolicited bid from Cadence Design Systems last summer, Mentor Graphics stock is now trading at about $7.

We mention that bit of cautionary history because there’s another showdown brewing. Broadcom, advised by Banc of America Securities, recently offered $9.25 for each share of Emulex, giving the unsolicited bid a total equity value of $764m. (As it often does, Goldman Sachs is advising the target.)

Broadcom’s bid values Emulex where it was trading last October. On an enterprise value basis, the proposed transaction values the maker of storage networking gear at just 1.2x its trailing 12-month (TTM) sales and 5.5x TTM EBITDA. Emulex investors want a richer valuation and have pushed the stock above $10 since the offer was unveiled. Broadcom has vowed to take the unsolicited bid directly to shareholders if the Emulex board rebuffs it. On its conference call Monday discussing fiscal third-quarter results, Emulex said only that it was ‘thoroughly’ reviewing Broadcom’s offer.

From Broadcom’s point of view, it’s understandable why it would want its fellow southern California-based company. If the deal goes through, Broadcom would get a foothold in a few interesting storage markets such as host bus adapters (for both standard servers and blade servers) and embedded storage processors for disk arrays. Broadcom sells Gigabit Ethernet and 10-Gigabit Ethernet products, but is not a player in the SAN market. With network convergence growing in popularity, Broadcom would also benefit from Emulex’s fiber channel technology and its new Fiber Channel over Ethernet adapters.

‘Animal spirits’ stir M&A market

Contact: Brenon Daly

The M&A market is back. OK, not really. But looking at this week’s deal flow, one could forget that spending on acquisitions plummeted 85% in the first three months of the year. (We recently noted that Q1 2009 was the first time since we began tracking tech M&A in January 2002 that we saw a quarter without a deal worth more than $1bn.) Literally as soon as the calendar flipped to April, we saw one 10-digit transaction, and that’s been followed by three others.

Of course, most people point to Oracle’s pending purchase of Sun Microsystems as evidence that ‘animal spirits’ (as Keynes would say) are starting to stir again. That purchase stands as the largest IT transaction since Hewlett-Packard’s $13.9bn acquisition of EDS last May. (Yesterday we reported how Oracle’s planned pickup has reshuffled our league table, at least in the early going of 2009.) Another way to view the mammoth size of the deal is to consider that the $260m break-up fee in Oracle-Sun is larger than all but 15 of the announced deal values so far this year. (As an aside, we would note that the $260m represents 3.5% of the deal value, which is a point above where many other transactions come in.)

However, there were other signs of life in the sector this week beyond that big acquisition. Well-known buyer Symantec returned to the market for the first time in a half-year, paying what we understand was $18m for Mi5 Networks. Also, private equity players notched a pair of deals. And we even saw an unsolicited bid for a public company. We would note that it wasn’t a run at some micro-cap company that no one has ever heard of, much less owns shares in. Emulex is a 30-year-old vendor that earns money and typically trades about three million shares each day. Broadcom offered $9.25 for each share of Emulex, for a total equity value of $764m. However, Emulex stock has been trading above $10 since the offer.

Credit Suisse: Leaping up the league table

by Brenon Daly

While most of the focus of Oracle’s mammoth purchase of Sun Microsystems has been on the impact on the tech landscape, we’d like to note that the pending transaction is also likely to radically reshape another market: tech banking. True to form, Oracle didn’t use an outside adviser, while Sun tapped George Boutros and Storm Duncan from Credit Suisse Securities. That means CS gets sole credit for the largest tech deal of 2009, vaulting to the head of our league table.

To put the pending Oracle-Sun deal into perspective, consider that the equity value ($7.4bn) is larger than the total announced equity value of all US IT transactions that CS advised on in 2008 ($6bn). In our annual league table report, CS ranked as the 11th-busiest tech adviser, after finishing third in 2007. In the early going of 2009, CS is the bank to catch. (It also has a co-credit, along with Barclays Bank, for helping to sell Interwoven to Autonomy Corp, which was banked by Deutsche Bank Securities and Morgan Stanley. That was the largest deal of the first quarter.)

Tech banking, of course, is only a small part of the overall operations at Zurich-based Credit Suisse Group. And on Thursday, the institution had some good news for Wall Street. It reported better-than-expected earnings of some $1.7bn for the first quarter. Several other rival banks also posted positive results. The ADRs of CS added 15% in late-afternoon trading on Thursday, meaning they have risen by one-third in value since the start of 2009.

A somewhat secure M&A market

Contact: Brenon Daly

With RSA set to open later this week, we thought we’d take a look back on deal flow since the trade show closed last year. Over the past year, we’ve seen some 83 acquisitions of security companies, with total spending of about $4.2bn. While that’s down from the comparable year-earlier period (April 2007-April 2008: 90 deals worth $5.2bn), the drop-off in security M&A has not been as steep as the overall decline in tech deals. In fact, the number of security transactions slipped just 7% from the previous year, compared to an 18% drop in the number of total tech M&A. Spending on security deals also fell less than the overall market.

Moreover, there are a number of trends that have emerged since the last RSA event that suggest security M&A may well remain healthier than the overall market. For starters, the big shoppers have done big deals. By our tally, Symantec has inked the largest security transaction since the end of last year’s RSA, paying $695m in cash to bolster its on-demand offering with MessageLabs. And McAfee checked in with the second-largest acquisition. Its $497m all-cash purchase of Secure Computing was its largest deal in a decade, and its only acquisition of a public company in at least seven years (excluding the pickup of Bulletin Board-listed Citadel Security Software in 2006).

In addition to the strategic vendors, we’re also seeing financial buyers – both through funds and PE-backed companies – looking to do deals. For instance, Sophos went back to its investors to help finance its $341m acquisition of Utimaco, the largest purchase by a privately held security company of a public counterpart. Also, Vector Capital took home Aladdin Knowledge Systems and, more recently, Thoma Bravo has a pending $114m offer for Entrust. Certainly there have been a few scrap sales, but that’s to be expected in an over-funded market like security. Overall, deal flow remains comparatively healthy in the security sector.

Preemptive consolidation in financial IT?

-Contact Thomas Rasmussen

With reports indicating that IBM has pulled its multibillion-dollar offer for Sun Microsystems, the second-largest deal of the year so far is the $2.9bn all-equity purchase of Metavante by Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) announced in early April. (Yesterday, Express Scripts announced that it will fork over $4.7bn for WellPoint’s NextRx subsidiaries.) In fact, we recently noted that the first quarter closed without a single transaction worth more than $1bn. It was the first time a quarter passed without a 10-digit deal since we began keeping records in January 2002. This transaction consolidates two active acquirers. Metavante and FIS have together inked more than 30 purchases over the past five years: FIS has completed 18 deals worth north of $7bn (excluding this pickup), while Metavante has closed 15 to the tune of about $1.4bn.

The combined FIS and Metavante will have revenue of $5.1bn, about $300m in cash after the transaction closes, and free cash flow of about $700m. However, though the management of the new company outlined its healthy cash flow as means for making further acquisitions, we don’t expect them to step immediately back into the market as the giants work on integrating the blockbuster deal. (We would note that both FIS and Metavante were out of the market in 2008.) Instead, we expect near-term consolidation to likely come from the firm’s two remaining large competitors Fiserv and First Data Corp, which Kohlberg Kravis Roberts took private for $30bn two years ago. Additionally, we could see Oracle and IBM using their vast cash reserves to buy their way into this sector. In fact, FIS and Metavante said in their conference call discussing their planned transaction that one of the reasons they were getting together was to stave off the expected competition from Oracle and Big Blue. So who might be of interest to any of these buyers? We suspect smaller players such as Jack Henry & Associates or even payments competitors TeleCommunication Systems and S1 Corp could well become targets.

Financial IT M&A by the now three largest buyers since 2002

Acquirer Number of deals Total deal value
FIS-Metavante 42 $12.7bn
First Data Corp 20 $9bn
Fiserv 28 $5.3bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase