The Houses of Morgan are in demand for on-demand work

Contact: Brenon Daly

It turns out that the advisers for the largest-ever SaaS acquisition are also the busiest in terms of restocking the ranks of publicly traded subscription-based software companies. J.P. Morgan Securities, which banked SAP, and Morgan Stanley, which advised SuccessFactors, are upper left on the prospectuses of no fewer than five SaaS vendors currently in registration. Between them, the ‘Houses of Morgan’ have a fairly tight grip on the sector, leading the proposed IPOs of on-demand software shops including Eloqua, ExactTarget, Bazaarvoice, Jive Software and Brightcove.

As lead underwriters, the banks stand to pocket tens of millions of dollars in fees from the upcoming offerings. Additionally, they are likely to build on that initial relationship through other advisory services for the companies. For instance, J.P. Morgan co-led Taleo’s IPO in 2005 and, more recently, advised it on its $125m purchase of Learn.com. On an even bigger scale, Morgan Stanley led the IPOs of both RightNow and SuccessFactors and then advised them on their sales, a pair of deals that totaled a whopping $5bn.

SuccessFactors works the other side of the deal

Contact: Brenon Daly

In one of the quickest M&A turnarounds, SuccessFactors has gone from a seller to a buyer in just a matter of days. The human capital management (HCM) vendor announced over the weekend that it would be selling itself to SAP for $3.4bn in cash, the largest-ever SaaS deal. The ink was hardly dry on that transaction when SuccessFactors said on Tuesday that it will hand over $110m for Jobs2Web, a recruiting marketing platform with about 150 customers. (For the record, the mammoth SAP-SuccessFactors pairing is expected to close in the first quarter of 2012, while SuccessFactors’ purchase of the Minnesota-based startup should be done by the end of the year.)

The addition of Jobs2Web makes a great deal of sense for SuccessFactors, and in some ways, it shares some similarities to another deal earlier this year – salesforce.com’s $326m pickup of Radian6. In both cases, the startups added technology around mining social media sources and powerful analytics to expand the acquirer’s existing product portfolio.

There are even more similarities between Jobs2Web and Radian6, besides simply having numerals in their names. Both startups were founded far from any of the typical launch pads for tech companies. Jobs2Web has its headquarters in Minnetonka, Minnesota, while Radian6 was in the even more remote location of Fredericton, Canada.

But more importantly, both targets were incredibly capital efficient, each raising about $5m in VC on their way to a solidly valued exit. (Updata Partners was the sole institutional backer for Jobs2Web, which was advised in its sale by Raymond James & Associates.) According to our understanding, Jobs2Web garnered a valuation of roughly 6 times sales in its sale, while Radian6 was valued north of that.

Securing a tweet

Contact: Wendy Nather

Whisper Systems has announced that it has been acquired by Twitter (appropriately enough, the news was tweeted). Terms of the acquisition were not disclosed, but given Whisper’s emphasis on Google Android security, we expect that the deal was as much about the brains behind the technology as it was about the tools themselves. Whisper’s products include WhisperCore, a set of functions for data and network encryption as well as permissions management; WhisperMonitor, an Android-based firewall for mobile devices; Flashback, a cloud-based secure backup service for Android data; TextSecure, a facility for encrypting SMS messages on the fly; and RedPhone, an encryption function for voice that saw heavy use by activists during Egypt’s political uprising.

Twitter has inked 15 transactions, but this is the first one that focuses on security, and it’s in an area that appears to add real gravitas to the communications technology: it’s not just for ensuring that your Uncle Fred can’t accidentally get to your status updates. Mobile devices and protection against regimes make a solid combo, and they bolster Twitter’s use as a real-time reporting system. It’s not clear how many of the current products will remain viable under Twitter’s control, but the reasoning behind the choice of Whisper, as opposed to any number of other mobile device security startups, seems pretty clear.

But we find this deal even more interesting due to the fact that one of Whisper’s founders, security researcher Moxie Marlinspike, has also been making the conference rounds discussing a well-known problem: that of Internet-wide trust in domain name system (DNS) and SSL infrastructure. Certificate authorities that underpin transactions over the Internet have been increasingly attacked directly (with COMODO and DigiNotar being prime examples; the latter went bankrupt as a result of its breach), and DNS-based attacks are on the rise. Marlinspike not only points out the inherent design problems in the trust-based system, but also has proposed the most plausible solution: overhauling the structure into a new system he has dubbed Convergence. When you have access to an Internet security architect of Marlinspike’s caliber, you don’t let it go to waste. We’ll be watching for new developments on a possibly more fundamental level than just secure text messaging for Tweets.

A potentially expensive missed call

Contact: Brenon Daly

With AT&T’s planned purchase of T-Mobile USA now looking increasingly unlikely to close, we may have to take an eraser to our deal totals for 2011 – a very big eraser. Like most other M&A databases, The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase tallies transactions by their date of announcement rather than close. (However, we do note when the transaction is officially complete in our deal records, where relevant.) And recent regulatory developments in AT&T’s proposed consolidation of T-Mobile, which was announced eight months ago, appear to indicate the $39bn pairing may not get consummated.

If that happens, the total M&A spending for 2011 will decline by a full 17%. The planned purchase, which is the largest telco transaction in a half-decade, is three times the size of the next-largest deal announced so far this year, Google’s $12.5bn proposed purchase of Motorola Mobility.

Another way to look at it: AT&T’s $39bn cash-and-stock purchase of T-Mobile roughly equals the average monthly M&A spending around the globe for two full months so far this year. Without the big telco deal, the total value of all 2011 transactions is likely to come in just slightly below the $226bn we recorded in 2004. If that’s where spending does indeed land this year, it would represent an uptick of about 28% compared to 2010 full-year total of $172bn.

HP takes itself out of the market

Contact: Brenon Daly

Over its two previous fiscal years, Hewlett-Packard has spent more than $20bn on a dozen acquisitions, with five of them costing the tech giant more than $1bn each. Those days are over, according to recently named CEO Meg Whitman. In her first conference call discussing quarterly financial results on Monday, Whitman told investors not to expect any ‘major M&A’ in the current fiscal year, which runs through the end of next October. That means HP will look to ink deals valued mostly at less than $500m, she added later in the call.

That conservative M&A plan comes as HP enters what Whitman described as a ‘reset and rebuilding year.’ Both revenue and earnings are projected to slide in the current fiscal year, but HP didn’t offer specifics on the decline. The company scrapped its revenue forecast altogether, while saying only that it expected to earn ‘at least’ $4 in non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS), compared to $4.88 in non-GAAP EPS in the just-completed fiscal year. With roughly two billion shares outstanding, that indicates HP will likely net at least $1bn less this year than last year. No wonder HP isn’t in the mood to go shopping these days.

A frightfully slow October

Contact: Brenon Daly

Spending on tech M&A in the just-completed month of October slumped to the third-lowest monthly tally of the year, amid concerns about the growth prospects across the globe as well as specific questions about the stability of Europe. The total value of deals in the past month hit just $10.7bn, trailing only the totals for September ($8.5bn) and February ($10.3bn). Spending for the month of October hasn’t been this low since 2004.

The main reason for the rather anemic spending level in the past month is the absence of significant transactions. October’s priciest deal (Oracle’s $1.5bn all-cash purchase of RightNow Technologies) doesn’t even land in the top 25 largest acquisitions announced so far this year. We would add that the small amount of M&A spending came despite a stunning 11% gain on the Nasdaq index in October. Of course, that equity market surge has to be considered in context: The index has only returned to the level where it started the year, and is still below the level where it started August.

Sterling Partners aids Mosaid

Contact: Thejeswi Venkatesh

Earlier this month, Wi-LAN indicated it would ‘pack up and move on’ if Mosaid Technologies’ shareholders did not accept its sweetened $42 per share unsolicited offer. But in a rather unusual turn of events, it is Mosaid that has moved on. On Friday, the chip technology company announced an agreement with buyout shop Sterling Partners to go private at $46 a share in cash. (Sterling’s bid values Mosaid at about 10 times trailing EBITDA and represents the highest price for the stock in more than a decade.)

Ontario-based Mosaid has many characteristics that make it a good LBO candidate. For instance, it generated $32m in operating cash flow last year. Even more importantly, that cash flow has been fairly predictable thanks to fixed payment agreements with the likes of Hynix Semiconductor, IBM and Samsung. (During the recession-hammered years of 2008 and 2009, Mosaid still generated about the same level of cash from operations.)

And finally, the company has a robust patent portfolio of 2,800 patents. As we have seen in a number of deals recently, IP is increasingly playing a role in M&A, whether it’s the acquisition of Nortel Networks’ patents by a group of companies led by Apple, or the subsequent $12.5bn purchase of Motorola Mobility by Google, the second-largest tech transaction of 2011. Mosaid’s large – and growing – portfolio of patents could well add a bit more to Sterling’s return, when the private equity firm looks to exit this deal.

RightNow: A seller rather than a buyer

Contact: Brenon Daly

Ever since it raised $175m in a convertible debt offering last November, RightNow Technologies has been telling anyone who would listen that it intended to go shopping with some of that money. The move more than doubled the amount of cash on hand for the customer service automation vendor. And since RightNow was generating cash on its own, and had only a small share buyback program in place, it wasn’t like there were a lot of claims on the company’s treasury.

But with the $1.5bn sale to Oracle, RightNow’s M&A program has been snuffed out before it ever really got going. It would have been a dramatic change at the company, which had largely stayed out of the M&A market. Over the past decade and a half, RightNow has only tallied four deals with a total value of just $52m.

While RightNow was unlikely to ever be a big acquirer, we can’t help but make the larger point that the sale to Oracle removes yet another player from the pool of potential tech buyers. And that pool is constantly getting shallower, even just in terms of public companies. Along with RightNow, some 50 other tech vendors have been erased from the Nasdaq and the NYSE in just 2011 alone.

ViVu bolsters Polycom’s Web-based videoconferencing credentials

Contact: Thejeswi Venkatesh

After sitting out of the market for four years, Polycom’s M&A wheels are turning once again. The acquisition of ViVu on Monday was the company’s third purchase this year, and helps Polycom round out its videoconferencing offerings. With many observers expecting video collaboration to become ubiquitous, the purchase helps Polycom extend its offerings into the Web videoconferencing arena – in-line with its declared strategy.

Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but we understand that ViVu was generating less than $2m in revenue. Cupertino, California-based ViVu, which came to market in 2010, had raised just $3.2m in venture funding and was looking to score a second round at the time of its acquisition. (Other companies in the space, including Vidyo and Blue Jeans Networks, have been successful at landing substantial amounts of funding.) Given these dynamics, we suspect that ViVu received a healthy multiple and we wouldn’t be surprised if other suitors, including TIBCO Software, were involved in the bidding process.

The transaction comes at a time of dramatic changes in the videoconferencing market. Microsoft closed its pickup of Skype – the largest-ever purchase for the tech giant – just last Friday. ViVu provides a plug-in for Skype and Polycom has worked with Microsoft on its Lync offering for a number of years. Polycom believes that the two deals will expand its market opportunities.

Select Polycom acquisitions

Date announced Target Deal value Focus
October 17, 2011 ViVu Not disclosed Web-based videoconferencing capabilities
June 1, 2011 HP (visual collaboration business) $89m Videoconferencing
March 23, 2011 Accordent Technologies $50m Non-real-time capabilities
February 7, 2007 SpectraLink $220m Wireless IP telephony

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

The two halves of the third quarter

Contact: Brenon Daly

It’s rare that a single quarter is divided so cleanly into two completely different – almost irreconcilable – halves. Yet that’s exactly how tech M&A played out in the just-closed third quarter. From the start of July until the middle of August, dealmaking followed the same arc of recovery that it had tracked for most of 2011. And then, seemingly overnight, the stability and confidence vanished, swept away by renewed concerns about the state of the global economy. That left M&A in the back half of the quarter looking a lot like it did in the recession years of 2008 and 2009, rather than earlier this year.

Recent quarterly deal flow

Period Deal volume Deal value
Q3 2011 934 $62bn
Q2 2011 942 $67bn
Q1 2011 914 $86bn
Q4 2010 794 $41bn
Q3 2010 791 $50bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Just to put some numbers to the split Q3, consider this: two-thirds of M&A spending came in the first six weeks of the quarter, with the final six weeks accounting for the remaining one-third. (Incidentally, that’s the direct inverse of the typical seasonal pattern for Q3, which almost invariably finishes stronger than it starts.) The number of deals in the second half of Q3 dropped more than 10%. More significantly, however, the transactions that did get done toward the end of the quarter were much more conservative than the deals inked earlier. Of the 20 largest transactions announced in the July-September period, only four came in the back half of Q3. Click here for a full report on the challenging third quarter.