Needs and wants

Thinking big – and spending even bigger – has landed Josh James in a tough spot. That will become clear later this week, when the company that James heads, Domo, prices its IPO. But it’s even more clear when we compare the planned offering by the current company led by James with the mid-2006 offering by the previous company led by James, Omniture. Simply put, it’s the difference between a company going public because it wants to (Omniture) rather than because it needs to (Domo).

The IPO papers show that although the two companies have the same CEO, somewhere over the past dozen years, James lost fiscal rigor. The relatively parsimonious operations last decade at Omniture gave way to a lavish lifestyle at Domo, which has resulted in James having to tap Wall Street to keep the lights on. Consider this: in the final quarter before the offering, Domo is roughly twice the size of Omniture, but is losing 10 times more money, on both an operating and net basis.

Looking closer at the two prospectuses, it quickly becomes clear how Domo’s financials became so deeply stained in red compared with Omniture. Even in its early days, Omniture never really spent more than half of its revenue on sales and marketing. For the two years after its IPO, Omniture spent 44% of revenue on sales and marketing, a level that’s consistent with other hyper-growth SaaS vendors.

Domo, on the other hand, has spent more on sales and marketing than it has taken in for revenue on every single financial period it has reported. And, more to the point, the huge investment isn’t really paying off for Domo, certainly not the way it did for Omniture. Domo, which is reporting decelerating growth, posted just a 32% increase in revenue in its most recent quarter, while Omniture basically doubled revenue every year on its way to creating a $300m-revenue company just two years after its IPO.

Put it altogether, and Domo has piled up a mountainous $800m in accumulated deficit. In comparison, Omniture burned through just $35m on its way to Wall Street. In the current era of mega-fundings and ‘growth at all costs’ business plans, Omniture’s paltry deficit seems almost quaint. So, too, does the fact that just four banks took the company public, half the number listed for Domo and most other software IPOs these days.

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Adobe backs up Omniture buy with more SaaS

Contact: Kathleen Reidy

Continuing to show its interest in the online marketing realm, Adobe has announced that it will buy SaaS startup Demdex for an undisclosed sum. Demdex was founded in 2008 with the goal of capturing behavioral data across websites to help advertisers better segment and target ads. It had raised $7.5m in seed and series A rounds from Shasta Ventures, First Round Capital and Genacast Ventures.

This is the first deal Adobe has done explicitly in support of Omniture, which it acquired for $1.8bn in September 2009. It certainly seems like a transaction Omniture would have done, since it had been an active acquirer itself as an independent. (The company announced four purchases in 2007 alone.) Demdex will join other technologies from Touch Clarity, Offermatica, Visual Sciences and Mercado Software in the Omniture portfolio, which is now dubbed the ‘Adobe Online Marketing Suite, powered by Omniture.’ Omniture was also Adobe’s first big SaaS buy so Demdex brings it another SaaS offering, as well.

The only other acquisition Adobe has made since buying Omniture was its $242.7m pickup of Day Software last July. There are certainly connections between Day’s on-premises Web content management products and Omniture’s SaaS Web analytics and online marketing tools, but Adobe had broader reasons for buying Day and so far, seems to position Day more alongside its on-premises content management product, Adobe LiveCycle.

Is mobile advertising back?

-Contact Thomas Rasmussen

In a clear sign that mobile advertising has grown up, Google spent a whopping $750m in stock on Monday to pick up San Mateo, California-based AdMob in what we hear was a contested process. This transaction goes a long way toward securing control of mobile display advertising for Google and comes just days after the launch of Android 2.0. Although we’ve been projecting dealmaking in the mobile advertising market for quite some time, we’re nonetheless floored by the rich valuation for AdMob, a three-year-old startup that’s raised just shy of $50m. We estimate that the 140-person firm pulled in about $20m in gross revenue in 2008 and was on track to double that figure this year (we surmise that this translates to roughly $20m on a net revenue basis).

The double-digit valuation for AdMob reminds us more than a little bit of the high-multiple online advertising deals that we saw in 2007. Viewed in that context, Google’s purchase of AdMob stands as the third-largest ‘new media’ advertising purchase since 2002. Of course, like many of those transactions, this was not based on revenue, but instead on technology and market extension, which is consistent with Google’s strategy of acquiring big into core adjacencies.

Looking forward, AdMob’s top-dollar exit is sure to have a number of rival mobile advertising startups excited. One competitor that’s preparing to raise an additional sizable round of funding quipped at the near-perfect timing of this transaction. This is an industry that has seen its ups and downs over the past few years. When we first wrote about AdMob back in May it was in the backdrop of fire sales and failed rounds of funding. If nothing else, this deal will dramatically change that.

Microsoft has been actively playing catch-up to Google in advertising and search, and is sure to follow it onto the mobile device. As are many other niche advertising shoppers such as Yahoo, Nokia, AdKnowledge, Adobe-Omniture and traditional media conglomerates such as Cox. AOL has already made its move, reaching for Third Screen Media two years ago. (We would note that AOL’s $105m purchase of Third Screen is a rare case of that company actually being ahead of the market.)

Startups that could benefit from this increasing focus on the sector include AdMarvel, Amobee, InMobi, and Velti’s Ad Infuse. However, we suspect that some of the major advances – and consequently the most promising targets – are likely to come from players that are just now getting started, with fresh and profitable approaches to location-based mobile advertising.

Some recent mobile advertising deals

Date announced Acquirer Target Deal value Target TTM revenue
November 9, 2009 Google AdMob $750m $20m*
September 14, 2009 Nokia Acuity Mobile Not disclosed Not disclosed
August 27, 2009 AdMob AdWhirl Not disclosed Not disclosed
May 21, 2009 Limelight Networks Kiptronic $1m $2m*
May 12, 2009 Velti Ad Infuse <$1m* $1.3m*
March 11, 2008 Qualcomm Xiam Technologies $32m Not disclosed
August 21, 2007 Yahoo Actionality Not disclosed Not disclosed
May 15, 2007 AOL Third Screen Media $105m $3m*

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase *451 Group estimate

Will Adobe-Omniture marriage prompt online video M&A?

-Contact Thomas Rasmussen, Jim Davis

When Adobe Systems and Omniture announced the details and rationale behind their $1.8bn tie-up in mid-September, some interesting items emerged. Highlighted was the obvious benefit from a combination of Adobe’s popular Flash video platform and Omniture’s analytics capabilities. As the Web analytics market has become more saturated, Omniture has recently been expanding into higher-margin niches such as online video analytics. Combining online video content management with analytics is an area in which some early startups have carved out a profitable niche over the past few years as video has finally started to move to the Web.

However, if the newly bulked-up Adobe truly moves into the space – as we suspect the company will – it will undoubtedly present an enormous challenge to an industry previously dominated by a few well-funded startups. As a consequence of other larger players wanting to get a piece of the booming sector and startups being more inclined to strengthen their position, we believe consolidation in the market is inevitable. With that as our premise, who might be buying, and who are the potential prime targets?

Among a slew of startups in the space, the two primary ones we think could be in play in this scenario are market leaders Move Networks and Brightcove. The two have each taken in roughly $90m in venture capital. It is worth noting that both Microsoft and Cisco are strategic investors in Move Networks, and we think the company would make a great fit for either one since both have a strong focus on video moving forward. Meanwhile, both IAC/InterActive and AOL are strategic investors in competitor Brightcove. While we don’t think AOL is in a position to make an acquisition like this now, we would not put it past IAC. Google with its more consumer-oriented YouTube makes a logical acquirer as well, particularly as a way to add a business-friendly enterprise offering.

And finally, we might put forward rich content delivery networks (CDNs) such as Akamai and Limelight Networks. These vendors have been buying their way into premium verticals recently to escape the rapid commoditization of their core business and would be wise to consider acquiring into the space. From the estimated $40m or so in revenue that we understand Brightcove brings in, a large part of that comes from reselling bandwidth through CDNs.

Where might Omniture shop next?

-by Thomas Rasmussen, Kathleen Reidy

When we checked in with Omniture last month, we noted that it was likely to do a bit of shopping. My colleague Kathleen Reidy expanded on that recently with an in-depth report on the possible M&A moves by the analytics giant. Omniture has already shown itself ready to shop, having picked up five companies since its IPO in 2006. Those acquisitions, along with a solid organic growth rate, have helped to push up Omniture’s revenue seven-fold in the past three years. The company finished 2008 with $296m in sales. First-quarter results are due Thursday before the opening bell.

Having essentially consolidated its core market (except for a few private competitors), where might the giant shop next? We think a broader push into marketing automation seems a logical next step. Email marketing is one of the most active areas of Omniture’s Genesis ISV partner program. Potential targets in this space include Eloqua, a well-known and established player in marketing automation. The vendor pulled in an estimated $35m in revenue last year and has so far raised more than $40m in venture funding. Other potential targets include Silverpop, Right On Interactive and Marketbright. Like Mercado Software, which Omniture scooped up last October, all of these email marketing startups are Genesis partners.

Omniture’s acquisitions to date

Target Date Deal value Technology/Rationale
Mercado Software October 14, 2008 $6.5m Retail site search/merchandising
Visual Sciences October 25, 2007 $394m Web analytics market share
Offermatica September 7, 2007 $65m Multivariate testing
Touch Clarity February 14, 2007 $48.5m Behavioral targeting
Instadia January 18, 2007 $11.4m Web analytics market share – Europe

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Taking stock

Pocketing equity as currency always makes a deal a little more dicey than a straight cash transaction. (Just ask Ted Turner, or any other shareholders – public or private – who got burned on post-sale stock distributions in the early part of this decade.) Those bitter memories – along with concerns about diluting existing shareholders – have pushed companies to hold on to their shares, rather than hand them out in acquisitions. Besides, many large tech companies are now on the other side of steep cost-reduction plans, which allows them to throw off hundreds of millions of dollars in free cash flow every quarter. That has swollen corporate treasuries to near record levels, in some cases.

Nonetheless, a few tech companies have been paying at least a part of their M&A bills with their own shares. In the three deals Omniture inked last year, the online business optimization vendor used its shares to cover more than half the cost of each deal. (The largest chunk of stock – $342m of equity to cover its $394m total purchase of Visual Sciences – is basically flat with the level where shares traded when Omniture closed the deal in mid-January.) Additionally, Ariba paid for half of its $101m purchase of Procuri with its stock. (Taking Ariba shares turned out to be a good bet for Procuri, since the stock has jumped 40% since the deal closed in mid-December.)

However, one deal that’s set to close at the end of business Thursday offers a reminder of the risks. Although Blue Coat Systems used all cash to buy Packeteer in its $268m purchase, it would have undoubtedly heard grumblings from Packeteer shareholders if it had done a stock swap. The reason? Just a month after announcing the deal, Blue Coat posted weak quarterly results and offered a tepid outlook for its business. That knocked the stock down 20% in one trading session. In this kind of uncertain market, cash may well be king. 

Recent all-cash strategic deals

Date Acquirer Target Amount of cash
May 2007 Thomson Reuters $17.2bn
Jan. 2008 Oracle BEA Systems $8.5bn
Oct. 2007 Nokia Navteq $8.1bn
Oct. 2007 SAP Business Objects $6.8bn
May 2007 Microsoft aQuantive $6.4bn
Nov. 2007 IBM Cognos $5bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase