Not ‘Finnish’ with M&A

Finnish cell phone giant Nokia launched its mobile file-sharing Ovi application last week, coming quickly on the heels of the rollout of Nokia Music and other high-profile offerings. Much like Google and its Android and Chrome products, Nokia used technology that it acquired to form the core of its recently launched products. Specifically, its file-sharing technology came when it picked up Avvenu late last year.

And more M&A may be in the cards. Nokia recently told us that it is bullish on making further acquisitions to boost its service offerings. The company is aiming to evolve from strictly a mobile handset maker to a service-oriented handset maker – and strategic acquisitions are expected to play a big role in this transformation. (Of course, Nokia isn’t the only hardware company looking to do deals to get out of its core commodity market and into a more profitable – and defensible – service offering. PC maker Dell has spent some $2bn over the past two years increasing its service portfolio, buying companies offering everything from storage to email archiving to remote services.) What services could Nokia look to add and what companies might it acquire to do so?

With its music, games and mapping services well established, Nokia’s lack of a video service is strikingly curious. We suspect the company will quickly move to fill this gap. Two potential targets come to mind. Startups kyte and Qik both specialize in mobile video, and have already gotten a lot of interest from big mobile companies. In fact, kyte has drawn money not only from large telcos such as TeliaSonera, but also from Nokia’s own investment arm, Nokia Growth. Another venture that was recently brought to our attention is a startup called ZoneTag. It’s a Yahoo Labs startup that does location-based photo tagging. The software was developed for Nokia phones with the support of Nokia research and we hear the two divisions have a very good relationship.

Nokia’s recent mobile software acquisitions

Date Target Deal value
June 24, 2008 Symbian $410.8m
June 23, 2008 Plazes $30m*
January 28, 2008 Trolltech $153.5m
December 4, 2007 Avvenu Not disclosed
October 1, 2007 Navteq $8.1bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase *Official 451 Group estimate

Rise in social networking deals

After a trickle of deals in 2007, this year has seen a flood of acquisitions of social networking sites as buyers look to sell advertising and services around these properties. Acquirers have spent some $1.15bn already on networking sites, compared to just $95m in all of 2007. This year’s M&A was boosted by several key service providers making significant bets on the market, including AOL’s $850m purchase of Bebo and Comcast’s acquisition of Plaxo for an estimated $150m. (Both deals, we should note, are larger than last year’s collective tally for social networking sites.)

And it’s not just the obvious acquirers picking up these online sites. Mobile phone maker Nokia shelled out an estimated $30m for geo-social networker Plazes, while Hoover’s, primarily known as a business directory, bought into the Web 2.0 trend with its tiny $4.2m acquisition of Visible Path. Even Barry Diller went shopping in this market, with his IAC/InterActiveCorp’s purchase of Girlsense.com.

Despite the broad interest and appetite for social networking sites, we wonder if supply hasn’t outstripped demand. At last count, there were more than 130 networks of various stripes. With only two companies (Facebook and LinkedIn) likely to go public anytime soon, that leaves a slew of sites hoping to connect with buyers. Coming off a 1,200% increase in M&A from last year, we can only surmise that the number of deals – and, more important, the valuations handed out to the sites – is likely to come down.

Acquisitions of social networking sites

Period Deal volume Deal value
Jan.-Aug. 2008 20 $1.15bn
Jan.-Dec. 2007 9 $95.1m
Jan.-Dec. 2006 2 $5.1m
Jan.-Dec. 2005 1 $580m
Jan.-Dec. 2004 4 $129.8m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Location-based stalking?

Nokia has been going navi-crazy lately. Last week, the Finnish conglomerate bought location-based social networking company Plazes for an estimated $30m. This comes as the company is wrapping up the largest acquisition in its history – the $8.1bn purchase of Navteq. We believe this is just the beginning for Nokia and others in the excessively hyped mobile location-based services (LBS) space. The question arising from this acquisition, as well as Vodafone’s $48.7m acquisition of Zyb in May, is what these acquisitions mean for the rest of the market. One implication is already clear: GPS technology has been commodified. (Just ask shareholders of Garmin, who have seen the stock skid to a two-year low.) With this technology popping up on dozens of devices, we expect hardware vendors to be even more active in snapping up LBS startups.

Nokia plans to roll Plazes into its Nokia Maps division, which itself was formed from the acquisition of gate5 in late 2006. It is part of Nokia’s overall strategy to have GPS technology play a large role in expanding beyond just being a mobile hardware company. Nokia claims it will sell upward of 37 million GPS-enabled handsets this year alone. The approaching worldwide release of the GPS iPhone, as well as Research in Motion’s push to include the technology in most of its BlackBerry devices, make it clear why high-profile backers such as KPCB and Sequoia Capital are so excited about LBS applications.

Beyond being a simple technology purchase, however, Plazes and other future deals will likely bring another important component to the apps: users. Despite their hype and position as leaders in the space, services such as Palego’s Whrrl, Loopt and Brightkite have fewer than a million users combined. Compare that to the hundreds of millions of users that ‘traditional’ social-networking sites such as Facebook and MySpace command, and one wonders what the hype is all about. By pairing up with larger companies, however, the services get instant access to millions of users. It is the technology and expertise that rumored suitors such as Facebook, Microsoft, Google and now the mobile carriers and hardware manufacturers are interested in. With continued consolidation, the fear of being left behind in a potentially important market will drive many to acquire first and ask questions later. Nokia might have just lit the fire in the M&A race to dominate the LBS market.

Seven signs of a consolidating LBS industry

Announced Acquirer Target Deal value
June 2008 Nokia Plazes $30m*
June 2008 Polaris Hughes Telematics $700m
May 2008 Vodafone Zyb $48.7m
October 2007 Nokia Navteq $8.1bn
July 2007 TomTom Tele Atlas $2.8bn
July 2007 Springbank Resources Location Based Technologies (fka PocketFinder) $50m
August 2006 Nokia gate5 $250m*

*estimated, Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase