No-go IPO for RedPrairie

Contact: Brenon Daly

Scratch another name off the list of IPO candidates. RedPrairie, which had filed to go public in late November, instead sold on Tuesday to buyout shop New Mountain Capital. The sale moves the supply chain management software vendor from one private equity portfolio to another. (We understand that the two book runners on the proposed offering – Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Credit Suisse Securities – both advised RedPrairie on the deal.) In mid-2005, Francisco Partners acquired the company for $237m and subsequently rolled up another half-dozen smaller shops. Ahead of the proposed offering, Francisco owned 90% of RedPrairie.

The trade sale of RedPrairie isn’t all that surprising. (Nor, for that matter, was the fact that it put in its prospectus. We noted a month before the company officially filed to go public that it was getting close to an offering.) Looking at the financial profile of RedPrairie, it was hard to see Wall Street getting too excited about the vendor. Undoubtedly, it is profitable and hums along at a decent 20% EBITDA margin. But the top line leaves a lot to be desired.

Revenue at RedPrairie dropped 12% in the first three quarters of 2009, with license sales declining twice that level. In the first three quarters of last year – which was, admittedly, an extremely tough time to sell enterprise software – RedPrairie sold just $27m of software licenses. Meanwhile, rival JDA Software was able to generate twice as much license revenue ($60m) during the same time frame. JDA even managed a slight increase in sales of its software, compared to a double-digit percentage decline at RedPrairie.

Does Wall Street run through the RedPrairie?

Contact: Brenon Daly

Along with the rising equity markets, there’s a new flow of companies that are planning to file their IPO paperwork in the next few weeks. For instance, we know of two venture-backed mobile vendors that have picked underwriters and plan to put in their prospectuses shortly. And we’re willing to bet that the expected strong offering from Fortinet, which initially filed in early August and is likely to debut before Thanksgiving, will catch the eye of quite a few VCs who have sizeable security providers in their portfolios.

Altogether, it looks like a decent IPO pipeline for VCs, as long as the equity markets hold. But what about their brethren at PE firms? We’ve seen the buyout barons file to flip a few non-tech holdings back onto the market, and the big offering from Avago Technologies (the carve-out of Hewlett-Packard’s semiconductor business by Kohlberg Kravis Roberts and Silver Lake Partners) has been above water since it hit the Nasdaq in early August. But there are still a lot of PE firms with pretty full portfolios that would like to post a realized gain – as opposed to ‘paper gains’ – before going out and raising a new fund.

So which PE-backed company is likely to hit the public market? Several sources have indicated that RedPrairie, an inventory management software vendor owned by Francisco Partners, has selected bankers and plans to ink an S-1 in the coming weeks. Francisco acquired RedPrairie in mid-2005, 30 years after the company was founded. Since the buyout, RedPrairie has rolled up six other companies. In 2008, the firm generated almost $300m in revenue. That puts RedPrairie’s revenue in the same neighborhood as rivals i2 and Manhattan Associates, but below the sales of JDA Software and Epicor Software.