After CenturyLink-Savvis, telco consolidation will target the midmarket

Contact: Ben Kolada

CenturyLink’s Savvis acquisition, which closes today, is the largest telco-hosting deal on record, though we expect that it will be followed by a rise in smaller telco-hosting pairings. As the number of large hosting targets, which typically serve enterprises, continues to shrink, we anticipate that telcos that were unable to get their hands on prized enterprise properties will still look to enter this industry by consolidating the fragmented small and midsized hosting market.

Based on the most notable telco-hosting deals to date, Verizon’s Terremark buy and CenturyLink’s reach for Savvis, enterprises appear to be the primary market for large telcos looking to sell cloud services. However, we are noticing emerging interest from telcos looking to serve SMBs. Last month we saw Madrid-based telco Telefónica spend a reported $110m for cloud hoster acens Technologies, which serves more than 100,000 SMB customers throughout Spain. On a much smaller scale, in February local competitive carrier CornerStone Telephone announced that it was picking up consumer and SMB-focused Web hoster ActiveHost for an undisclosed amount.

We’ve written before that the greatest opportunity for telco-hoster combinations may actually be for regional and smaller telcos to buy smaller hosters. The hosting market is still fragmented, particularly among smaller providers, and many of these firms are experiencing capital constraints that are preventing expansion. Regional and local telcos will be able to take advantage of this fragmentation and acquire small complementary hosting providers without spending too much money, since smaller providers tend to garner smaller valuations, typically between 6-8 times last-quarter annualized EBITDA. However, if telco-hosting consolidation grows at this level, the acquired properties will most likely be colocation-focused, since most small hosting providers founded their business on colocation services.

Going, going, gone: Go Daddy sells to KKR

After canceling a proposed IPO in 2006 and reportedly being on the block since late last year, The Go Daddy Group is now selling an undisclosed stake to private equity firms KKR, Silver Lake Partners and Technology Crossover Ventures. The deal is believed to be among the largest private equity investments in the Internet infrastructure industry, and continues an emerging trend of buyout shops acquiring mass-market hosters and repositioning them toward higher-end services.

Reportedly worth $2.25bn, the transaction lands squarely in second place among the largest PE investments in this industry. We note that the first-place prize goes to a group led by Silver Lake (and including KKR) in the $11.3bn take private of SunGard Data Systems in 2005. Silver Lake’s interest in the industry is increasing – the Go Daddy deal comes less than a year after the firm took a minority stake in a similar hoster, Brazil-based LocaWeb.

We expect that KKR and the other investors will focus on international expansion as well as investment in cloud services. Silver Lake’s stake in LocaWeb could be particularly useful. The Latin American hosting and colocation markets are seeing increasing interest (heavyweights Savvis and Equinix have each announced plans for the region). We wouldn’t be surprised if LocaWeb and Go Daddy ultimately became partners. Further, we’ve noticed that PE firms tend to refocus their mass-market hosting companies on more specialized, higher-end cloud services. LocaWeb’s cloud services could provide additional expansion opportunities for Go Daddy, which recently began a limited launch of its own cloud product. We’ll have a full report on the Go Daddy deal in tonight’s Daily 451.

US telcos feeling the squeeze

Contact: Ben Kolada

Amid double-digit revenue growth in the cloud infrastructure market, US telcos are increasingly buying their way into this industry in an effort to stem losses in their traditional wireline businesses. However, just as the hosting and colocation sectors are growing rapidly, so too are the major players being acquired. So far this year, we’ve already seen three of the largest hosters scooped up by eager telco service providers, with CenturyLink’s $2.5bn Savvis purchase being the most recent. If the remaining telcos don’t move fast enough, they could increasingly be squeezed out of the growing cloud infrastructure space. And competition for the remaining firms is expected to increase as foreign operators could look to enter the US market as well.

Atlanta-based Internap Network Services is among the short list of firms most likely to be taken out next. The company has a wide-reaching geographic footprint, with facilities spread throughout the US, Europe, Asia and Australia. The company’s large US and international presence makes it a particularly attractive target, especially for large CLECs such as tw telecom and PAETEC, or even cable MSO Comcast. However, its footprint could also attract foreign operators looking for synergies in their home markets, as well as entry into the US market. My colleague Antonio Piraino at Tier1 Research recently penned a piece reminding buyout speculators that just a few years ago Internap rebuffed a takeover offer from Indian telco Reliance Communications. He notes that Reliance may once again be a potential suitor, alongside Asian firms Pacnet and China Telecom or European provider Colt Technology Services Group.

Though opportunities for US acquisitions are diminishing, domestic telcos still have options. Given the hyper-competitive takeover market that is expected for remaining US hosters, US telcos may instead look for international deals. As seen by regional stalwart Cincinnati Bell’s CyrusOne unit expanding into London, US telcos are showing no fear of international expansion when it comes to their hosting and colocation businesses. If US telcos look abroad, we wouldn’t be surprised if they checked out Interxion. The Schiphol-Rijk, Netherlands-based firm operates 28 datacenters in 11 countries spread throughout Europe, and pulled in more than €200m in revenue in 2010, a 21% jump from the previous year.

The cloud expands overseas

Contact: Ben Kolada

Although the US hosting, cloud and colocation markets are still growing, cloud infrastructure providers are already expanding overseas. This international expansion is driven in part by enterprises demanding global cloud platforms, as well as the vendors’ desire to tap into emerging markets.

Verizon Communications’ Terremark Worldwide purchase seemingly set the stage for international expansion (although the telco was primarily attracted to Terremark’s cloud platform, the deal also provided Verizon with deeper penetration in Central and South America), and colocation and hosting providers soon followed suit. Shortly after the Terremark sale, Savvis announced a partnership in India with Bharti Airtel and claimed to be looking for similar partnerships in South America and China. Meanwhile, Savvis competitor Equinix has already moved into South America with the $127m pickup of Rio de Janeiro-based ALOG Data Centers. The company also has a presence in China with facilities in Hong Kong and through a partnership in Shanghai with Shanghai Data Solutions.

While international expansions will continue, we expect that the announcements will eventually turn from partnerships to outright acquisitions as cloud infrastructure providers look to get the most out of their investments. Equinix has already shown a willingness to make international deals, and we anticipate that the company will announce additional overseas transactions. The company could make further inroads in China by entering the Beijing market. My colleagues at Tier1 Research believe that large cities in China such as Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Tianjin are underpopulated with datacenters and predict that these cities will see significant datacenter investment over the next five years.

Although the US hosting, cloud and colocation markets are still growing, cloud infrastructure providers are already expanding overseas. This international expansion is driven in part by enterprises demanding global cloud platforms, as well as the vendors’ desire to tap into emerging markets.

Verizon Communications’ Terremark Worldwide purchase seemingly set the stage for international expansion (although the telco was primarily attracted to Terremark’s cloud platform, the deal also provided Verizon with deeper penetration in Central and South America), and colocation and hosting providers soon followed suit. Shortly after the Terremark sale, Savvis announced a partnership in India with Bharti Airtel and claimed to be looking for similar partnerships in South America and China. Meanwhile, Savvis competitor Equinix has already moved into South America with the $127m pickup of Rio de Janeiro-based ALOG Data Centers. The company also has a presence in China with facilities in Hong Kong and through a partnership in Shanghai with Shanghai Data Solutions.

While international expansions will continue, we expect that the announcements will eventually turn from partnerships to outright acquisitions as cloud infrastructure providers look to get the most out of their investments. Equinix has already shown a willingness to make international deals, and we anticipate that the company will announce additional overseas transactions. The company could make further inroads in China by entering the Beijing market. My colleagues at Tier1 Research believe that large cities in China such as Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Tianjin are underpopulated with datacenters and predict that these cities will see significant datacenter investment over the next five years.

Time Warner Cable picks up NaviSite; is InterNap next?

Contact: Ben Kolada

In the second telco-hosting rollup in less than a week, Time Warner Cable is acquiring NaviSite for $230m in cash. This is TWC’s first foray into enterprise hosting and cloud computing services, and marks the end of a tumultuous year for NaviSite that included defending itself from an unsolicited take-private and continuously retooling its business toward enterprise-class services.

TWC, the second-largest cable operator in the US, is paying $5.50 per share, representing a 33% premium over the closing price on February 1. Including the assumption of cash and debt, TWC’s offer gives NaviSite an enterprise value of $277m, or 2.1 times trailing sales and 10.8x trailing EBITDA. While the offer is roughly in line with broad market valuation, it is far below what Terremark received from Verizon. In that deal, announced just last Friday, the target was valued at 5.8x trailing sales and 24.7x trailing EBITDA. Of course, we might argue that Terremark deserves its premium, since it is much healthier and larger than NaviSite. Terremark has 16 datacenters (compared to NaviSite’s 10) spread across a large international footprint, a robust and growing cloud platform and more than twice the sales of NaviSite.

While NaviSite is set to be acquired at a lower valuation than Terremark, TWC’s bid represents a level NaviSite hasn’t seen on its own since late 2007. Further, it’s substantially above the offer that NaviSite attracted just a half-year ago. In July 2010, Atlantic Investors, which already owned one-third of NaviSite’s equity, made an unsolicited offer for the remaining shares of the company. Atlantic Investors’ bid of $3.05 per share valued NaviSite overall at $128m. Time showed that NaviSite was right in rejecting that offer, which isn’t always the case in these unsolicited bids. After spurning the offer, the company continued in its dogged determination to become an enterprise-class hosting provider throughout 2010 and divested some $74m in non-core assets to get there.

After NaviSite’s sale, speculation is intensifying about which hoster will be acquired next. We’ve written before that Savvis is an obvious target, and Rackspace is the constant focus of acquisition speculation. We might add Internap Network Services to that list. The Atlanta-based company’s shares are up 6% in mid-Wednesday trading, continuing a run since the Terremark announcement on January 27. One reason we might point to a trade sale for Internap is that the chief executive has done it before. In January 2009, the company appointed a new CEO, Eric Cooney, who has a history of growing companies and leading them to successful sales. He was previously CEO of Tandberg, which was acquired by Ericsson for $1.4bn in 2007. Since Cooney’s appointment, Internap’s shares have climbed 170%, giving the company a market cap of slightly more than $400m. Look for a full report on TWC’s pickup of NaviSite in tonight’s Daily 451.

Verizon pays sky-high price for cloud provider Terremark

Contact: Ben Kolada

In a move to accelerate its cloud services, Verizon has announced that it is acquiring cloud and colocation provider Terremark for $1.4bn. As the largest pairing between a telco and a colocation provider, the deal is not only a landmark transaction for the telecommunications industry, but also a significant shift from the growing trend of telcos buying their way into the hosting and colocation sectors by acquiring pure colocation providers.

Verizon is paying $19 per share in cash, a 35% premium over Terremark’s closing price. On an equity value basis, the deal values the target at 4.4 times trailing sales and 18.6x trailing EBITDA. For comparison, the next-largest telco-colo pairing came in May 2010 when Cincinnati Bell bought pure colocation provider CyrusOne for $525m, or 9.1x trailing sales and 16.4x trailing EBITDA. Both Verizon and Terremark’s board of directors have unanimously approved the transaction, and Verizon expects to complete the deal by the end of the first quarter. Terremark’s management team will remain and will operate the company as a wholly owned but independent subsidiary of Verizon.

While earlier acquisitions in this sector were valued based on the growth potential of colocation services, Terremark garnered a higher valuation because of its cloud portfolio, as well as its international presence. During their conference call discussing the acquisition, executives from both companies highlighted the fact that Terremark’s long-term growth lies in its cloud and managed services. This segment provided half of Terremark’s total service revenue during the first six months of its fiscal 2011. Beyond cloud services, the acquisition is also a geographic fit, with Terremark providing Verizon an expanded presence in Latin America, and Verizon providing Terremark additional room to grow in both the US and Europe. As part of the integration, Terremark will assume operations for all of Verizon’s 220 datacenters. (We’ll have a full report on this deal in tonight’s Daily 451.)

After the transaction was announced, shares of competing cloud computing firms soared. While the sector calmed somewhat by midday, shares of Savvis held onto its 15% advance as Wall Street speculated that it might be the next hosting and services company to get snapped up. (Trading in Savvis was more than 10 times its daily average on Friday.) By revenue, the Chesterfield, Missouri-based firm is the largest provider of cloud and colocation services and already sports a $1.7bn market capitalization. As a result, the list of potential suitors is limited, but AT&T stands out as an obvious bidder for Savvis. Just as Savvis is the largest provider among cloud firms, AT&T is the largest provider among telcos and closed 2010 with $124bn in revenue and $1.4bn in cash in its coffers.

Private equity goes back to the hosting table in a big way

Contact: Ben Kolada

So far this year, three private equity (PE) firms have each shelled out at least $400m for a hosting provider, making 2010 the most active year for big-ticket hosting deals for PE shops. And these firms are no novices. Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe, GI Partners and Oak Hill Capital Partners have a combined $32bn in capital under management, and each has had previous experience in the hosting sector. The fact that they’re coming back to the hosting market – and paying relatively rich valuations to do so – is a hearty endorsement of the sector’s long-term growth potential.

In the most recent deal, Welsh Carson teamed up with Peak 10 management to buy the company from Seaport Capital and McCarthy Capital. Although terms of the transaction weren’t disclosed, we understand the buyout consortium paid just north of $400m for Peak 10, or about 12 times the company’s annualized 2010 EBITDA. For comparison, Savvis, in which Welsh has been invested since 1999, is currently trading at 5x annualized EBITDA.

In another management buyout, SoftLayer Technologies’ management announced in August that it was partnering with GI Partners to buy the dedicated hosting specialist from its angel investors. Again, terms weren’t disclosed, but we believe the deal valued SoftLayer at about 10x its annualized EBITDA, or about $450m. As my colleagues Philbert Shih and Aleetalynn Schenesky-Stronge noted, GI Partners is a well-known participant in the hosting and Internet infrastructure space, having invested in Digital Realty Trust and The Planet. GI Partners intends to combine The Planet and SoftLayer, with SoftLayer’s management left in charge. The combined company, which would have $270m in estimated revenue for 2010, could go public as early as next year.

SoftLayer was GI Partners’ second hosting play of the year. In April, the firm banded together with Oak Hill Capital and ViaWest’s management to buy the company from a consortium of PE investors. Oak Hill Capital was the lead investor, with GI Partners and management retaining minority stakes. We estimate the price of the deal at $420m, which works out to about 10x ViaWest’s cash flow. Oak Hill Capital isn’t new to the datacenter industry, having previously invested in TelecityGroup.

More PE moves could be in the works, as we’re aware of quite a few more properties for sale. If the flurry of M&A activity during the recent VMworld conference is any indication of what happens when a group of likeminded individuals gets together, our 2010 Hosting & Cloud Transformation Summit could lead to a number of hosting and Internet infrastructure deals. The conference opens today in Las Vegas and continues through Wednesday.

Select PE hosting deals in 2010

Date announced Acquirer Target Deal value
September 1 Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe/Peak 10 management Peak 10 $400m*
August 4 GI Partners/SoftLayer Technologies management SoftLayer Technologies $450m*
April 20 Oak Hill Capital Partners/ViaWest management ViaWest $420m*

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase *451 Group estimate