Is Kana buying time before it gets bought?

by Brenon Daly, China Martens

The showdown that has been brewing around Kana Software for months was supposed to come to a head today. Hedge fund KVO Capital Management had been planning to put forward a director for election at the company’s annual meeting, which was originally scheduled for July 15. Instead, Kana pushed the meeting back. Not by a week or two, or even a month, but until December 1. KVO is the largest shareholder in Kana, with some 3.4 million shares, or 8% of the company.

Although Kana has postponed its annual meeting, we can’t help but wonder if the customer service software vendor is merely buying time until it can get bought. That’s certainly what some shareholders have speculated about the company, which trades at just 0.5x revenue. (And we’ve been saying that for nearly three years.) On its own, there’s little to be bullish about at Kana, a money-burning shop that has been relegated to the Bulletin Board since December 2006. But it does have at least one valuable piece to its business: a deep, long-term relationship with IBM. We suspect Big Blue would be the first call Kana would make if it continues to get pushed for a sale.

Of course, IBM has repeatedly said that it doesn’t want to be an application software vendor. (Saying and doing are two different things, however. Several of its largest acquisitions were for straight application vendors, such as Cognos and FileNet.) In any case, the two firms have had an OEM arrangement for the past seven years, and we understand from a source inside Kana that IBM-related sales have exceeded their quota in recent years. Kana has also baked a fair amount of Big Blue software (notably DB2) into its offerings. So integrating the technology wouldn’t be a challenge in this hypothetical pairing. And financially, IBM has plenty of resources to share with Kana, which would be a nice change of pace for the struggling microcap company. Kana has largely lived off equity and debt offerings over the past 12 years, having run up an astounding $4.3bn in accumulated deficit since its founding.

Hey Larry, wanna buy a bridge?

Contact: Brenon Daly, Krishna Roy

Although Oracle announced the purchase of Conformia Software on Wednesday, the market is currently buzzing with speculation that the tech giant has closed – but not yet announced – a much larger transaction. Several sources have indicated that Oracle has acquired GoldenGate Software. The two companies have had a deep relationship for some time and while a deal has been kicked around in the past, talks stalled because GoldenGate always priced itself higher than Oracle was willing to spend. We haven’t heard what Oracle ended up paying for GoldenGate, which we understand was generating slightly more than $100m in trailing sales.

In many ways, this rumored deal echoes IBM’s purchase of DataMirror two years ago. In that transaction, Big Blue paid $161m, or 3.3x DataMirror’s trailing 12-month (TTM) revenue. Of course, 2007 was a high-water mark for recent valuations, both on the Nasdaq and among VC-backed companies. (GoldenGate has received a reported $33m from Summit Partners.) According to our analysis of data from the 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, VC-backed companies sold for a median valuation of 6.2x TTM in 2007, compared to just 2.8x TTM sales so far this year.

If Oracle is indeed picking up GoldenGate, the acquisition should enable the database giant to compete more effectively with IBM’s Information Server and other data management offerings from Big Blue. GoldenGate’s technology would give Oracle the opportunity to extend its data migration, high-availability and real-time integration capabilities to non-Oracle environments. GoldenGate already provides data migration capabilities for Siebel applications and real-time integration for Oracle’s data warehouse, for example, so there’s already technical integration in place.

Trans-Atlantic transactions take off

Contact: Brenon Daly

It was a big and busy day on Wednesday for British companies shopping in the country’s former colony across the Atlantic. Collectively, the three deals boosted the total disclosed value of acquisitions by UK-based firms so far this year by nearly 20%. For starters, LSE-traded software vendor Micro Focus picked up one full Nasdaq-listed company and bits of another US public company, spending a total of about $155m. Taken together, the simultaneously announced deals are the second-largest transaction announced in 2009 by a UK-based buyer. Adding to that, British defense giant QinetiQ reached for a well-funded security startup in a deal that features a handsome valuation and a pretty rich possible earn out.

In the more significant purchase, Micro Focus picked up long-ailing Borland Software for $1 per share, or an equity value of about $75m. In the same breath, it also scored a business line from Compuware for $80m. Micro Focus says the addition of Compuware’s application testing/automated software quality (ASQ) unit will help bolster its existing ASQ offering, a suite of tools that it sells under the Data Express name.

One of the more interesting aspects of Micro Focus’ double-up deal is that the company tapped Arma Partners to run both processes. (The transaction was headed up by Arma’s Paul-Noël Guély, along with Keith Robinson, Varun Sunderraman and Graham Smith.) Arma has served as a kind of house bank for Micro Focus, advising on four of the company’s past five deals. On the other side of the table, Updata Advisors worked with Compuware on its divestiture and JP Morgan Securities advised Borland. We’ll have a full report on the moves by Micro Focus in Thursday’s 451 Group sendout.

In a separate transaction, QinetiQ (through its North American arm) moved deeper into the cyber-intelligence world by buying Cyveillance. Terms call for QinetiQ to hand over $40m upfront, along with a possible $40m earn out over the next two years. Cyveillance, which we understand didn’t use a banker, generated sales of about $10m in 2008. Look for a full report on the relatively richly valued transaction in tonight’s 451 Group MIS email.

Oracle-Sun: a system on the cheap

Contact: Brenon Daly

Oracle’s big step into the hardware market comes at a relatively small price. In buying Sun Microsystems, Oracle is paying just one-tenth the valuation that it paid in its other multibillion-dollar acquisitions. The difference: the other purchases added software vendors with increasing sales and solid profitability, while Sun provides neither of those. Sun revenue is likely to slip about 10% in the current fiscal year, which ends in June, and the company has lost money in three of the past four quarters.

Still, the valuation drop-off is striking. Sun had generated some $13.3bn in trailing 12-month (TTM) revenue. Based on an offer that gives Sun an enterprise value (EV) of $5.6bn, Oracle is paying just 0.42x Sun’s TTM sales. In the four other acquisitions worth more than $1bn that Oracle has inked, the company has paid between 3.7x EV/TTM (Hyperion Solutions) and 5.2x EV/TTM sales (BEA Systems.)

Oracle’s multibillion-dollar deals

Date Target Equity value EV/TTM sales
December 2004 PeopleSoft $10.46bn 3.9x
January 2008 BEA Systems $8.5bn 5.2x
April 2009 Sun Microsystems $7.4bn 0.46x
September 2005 Siebel Systems $5.85bn 4x
March 2007 Hyperion Solutions $3.3bn 3.7x

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

TomorrowNot

There will be no more tomorrows for TomorrowNow. SAP, which bought the software maintenance provider in January 2005, said Monday it’s shuttering the division. Even though the German giant is killing off TomorrowNow, the lawsuit involving its subsidiary will live on. Recall that Oracle sued SAP more than a year ago, alleging TomorrowNow illegally downloaded information about Oracle’s support program. (SAP initially acquired TomorrowNow as a way to siphon off some of the rich maintenance stream that Oracle collects for supporting its application. Ironically, SAP launched the program with the title ‘Safe Passage.’)

Since the original lawsuit was filed in March 2007, the scope of it has broadened. Oracle is now seeking $1bn in damages. With TomorrowNow facing that kind of a hit, it’s perhaps not surprising that SAP, which had been shopping the division for several months now, found no willing buyer. We can only imagine the lengths that SAP must have gone through to write around the potential $1bn liability in putting together a pitch-book for TomorrowNow. However SAP worded the ‘for sale’ ad, it failed to generate any interest, even with the person who probably knows more about the business than anyone else.

Seth Ravin, who founded and ultimately sold TomorrowNow to SAP, has since moved on and founded a similar business supplying discounted support for ERP applications, Rimini Street. Although Rimini Street may have looked at bulking up through acquiring TomorrowNow, reports indicated that the company passed on a deal. We can only imagine how much SAP wishes it go back in time and pass on the TomorrowNow deal, which has brought it so much trouble.

Troubled timeline

Date Event
Jan. 2005 SAP acquires TomorrowNow
March 2007 Oracle sues SAP, alleging illegal corporate espionage
Nov. 2007 SAP looks to sell off TomorrowNow
April 2008 Oracle expands lawsuit
Feb. 2010 Case scheduled to be heard in court