Apax Partners is going double or nothing in the latest addition to its software portfolio. The buyout firm plans to spend a total of $2bn to put together a pair of old-line ERP vendors, Epicor Software and Activant Solutions. And it is very much a ‘paired’ deal. In fact, according to terms, Apax closing its Activant purchase is a precondition of its planned take-private of Epicor.

That said, neither Apax’s purchase of Activant from its current private equity (PE) owners nor the buyout of Epicor should present much of a problem to get closed this quarter. But it does underline the necessity of cost ‘synergies’ in a deal (or in this case, two) for a mature company. (We noted that fact in the very similar proposed take-private of Lawson Software.)

If the double-barreled deals go through (as we assume they will), it would mark the end of a two-and-a-half-year effort by Elliott Associates to get Epicor sold. The hedge fund accumulated a 10% stake in Epicor in 2008 and then floated an offer of $9.50 for each remaining share of Epicor. It later trimmed that to $7.50 per share as the software company’s outlook deteriorated. (Epicor’s total revenue dropped 16% in 2009, and sales in 2011, while expected to increase, are still forecasted to come in below the level of 2008.) Apax is set to pay $12.50 per share for Epicor – an offer that Elliot has signed off on.

Ever since hedge fund Elliott Associates put Novell in play five months ago, we’ve said that the company was going to be a tough sell. It’s a mixed bag of businesses, both in terms of what those businesses sell and how they perform. (Or rather, how those businesses underperform, as we were reminded by Novell’s warning earlier this week about third-quarter results. If nothing else, that kept alive Novell’s streak – it also came up short in the two quarters leading up to Elliott’s run at the company.)

Undoubtedly, Novell – an underperforming company that nonetheless found its treasury stuffed with more than $1bn of cash – offered an easy target for the gadfly investor. But having that agitation turn into an acquisition is proving much more difficult. (We recently took an in-depth look at Novell, as well as the specific business lines and which suitors might be eyeing them, in a special report.)

While the process initially attracted a number of parties, we understand that there are only three left at the table: a private equity-backed company, a UK-based PE firm and a joint bid between a publicly traded tech company and a buyout shop. It’s not clear that any of the three will actually close a deal for Novell. (The process has already run past two deadlines, we gather.) Without a deal, shares of Novell would be left to trade on the company’s own merits, which probably wouldn’t do much for shareholder value.

Novell timeline

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase