Category: infrastructure software

GFI may face IPO headwinds

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Undeterred by a chilly reception to similar firms, GFI Software has put in its paperwork for a $100m IPO. The company, which is based in Luxembourg, sells a variety of infrastructure and collaboration services to the SMB market. GFI was originally founded in 1992 as an e-fax software vendor, and has steadily built out its portfolio through internal expansion and a handful of acquisitions.

However, it is still primarily known for its security offerings, with that product line accounting for about 60% of total revenue in 2010. Since then, the company has been rapidly expanding into other areas, most notably collaboration. In its prospectus, GFI said collaboration now generates almost one-third of all revenue.

Still, Wall Street may well put GFI into the bucket of ‘European IT security vendor.’ If that’s the case, it could hurt the company’s debut, because investors haven’t backed IPOs from other infosec firms from across the Atlantic. AVG Technologies, for instance, has never traded above its offer price since coming public in February. And AVAST Software had to pull its IPO paperwork in July.

Additionally, there are some concerns with GFI itself. The company’s growth rate has cooled so far this year, with revenue ticking up just 27% in the first half of 2012 after increasing 46% in 2011. (The falloff in billings growth has been even sharper.) Further, GFI is not profitable and has not been generating as much cash as it had been.

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Another market, another wave of multibillion-dollar M&A

Brenon Daly

by Brenon Daly

A half-decade ago, tech giants SAP, Oracle and IBM went on a $15bn shopping spree that essentially consolidated the upper end of the business intelligence (BI) market. Now, the trio has done the same thing in another slice of the application software space, human capital management (HCM). On Monday, Big Blue joined the other two vendors with a billion-dollar HCM purchase of its own, paying $1.3bn for Kenexa.

Formerly a company that didn’t acquire application software providers, IBM nonetheless is set to hand over $46 for each share of Kenexa. (IBM valued the transaction at $1.3bn on a ‘net’ basis, which would exclude the roughly $50m in net cash that Kenexa held.) With its HCM acquisition, IBM follows SAP’s $3.6bn purchase of SuccessFactors last December and Oracle’s $2bn reach for Taleo last February.

IBM’s acquisition brings the trio’s total HCM spending on the deals to about $6.9bn – less than half the amount the three vendors paid in the consolidation of the BI market. However, the valuations paid for the flurry of HCM transactions have been significantly richer, ranging from 4-11.7 times trailing sales. For comparison, the BI deals went off at range of 3.7-5x trailing sales. Interestingly, in each of the consolidation waves, the last of the three transactions in the sectors garnered the lowest multiple: Kenexa at 4x sales and Hyperion Solutions at 3.7x sales.

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Actian persuading Pervasive to go private

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada, Thejeswi Venkatesh

After a tough 15 years in the public spotlight, Pervasive Software may have finally found a graceful exit. The data integration vendor, whose revenue has flattened since the turn of the century, today announced that it has received an unsolicited $154m buyout offer from Actian.

Pervasive would be wise to accept the offer, as the Austin, Texas-based company had done little to excite investors during its public lifetime. The company’s annual revenue has been roughly in the $40-50m range ever since 2000, and its shares have appreciated less than the broad, tech-heavy Nasdaq.

The lackluster performance factored into today’s offer. Actian’s bid values Pervasive at 2.3 times trailing sales. The best comparable deal is IBM’s Cast Iron Systems pickup in May 2010, which we estimate was valued at 6.7x revenue. And Boomi took an estimated 20x valuation in its sale to Dell in November 2011, though that target was much smaller. In fact, had it not been for Pervasive’s strong cash balance, the deal value would have been much less palatable. Pervasive held $42m in cash and no debt as of June. That treasury reduces the acquisition’s total cost to Actian by more than one-third.

Pressuring Pervasive’s shareholders to act on the offer, Actian is taking an unusually persuasive tone in its acquisition announcement, blatantly pointing out that its offer is the highest closing price reached by Pervasive’s common shares in the past 10 years. The deal carries a 30% premium to Pervasive’s closing share price on Friday, August 10.

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VMware’s aggressive M&A of disruptive technologies

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

One of the highest compliments that can be paid to any technology company is to call it ‘disruptive.’ And by both organic and inorganic means, VMware has certainly earned that accolade. That’s on top of the more than $40bn of market value that it has also earned.

Starting with its homegrown server virtualization (a radically disruptive technology to the server industry), VMware has steadily expanded into other markets through M&A. Along the way, we’ve seen that at the root of disruption is conflict, with VMware’s acquisitions putting it on a collision course with vendors of various sizes in various markets.

For instance, VMware has taken some shots at Microsoft through purchases such as Zimbra and SlideRocket, which take aim at Microsoft cash cows Exchange and PowerPoint, respectively. More recently, VMware dropped $1.26bn on Nicira, a deal that could threaten Cisco Systems and other networking providers because Nicira’s technology effectively virtualizes networks.

And earlier this week, VMware bolstered its log management/analytics business by picking up Log Insight. The acquisition is a bit of an elbow jab at Splunk, which has collected a sky-high market capitalization of nearly $3bn as the market leader in log management/analytics. Of course, it’s important to keep these tussles in perspective – Splunk is still a Gold Sponsor at VMworld later this month.

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Oracle adds network virtualization with Xsigo

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly, John Abbott

A week after VMware made its network virtualization play with the blockbuster purchase of Nicira Networks, Oracle has expanded its own virtualization portfolio by reaching for I/O virtualization startup Xsigo Systems. Although both startups loosely fall into the category of ‘software defined networks’ (SDNs), Xsigo itself used that description only sparingly to talk about its business. And if we look deeper at the two deals by the serial acquirers, we see they’re actually quite different.

For starters, the targets were at very different stages of commercial deployment. Nicira only had a handful of customers, and we understand that it still measured its revenue in the single digits of millions of dollars. In contrast, Xsigo indicated that it had tallied roughly 550 deployments since it began shipping its product some five years ago. It was generating revenue in the tens of millions of dollars, according to our understanding.

Further, the strategic drivers for each of the networking acquisitions are quite different. For VMware, the purchase of Nicira represents its grand plan to do to switches through virtualization what it has already done to servers through virtualization. For Oracle, there’s arguably a more focused goal for Xsigo, at least in the near term. My colleague John Abbott speculates that Xsigo’s technology is likely to be deployed as a means of providing a broader virtualized network fabric to surround Oracle’s Exa family of systems, boosting the number of available network and storage connections and making them more suitable for hosting cloud services. Look for our full report on Oracle’s acquisition of Xsigo in tonight’s Daily 451.

With new CEO at Symantec, is Big Yellow planning a big unwind?

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Is Big Yellow planning to slim down? That’s the question that was echoing around Wall Street on June 25 after Symantec showed Enrique Salem the door following another lackluster quarterly performance.

Symantec reported fiscal Q1 revenue was essentially flat with the year-earlier period, as its storage and server management unit (the company’s largest single business) actually shrank in Q1. Even when the unit grows, it lags Symantec’s other main business of security. For the full previous fiscal year, the storage business increased just 4%, compared to a 20% rise in security sales.

That discrepancy – along with the fact that Symantec shares have lost about one-third of their value since the security company got into the storage business with its mid-2005 acquisition of Veritas – has prompted calls from investors to unwind Veritas. We understand Symantec has been exploring that option since Salem took the top spot three years ago. One of the more intriguing ideas we heard was Symantec swapping its storage business for the RSA unit at EMC. However, we gather the separation of the units, along with tax implications, made that too complicated.

Incoming CEO Steve Bennett, who has been chairman of Symantec for a year, has indicated that he will review Symantec’s portfolio. Wall Street, of course, read a fair amount into that, as well as the CEO changeover. One source noted that Bennett had overseen a handful of divestitures during his tenure as chief executive of Intuit, including shedding the construction management software unit and unwinding the company’s Blue Ocean acquisition. However, we would characterize those moves as a typical bit of corporate housecleaning – a far cry from the teardown that some investors are calling for at Symantec.

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VMware’s new era with Nicira

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Having built a business valued in the tens of billions of dollars by virtualizing computing, VMware is now using its largest-ever acquisition in an effort to bring virtualization to networking. VMware will hand over a total of $1.26bn for startup Nicira. It’s a significant gamble for VMware, both strategically and financially.

The purchase is more than three times the size of VMware’s next-largest acquisition, and is roughly equal to the amount the virtualization kingpin has spent on its entire M&A program since parent company EMC spun off a small stake in VMware a half-decade ago. (VMware will cover the cost of the purchase from its treasury. As of the end of June, it held $5.3bn in cash and short-term investments, and it has generated $2bn in free cash flow over the past year.)

VMware has positioned Nicira, a company that only recently emerged from stealth, as a key component of its effort to put software at the core of datacenters. VMware has done that with servers – and to some degree, storage as well – by using software to essentially commodify hardware. It’s an approach that appears to undermine a once-cozy relationship with networking partner Cisco Systems. Incidentally, shares of the switch and router giant are currently at their lowest level in about a year, and it announced another round of layoffs at almost exactly the same time that VMware announced its big networking acquisition.

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Dell’s hard drive into software

Brenon Daly

by Brenon Daly

Dell plans to more than triple the size of its software business in the coming years, underscoring the tech giant’s transition away from its origins as a box maker. The software division is currently running at around $1.5bn, and John Swainson, the recently appointed president of Dell Software, laid out a target of $5bn in sales for the unit. M&A will continue to help move the company toward that target, he added.

In many ways, the transition that Dell is going through is one that IBM has already been through. Indeed, Swainson and a number of other executives (Tom Kendra and Dave Johnson, among others) that are charged with building out Dell’s software portfolio helped do the same thing at Big Blue. Each of the three executives spent a quarter-century at IBM.

Dell has been a steady buyer of software, with all six of its acquisitions so far this year adding to the company’s software portfolio. The largest, of course, is the recently announced $2.5bn purchase of Quest Software, expected to close later this quarter. While that acquisition brought some much-needed heft to Dell’s software portfolio, Quest was viewed by many as a mixed bag of businesses, including some (such as data protection) that directly overlapped with existing Dell products.

For the software business, Swainson also set out the rather ambitious goal of growing it in the ‘mid-teen’ percentage range. Clearly, that was a long-range goal, one that implies a significant acceleration of existing business as well as a regular contribution from acquisitions. Still, the projection seems like a bit of a stretch. Consider that IBM – a model for Dell – has increased revenue in its software business just 2.5% so far this year.

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Shallow pool in mobile optimization becoming shallower

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

After Allot Communications dipped its toes into the pool of mobile optimization targets by acquiring small Ortiva Wireless, Citrix cannonballed with the acquisition of Bytemobile. These two deals significantly drained the already shallow pool of acquisition targets in this market. Interested buyers should dismiss the ‘don’t run when wet’ precaution, and jump in before there’s no water left.

Consumers are buying data-intensive devices in droves, and data consumption is exploding as a result. Because seamless data use is considered a right rather than a privilege these days, cell carriers unable to provide flawless transmission risk customer desertion. Tackling this concern, mobile operators are employing every option available to relieve their bandwidth bottlenecks, including relying on a new breed of mobile traffic optimization firms.

As these upstarts emerge as viable solutions, they’re becoming increasingly attractive acquisition targets both for the vendors that traditionally have served telcos, and for non-traditional vendors hoping to pull in cash-rich telco customers.

However, interested acquirers need to move fast. In a recent report, we identified 11 remaining vendors, ranging from pre-revenue firms to established midmarket players. But less than half of those vendors target mobile optimization as their core business. Click here to see who we think may be next in the buyout line.

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The (bargain) quest for Quest

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Nobody wants you, then everyone wants you. In the year leading up to the proposed management buyout of Quest Software in early March, shares of the management software vendor had shed one-quarter of their value. (At one point in its slide last August, the stock dipped to $15 – its lowest point in two years.)

The ongoing bidding war, of course, has changed all that. Since sinking to its low-water mark last summer, Quest’s valuation has risen a cool $1bn, with an unidentified suitor (widely assumed to be Dell) bidding about $2.4bn for the old-line software company on Monday. The latest offer is $27.50 per share, some 20% higher than the $23 per share offered by Insight Venture Partners back in early March. Just to put some context around the price, Quest stock hasn’t changed hands above $30 in 11 years.

And yet, even with the four rounds of bumped bids, Quest is still trading slightly below the median valuation of significant acquisitions so far this year. According to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, the 50 largest transactions in 2012 have gone off at 3 times trailing sales. The latest bid for Quest values the company at 2.7 time trailing sales.

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