For Keynote’s new owners, it’s been buy-and-build buyouts

Contact: Brenon Daly, Dennis Callaghan

Sometimes it’s just easier to go shopping behind closed doors. We were reminded of that as Keynote Systems indicated that it plans to go private in a $395m sale to private equity (PE) firm Thoma Bravo. As we look at the PE shop’s portfolio companies, it’s striking how quickly the M&A pace has picked up once the companies can reach into the deep pockets of their new owner, and do so out of the glare of Wall Street.

Consider the M&A activity of Blue Coat Systems. The security company averaged about one acquisition every other year in the decade leading up to its December 2011 take-private by Thoma Bravo. So far in 2013, Blue Coat has already done two outright acquisitions, including paying what we hear is a double-digit multiple for Solera Networks. (451 M&A KnowledgeBase subscribers can see our estimates for terms of the Blue Coat-Solera pairing by clicking here.) Thoma Bravo also rolled Crossbeam Systems, which it already owned, into Blue Coat last December.

Similarly, Tripwire had done only one deal in the nearly decade and a half before it sold to Thoma Bravo in mid-2011. (And the security firm’s sole foray into M&A was a tiny asset purchase that only set it back $3m.) Earlier this year, it made a significant bet of more than $100m on nCircle, which bumped up total revenue by about one-quarter. And based on the early progress on that transaction, we understand that Tripwire may be looking to make another similarly sized acquisition in the coming quarters.

The Keynote leveraged buyout (LBO) isn’t expected to close until fall, and even after that the company’s new owners will probably want some time to more deeply understand and take some preliminary steps to get the test and measurement vendor growing again. Revenue has been flat so far this fiscal year as some customers have recently narrowed Keynote projects or put them off.

But once business is shored up, we could imagine Keynote returning to the M&A market, from which it has been absent since October 2011. My colleague Dennis Callaghan speculated in a report on the LBO that Keynote may also look to expand its capabilities in pre-deployment testing or even add content delivery network technology through acquisition.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.

The coupon company behind the buyout curtain

Contact: Ben Kolada

While coupons can save shoppers some money, Web-based coupon companies can sometimes cost private equity (PE) firms a lot of money. According to our sources, a large PE shop picked up an online coupon company around the beginning of this year in a deal that valued the low-profile company at more than $100m.

No announcement was made and certainly no terms were disclosed. However, we’ve uncovered all of that information.

To our subscribers, which company do you think this was? We’ll give you a few more hints: the company hadn’t taken any funding and the deal record includes some estimated information. We also have an estimate for the price paid, though we’re holding that for now.

Bragging rights go to the user who names the company and unofficial ‘industry insider’ status goes to the user who both names the company and the price. Tweet your guesses to us  @451TechMnA

Same price but very different deals for Tumblr and Websense

Contact: Brenon Daly

It’s often said that tech M&A valuations are more art than science, a perspective that stood in stark relief thanks to a pair of transactions announced Monday morning. The deals, which have wildly different strategic underpinnings, involve companies at opposite ends of their corporate lifecycle but came in at the same price: $1bn.

On the one hand, we have a fairly staid take-private of a 20-year-old information security vendor with flatlining sales of slightly more than one-third of a billion dollars. On the other, we have a wildly popular blogging site that gets a multiple of nearly 100x its nascent sales as a faded Internet kingpin makes a highly speculative acquisition.

In the more conventional transaction, buyout shop Vista Equity Partners said it will hand over about $1bn for Websense. The offer values the Web content filtering vendor at loosely 3x sales. (That’s just slightly higher than the multiple that fellow private equity firm Thoma Bravo paid a year and a half ago for Blue Coat Systems, a ‘vintage’ technology company that also offered Web content filtering as part of its broader portfolio.) According to a recent survey of IT buyers by TheInfoPro, a service of 451 Research, Blue Coat was the top-ranked Web content filtering vendor, cited by 27% of respondents, followed by Websense at 22%.

And then, there’s Yahoo’s reach for Tumblr. The $1.1bn all-cash acquisition is Yahoo’s largest in about a decade. And while Tumblr has a heavy user base (about 300 million unique monthly visitors), it had only really begun generating revenue. The company has only about one-tenth the number of employees at Websense.

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After 25 years as a public company, BMC gets so-so exit in take-private

Contact: Brenon Daly

After almost a year of agitation by an activist hedge fund, BMC Software has agreed to sell itself to a group of private equity (PE) buyers for $6.9bn. The take-private of the IT systems management giant, which is the second-largest tech PE deal since the end of the recent recession, will end a quarter-century of public trading for BMC. The offer values the company at a fairly conventional, ho-hum multiple, reflecting the struggles BMC has had in finding any growth.

At $6.9bn, the bid from the consortium – made up of Bain Capital, Golden Gate Capital, GIC Special Investments and Insight Venture Partners – values BMC at 3.2x trailing sales and just 10x trailing EBITDA. As a mature company, BMC throws off a lot of cash, generating some $700m in EBITDA on $2.2bn in sales annually. The relatively rich margin prompts the question of how the company’s new PE owners will be able to boost BMC’s already high cash flow.

The consortium has offered $46.25 per share for BMC. That is only slightly above the level where BMC was trading on its own before hedge fund Elliott Management started its campaign to ‘unlock shareholder value’ at the company. (Further, the price is less than where BMC shares changed hands on their own from late-2010 to mid-2011.) Elliott ended up with a nearly 10% stake in the company as part of its campaign.

Coming just three months after the proposed PE-led management buyout of Dell, the take-private of BMC has a decidedly different structure than most recent PE deals. For starters, it is large – nearly twice the size of other recent tech LBOs and, in fact, it trails only Dell’s $24bn buyout on the list of largest post-recession PE deals.

Additionally, it marks the return of the so-called ‘club deal’ where PE firms team up to take on bigger game. Those deals were relatively frequent before the 2008-09 recession tightened the availability and rates for debt, but fell out of favor recently. Of the five take-privates of US publicly traded tech companies announced in the past two years valued at more than $1bn, four of those have been done by single PE shops, with only one club deal, according to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase.

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Ripe time for spoiled fruit

Contact: Ben Kolada

While we’re in a season of slim pickings for tech M&A, one market that’s ripening is the sale of spoiled fruit. Major tech companies such as Microsoft and VMware are now selling flagging businesses at an unusually quick clip.

There are a variety of reasons why companies would sell assets during every part of the economic cycle. But right now, as growth slows across much of the established tech markets, companies are increasingly focusing on the relatively few areas that are recording sales increases. (To continue our gardening metaphor, it’s similar to a person cutting off a dying bulb so that the rest of a plant can flourish.)

Microsoft, for example, announced its second asset sale in as many months, selling its Mediaroom IPTV distribution platform to Ericsson. (Last month, Microsoft sold its Atlas Advertiser Suite assets to Facebook.) Mediaroom was part of Microsoft’s Entertainment and Devices Division (EDD), which includes Xbox, Skype and Windows Phone assets. EDD revenue rose in FY 2012 primarily due to Skype and Windows Phone revenue, but has declined 8% in the two quarters since as Xbox sales sank.

And in the case of VMware, the sizzling growth of its core virtualization software in previous years allowed it to expand into new markets. But as the company’s top-line expansion dipped to 22% in 2012 from 32% in 2011, it announced a refocus of its business. VMware sold its SlideRocket assets in March, and may consider selling other noncore businesses.

Select asset sales in 2013

Date announced Target – asset Acquirer Deal value
April 8 Microsoft – Mediaroom assets Ericsson Not disclosed
April 3 Google – 3LM BoxTone Not disclosed
April 1 IBM – ShowCase software division Help/Systems Not disclosed
March 14 TeleNav – enterprise mobile business FleetCor Technologies $10m
March 5 VMware – SlideRocket business ClearSlide Not disclosed
February 25 HP – webOS assets LG Electronics Not disclosed
February 19 Oracle – Lustre assets Xyratex Not disclosed
February 5 United Business Media – data services businesses Electra Partners $251m
February 4 News Corp – IGN Entertainment j2 Global/Ziff Davis $50m
January 28 Sierra Wireless – AirCard business NETGEAR $138m
January 24 WebTech Wireless – NextBus business Cubic $20.9m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

 

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Cashing in on CDW

Contact: Tejas Venkatesh, Ben Kolada

Although CDW was taken private at the height of the prerecession bubble, when valuations were on the rise, its private equity (PE) owners, led by Madison Dearborn Partners and including Providence Equity Partners, may still profit handsomely from their investment. Based on our assumptions, the PE pair could record a profit of nearly $4bn on their investment. CDW filed its IPO paperwork last week.

Madison Dearborn announced that it was taking CDW off the Nasdaq in May 2007, at a valuation of about 1x trailing sales. At that time, the company was debt-free and generated $7bn in revenue in the preceding 12 months.

At the time of the take-private, CDW indicated that it expected $4.6bn of debt to be outstanding after the $7.3bn deal. Assuming all of that debt was used to finance the deal would mean that Madison Dearborn and Providence Equity would have invested just $2.7bn in equity.

If CDW reenters the public arena at the same valuation it was taken off (1x sales), then Madison Dearborn and Providence Equity’s investment will more than double. If CDW goes public at an enterprise value of $10.1bn (1x sales), backing out its $3.7bn of net debt would mean that the PE shops’ equity would have grown from $2.7bn at the time of the take-private to $6.4bn today.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.

Once indelibly on the market, Dell looks to go private

Contact: Brenon Daly

In the third-largest tech leveraged buyout (LBO), Dell will end a quarter century as a public company in a $24bn take-private led by Silver Lake Partners. The private equity firm will be joined by Michael Dell, who is maintaining a significant minority stake in the company that he will continue to lead once it goes private. The LBO comes after Dell has struggled for much of the past half-decade to recast its business away from the rapidly diminishing PC market.

As part of that shift, Michael Dell returned as CEO to his namesake firm in early 2007 and (somewhat belatedly) began an M&A spree that eventually totaled some 20 transactions with a tab of $10bn. The acquisitions got Dell into virtually every part of the tech landscape, including IT services (Perot Systems), security (SecureWorks, SonicWALL), networking (Force10 Networks), storage (Compellent, AppAssure) and infrastructure software (Quest Software).

However, the acquisitions and other strategic shifts that Dell has made have yet to show up in the company’s financials. Dell, which just wrapped its fiscal year, is likely to post revenue that’s nearly 10% lower than the previous year. The company’s operating income has dropped by about one-third.

Since Michael Dell returned to the corner office six years ago, shares of the company have lost about half their value. Rightly or wrongly, Wall Street still views Dell – which gets half its revenue from PC sales – as a low-value ‘box maker’ rather than a strategic supplier of IT products and services. In the end, Dell is exiting the market at just one-quarter the value it once commanded.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @MAKnowledgebase.

Making sense of j2’s Ziff Davis acquisition

Contact: Ben Kolada

At first glance, j2 Global’s acquisition of Ziff Davis Media seemed to be a stretch. However, upon further review of j2’s M&A strategy and recently released financial statements for Ziff Davis, the company actually meets many of j2’s requirements for its diversification acquisitions: Ziff Davis has a strong management team, operates in a fragmented market and, perhaps most importantly, is increasing revenue.

Technology content provider Ziff Davis Media was a powerhouse in its time, but it struggled as consumers moved from print to digital media. Total revenue at the company declined from $300m in 2001 to $76m in 2007, when more than half of its revenue was still coming from print advertising.

Ziff Davis filed for bankruptcy in 2008, and was subsequently carved up in four transactions. The Ziff Davis chunk being acquired by j2 is owned by CEO Vivek Shah and Great Hill Partners. Shah, a digital publishing veteran with experience at Time Inc and the Fortune/Money Group, and his team helped turn around ailing Ziff Davis, bump up revenue and return it to profitability.

J2 released financial statements this week for Ziff Davis that show the company is in growth mode. Unaudited results for the nine months ended September 30 show revenue increased 70% over the prior year to $32m. In the 12 months ended September 30, the company generated almost $45m in revenue, with nearly $8m in EBITDA.

For anyone interested in what goes on in The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, we’ve updated our merger record for j2’s acquisition of Ziff Davis and made it available for free. Click here to view the record.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @MAKnowledgebase.

Fiserv acquires Open Solutions and its debt

Contact: Ben Kolada, Tejas Venkatesh

Fiserv has acquired fellow financial software company Open Solutions, adding new clients and bolstering its offerings for credit unions and banks. Fiserv is buying Open Solutions from Carlyle Group and Providence Equity Partners, paying $55m for the target’s equity and assuming $960m in debt. While Open Solutions’ enterprise value (EV) this time around is about 20% less than its price in its 2006 take-private, its equity value is a much smaller fraction of the previous transaction.

In the time since Carlyle Group and Providence Equity took Open Solutions private to Monday’s sale to Fiserv, the company’s debt has ballooned. Open Solutions had roughly $448m in net debt when it announced that it was being taken private. That amounted to about one-third (36%) of its total EV. The company’s debt has nearly doubled in the past six years and now accounts for nearly all (95%) of its EV.

Although Open Solutions’ debt does appear troubling, Fiserv is recognizing some financial benefits from the acquisition. Open Solutions has had a history of losses, which means that tax breaks are available to Fiserv. The net present value of those breaks is $165m, which will ultimately reduce the total cost of the acquisition from $1.01bn to $865m.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @MAKnowledgebase.

Tech buyers pull in their M&A plans for 2013

Contact: Brenon Daly

Even as 2012 is shaping up to be a lackluster year for tech M&A, next year could be even quieter. In 451 Research’s annual survey of corporate development executives, these buyers dramatically pulled in their acquisition plans for 2013. Just 38% of corporate shoppers said they would be increasing their M&A activity in the coming year – the lowest forecasted activity level in the six years of our survey.

On the other side, fully one out of five respondents (20%) indicated they would be slowing their purchases in the coming year, up significantly from the previous two years. It’s also important to note that the dour forecast for 2013 is coming off an already low base. With just two weeks of the year remaining, tech M&A spending for 2012 is all but certain to come in below the level of both 2011 and 2010. That would snap two straight years of increased spending.

The views of corporate development executives are an important indicator of the overall health of the tech M&A community, as they go a long way toward setting the tone in the market. We will have a full report on the survey results – including the outlook for valuation and specific types of acquisitions – in tomorrow’s Daily 451.

Projected change in M&A activity

Period Increase Stay the same Decrease
December 2012 for 2013 38% 42% 20%
December 2011 for 2012 56% 30% 14%
December 2010 for 2011 52% 41% 7%
December 2009 for 2010 68% 27% 5%
December 2008 for 2009 44% 33% 23%

Source: 451 Research Tech Corporate Development Outlook Survey

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