In a note sent out to clients before the market closed Thursday, we speculated that Borland was likely to get a bid that topped its existing agreement with Micro Focus. (See the full post.) Shortly after the market closed, Borland indicated an unidentified suitor (Company A) raised its bid to $1.25 for each share of Borland, eclipsing the $1.15 per share that the boards of both Borland and Micro Focus have agreed to. Borland shareholders had been scheduled to vote on the deal, which was originally announced May 6, on July 22. The identity of Company A wasn’t revealed. In our earlier post, we noted our suspicions that the bidder might be Embarcadero Technologies, a portfolio company of Thoma Cressey Bravo. However, one informed source has subsequently told us that is not the case.
Author: Brenon Daly
A new bid for Borland?
Contact: Brenon Daly
Nearly a month after Micro Focus and Borland announced their planned combination, a pair of after-the-fact bidders pushed Micro Focus to reach a little deeper into its pockets for the application lifecycle management vendor. Now we’re hearing that one of the mystery suitors may well come back with a higher offer. As it stands, Borland shareholders are set to vote on Micro Focus’ bid of $1.15 in cash for each Borland share, or a total of some $92m, on July 22.
However, several sources have indicated that one unidentified party that previously floated a range of $1.10-1.20 per Borland share may well be preparing a bid that would top the existing offer from Micro Focus. The identity of that suitor has never been revealed, and is referred to as ‘Company A’ in the proxy filings. (We suspect, but have not confirmed, that Company A could be Embarcadero Technologies, which went private two years ago in a $200m buyout by Thoma Cressey Bravo. Following a split, TCB now goes by the name Thoma Bravo.) The proxy adds that Company A originally approached Borland with an unsolicited offer in June 2008, and has been more or less present during the process since then. Borland has dismissed several rounds of interest by Company A because of questions about its ability to pay for the deal.
While Company A may or may not come back with a higher offer, the other suitor that emerged after Micro Focus and Borland agreed to their deal – an unnamed private equity firm referred to as ‘Company E’ – will not be dusting off its bid, according to the proxy. Company E has never been identified, but we have a pretty strong suspicion that it could be a recently launched investment firm in the Boston area called 2SV Capital. Calls to the firm weren’t returned.
Certainly, a number of signs point to 2SV Capital as one of Borland’s mystery bidders. Two of the three partners in the firm certainly know the Borland business well, having worked together on the sale of Segue Software in early 2006 to Borland. (As we noted in a recent report on the pending sale of Borland, the Segue business is essentially the main reason why Micro Focus is interested in Borland.) 2SV Capital founder Richard Vieira, who was then working for Jefferies & Co, advised Segue, which was at the time headed up by Joe Krivickas, on the sale to Borland. (Krivickas recently joined Vieira at 2SV Capital.) If indeed 2SV Capital were interested, we suspect the buyout shop wouldn’t have needed to spend too much time on due diligence, given their understanding of the business.
End of a (Lucid)Era
Contact: Brenon Daly, Krishna Roy
After unsuccessfully trying to find a buyer for several months, LucidEra has turned itself over to a workout firm to sell off the patents and whatever else has value at the once-promising on-demand business intelligence (BI) vendor. We understand that CEO Robert Reid and the company’s board members have left LucidEra, replaced by Diablo Management Group. DMG, which got the mandate last week, has sole fiduciary control at LucidEra. A scrap sale, if it occurs, is likely within the next two months or so.
It’s a stunning fall for LucidEra, which was arguably the most visible startup in the market. Certainly, cofounder and former CEO Ken Rudin was one of the loudest – if not the loudest – evangelist for on-demand BI. (Rudin served as CEO until last July, when he assumed the role of chief marketing officer and turned the company over to Reid.) The company had raised some $23m from Crosslink Capital, Benchmark Capital and Matrix Partners over two rounds. We would note that if DMG does manage to sell LucidEra, the startups’ creditors will be first in line for payment, with any remaining funds then available to investors. LucidEra doesn’t have many creditor claims, but there are some.
In many ways, what initially allowed LucidEra to get going ultimately proved to be its undoing. From the beginning, the vendor tied its fate to Salesforce.com, specifically offering a pipeline reporting and analytics feature for the on-demand CRM vendor. That essentially made LucidEra an after-market add-on for Salesforce.com customers, which limited its market and always prompted questions about why Salesforce.com wouldn’t just offer that technology. It also got us wondering in a report two months ago why Salesforce.com wouldn’t just acquire LucidEra. That may still happen. If it does, however, Salesforce.com will be picking up just a fraction of what LucidEra had been when they last discussed a deal. And it will be paying just a fraction of the price, as well.
ECM: And then there was one…
Contact: Brenon Daly
With the US government having blessed on Friday the pending marriage between Open Text and Vignette, the only remaining obstacle in the $310m pairing is a vote by Vignette shareholders next month. And we expect pretty quick approval of the offer from Vignette’s long-suffering shareholders, who had seen their shares lose half their value in the half-decade preceding Open Text’s move. Over that same period, Open Text stock had gained about 16%, handily outperforming the 15% loss posted by the broader Nasdaq Index. (Share price is important in this transaction because Open Text is paying roughly one-third of the bill for Vignette in equity. Open Text stock is up nearly 10% since the deal announcement.)
If, as expected, Vignette shareholders sign off on the sale in their July 21 vote, the deal would mark the second major enterprise content management (ECM) vendor taken off the board in 2009. In January, Autonomy Corp announced a somewhat unexpected move into ECM by shelling out $775m in cash for Interwoven. That transaction closed in mid-March. The recent pairings continue a trend of major consolidation in the ECM market that started back in 2003, with EMC buying Documentum for $1.8bn. IBM, Oracle and Hewlett-Packard have also announced ECM deals of their own, pushing the announced value of acquisitions in the sector to $9.4bn since January 2002. For those of you keeping score at home, the one notable enterprise software company that hasn’t made an ECM move of its own is SAP. Of course, SAP just happens to be the largest partner for Open Text. So if the German giant does look to make a buy, we have a pretty good idea of who it might call.
The disappearing LBO
Contact: Brenon Daly
With private equity (PE) firms bidding against one another (as was the case with SumTotal Systems) and bidding against strategic buyers (as was the case with Borland), we might be tempted to think that the tech buyout barons are back. Umm, not really. So far this year, PE firms have accounted for just $3bn of the almost $53bn in announced M&A spending. (For more, see our second-quarter M&A report.)
To put that into perspective, consider that in 2006 there were nine individual transactions that topped the $3bn amount that we’ve tallied for the entire first half of this year. In 2007, there were another six LBOs that each eclipsed the aggregate PE spending so far in 2009.
Viewed on a relative basis, the diminished activity of financial buyers compared to strategic acquirers is even more dramatic. Not too long ago, buyout shops could outbid public companies simply because credit was cheap. That helped PE firms account for nearly one-quarter of every dollar spent on tech deals. The level now is closer to a nickel of every dollar.
LBOs as percent of overall tech M&A spending
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Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase
Hey Larry, wanna buy a bridge?
Contact: Brenon Daly, Krishna Roy
Although Oracle announced the purchase of Conformia Software on Wednesday, the market is currently buzzing with speculation that the tech giant has closed – but not yet announced – a much larger transaction. Several sources have indicated that Oracle has acquired GoldenGate Software. The two companies have had a deep relationship for some time and while a deal has been kicked around in the past, talks stalled because GoldenGate always priced itself higher than Oracle was willing to spend. We haven’t heard what Oracle ended up paying for GoldenGate, which we understand was generating slightly more than $100m in trailing sales.
In many ways, this rumored deal echoes IBM’s purchase of DataMirror two years ago. In that transaction, Big Blue paid $161m, or 3.3x DataMirror’s trailing 12-month (TTM) revenue. Of course, 2007 was a high-water mark for recent valuations, both on the Nasdaq and among VC-backed companies. (GoldenGate has received a reported $33m from Summit Partners.) According to our analysis of data from the 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, VC-backed companies sold for a median valuation of 6.2x TTM in 2007, compared to just 2.8x TTM sales so far this year.
If Oracle is indeed picking up GoldenGate, the acquisition should enable the database giant to compete more effectively with IBM’s Information Server and other data management offerings from Big Blue. GoldenGate’s technology would give Oracle the opportunity to extend its data migration, high-availability and real-time integration capabilities to non-Oracle environments. GoldenGate already provides data migration capabilities for Siebel applications and real-time integration for Oracle’s data warehouse, for example, so there’s already technical integration in place.
Corporate dealmakers ready to deal
Contact: Brenon Daly
Companies expect to be busier with M&A during the rest of the year than they’ve been so far in 2009, even though they’re likely to pay steeper prices for their deals. That’s the takeaway from our recent survey of corporate development executives at more than 60 technology firms. The survey, which closed Monday evening, updated our full report from last December and will figure into our midyear M&A webinar on Thursday.
If not bullish, the projections in our midyear survey are much less bearish than they were in our previous survey at the end of last year. Six out of 10 respondents said their companies will pick up their rate of shopping, while just one out of 10 projected their M&A pace will tail off for the rest of 2009. That’s a notable swing back to optimism from the December survey, when just four out of 10 said they expected to be busier, and two out of 10 said they would slow their acquisition pace.
The view from corporate dealmakers is significant because, collectively, they set the tone in the tech M&A market. So far this year, strategic buyers have accounted for $50bn of the $53bn in announced deal values, with financial acquirers tallying just $3bn. In terms of how they assess the buying environment, however, the view is pretty evenly split. Roughly one-third of the respondents said valuations of private technology companies would fall further in the second half of 2009, with another one-third saying they would hold steady, and another one-third predicting they would rebound before the end of the year.
Zix: a prescription for divestiture
Contact: Brenon Daly
One conclusion to draw from the recent pickup in divestitures is that dividing corporate attention often means diluting corporate returns. Consider the situation at Zix Corp. The Dallas-based company has a small but growing business selling email encryption. In mid-2003, Zix moved into electronic prescriptions through its $1.5m acquisition of the assets of PocketScript. The plan was to expand its business of providing secure communications to the billions of prescriptions written every year in a less costly and more secure way.
However, after nearly six years of trying to realize those goals, Zix has little to show for it. Revenue from the e-prescriptions unit totaled just $5.4m, or 19% of Zix’s overall sales, in 2008. Sales at the division last year slipped 11% from the year before, compared to a 26% increase in its core email encryption business. (And we would note that both units employed some 73 people, giving an idea of the relative returns of each unit.)
Moreover, the e-prescriptions division has only one-third the number of subscribers that Zix estimates would be required to cover the costs of developing the service, according to the company’s own calculations. And now, Zix has acknowledged that it may never get the business to that level on its own. The firm hired Allen & Co late last week to advise it on ‘strategic alternatives’ for its e-prescriptions unit.
What’s on NICE Systems’ shopping list?
Contact: Brenon Daly
After being out of the market for more than a year, NICE Systems is looking to do deals again. The Israeli company inked a pair of asset purchases in 2008, with a total bill just shy of $20m. Those pickups came after NICE made its largest acquisition to date, the $280m cash-and-stock purchase of Actimize. With no debt and some $530m in cash and equivalents, NICE certainly has the means to do deals. The firm didn’t offer a peak at its shopping list, but said Tuesday at the RBC Technology, Media and Communications Conference that it will be active.
As its most-significant acquisition, the addition of Actimize bolstered NICE’s analytics offering, helping to expand the number of applications the company sells. (Actimize has also thrived under NICE. We understand that the startup has doubled its revenue to $60m in the two years since NICE acquired it.) Founded in 1986, NICE sold recording technology for call centers for much of its corporate life. In the past year or so, it has expanded into additional applications, such as workforce management, customer feedback and governance, risk and compliance. Roughly three-quarters of NICE’s revenue comes from its enterprise business, with the rest coming from its security unit.
Of course, the market has been speculating on and off for many years about a large deal by NICE involving a combination with archrival Verint Systems. However, valuing any potential transaction remains a challenge because of Verint’s majority owner, Comverse Technology. (Yes, that’s the company that has been wracked by allegations of fraud and options backdating scandals, with its founder and former CEO living on the lam in Africa. The company’s financial statements are also woefully out of date.) We understand that Comverse retained a banker some time ago to help sell off some assets. If Comverse wanted to reheat that effort and shed Verint, we’re pretty sure that NICE would put aside historical rivalries and consider that consolidation play.
Quick to offer, slow to vote
Contact: Brenon Daly
Even with the recent flurry of deal announcements, the pace of actually getting those proposed transactions in front of shareholders hasn’t necessarily followed suit. On Monday, a pair of buyers of public companies said they wouldn’t be holding votes on the proposed acquisitions, which were both announced in mid-April, until mid-July. To be sure, the anticipated three-month gap between announcing the transactions and shareholders voting on them isn’t alarmingly long. But it does continue the rather drawn-out dealmaking process that we’ve seen since the credit crisis tore apart Wall Street.
In the larger of the two announcements, Oracle said Sun Microsystems shareholders will have the opportunity to sound off on the planned $7.4bn deal on July 16. That is almost two weeks longer than it took to close its slightly larger purchase of BEA Systems last year. And if, as expected, Sun shareholders agree to the pending acquisition and Oracle closes it immediately, the time from announcement to closing would be roughly twice as long as the time for its multibillion-dollar purchase of Hyperion Solutions as well as its smaller acquisition of Stellent.
Meanwhile, Thoma Bravo, which plans to pick up Entrust, originally intended to put its $114m offer before shareholders on Monday. Instead, they will vote on the deal July 10. The delay comes despite not a single superior bid surfacing for the security company during its ‘go-shop’ period. The target said it shopped itself to 35 other potential suitors from mid-April to mid-May, but received only three non-binding offers. Entrust’s board didn’t judge any of them ‘superior’ to Thoma Bravo’s original offer. Shareholders will have their say on that in a month.