One sale leads to another at Sophos?

Contact: Brenon Daly

As leading indicators go, the recent decisions around Sophos paint a rather bearish picture for the current IPO market. The anti-malware vendor had briefly filed to go public back in late 2007 but then pulled the paperwork as the markets tumbled. We understand that Sophos had lined up banks earlier this year for another run at an IPO, but it ended up selling a majority chunk to buyout shop Apax Partners earlier this week. (Two of the three bookrunners on the most recent lineup were the same as the 2007 prospectus, according to a source.)

A dual-track process typically adds at least a few dollars to the price of a company, since it at least introduces the idea of another buyer (the public market). However, Sophos’ sale to Apax, in our view, comes at a discount to the valuation we would have penciled out for the company. The deal values Sophos at $830m, about 3.2 times trailing sales and 2.7 times projected revenue. Sophos’ stillborn IPO comes at time when other would-be debutants are having to cut terms or shelve their offerings altogether.

Yet somewhat paradoxically, we think the move by Apax actually makes an offering by the security company more likely, at least down the road. For starters, it replaces Sophos’ somewhat cumbersome ownership structure, which didn’t always share the same alignment, with a single owner to call the shots. (For instance, we heard there was a fair amount of dissention inside Sophos over its mid-2007 purchase of Utimaco, which stands as the largest acquisition of a public security company by a private one.)

Also, Apax probably got in at a low enough price that it could make a decent return by taking Sophos public in a year or two, provided the equity markets stay receptive. (We would argue that’s a much more likely exit than a flip to yet another buyout shop.) And finally, there are plenty of banks ready to (at long last) get Sophos on the market. Many of the underwriters have been working with Sophos for more than a half-decade, so it would be just a matter of updating numbers in what has to be a well-worn pitch book.

Double-door exits

Contact: Brenon Daly

When companies look for an exit, there is usually door number one (IPO) or door number two (trade sale). But in some rare cases, it’s not either/or, it’s both. That’s playing out in two very different ways around Symantec’s acquisition of encryption vendor PGP. The purchase by Big Yellow was the first of a doubleheader day in which it also picked up its OEM partner, GuardianEdge Technologies. (Incidentally, the PGP buy was Symantec’s largest acquisition since reaching across the Atlantic for on-demand vendor MessageLabs in October 2008.)

But back to exits. With the sale of PGP, we expect the next big liquidity event for an encryption vendor to be the IPO of SafeNet. We’ve heard recent talk of an offering for the company, which was taken private by Vector Capital in early 2007. Since its buyout, SafeNet has done a few deals of its own, including the contentious acquisition of Aladdin Knowledge Systems in August 2008. We understand that SafeNet is running at north of $400m in revenue.

The sale of PGP also means that investment firm DE Shaw has now recorded one of each potential exit over the past month. In late March, portfolio company Meru Networks went public, and now fetches a market valuation of about $250m. (The offering by Meru came after many other wireless LAN providers got snapped up.) DE Shaw also owned a chunk of PGP, meaning it will also get a payday from Symantec’s $300m purchase of the encryption vendor.

Palm’s down

Contact: Brenon Daly

Just two weeks ago, we wrote that we thought Palm Inc would be a tough sell because the cash-burning smartphone pioneer seemed mired in irrelevance, both to consumers and developers. OK, so we were a bit off on that. The company apparently appeared relevant enough to Hewlett-Packard for the tech giant to hand over more than $1bn in cash for Palm.

While Palm’s board has backed the deal, it appears to be a bit of a tough sell to the company’s shareholders, who have bid Palm stock above the offer since it was announced. From their perspective, anyone who bought the stock over the past year – with the exception of a period from roughly mid-March to mid-April – is underwater, despite the 23% premium offered by HP. Palm shares changed hands at twice the level of HP’s bid for most of January.

But then, valuing Palm has always been tricky, going back to its fitful birth on the Nasdaq as a spin-off from 3Com. (As a side note, HP’s pending pickup of Palm would reunite the smartphone company with its former parent, as HP just closed its purchase of 3Com three weeks ago.) When the tiny stake of Palm hit the market in early 2000, investors were pushing each other out of the way to get their hands on Palm (if you will). The company finished its inaugural day on the Nasdaq at a valuation of some $50bn – roughly twice as much as Apple was worth at the time. Today, Apple fetches a market cap of $250bn, while Palm just sold for $1.4bn.

Tangoe lines up for IPO dance

Contact: Brenon Daly

Back in January 2009, Tangoe made a small acquisition on its way to what we expected would be an IPO. Of course, neither the telecom expense management (TEM) vendor nor any other company was going to make it public in the first few months of last year. But with the recovery in the capital markets, Tangoe has indeed filed for its IPO, looking to raise $75m. The 10-year-old company plans to trade under the ticker ‘TNGO’ on the Nasdaq. We expect a fairly strong offering from Tangoe, which nearly doubled sales to $37.5m in 2008, and pushed that up another 49% to $56m last year despite the recession. See our full report on the company and the planned IPO.

Tangoe focuses on lifecycle management for fixed and mobile communications and more recently mobile device management. As a TEM provider, Tangoe has more than 350 companies using its expense management tools and services. The Orange, Connecticut-based vendor has pushed into the mobile communications space with the purchases of Traq Wireless in March 2007 and InterNoded in January 2009. Traq provided wireless expense management, helping Tangoe expand its lifecycle management for mobile as customers moved more of their communications off fixed lines. Offering deeper management and monitoring of these mobile devices, InterNoded gave Tangoe the ability to provision, secure and remotely wipe devices used by its customers.

Aftershocks on the tech M&A banking landscape

Contact: Brenon Daly

In our report on the 2009 league table, we noted that Wall Street had been rocked by an earthquake in 2008 but that the smaller aftershocks were continuing to ripple across the tech banking landscape. Another one of those was felt Monday, when Thomas Weisel Partners agreed to sell itself to a rather old-line institution, Stifel Financial, for around $300m in stock. The deal, which is slated to close this quarter, would add TWP’s investment banking business, with its focus on tech, healthcare and alternative energy, to Stifel, which is known more for its transactions involving financial institutions and real estate.

In 2008, we counted 11 acquisitions of firms involved with tech M&A, including powerhouses such as Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch. The number of deals in 2009 dropped, as did the size of them. There were just five purchases of investment banks with tech practices last year, including the pickup of Cowen and Co by hedge fund Ramius Capital and Raymond James & Associates’ acquisition of Lane, Berry & Co.

As we look at the league table, we’re struck by the fact that Stifel is adding a pretty busy tech advisory shop by buying TWP. (If you would like a copy of our 2009 league table report, just email me.) Last year, TWP finished tied for 12th place (with Citigroup) in terms of the number of IT transactions that it worked on. On a pro forma basis, adding Stifel’s four deals to the 10 that TWP banked would put the combined entity at 14 IT transactions, tied for fifth place.

If anything, TWP has picked up its pace this year. It has already worked on five deals worth more than $1.2bn, including sole sell-side credit on the pending $755m sale of Phase Forward to Oracle. Additionally, it’s been arguably the most-active midmarket underwriter of tech IPOs. TWP is sole bookrunner for offerings from SciQuest as well as SPS Commerce, which was one of the few IPOs last week that actually finished above water. It is also co-lead on Tangoe, which filed earlier this month, and Convio, which is slated to price this week.

A new jersey for Thomas Weisel

Contact: Brenon Daly

As a former national cycling champion, Thomas Weisel undoubtedly knows there are races where you can break away from the pack and stick a winning move all the way to the line. And then there are races where no matter how hard you try to turn the pedals, the peloton just swallows you up and drags you home to an undistinguished placing. If Weisel’s first sale of his investment bank is the former, then the sale of his namesake bank announced today is, arguably, the latter.

Back in mid-1997, Weisel sold Montgomery Securities for $1.2bn in cash and stock to NationsBank, which is now known as Bank of America. On Monday, Weisel sold Thomas Weisel Partners for just one-quarter that amount. Stifel Financial will purchase TWP for around $300m in stock. (Shares of Stifel dipped slightly on the announcement, shedding 4%.) The deal is expected to close this quarter.

To be sure, the proposed combination makes a ton of sense. It adds TWP’s investment banking business, with its focus on tech, healthcare and alternative energy, to Stifel, which is known more for its deals involving financial institutions and real estate, among other areas. Furthermore, the combined company would have research coverage on more US public companies than any other Wall Street firm. On paper, TWP brings a focus on the New Economy that Stifel has been missing, even as the St. Louis-based firm gobbled up other parts of the banking business over the past half-decade.

But for TWP and its founder, the sale probably comes up a bit short of what had been imagined when the bank opened its doors in 1999. (Of course, that’s probably true for any venture launched in that era, when all the charts went up and to the right in uninterrupted lines.) More recently, shares of TWP spent much of 2010 trading below book value. Since Wall Street was hardly willing to assign any value to the firm, the sale of TWP at an eye-popping premium of about 70% is probably not a bad exit. Who knows, maybe with the change of jersey, the ultra-competitive Thomas Weisel can get back on the podium.

salesforce.com puts together pieces on Jigsaw

by Brenon Daly

Just three months after salesforce.com raised $575m in a convertible note offering, the CRM vendor is dipping into its treasury for the largest deal in its history. The $142m purchase price for Jigsaw Data is more money than salesforce.com spent, collectively, on its previous seven acquisitions. (Add to that, there’s a potential $14m earnout that Jigsaw could pocket.) Yet, even after it pays for this pickup, salesforce.com will still have more than $1bn in cash on hand. The transaction is expected to close this quarter.

We understand that Jigsaw finished up last year with about $18m in revenue, and salesforce.com indicated that it was expecting $17-22m in non-GAAP revenue from Jigsaw for the three quarters that the company will be on the books this fiscal year. According to our calculations, salesforce.com is valuing Jigsaw at roughly the same level that the target is currently valued by public investors, at least on one basis metric. Salesforce.com is paying about 7.9 times trailing sales for Jigsaw while its own market cap is about 8.3 times trailing sales. (Of course, shares of the on-demand CRM vendor are currently changing hands at their highest-ever level, having more than doubled over the past year.)

For Jigsaw, the sale to its longtime partner also represents a solid return for its backers, who wrote the checks that funded the company’s growth to 1.2 million members and more than 21 million contact records. Jigsaw’s three investors (El Dorado Ventures, Norwest Venture Partners and Austin Ventures) put in a total of $18m over the past six years. Strictly in terms of money in/money out, that means Jigsaw is returning almost eight times its investment. Not many startups have been able to deliver those kinds of returns recently because they’ve typically been overfunded and exit multiples have increasingly been under pressure.

PE: which door is marked ‘exit’?

by Brenon Daly, Jason Schafer

After chalking up some 17 purchases under the ownership of a private equity (PE) consortium, ViaWest has been bought by another PE firm. Oak Hill Capital Partners will pick up the 11-year-old managed hosting provider, which currently operates 16 datacenters and counts 1,000 customers. Although financial details of the transaction were not disclosed, we estimate the purchase price at around $420m. That works out to about 4.2 times trailing revenue and about 10 times cash flow for ViaWest, according to our understanding. (My colleagues at Tier1 Research estimate that roughly 70% of ViaWest’s revenue comes from its colocation business, with the remaining 30% coming from managed services.)

The deal, which should be completed this quarter, caught our eye because it is yet another recent sponsor-to-sponsor transaction that we estimate is valued in the hundreds of millions of dollars. Almost exactly two months ago, Francisco Partners flipped RedPrairie to New Mountain Capital for what we understand was roughly the same price as ViaWest. The sale of the supply chain management vendor came even though it had filed a few months before that to go public.

While there’s certainly nothing wrong with buyout shops swapping assets, it’s hardly the sign of a healthy exit environment for PE firms. Of course, there is one gigantic counterpoint to that: NXP Semiconductors, owned by Bain Capital and KKR, filed last week to sell $1.15bn worth of shares on the NYSE. The buyout tandem picked up the chip maker in 2006, when it was spun off of Royal Philips Electronics. We’re certain that a lot of fellow financial buyers, which also took home chip companies during the LBO boom in 2006-07, will be following NXP’s offering very closely.

Oracle: two deals, but more than a year apart

Contact: Brenon Daly

Exactly a year ago today, Oracle announced its unexpected $7.4bn acquisition of Sun Microsystems. If it doesn’t seem like it was that long ago, that’s because it really wasn’t. Final approval for the deal dragged on for nine full months, largely because of scrutiny by the European Commission of Oracle owning Sun’s open source database, MySQL. Eventually, Brussels agreed with our initial assessment that MySQL and Oracle rarely competed (MySQL was focused mostly on the low end of the market and on Web applications), so they cleared the transaction.

The purchase of Sun is a singular deal for Oracle. (It brings the company into the hardware game for the first time, for instance.) And it stands out even more when compared with Oracle’s pickup on Friday of Phase Forward, which is the only public company that Oracle has snagged since Sun.

For starters, the price of Phase Forward is about one-tenth the price of Sun. But more significantly, Sun was a broad, horizontal acquisition, while Phase Forward is a vertical market play. The target serves life sciences companies offering a subscription-based way to keep track of clinical trials. (It has more than 335 customers.) And perhaps most notably, parts of Sun’s technology (Sparc and Solaris, among others) will be integrated into many offerings from Oracle, which is following the strategy of other systems vendors. On the other hand, Phase Forward will be slotted into the narrowly defined Oracle Health Sciences unit.

Disconnected at Palm

Contact: Brenon Daly, Chris Hazelton

Palm Inc has lost a key set of hands. In an SEC filing Friday, the troubled company said that the head of its software and services, Michael Abbott, will be cleaning out his desk by the end of this week. (No word yet if he’ll also have to give back his smartphone.) The departure is significant because Abbott was responsible for building third-party developer support for Palm’s smartphone platform, which has lagged well behind the developer communities for Apple’s iPhone and Google’s Android OS. It also underscores one of the key problems at Palm, which we explored in more depth in a recent report.

Specifically, Palm has precious little to show for its efforts to stay relevant in the mobile world. Here’s our back-of-the-envelope math: the company will spend in the neighborhood of $300m on sales and marketing and another $200m on R&D for the current fiscal year, which ends next month. (The levels are basically annualized totals from the first three quarters of the current fiscal year.) We would also add that they are significantly higher than spending levels at rival vendors. For instance, Palm spends 2.5 times more on R&D (as a percentage of revenue) than Blackberry maker Research In Motion.

Adding together sales and marketing plus R&D spending at Palm, we get about $500m, compared to projected revenue of about $1.1bn. And what does the company have to show for that half-billion-dollar outlay? Palm’s already tiny slice of the smartphone market actually got smaller this fiscal year. And yet, despite that dismal return on investment – not to mention a key executive departure – speculation continues to swirl that Palm will get snapped up. Most often, HTC, Lenovo or even Motorola are named as suitors for Palm. However, in our report, we note key reasons why those vendors wouldn’t be interested. For our money, Dell still seems the most-logical buyer of Palm.