Category: investment banking

The disappearing LBO

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

With private equity (PE) firms bidding against one another (as was the case with SumTotal Systems) and bidding against strategic buyers (as was the case with Borland), we might be tempted to think that the tech buyout barons are back. Umm, not really. So far this year, PE firms have accounted for just $3bn of the almost $53bn in announced M&A spending. (For more, see our second-quarter M&A report.)

To put that into perspective, consider that in 2006 there were nine individual transactions that topped the $3bn amount that we’ve tallied for the entire first half of this year. In 2007, there were another six LBOs that each eclipsed the aggregate PE spending so far in 2009.

Viewed on a relative basis, the diminished activity of financial buyers compared to strategic acquirers is even more dramatic. Not too long ago, buyout shops could outbid public companies simply because credit was cheap. That helped PE firms account for nearly one-quarter of every dollar spent on tech deals. The level now is closer to a nickel of every dollar.

LBOs as percent of overall tech M&A spending

Period Percent
2009 YTD 6%
2008 9%
2007 27%
2006 21%
2005 15%

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Hey Larry, wanna buy a bridge?

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly, Krishna Roy

Although Oracle announced the purchase of Conformia Software on Wednesday, the market is currently buzzing with speculation that the tech giant has closed – but not yet announced – a much larger transaction. Several sources have indicated that Oracle has acquired GoldenGate Software. The two companies have had a deep relationship for some time and while a deal has been kicked around in the past, talks stalled because GoldenGate always priced itself higher than Oracle was willing to spend. We haven’t heard what Oracle ended up paying for GoldenGate, which we understand was generating slightly more than $100m in trailing sales.

In many ways, this rumored deal echoes IBM’s purchase of DataMirror two years ago. In that transaction, Big Blue paid $161m, or 3.3x DataMirror’s trailing 12-month (TTM) revenue. Of course, 2007 was a high-water mark for recent valuations, both on the Nasdaq and among VC-backed companies. (GoldenGate has received a reported $33m from Summit Partners.) According to our analysis of data from the 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, VC-backed companies sold for a median valuation of 6.2x TTM in 2007, compared to just 2.8x TTM sales so far this year.

If Oracle is indeed picking up GoldenGate, the acquisition should enable the database giant to compete more effectively with IBM’s Information Server and other data management offerings from Big Blue. GoldenGate’s technology would give Oracle the opportunity to extend its data migration, high-availability and real-time integration capabilities to non-Oracle environments. GoldenGate already provides data migration capabilities for Siebel applications and real-time integration for Oracle’s data warehouse, for example, so there’s already technical integration in place.

Corporate dealmakers ready to deal

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Companies expect to be busier with M&A during the rest of the year than they’ve been so far in 2009, even though they’re likely to pay steeper prices for their deals. That’s the takeaway from our recent survey of corporate development executives at more than 60 technology firms. The survey, which closed Monday evening, updated our full report from last December and will figure into our midyear M&A webinar on Thursday.

If not bullish, the projections in our midyear survey are much less bearish than they were in our previous survey at the end of last year. Six out of 10 respondents said their companies will pick up their rate of shopping, while just one out of 10 projected their M&A pace will tail off for the rest of 2009. That’s a notable swing back to optimism from the December survey, when just four out of 10 said they expected to be busier, and two out of 10 said they would slow their acquisition pace.

The view from corporate dealmakers is significant because, collectively, they set the tone in the tech M&A market. So far this year, strategic buyers have accounted for $50bn of the $53bn in announced deal values, with financial acquirers tallying just $3bn. In terms of how they assess the buying environment, however, the view is pretty evenly split. Roughly one-third of the respondents said valuations of private technology companies would fall further in the second half of 2009, with another one-third saying they would hold steady, and another one-third predicting they would rebound before the end of the year.

Zix: a prescription for divestiture

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

One conclusion to draw from the recent pickup in divestitures is that dividing corporate attention often means diluting corporate returns. Consider the situation at Zix Corp. The Dallas-based company has a small but growing business selling email encryption. In mid-2003, Zix moved into electronic prescriptions through its $1.5m acquisition of the assets of PocketScript. The plan was to expand its business of providing secure communications to the billions of prescriptions written every year in a less costly and more secure way.

However, after nearly six years of trying to realize those goals, Zix has little to show for it. Revenue from the e-prescriptions unit totaled just $5.4m, or 19% of Zix’s overall sales, in 2008. Sales at the division last year slipped 11% from the year before, compared to a 26% increase in its core email encryption business. (And we would note that both units employed some 73 people, giving an idea of the relative returns of each unit.)

Moreover, the e-prescriptions division has only one-third the number of subscribers that Zix estimates would be required to cover the costs of developing the service, according to the company’s own calculations. And now, Zix has acknowledged that it may never get the business to that level on its own. The firm hired Allen & Co late last week to advise it on ‘strategic alternatives’ for its e-prescriptions unit.

What’s on NICE Systems’ shopping list?

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

After being out of the market for more than a year, NICE Systems is looking to do deals again. The Israeli company inked a pair of asset purchases in 2008, with a total bill just shy of $20m. Those pickups came after NICE made its largest acquisition to date, the $280m cash-and-stock purchase of Actimize. With no debt and some $530m in cash and equivalents, NICE certainly has the means to do deals. The firm didn’t offer a peak at its shopping list, but said Tuesday at the RBC Technology, Media and Communications Conference that it will be active.

As its most-significant acquisition, the addition of Actimize bolstered NICE’s analytics offering, helping to expand the number of applications the company sells. (Actimize has also thrived under NICE. We understand that the startup has doubled its revenue to $60m in the two years since NICE acquired it.) Founded in 1986, NICE sold recording technology for call centers for much of its corporate life. In the past year or so, it has expanded into additional applications, such as workforce management, customer feedback and governance, risk and compliance. Roughly three-quarters of NICE’s revenue comes from its enterprise business, with the rest coming from its security unit.

Of course, the market has been speculating on and off for many years about a large deal by NICE involving a combination with archrival Verint Systems. However, valuing any potential transaction remains a challenge because of Verint’s majority owner, Comverse Technology. (Yes, that’s the company that has been wracked by allegations of fraud and options backdating scandals, with its founder and former CEO living on the lam in Africa. The company’s financial statements are also woefully out of date.) We understand that Comverse retained a banker some time ago to help sell off some assets. If Comverse wanted to reheat that effort and shed Verint, we’re pretty sure that NICE would put aside historical rivalries and consider that consolidation play.

Quick to offer, slow to vote

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Even with the recent flurry of deal announcements, the pace of actually getting those proposed transactions in front of shareholders hasn’t necessarily followed suit. On Monday, a pair of buyers of public companies said they wouldn’t be holding votes on the proposed acquisitions, which were both announced in mid-April, until mid-July. To be sure, the anticipated three-month gap between announcing the transactions and shareholders voting on them isn’t alarmingly long. But it does continue the rather drawn-out dealmaking process that we’ve seen since the credit crisis tore apart Wall Street.

In the larger of the two announcements, Oracle said Sun Microsystems shareholders will have the opportunity to sound off on the planned $7.4bn deal on July 16. That is almost two weeks longer than it took to close its slightly larger purchase of BEA Systems last year. And if, as expected, Sun shareholders agree to the pending acquisition and Oracle closes it immediately, the time from announcement to closing would be roughly twice as long as the time for its multibillion-dollar purchase of Hyperion Solutions as well as its smaller acquisition of Stellent.

Meanwhile, Thoma Bravo, which plans to pick up Entrust, originally intended to put its $114m offer before shareholders on Monday. Instead, they will vote on the deal July 10. The delay comes despite not a single superior bid surfacing for the security company during its ‘go-shop’ period. The target said it shopped itself to 35 other potential suitors from mid-April to mid-May, but received only three non-binding offers. Entrust’s board didn’t judge any of them ‘superior’ to Thoma Bravo’s original offer. Shareholders will have their say on that in a month.

Back to basics for PE

-Contact Thomas Rasmussen, Brenon Daly

Coming off a dealmaking binge fueled by cheap credit, private equity (PE) shops have been investing much more soberly since the debt market collapsed late last summer. Highly leveraged multibillion-dollar buyouts have gone the way of the collateralized derivatives. As financing has become much more expensive, PE shops have in turn become more price sensitive. Deals are much smaller and generally done with equity these days. The heyday of the PE buyout boom saw dollars spent on deals balloon from $56bn in 2005 to $98bn in 2006 before peaking at $118bn in 2007. Last year saw a drastic ‘normalization,’ with disclosed spending by PE firms falling three-quarters to just $26bn. Spending on buyouts has plummeted this year, with just $3bn worth of deals through the first five months of 2009.

Even as the aggregate value of LBOs has declined sharply, we would note that the volume remains steady. (The 90 PE deals announced so far this year is roughly in line with the totals for the same period in three of the past four years.) We might suggest that this indicates a return to basics for PE firms. Instead of bidding against each other in multibillion-dollar takeouts of smoothly running public companies, buyout firms are returning to more traditional targets: unloved, overlooked public companies as well as underperforming divisions of companies.

In terms of recent take-privates, we would point to Thoma Bravo’s pending $114m acquisition of Entrust, which valued the company at less than 1x sales. And looking at divestitures, we would highlight the recent buyout and subsequent sale of Autodesk’s struggling location-services business. Hale Capital Partners acquired the assets in February for a very small down payment and what we understand was a $10m backstop in case things went awry. New York City-based Hale Capital put the acquired property through a pretty serious restructuring. (The moves got the division running at what we understand was an EBITDA run-rate of $5m on approximately $20m in trailing sales.) Hale then sold the assets for $25m in cash and stock in mid-May to Telecommunications Systems following a competitive bidding process. Through the terms of the divestiture, Autodesk also had a small windfall in the sale of its former unit, pocketing an estimated $5m.

PE spending falls of a cliff

Year Average deal size (total known values/total deals)
2005 $218m
2006 $305m
2007 $395m
2008 $106m
2009 $26m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Intuit-PayCycle: A kind of homecoming

Brenon Daly

by Brenon Daly

Looking at Intuit’s acquisition of PayCycle Inc, we might note that the alumni network can pay off – and pay off big. Intuit picked up the payroll services startup earlier this week for $170m in cash. We understand that PayCycle generated only about $30m over the previous four quarters, meaning Intuit paid an estimated 5.7x sales. (Granted, by looking solely at revenue, we’re arguably shortchanging PayCycle. The company, which has some 85,000 customers, sells its payroll services on a subscription basis, meaning revenue substantially lags actual contracts it has billed.) In a somewhat unusual mandate, Goldman Sachs advised Intuit, while Lane, Berry & Co., now owned by Raymond James & Associates, advised PayCycle.

There are a number of connections between Intuit and PayCycle. The Palo Alto, California-based startup was founded by a pair of former Intuit executives (Martin Gates and Rene Lacerte) who then turned the company over to Jim Heeger, Intuit’s former chief financial officer. Also, board member David Hornik of August Capital formerly drew a paycheck from Intuit, as did fellow investor Tom Blaisdell of DCM.

A ‘feature rich’ bidding war for Data Domain

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

A multibillion-dollar bidding war over a technological feature? As crazy as it sounds, that’s one way to look at the contested effort to acquire Data Domain. (Obviously, the company offers much more than the data de-duplication technology that it’s known for. But some rivals – and even one of its current suitors – have nonetheless dismissed Data Domain as a ‘feature’ in the past.) EMC on Monday topped NetApp’s two-week-old agreement to pick up Data Domain.

Even though EMC raised the bid on Data Domain to $30 in cash for each share, the market is clearly expecting more. In mid-afternoon trading Tuesday, Data Domain shares were changing hands at $31.27 – roughly 4% above EMC’s offer. NetApp, which originally offered $25 in cash and stock for each share of Data Domain, hasn’t yet responded to EMC’s move. (As an aside, the bid-and-raise for Data Domain came just hours after we noted bidding wars for two other public companies.)

EMC entering the fray for Data Domain isn’t surprising. According to its offer to purchase the company filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, EMC planned to discuss an acquisition with Data Domain in early May, but the target cancelled the meeting. Only a few days later, NetApp, which is being banked by Goldman Sachs, announced its bid for Data Domain, advised by Qatalyst Partners. At this point, EMC hasn’t formally retained a banker to advise it on landing Data Domain (much to the dismay of fee-hungry bankers everywhere). Incidentally, speaking of Qatalyst, the boutique officially announced that it has hired former Goldman Sachs software banker Ian Macleod, which we heard about more than two months ago.

Auction action

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

With one bidding war over a Nasdaq-traded company wrapped up last week, two new skirmishes broke out on Monday. Both Borland and MathStar received conditional offers of higher prices than had previously been floated for the companies. The bid-and-raise process at both these otherwise-neglected companies indicates the M&A market has recovered notably from its low point earlier this year.

In the larger of the two transactions, Borland said in a proxy filed in support of its existing agreement to sell to Micro Focus that it has received a nonbinding ‘expression of interest’ from an unnamed buyout shop. The offer – which is conditional on the firm completing due diligence on the application lifecycle management software vendor – has the firm paying $1.20 for each share of Borland. That tops Micro Focus’ offer in early May of $1 for each share of Borland.

Micro Focus’ bid, which has been blessed by the boards of both companies, came after it first showed interest in picking up Borland in July 2007, according to the proxy. Meanwhile, the proxy indicated that the unnamed financial acquirer only contacted Borland on May 21 of this year. The buyout firm added that due diligence would take about two weeks, and that its offer was not conditional on financing. Borland said in the proxy that it has opened its books to the unnamed suitor.

Meanwhile, after being in play for more than a half a year, MathStar attracted the interest of Tiberius Capital, a Chicago-based fund that offered to buy half of the company at $1.15 per share. That tops an existing offer of $1.04 for each MathStar share from another company. We would note both of these deals come after a seven-week bidding war over SumTotal Systems, which saw the final price soar 50% above the opening bid.