A red-hot IPO expected from FireEye

Contact: Brenon Daly

The next billion-dollar tech IPO is moving closer to the public market. FireEye has revealed its paperwork for an offering that’s sure to draw bullish interest from investors willing to put money into an early-stage company that’s still in hyper-growth mode. The cybersecurity vendor, which only really began shipping product in 2010, is putting up eye-popping growth rates but is also spending heavily to get them.

For instance, FireEye doubled sales in the first half of 2013 to $62m. Granted, that’s coming off a small revenue base, but it’s still an astonishing rate compared with the overall information security (infosec) market. In a survey by TheInfoPro, a service of 451 Research, more than half (52%) of infosec buyers forecasted their 2013 budgets would be the same (44%) or even lower (8%) compared with 2012. (Among the remaining roughly 48% who projected a larger infosec budget this year, most indicated it would be only a single-digit percentage higher.)

To post its enviable growth, FireEye has been spending heavily. In fact, so far this year, the company has spent more on sales and marketing costs than it has taken in as revenue. That’s appropriate (though clearly not sustainable) for a company growing in the triple digits that sees a vast opportunity in front of it.

Nonetheless, we would note that it is significantly higher than the two most-recent infosec providers that have come to market. Sales and marketing spending at both Palo Alto Networks and Imperva ranges between 50-60% of revenue. (We don’t consider Qualys, which came public last September, a fitting comp for FireEye because it is a subscription-based business rather than a product-based business like FireEye, Imperva or Palo Alto.)

Of course, we don’t expect the red ink at FireEye to deter many public market investors. Both Palo Alto and Imperva don’t turn a profit, even though they are growing at much slower rates than FireEye. (Palo Alto is increasing its top line at about a 60% rate, while Imperva is roughly half that level.) And yet, Wall Street has bid up both of the recent infosec IPOs to double-digit price-to-sales valuations. Collectively, those offerings have created $4.8bn of market value.

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Can Criteo spark interest on Wall Street?

-By Jonas Kristensen

Although Wall Street has not been overly bullish on the prospects of advertising technology companies recently, Criteo may be the next company from this fast-growing market to make its pitch to investors. But to do that, the Paris-based online ad retargeter will have to overcome a lot of burned adtech shareholders, who have seen the shares of recent IPOs in the sector (Marin Software and Millennial Media) both shed about one-quarter of their value so far this year. Meanwhile, Tremor Video is still underwater from its IPO last month.

But Criteo, which is rumored to have gross revenue of more than $500m, has one thing these other companies don’t – a profitable business. And it’s been printing black numbers for several years now. Further, it has shored up its mobile offering, where much of the adtech growth is expected to happen. (Witness the 75% growth in Q2 mobile ad revenue Facebook reported on Wednesday.) Just last week, Criteo announced the acquisition of mobile ad-tracking startup AD-X Tracking, which closes the gap in the company’s product offering and should enable it to take its retargeting technology mobile.

Given its growth rate and product portfolio, Criteo is probably out of reach of most would-be acquirers. Indeed, although M&A activity in the adtech space has increased steadily, the deals haven’t necessarily been at the top end of the market. According to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, there hasn’t been an adtech acquisition valued at more than $1bn since 2007.

If indeed Criteo does make it public, it doesn’t necessarily mean that the company will have to take a cut-rate valuation. After all, the other publicly traded adtech vendors have been overly discounted. Even with their sliding share prices, the trio have created more than $1.5bn in market value and trade at an average of 5x trailing sales, a higher multiple than many other tech sectors garner.

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RetailMeNot’s strong offering

Contact: Tejas Venkatesh

In a strong debut, digital coupon vendor RetailMeNot leaped onto the public markets today, creating $1.4bn in market value. After pricing at $21 each, shares shot up more than 30% to change hands at $27.60 by midmorning.

RetailMeNot’s rapid top-line growth contributed to its warm reception on Wall Street. The company increased revenue from $17m in 2010 to $155m for the year ended March 31, while running solidly in the black throughout.

The market currently values RetailMeNot at $1.4bn, or 9x trailing sales. That’s a premium valuation compared with M&A activity in the sector. For instance, we estimate that Slickdeals was valued at 4.6x trailing sales in its sale to Warburg Pincus in January. RetailMeNot itself was valued at 5.6x trailing sales in its $159m sale to WhaleShark Media in 2010, after which the acquirer took on the name of the target. Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Credit Suisse were lead bookrunners for the offering.

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Dialog Semiconductor pays $310m for iWatt

Contact: Tejas Venkatesh

A year after attempting to go public, iWatt has opted for the other exit, selling to fellow power management chip vendor Dialog Semiconductor for $310m in cash (plus contingent consideration of up to $35m). The deal should bolster Dialog’s product portfolio and expand its addressable market.

IWatt designs AC-DC converter chips and LED ICs. While iWatt’s AC-DC chips are used in portable chargers, Dialog’s power management ICs are embedded in mobile devices themselves. The target has grown at a healthy clip recently, wrapping up 2012 with $74m in revenue. That’s a 46% increase from the previous year.

The acquisition values iWatt at 4.1 times last year’s sales. That’s a premium valuation compared with the 3.4x sales valuation its chief rival Power Integrations currently garners in the public markets. IWatt’s superior growth definitely played into its higher valuation (Power Integrations grew just 2.2% last year).

IWatt tried to go public last summer, but the offering never made it to market. (The company even swapped out its lead underwriter – trading Deutsche Bank for Barclays – which is never a good sign.) It would have been fighting against a strong downdraft in the recent IPO market. The last three tech offerings have either priced below expectations or traded down significantly in the aftermarket.

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IPO candidates feel the tremor

Contact: Tejas Venkatesh

Over the past few weeks, it appears sentiment on Wall Street has soured significantly. With the US Federal Reserve planning to wrap up bond purchases, the broader stock market volatility as represented by the CBOE volatility index hit its highest level all year earlier this week. As a result, unknown and unproven IPO candidates are bearing the brunt of that market uncertainty. That was evident today when both IT retailer CDW and video advertising network company Tremor Video priced below their indicated range. In CDW’s case, that came after the company had already cut the number of shares on offer by 16%.

For its part, Tremor Video sold 7.5 million shares for $10 each, below its indicated range of $11-13. In the process, the company raised $75m and debuted at an (undiluted) market cap of $485m. By midmorning, the stock headed further south and was changing hands on the NYSE at $9.50.

Tremor Video analyzes in-stream video content, detects user attributes and uses that information to optimize video ad campaigns for marquee brands like Procter & Gamble, Ford Motor and Walt Disney. The eight-year-old company, which raised about $120m in total funding, generated $113m in revenue for the year ended March 2013.

The sudden souring of sentiment is leading to a difference in expectations between investors and issuing companies. Tremor Video is the first advertising technology (adtech) IPO to price below its expected range. In its case, the performance of recent adtech IPOs didn’t help. Both Millennial Media and Marin Software are trading about 30% below their IPO price.

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Marketing automation overshadows Web content management

Contact: Alan Pelz-Sharpe

The marketing automation industry is upending the Web content management (WCM) space. Our research tells us that pure-play WCM technology is unlikely to continue to grow as a market in any substantial way. We believe that going forward, the technology is likely to be bundled along with marketing automation platforms, rather than sold as stand-alone WCM systems. That prognosis is reflected in the pattern of M&A activity in the two sectors.

The critical fact missed by the WCM market was that the central content repository was not the be-all and end-all that it was claimed to be – certainly not for all organizations. While having marketing collateral in a single ordered, managed system is important, it is only when that content is connected to a chain of events that it results in a transaction of any value.

The last WCM acquisition of note was that of Day Software by Adobe in July 2010 for $243m. In sharp contrast, the marketing automation sector has been a hotbed of M&A and IPO activity. In the first week of June, salesforce.com announced the purchase of marketing automation provider ExactTarget for $2.5bn. A few weeks prior, rival Marketo came public in a well-received IPO and currently garners a market cap of $750m. Subscribers can click here for a full report on the WCM industry and prospects for existing players.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.

Making money with coupons

Contact: Ben Kolada

Online coupon directory vendor RetailMeNot, formerly known as WhaleShark Media, filed its IPO paperwork on Monday. A total of seven investment banks crowded onto the offering, which could initially value the company in the ballpark of $800m. Meanwhile, a recent high-priced buyout and a couple of more coupon deals that we hear are in the pipeline could make 2013 a breakout year for the online couponing industry.

RetailMeNot has grown dramatically since its incorporation as smallponds in 2007. Through organic and inorganic growth, RetailMeNot increased total revenue 80% to $145m last year. The company primarily did business as WhaleShark Media throughout its lifetime, but rebranded as RetailMeNot this year, taking the name of a startup it acquired in 2010 and whose websites now account for the majority of its traffic.

No fewer than seven investment banks have piled onto the offering, with Morgan Stanley taking the lead left spot. RetailMeNot plans to trade on the Nasdaq under the symbol SALE.

The midpoint valuation of recent comparable transactions suggests that the company could debut at about $800m, or roughly 5x its trailing sales ($155m as of March 31). RetailMeNot was valued at 5.6x trailing sales in its $159m sale to WhaleShark Media in 2010. More recently, we estimate that Slickdeals was valued at 4.6x sales in its quiet sale to Warburg Pincus at the turn of this year.

At least two other coupon companies will be closely watching RetailMeNot’s debut. We’ve heard that CouponMom and dealnews have also been in the market recently.

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Gigamon soars on debut

Contact: Tejas Venkatesh, Christian Renaud

A year after first filing its IPO papers, Gigamon finally debuted on the public markets Wednesday. The network traffic monitoring vendor sold 4.5 million shares at $19 each, raising $85.5m and creating $560m in market value. By midmorning, the stock changed hands at $25, up more than 35% from its debut price. Goldman Sachs & Co, Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Credit Suisse acted as lead joint book-running managers for the offering, with Gigamon trading under the ticker symbol GIMO on the NYSE.

The rapid growth of cloud computing and the move to dynamic virtual environments has created the need for increased visibility and control over network traffic. Gigamon’s revenue growth reflects that potential: sales have more than doubled since 2010, hitting $106m for the fiscal year ended in March. The company has managed that impressive growth while running solidly in the black, netting $7.6m in 2012.

Gigamon’s traffic visibility fabric combines hardware and proprietary software, offering independent traffic visibility across multivendor networks. Last year, the company also unveiled a software-only product, GigaVUE-VM, for cloud-based applications. This new release allows Gigamon to provide network managers with integrated visibility into their physical, virtual and cloud traffic. The nine-year-old company raised $23m in funding from Highland Capital Partners, which owns about one-quarter of Gigamon following the IPO.

The network monitoring sector has also seen a fair bit of M&A activity. For instance, Danaher acquired Gigamon rival VSS Monitoring last summer for an estimated $180m, or 5.1 times trailing sales. Around the same time, Ixia reached for Anue Systems, paying $145m, or 3x sales. Gigamon is currently trading at a market cap of $760m, or 7.2x trailing sales. Its larger size and impressive growth almost certainly helped garner a premium valuation compared with the trade sales in the market.

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For US tech IPOs, precious little new blood amid the larger bleed-out

Contact: Brenon Daly

Over the past month it’s been ‘one on/one off’ for publicly traded marketing automation vendors. In mid-May, we saw Marketo debut on the Nasdaq. (If rumors are to be believed, incidentally, Marketo only made it to market after stiffarming some would-be buyers.) On the other side, earlier this week we saw ExactTarget announce plans to depart the NYSE, selling for an industry-record $2.5bn a little more than a year after its own IPO.

Leaving aside the vast gap in value left by the two events – Marketo currently trades at less than one-third of ExactTarget’s terminal value – at least there’s some replacement in this sector. That isn’t true for most of the tech industry. In terms of the overall number of tech companies on US exchanges, there’s been precious little fresh blood to offset a continual bleed-out.

Looking broadly at the enterprise tech market so far this year, we’ve tallied a half-dozen IPOs, with half of those coming in the past month alone. In addition to Marketo, May also saw the listings of ChannelAdvisor and Tableau Software. That trio joined Marin Software, Model N and Rally Software Development as the Class of 2013 so far.

So that’s six new entrants to the ranks of US publicly traded tech companies, an average of about one IPO each month this year. (And keep in mind, this rate is post-JOBS Act, which supposedly made it easier for companies to come public.) Against those new arrivals, we have seen some 20 US public companies acquired so far this year, according to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase.

That rate equals three tech companies erased from US exchanges for every one that joins. Many of these deals are taking major companies – which, in some cases, have traded for a decade or even longer – off Wall Street: Dell, BMC, Acme Packet, Websense and others. The debutantes just can’t keep pace with the departures.

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A market-moving marketing move

Contact: Brenon Daly

In the largest-ever transaction in the rapidly emerging marketing automation industry, salesforce.com said on June 4 it will hand over $2.5bn in cash for ExactTarget. The deal represents a significant bet by the SaaS kingpin, which has talked about cross-channel marketing becoming a $1bn business in the coming years. Salesforce.com will nearly clean out its coffers to cover its purchase of ExactTarget, which is three times the size of salesforce.com’s second-largest deal.

Under terms, salesforce.com will hand over $33.75 for each share of ExactTarget. That represents the highest-ever price for the 13-year-old marketing automation vendor, which went public in March 2012 at $19. (J.P. Morgan Securities led ExactTarget’s IPO and advised the company on its sale. Bank of America Merrill Lynch worked the other side.) The deal is expected to close by mid-July.

At an enterprise value of $2.4bn, ExactTarget’s valuation of roughly 7.6 times trailing sales splits the difference between the two previous largest transactions in the marketing automation space. In December 2012, Oracle paid an uncharacteristically rich 9.7 times trailing sales for Eloqua, and Teradata paid 6.5 times trailing sales for Aprimo in December 2010, according to the 451 Research M&A KnowledgeBase. (For its part, rival Marketo, which salesforce.com and others were rumored to have looked at last fall, trades at nearly twice ExactTarget’s multiple.)

With the purchase of ExactTarget, the three largest deals salesforce.com has done have all been aimed at expanding the company’s marketing offering. It picked up Buddy Media in mid-2012 for $689m for its agency relationships after spending $326m on social media monitoring startup Radian6 in March 2011. But don’t look for any more deals in that space or any other from salesforce.com soon. During a call discussing the ExactTarget purchase, CEO Marc Benioff said salesforce.com will be on ‘vacation’ from M&A for the next 12-18 months.