Telcos playing a new hosting game

Contact: Ben Kolada

Datacenter operator Digital Realty Trust on Wednesday announced that it paid $80m for a three-property portfolio of datacenters from French telco Bouygues Telecom. The deal could signal yet another robust year in Internet infrastructure M&A, but also shows that telcos are playing different strategic cards in the ongoing hosting game.

Last year set a record in Internet infrastructure M&A deal volume with 110 acquisitions announced, according to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase. The record is particularly notable as it comes at a time when telcos are weighing alternative options to acquiring hosting properties. With the exception of NTT Communications, which announced three hosting acquisitions last year, telcos have largely been out of the M&A arena.

In fact, as evidenced by Bouygues’ divestiture, telcos are now considering strategies other than buying or owning high-growth hosting businesses. For example, the Digital Realty-Bouygues deal is structured as a sale-leaseback transaction, in which datacenter specialist Digital Realty will own the facilities but Bouygues will lease and operate them. Other telcos, such as Cincinnati Bell, have also decided to pass their hosting facilities on to vendors more versed in the business. Cincinnati Bell is spinning off its CyrusOne hosting unit into a publicly traded entity. CyrusOne will debut on the Nasdaq tomorrow, planning to sell 16.5 million shares $16-18 each.

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DoJ raises its voice against Bazaarvoice deal

Contact: Brenon Daly

In a highly unusual move, the US Department of Justice (DoJ) filed a lawsuit Thursday afternoon against a company that has already closed an acquisition of a rival firm, alleging the deal is anticompetitive. The DoJ says Bazaarvoice did not report its $152m cash-and-stock purchase of fellow online customer review site PowerReviews to either the DoJ or Federal Trade Commission. The transaction was announced May 24 and closed quickly thereafter, on June 12.

The DoJ, which began investigating after the deal had already closed, didn’t specify exactly what part of the acquisition it would seek to unwind. The release said only that the lawsuit ‘seeks to restore competition’ in the marketplace, and DoJ representatives didn’t respond to requests for clarification.

For its part, Bazaarvoice said it spent six months explaining that there would be ‘robust and ample’ competition in the social commerce marketplace following the Bazaarvoice-PowerReviews combination. The company plans to fight the lawsuit and indicated it expects to be ‘fully vindicated.’

As we noted at the time of the acquisition – which was Bazaarvoice’s first purchase, coming just three months after its IPO – the deal represented a significant bet on being able to move down-market, expanding Bazaarvoice’s voice-of-customer platform to SMBs. At the time of the announcement, PowerReviews had more customers (1,100) than Bazaarvoice (737), but only slightly more than one-tenth the revenue.

Whatever the outcome, Wall Street’s reaction to the lawsuit was immediate. Bazaarvoice shares were unchanged at about $9 each for virtually the entire session Thursday. But when the DoJ announcement came out in the final hour of trading, the stock plummeted 15% to about $7.50. The selling pressure continued on Friday, with the stock dipping to $6.65 – the lowest level for the shares since their debut last February. All in, the DoJ’s lawsuit has trimmed $165m from Bazaarvoice’s market value.

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Imation continues storage push with Nexsan acquisition

by Simon Robinson

Imation, a company perhaps best known for selling consumer CDs and DVDs, has announced that it has acquired 14-year-old storage systems specialist Nexsan for $120m in cash and stock. Though Nexsan has been seeking a buyer for some time, the company has a good-sized and well-established business serving SMBs and enterprises. Imation, which says the purchase is part of its own strategic transformation that has seen it focus on storage and security, plans to use the move as a platform to begin targeting this audience more directly with Nexsan’s range of purpose-built storage systems and appliances.

Under terms, Imation is handing over $105m in cash and $15m in stock. We understand that Nexsan generated revenue of about $90m in 2012, meaning Imation is paying roughly 1.3 times trailing sales. The acquisition of Nexsan is the largest purchase Imation has done in a half-decade and substantially thins its treasury. At the end of September, Imation, which is burning cash, had $186m in cash and equivalents. Click here to see our full report.

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Tech M&A recovery stalls in 2012

Contact: Brenon Daly

After two straight years of post-recession increases in tech M&A spending, the value of transactions announced in 2012 slipped lower. For the just-completed year, we tallied deals valued at roughly $177bn across the globe. That’s a 21% drop from 2011 and slightly below the level of 2010.

M&A activity last year was undermined by a heightened level of economic and political uncertainty. In Europe, the lingering debt crisis flared to a point where in mid-2012, the 17-nation Eurozone appeared to be fraying beyond repair. Meanwhile, in the US, dark clouds of uncertainty rolled out of Washington DC due to the outcome of national elections and, more importantly, the unresolved ‘fiscal cliff.’ Overhanging all of this is the fact that the global economy slowed in 2012, and is likely to further slow in 2013.

Still, against that difficult backdrop, there were a few notable transactions in 2012. SoftBank’s $20bn purchase of a majority stake of Sprint stands as the largest tech/telco deal in a half-decade. Cisco’s $5bn acquisition of set-top box software vendor NDS Group last March is the serial acquirer’s second-largest transaction ever. Meantime, big-ticket SaaS acquisitions continued to gain pace, with Ariba, Taleo, Eloqua and Kenexa all taken out last year in deals valued, collectively, at $8.8bn.

Global tech M&A

Year Deal volume Deal value
2012 3,539 $177bn
2011 3,759 $225bn
2010 3,270 $188bn
2009 3,030 $143bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Oracle pays up for an ‘Eloquent’ marketing platform

Contact: Brenon Daly

Two months ago, we noted that Oracle was rumored to be looking to acquire a marketing automation vendor. At that point, the buzz was that the acquisitive software giant, which has done social media-flavored marketing deals recently, was eyeing Marketo to be its platform. Instead, Oracle went with Eloqua, paying $956m for the company (on a fully diluted equity basis).

Eloqua, which went public in August but recently shelved a subsequent follow-on offering, had about $85m in cash, giving the proposed transaction an enterprise value of $871m. Using that figure, Oracle is valuing Eloqua at about 9.7x trailing sales – a valuation that’s about 50% higher than it paid in either of its acquisitions of fellow publicly traded SaaS application vendors over the past 14 months. (Both RightNow and Taleo went off at closer to 6.5x trailing sales.)

For Eloqua, the deal wraps a short – but rather profitable – stint on the public market. It only went public four months ago, but it is leaving the Nasdaq at twice the price it joined. Eloqua first sold shares to the public at $11.50, while Oracle is paying $23.50 for each share in the acquisition. The transaction is expected to close before mid-2013.

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A bearish outlook for tech IPOs in 2013

Contacts: Brenon Daly

In our just-published report on our annual survey of corporate development executives, the shoppers told us they don’t expect to have to outbid the public market when they consider acquisition targets. Almost half (47%) said they anticipate the IPO market to offer ‘less competition’ in 2013, which is three times higher than the 15% that predicted ‘more competition.’ (For comparison, last year one-third of responses (33%) forecasted more competition from IPOs, while one-quarter (26%) indicated less competition.)

The chilly outlook for offerings underscores just how difficult the IPO market has become. In the back half of 2012, there have been only about a half-dozen tech offerings. Although there have been some eye-popping market caps created (for instance, Workday, which came public in mid-October, now trades at $8.5bn), there just haven’t been enough to see a real threat of ‘dual tracking,’ according to corporate buyers.

If anything, the IPO market will be even quieter in 2013. The median forecast from our corporate development executives called for just 20 offerings, down from about 25 offerings in each of the two previous surveys. Click here to see our full report on the outlook for tech IPOs and M&A in 2013 from a key market participant: corporate development executives.

Projected number of tech IPOs in coming year

Period Median response
December 2012 for 2013 20
December 2011 for 2012 25
December 2010 for 2011 25
December 2009 for 2010 15
December 2008 for 2009 5

Source: 451 Research Tech Corporate Development Outlook Survey

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Tech buyers pull in their M&A plans for 2013

Contact: Brenon Daly

Even as 2012 is shaping up to be a lackluster year for tech M&A, next year could be even quieter. In 451 Research’s annual survey of corporate development executives, these buyers dramatically pulled in their acquisition plans for 2013. Just 38% of corporate shoppers said they would be increasing their M&A activity in the coming year – the lowest forecasted activity level in the six years of our survey.

On the other side, fully one out of five respondents (20%) indicated they would be slowing their purchases in the coming year, up significantly from the previous two years. It’s also important to note that the dour forecast for 2013 is coming off an already low base. With just two weeks of the year remaining, tech M&A spending for 2012 is all but certain to come in below the level of both 2011 and 2010. That would snap two straight years of increased spending.

The views of corporate development executives are an important indicator of the overall health of the tech M&A community, as they go a long way toward setting the tone in the market. We will have a full report on the survey results – including the outlook for valuation and specific types of acquisitions – in tomorrow’s Daily 451.

Projected change in M&A activity

Period Increase Stay the same Decrease
December 2012 for 2013 38% 42% 20%
December 2011 for 2012 56% 30% 14%
December 2010 for 2011 52% 41% 7%
December 2009 for 2010 68% 27% 5%
December 2008 for 2009 44% 33% 23%

Source: 451 Research Tech Corporate Development Outlook Survey

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EMC lays out a ‘Pivotal’ plan

Contact: Simon Robinson, Brenon Daly

Those wondering what ex-VMware chief Paul Maritz would end up doing as head of EMC strategy now have part of an answer: he’s going to run the Pivotal Initiative, what looks like a pending spinoff that brings together a number of ‘big data’ and cloud assets that EMC and VMware have developed and acquired in recent years. This new, 1,400-person organization (600 from VMware and 800 from EMC) will be ‘formally united’ by mid-2013, though the operational structure has yet to be determined.

At the core of the move is a desire to help EMC and VMware better capitalize on the effects that cloud computing is having on the application development and big data markets, with ‘new levels of focused investment.’ The initiative is centered on EMC’s Greenplum and Pivotal Labs, VMware’s vFabric (including Spring and GemFire), Cloud Foundry and Cetas, as well as other unspecified groups. Moving these assets into a single division also will allow both EMC and VMware to focus on their core businesses.

The planned joint venture continues the ongoing shuffle of assets between the parent company and its subsidiary. Since EMC sold a minority stake of VMware to the public in mid-2007, the company has sold at least two businesses to VMware. In early 2010, EMC divested its Ionix unit, with the service management unit finding a home in vCenter. A little more than a year later, the enterprise storage giant (quietly) sold its consumer online backup business, Mozy, to VMware.

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Ruckus debuts amid equity market uncertainty

Contact: Tejas Venkatesh

Even as the equity markets have been roiled by uncertainty and slowing corporate growth recently, Ruckus Wireless made it public on Friday. After pricing at the high end of its indicated range of $13-15, the stock edged lower in midday trading. Nevertheless, the Sequoia Capital-backed wireless provider raised $126m and debuts at a market cap of $1.1bn, valuing it at 5.7 times trailing sales. The robust value creation comes at a time when network operators are looking to Wi-Fi networks to offload data traffic that is crowding their wireless 3G and 4G/LTE networks.

With its Wi-Fi wares, Ruckus is capitalizing on concerns about how to handle the rapid expansion of traffic generated by mobile devices. High-performance wireless is clearly in high demand and Ruckus specializes in large-scale deployments that suit high-volume and high-density applications.

And Ruckus’ growth reflects that market opportunity. The 10-year-old company has more than doubled its top line in less than two years, going from $75m in calendar-year 2010 to $194m for the 12 months ended September 30. And even while ramping up sales and marketing, Ruckus has been running solidly in the black for two years. It raised $76.1m in venture funding from Sequoia Capital (which holds a 24% stake) and Motorola Mobility Ventures (5.4% stake), among others. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley were lead underwriters on the offering.

Ruckus has established itself as a distinct player in the crowded Wi-Fi market, and competes against bigger vendors like Cisco Systems, Ericsson, Hewlett-Packard, Motorola Mobility and Aruba Networks. Unlike Cisco and HP, Ruckus builds its devices using standard chipsets from Qualcomm’s Atheros and then uses its own intellectual property to more effectively manage the radios and data operations to improve performance.

The wireless startup’s successful offering comes less than a year after its archrival BelAir Networks was snapped up by Ericsson. While both companies were born at the same time in 2002, Ruckus was clearly the more successful of the two. BelAir had 120 employees at the time of its sale and Ruckus has five times that number, at 606.

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Priceline gets KAYAK for a good price

Contact: Ben Kolada, Brenon Daly

For a price comparison website, KAYAK.com appears to be settling for a relatively low price in its purchase by online travel giant Priceline.com. At first glance, Priceline’s offer for KAYAK appears respectable. The $40-per-share bid is the highest KAYAK’s shares have seen in its short life on the Nasdaq. Using an enterprise value of $1.65bn, KAYAK is being valued at 5.8 times trailing revenue and about 5.6x full-year 2012 revenue.

But as we look closer, we see that KAYAK is being valued only slightly higher than Priceline’s current trading valuation, and that’s excluding any takeout premium for the acquirer. With an enterprise value of roughly $28bn, Priceline trades at about 5.5x trailing revenue and 5.3x 2012 revenue. (Priceline shares, which have tacked on roughly 15% so far this year, were unchanged on the news of its largest-ever acquisition.)

Valuation – especially for the acquirer – is a key concern in this transaction because unlike most tech deals, Priceline is covering almost three-quarters of the cost of its purchase with equity. Under terms, Priceline will hand over $1.3bn in stock and $500m in cash for KAYAK. As mentioned, paying with paper is relatively rare these days, because cash is king when it comes to M&A. In fact, according to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, Priceline’s acquisition of KAYAK is one of only 12 deals done by US public acquirers so far this year where stock has accounted for more than half the total consideration.

Despite faster growth, KAYAK’s valuation is only slightly above Priceline’s

Company EV EV/2012 projected revenue 2012/2011 revenue growth
Priceline $28.03bn* 5.3 21%
KAYAK $1.65bn 5.6 31%

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, 451 Research estimates. *Calculated as of 11/8/12.

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