Category: Private Equity

Time is money

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

Novacap Technologies is selling Canadian hosting portfolio company iWeb Group to Internap Network Services for $145m, representing a quick – and solid – return for the Canadian private equity firm. Just two years ago, it took iWeb private for $69.6m (including the assumption of net debt).

Under Novacap, iWeb grew total revenue 50% while maintaining basically the same operating profit margin (only adjusted EBITDA was disclosed in iWeb’s sale to Internap). It also now serves 10,000 SMB customers in more than 100 countries. Though Novocap’s total ROI isn’t immediately clear, the firm undoubtedly did well on its two-year holding. Jefferies advised Internap, while Bank Street Group worked the sell-side.

On the flip side, for Internap, this deal highlights the interplay between two of the most important elements of any transaction: time and money. In this case, waiting longer to buy iWeb meant Internap ended up paying more for it, both on an absolute and relative basis. And Internap will end up paying for it longer: the company is taking on new debt to cover some of the cost of iWeb, which is twice as high as it was the last time the company was on the block.

iWeb’s rising valuation

Metric Sale to Novacap* Sale to Internap
Deal value $69.6m $145m
Price/sales 2.3x 3.3x
Price/EBITDA 9.3x 13.2x**

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase *Using enterprise value **Using adjusted EBITDA

Who has designs on Planview?

Brenon Daly

by Brenon Daly

Old-line project and portfolio management (PPM) vendor Planview may be getting new owners soon. The 24-year-old company is rumored to be close to wrapping up a sale process, which has been led by Lazard. The buyer is likely to be a private equity (PE) shop, although one tech company is also apparently taking a long look. No final price has been struck, but Planview will likely trade in the neighborhood of $200m, according to our understanding.

The rumored price would value Planview at roughly 3x trailing sales. That’s exactly the valuation of the last significant transaction in the PPM market. In August 2012, Thoma Bravo paid $990m, or about 3x trailing sales, for Deltek, a government-focused PPM provider. PE firms have been fairly active in the PPM sector, with Parallax Capital Partners and Vista Equity Partners, among others, having inked acquisitions.

In terms of strategic acquirers, Planview probably has the closest relationship with SAP, primarily through a long-standing association with Business Objects. And don’t forget, too, that rival Oracle has already snapped up a large privately held PPM vendor, adding Primavera Software five years ago. Although terms weren’t disclosed in that deal, we estimate that Oracle handed over roughly $350m for PE-backed Primavera.

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PE shops taking home tech companies that are old and in the way on Wall Street

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

More and more, the portfolios of private equity (PE) firms are looking like retirement homes for the ever-maturing tech industry. Consider Marlin Equity Partners’ proposed $891m take-private of Tellabs, announced this morning. The company has been hawking its networking equipment gear since 1975, and has seen its share of ups and down over the past four decades in business. Tellabs currently finds itself in one of those protracted ‘downs,’ having shrunk for three straight years. The leveraged buyout (LBO) reflects that, with Marlin valuing Tellabs, net of its substantial cash holding, at just 0.4x trailing sales.

By our count, the Tellabs take-private is the ninth tech LBO valued at more than $300m announced so far this year. (To be clear, that’s equity value for a full business, and excludes any pickups of businesses divested by public companies.) On average, the companies that have been erased recently from the public market by PE firms were founded in 1990. The ‘youngest’ company was founded in 1998, exactly the same year Google incorporated itself.

Looking more closely at the list of this year’s 10 take-privates, we would note that only one company actually managed to get an above-market valuation. (That would be Vista Equity Partners’ $644m acquisition of Greenway Medical Technologies, which went off at 4.7x trailing sales.) Four other companies said goodbye to Wall Street at 1x sales or lower. On average, the significant LBOs of 2013 have gotten done at a median valuation of 2.1x trailing sales, a full turn lower than the broad market multiple for the 50-largest transactions of 3x trailing sales.

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Barracuda sets up for an IPO that should go swimmingly

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

The holdout is over for Barracuda Networks. After a decade of steady expansion behind closed doors, the closely held information security (infosec) vendor is now set to step onto the public market. And it will be a big step by a big company: At about a quarter-billion dollars in revenue this fiscal year, Barracuda is roughly twice as large as other infosec firms that have come public recently.

Barracuda shipped its first product – a firewall – back in 2003. It has used a half-dozen or so acquisitions since 2006 to move into other infosec markets, as well as expand into storage. The company’s core security business represents about two-thirds of overall revenue, with the remaining revenue coming from its faster-growing storage business. It sells primarily to SMBs, having rung up some 150,000 customers.

Barracuda’s planned offering comes at time when Wall Street is particularly bullish on infosec IPOs. Most notably, FireEye doubled in its debut last month on its way to creating almost $5bn in market value. That’s a head-spinning valuation for a company that will do about $150m in sales this year.

But we wouldn’t necessarily hold out FireEye, with its triple-digit growth rates and enterprise focus, as a comparable offering to Barracuda. Instead, we might look back to the IPO four years ago from another appliance-based, multiproduct infosec provider, Fortinet.

Although that company is about twice as big as Barracuda, it is growing at just half the rate of Barracuda. Currently trading at about the midpoint of its 52-week range, Fortinet is valued at roughly $3.5bn, or about 6x this year’s sales. Putting that multiple on Barracuda, we come up with a rough valuation of about $1.5bn for the company. That’s probably a baseline valuation for Barracuda as it hits the market.

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Tech buyers play defense, push Q3 tech M&A spending to near record

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Tech M&A spending in the just-completed third quarter edged toward a post-recession record, as buyers announced more blockbuster transactions than they have in any quarter since the credit crisis ended. This summer’s combination of slowing growth rates and rising interest rates lent an urgency to big bets from a number of tech giants that might have otherwise let deals slip away from them. In the July-September period, we tallied a post-recession record of 15 transactions valued at more than $1bn. That means that almost half of the 10-digit deals announced so far in 2013 were printed just in the past three months.

The surge in big-ticket transactions helped push aggregate Q3 spending to just under the highest quarterly levels since the end of the recession. Overall, buyers spent $71.8bn on 800 purchases of tech, telco and Internet companies around the globe in Q3, according to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase. That boosted M&A spending levels in just the first three quarters of 2013 higher than full-year levels in both 2010 and 2012. Further, 2013 is tracking to basically match 2011 as the highest amount of annual spending on tech acquisitions since the credit crisis.

Yet, even as spending neared record levels, the tech industry showed its age. Deal flow in the July-September period featured big moves – large-scale, cost-driven consolidations as well as significant divestitures – that come in a maturing industry. Many of the biggest prints in the quarter appeared to be ‘defensive’ deals, which also came through in the below-market multiples paid in eight of the 10 largest Q3 transactions.

Meanwhile, on the other side of the M&A spectrum, we would note that not a single VC-backed startup sold for more than $1bn this summer. Further, just one VC portfolio company (Tumblr) has hit that threshold in 2013, compared with four startups that pocketed 10-digit exits in 2012.

Another sign of the ‘graying’ of tech is that there are fewer buyers and less activity in the market. The number of deals announced so far this year is tracking to its lowest level since the depth of the recession. The number of transactions announced in the past three months has dropped 13% compared with the same period in 2012. The decline continues a slide that we have seen all year long. In fact, spending in every single month in 2013 has been lower than the corresponding month in 2012. A full report on Q3 M&A activity and valuations will be available for subscribers on the 451 Research website tomorrow.

Recent quarterly deal flow

Period Deal volume Deal value
Q3 2013 800 $72bn
Q2 2013 751 $46bn
Q1 2013 785 $64bn
Q4 2012 851 $64bn
Q3 2012 912 $39bn
Q2 2012 916 $44bn
Q1 2012 918 $34bn
Q4 2011 904 $44bn
Q3 2011 969 $64bn
Q2 2011 980 $76bn
Q1 2011 919 $45bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.

A round trip for Active Network shares

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

After a little more than two years of trading on the NYSE, registration and events management software vendor Active Network is leaving the public eye in a $1bn take-private by Vista Equity Partners. The deal carries a fairly paltry valuation, and only returns the company’s share price to basically the same level where it sold them in the IPO. And that was when Active Network’s revenue was roughly one-quarter smaller than it is today.

Vista is paying $14.50 per share in cash for Active Network, valuing the company’s equity at $1.05bn. Including the assumption of cash and capital lease obligations, the deal values Active Network at 2.1x trailing sales. For comparison, the company’s much smaller competitor Cvent is currently valued much higher at $1.4bn, or 14.5x trailing revenue. Citi Capital Markets advised Active Network, while Bank of America Merrill Lynch advised Vista Equity Partners.

We’d argue that the subpar valuation is the combination of meager growth and an inability to meet financial expectations. Wall Street expects Active Network to grow revenue 8.5% this year, to about $455m. Although that’s from a much larger base, it’s still a fraction of the 30% growth analysts expect Cvent to record. Further, financial expectations for Active Network are far from certain, given that the company has repeatedly issued results below its own estimates.

In a roundabout way of acknowledging the company’s public troubles, Vista took a charitable view of the per-share premium, noting that its offer is 111% above the average year-to-date closing price for Active Network. A more grounded view, however, shows the offer only matches Active Network’s $15 IPO price in May 2011, and represents a more common 27% premium to its closing share price Friday.

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Much more to do at Dell

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

After a tortuous, acrimonious and sometimes litigious seven-month process, Dell shareholders today approved the proposed $24.6bn take-private of the IT vendor. Now comes the hard part for the folks behind the third-largest tech leveraged buyout (LBO) in history: actually changing the trajectory at Dell.

We say that because the LBO doesn’t actually change much at the company. For the most part, the LBO is a financial event, rather than a strategic one. As a private company, Dell is simply going to continue plodding along its already planned transformation from ‘box maker’ to (ideally) a strategic supplier of IT products and services.

To be clear, however, this is not a new development at Dell. The handful of priorities that it has highlighted for its life as a private company – such as expanding its enterprise business, pushing further into emerging markets and redoubling its commitment to its sales channel – are all ones that it has put forward to shareholders since at least 2008. Dell would counter that its new ownership structure, with chief executive Michael Dell owning three-quarters of the company, will allow them to move quicker on that strategy.

That may be so, but we might suggest that it skims over the difficulties for any 110,000-employee company (public or private) to transform itself. After all, Dell has been steadily and consciously looking beyond its PC and laptop business for nearly the past half-decade, with limited success. In fiscal 2008, that segment contributed 61% of total Dell revenue, but that portion has only dropped to about 54% now.

And that’s despite spending more on M&A than it ever had in its history. Since 2006, the company has averaged about five acquisitions per year, according to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase . Altogether, it has spent more than $12bn to get into new markets, including storage (EqualLogic, Compellent), services (Perot Systems), networking (Force10) and security (SonicWALL, SecureWorks). It’s also relevant to note for the soon-to-be-private Dell that shareholders footed the bill for that shopping spree.

Yet even as Dell has added all those new businesses – to say nothing of the collective billions of dollars in revenue from the acquired companies – it has not been able to grow. In fact, as the IT vendor gets set to step off the Nasdaq and go behind closed doors, it is going to be smaller and less profitable than it was before it kicked off its multibillion-dollar M&A program.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.

Arbor reaches Down Under for network analytics startup

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Three years after Arbor Networks sold itself to Danaher, the security company has announced its first transaction as part of the technology conglomerate. Arbor has picked up Packetloop, a bootstrapped, five-employee startup based in Sydney, Australia, that specializes in network security monitoring and analytics.

The addition of Packetloop takes Arbor far beyond its core offering and market, which, historically, has been selling DDoS detection products to service providers. While service providers still account for a majority of the company’s revenue, sales to enterprises now represent 40% of total revenue, and are growing faster than the service providers business.

The deal also fits into a growing trend of existing security vendors looking to add capabilities around data analytics and visualization, rather than using M&A strictly as a way to step into new infosec markets. Just last week, for instance, Click Security reached for fellow startup VisibleRisk, while earlier this summer, Proofpoint added an in-memory threat-scoring startup called Abaca Technology.

Even old-line Blue Coat Systems caught the trend, paying an uncharacteristically rich multiple for Solera Networks. In fact, much of the network forensic capabilities that Packetloop offers are directly competitive with Solera, which was acquired just three months ago in what we understand was a highly competitive process.

Nuance’s not-so-nuanced response to Icahn

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Even though Nuance Communications is a company that does a lot of buying, the serial shopper has made it clear that it doesn’t want to be on the other side of a transaction. The speech recognition vendor, which has spent more than $1bn on a dozen deals over the past two years, announced earlier this week that it would be putting a ‘shareholder rights plan’ in place by the end of the month. The defensive measure (also known as a ‘poison pill’) effectively scotches any unwanted M&A approaches.

In other words, exactly the type of unwanted approach the company is likely to get from its largest shareholder, who has a history of making unwanted M&A approaches to tech companies. Carl Ichan has steadily snapped up Nuance stock. His stake, according to the most recent SEC filing, is now a mountainous 51 million shares, or 16% of the company.

With Icahn unlikely to play the role of spoiler in the planned Dell LBO, we suspect that he’ll have more time to spend on his other activist investments very soon. Probably on the top of his hit list is Nuance, as the company has already put up subpar numbers in two quarters this year. Nuance stock is down about 15% in 2013.

Unlike Ichan’s earlier stirrings against BEA Systems or Lawson Software, however, there isn’t an obvious single acquirer for Nuance. The reason stems largely from the fact that the Burlington, Massachusetts-based company has four separate business units. (Collectively, those divisions should produce about $1.7bn in annual sales when Nuance wraps its fiscal year at the end of next month.)

Instead, we could imagine that Icahn might push for a breakup of Nuance, arguing that the value of the individual units – on their own – is higher than the current $7.4bn enterprise value of the company. After all, Icahn has experience in that sort of agitation too, having helped spur a breakup of tech giant Motorola at the beginning of 2011.

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Welsh Carson cleans up cap table for IPO-bound Alert Logic

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

In its first major move into IT security, buyout firm Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe has acquired a majority stake in SaaS security vendor Alert Logic. The deal substantially cleans up the capital table at 11-year-old Alert Logic, which has drawn backing from six firms since its series A in 2005, including at least two shops that are designated as early-stage investors. As is typical for these late-stage growth investments by private equity (PE) firms, we would expect the next major capital event for Alert Logic to be an IPO.

Closer at hand, having a single, deep-pocketed owner should help Alert Logic take on its next opportunity for growth: international expansion. Currently only about 230, or 10%, of Alert Logic’s total customers are outside its home US market. The Houston-based company doesn’t have any direct sales outside the US.

International expansion for cloud-based companies like Alert Logic can be expensive because not only do they have to hire sales and marketing staff, they may also have to open in-country datacenters, depending on data residency laws. With $20bn in total capital, Welsh Carson can write those checks. (While Welsh Carson doesn’t currently hold any information security vendors in its portfolio, we would note that the PE firm is well-versed in the service-provider market, where Alert Logic does the majority of its business. The PE shop has put money into both Savvis and Peak 10.)

Alert Logic’s streamlined ownership also should help smooth the way for an IPO, although an offering may not come until 2015. The company finished 2012 with GAAP revenue of $30m and will likely bump that to nearly $45m in 2013. Assuming that growth rate roughly holds, Alert Logic could do $60-65m in sales in 2014. (Keep in mind, too, that Alert Logic is a subscription business, so revenue lags bookings.)

The two most-recent SaaS security providers to debut (Proofpoint and Qualys) both went public when their quarterly sales hit approximately $25m. (Proofpoint went public in April 2012, while Qualys followed suit last September. The two companies have market caps of $1bn and $600m, respectively.) However, we would note that although Alert Logic is smaller, it is growing twice as fast as Qualys and about half again as fast Proofpoint. Alert Logic has been clipping along at a 40-45% growth rate, compared with 20% at Qualys and 30% at Proofpoint.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @451TechMnA.