Category: investment banking

Transmeta: No money? No credit? No problem

Brenon Daly

Just how desperate is Transmeta to get sold? Well, the pitch from the former high-flying semiconductor IP vendor now sounds like something we usually hear on late-night TV: easy financing. (‘No money? No credit? No problem. At Transmeta, we’re ready to do a deal with you.’) And honestly, that’s one of the only selling points left at the company, which retained Piper Jaffray six months ago to advise it on a possible sale. On Wednesday, Transmeta removed the word ‘possible’ and said it was starting the sale of the company. Shares jumped 20%, giving Transmeta a market capitalization of about $200m.

The financing comes into play because Intel, which had been slated to pay $100m to Transmeta in equal installments over the next five years, is writing a lump-sum check for $92m in the next few days. That’s on top of the $150m Intel has already paid to settle a patent lawsuit with Transmeta. As the company has noted, the settlement ‘strengthens’ its balance sheet, which effectively greases a deal by having the cash on hand to finance a transaction. Given the frozen credit markets, that’s not insignificant.

As to who might buy Transmeta, a year ago my colleague, Greg Quick, tapped Advanced Micro Devices as the most-obvious buyer. AMD, which licenses Transmeta technology, also owns a stake in Transmeta through its purchase of a block of preferred shares last year. Other companies that license Transmeta technology, including Sony, Toshiba and Fujitsu, also might be interested but are probably long shots. Whoever does end up buying Transmeta will get a bargain on the company, which never lived up to its hype. Transmeta’s sale price is likely to be in the neighborhood of one-tenth of the company’s valuation at its IPO eight years ago.

Battle set for Aladdin’s lamp

Brenon Daly1 Comment

In contrast to the LBO of data encryption vendor SafeNet a year-and-a-half ago, Vector Capital’s latest effort to take an IT security company private has been a more contentious process. After a series of public and private exchanges with Aladdin Knowledge Systems, Vector, through a subsidiary, called for a special meeting of shareholders to vote on the buyout firm’s plan to replace three of the company’s five board members. On Thursday, Aladdin agreed to the vote, setting October 23 as the date for the proxy showdown.

Vector is currently Aladdin’s largest shareholder, with a 14% stake (Aladdin insiders hold about 20%). The buyout firm began picking up shares earlier this summer at about $9 per share. It quickly piled up a 9% stake, and has since bumped it up to 14%. Along the way, we understand it made numerous private offers to buy the company and then disclosed in late August a public offer to buy the rest of the company at $13 per share. While Vector’s offer represented a 40-50% premium from when the firm started buying, Aladdin shares have ticked above the offer, changing hands at $13.80 in mid-Friday trading.

The unsolicited bid from Vector didn’t go over well with Aladdin. The company has dismissed it as ‘opportunistic’ but hasn’t said much more than that. Behind the scenes, Aladdin has carped that the only party that stands to gain from Vector’s bid is Vector, either by picking up Aladdin on the cheap or disrupting Aladdin’s business enough that it would benefit rival SafeNet, a Vector portfolio company. Investors, who have seen Aladdin shares shed as much as two-thirds of their value since last October, may not be so dismissive of the floor price set by Vector. (They are also mindful of what might happen to their holdings if Vector – stymied in its efforts to ink a deal – gets rid of its 14% stake of Aladdin. Look out below.)

In the month remaining before the vote, we suspect the jabbing and jockeying between Aladdin and Vector will increase. Israel-based Aladdin recently retained the PR firm Joele Frank, Wilkinson Brimmer Katcher, which is basically the go-to shop for companies caught in a bear hug, to get its side of the story out. But the company, along with all of its flaks, faces an experienced bidder. Not only has Vector pushed through unsolicited bids in the past, one of the partners working on the firm’s efforts, David Fishman, has worked on the other side of the table. Before joining Vector, Fishman was a banker at Goldman Sachs, where he worked on a number of defensive deals, including PeopleSoft’s attempted stiff-arm of Oracle. We’re pretty confident that no one involved in this transaction wants to repeat the nastiness of Oracle’s hostile run at PeopleSoft.

Instant investment banks

Brenon Daly

We wrote earlier this week that Bank of America’s pending purchase of Merrill Lynch gives the Charlotte, North Carolina-based giant its first real opportunity to pick up M&A advisory work in the tech market. Well, that assessment goes double for Barclays, which plucked Lehman Brothers’ banking unit out of the rubble, and it goes triple for whichever bank – if any – snags perennial tech powerhouse Morgan Stanley. (Reports on Thursday indicated that Morgan Stanley was holding talks with Wachovia, as well as considering a sale to a European institution.)

Of course, the tech M&A business is just a side-note in the unprecedented consolidation of investment banks that’s played out this week. But it’s one that shouldn’t be overlooked. Deal flow in the tech sector has approached a half-trillion dollars in each of the past two years. Even during an off-year like 2008, we’ve already seen some $250bn worth of transactions, more than the full-year total in 2004. That’s a lot of banking fees.

To be sure, there will be a substantial amount of disruption in the tech banking business as the new owners integrate the formerly independent investment banks. (For instance, LogMeIn, which filed to go public in January, still has Lehman listed as its lead underwriter. Lehman’s new owner, Barclays, is hardly known for its equity underwriter business, much less underwriting tech offerings.) But at the very least, the acquiring banks picked up the opportunity to be relevant in a market where deals worth hundreds of billions of dollars are going to get done each year. And, thanks to these historic times, they got the chance on the cheap.

Not ‘Finnish’ with M&A

Finnish cell phone giant Nokia launched its mobile file-sharing Ovi application last week, coming quickly on the heels of the rollout of Nokia Music and other high-profile offerings. Much like Google and its Android and Chrome products, Nokia used technology that it acquired to form the core of its recently launched products. Specifically, its file-sharing technology came when it picked up Avvenu late last year.

And more M&A may be in the cards. Nokia recently told us that it is bullish on making further acquisitions to boost its service offerings. The company is aiming to evolve from strictly a mobile handset maker to a service-oriented handset maker – and strategic acquisitions are expected to play a big role in this transformation. (Of course, Nokia isn’t the only hardware company looking to do deals to get out of its core commodity market and into a more profitable – and defensible – service offering. PC maker Dell has spent some $2bn over the past two years increasing its service portfolio, buying companies offering everything from storage to email archiving to remote services.) What services could Nokia look to add and what companies might it acquire to do so?

With its music, games and mapping services well established, Nokia’s lack of a video service is strikingly curious. We suspect the company will quickly move to fill this gap. Two potential targets come to mind. Startups kyte and Qik both specialize in mobile video, and have already gotten a lot of interest from big mobile companies. In fact, kyte has drawn money not only from large telcos such as TeliaSonera, but also from Nokia’s own investment arm, Nokia Growth. Another venture that was recently brought to our attention is a startup called ZoneTag. It’s a Yahoo Labs startup that does location-based photo tagging. The software was developed for Nokia phones with the support of Nokia research and we hear the two divisions have a very good relationship.

Nokia’s recent mobile software acquisitions

Date Target Deal value
June 24, 2008 Symbian $410.8m
June 23, 2008 Plazes $30m*
January 28, 2008 Trolltech $153.5m
December 4, 2007 Avvenu Not disclosed
October 1, 2007 Navteq $8.1bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase *Official 451 Group estimate

Vector’s velocity

Brenon Daly

With all the bidding and buying, it’s hard to keep straight what’s going on with Vector Capital. Already this year, the tech buyout shop has made several offers for down-and-out companies. It even got one through last week, as portfolio company Tripos announced a $57m purchase of drug development software maker Pharsight. The deal is expected to close by year-end.

However, Vector’s other recent M&A moves, most of them coming as unsolicited offers, haven’t been as straight-forward. It made an on-again, off-again run this summer at Corel, a half-decade after taking it private and two years after spinning it back onto the public market. (We would note that Corel shares have never traded as high as they did at the IPO in spring 2006.) Vector also bid for troubled content management vendor Captaris, but lost out to the acquisition-hungry Open Text. The $131m deal is expected to close before year-end, and Captaris shares are trading as if the transaction will go through.

In addition to those mixed efforts, Vector has made an unusual two-pronged approach at Israeli security company Aladdin Knowledge Systems. First, it offered to buy Aladdin outright, offering $13 for each share it doesn’t already own. (Vector is Aladdin’s largest shareholder, holding some 14% of the company.) Then, Vector offered to pick up just Aladdin’s digital rights management (DRM) business. The DRM business is the most-attractive unit at Aladdin, and would fit nicely with SafeNet, which Vector took private last year. Perhaps not surprisingly, Aladdin has said ‘thanks, but no thanks’ to both unsolicited options, and has retained Credit Suisse to advise it.

Selected Vector transactions

Year Company Price Market
2008 Precise Software (Symantec) Not disclosed Application performance management
2007 SafeNet $634m Encryption security
2006 Tripos $26m Pharmaceutical industry software
2003 Corel $122m Desktop productivity software

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

BestBuy music goes digital

Just a few days after we speculated on a Napster sale, BestBuy said it will pay $121m, or $2.65 a share, for the digital music service. This is an 80% premium from where the company was trading before the offer. After factoring in Napster’s cash and short-term investments, BestBuy paid just $54m, or 0.45 times Napster’s trailing twelve month revenue. A bargain by all means, but it remains to be seen whether BestBuy can do what Napster has failed to do for the past four years: Turn a profit.

Wall Street upheaval hits league tables

Brenon Daly

The unprecedented upheaval Monday on Wall Street – with Lehman Brothers going under and Merrill Lynch forced into a distressed sale – will have echoes, large and small, for years to come. Tens of thousands of jobs have been thrown into question and tens of billions of dollars of value will have to be written off. On a minor scale, the historic changes will also cause a dramatic shakeup of our tech banking league tables. (See our executive summary of our 2007 league tables report.)

With its acquisition of Merrill, Bank of America has the chance – for the first time, really – to be a legitimate contender in tech banking. (Of course, much will depend on the sensitive task of retaining Merrill’s bankers and then building on practice.) On its own, BofA never cracked the Top 10, standing in 12th place in 2007 and 16th place in 2006. But if we added BofA’s deal totals in 2007 to Merrill’s business, the combined bank would have been ranked in fourth place, just ahead of Citigroup.

More dramatically, however, the disappearance of Lehman erases a perennially strong tech bank from the league tables altogether: Lehman ranked fifth overall in 2007, and fourth the year before. Moreover, it had continued that strong run into this year, having a hand in 24 deals with an aggregate disclosed value of $77bn. For instance, Lehman had the sole mandate in the $162m sale of Iona Technologies to Progress Software and Eagle Test Systems’ $250m sale to Teradyne, as well as co-adviser roles on ChoicePoint’s $4bn sale to Reed Elsevier and Hewlett-Packard’s $13.9bn purchase of EDS. Those are among the tombstones for now-deceased Lehman.

R.I.P: Lehman’s advisory credits

Year Deal volume Aggregate announced deal value
2006 34 $143bn
2007 30 $66bn
YTD 2008 24 $77bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Napster sings the blues

Napster, once hailed as the king of digital music, has fallen on hard times. Its stock is down 35% this year alone, and 55% from its 52-week high set in October 2007. Resulting shareholder ire forced the company to announce last week that it is seeking strategic alternatives to boost value, and it has hired UBS Investment Bank to lead the effort. Who might acquire the house that Shawn Fanning built?

Since relaunching as a legal music service in late 2003, Napster has been unable to turn a profit. The company pulled in $125m in revenue for the trailing 12 months ended June 30 from about 708,000 paid subscribers. Despite increasing revenue 15% year-over-year, the company had a negative EBITDA of $12.3m and subscriber count decreased from last quarter’s total of 761,000. The switch from stagnation to a drop in subscribers for the first time means that Napster will be unable to keep growing revenue. Consequently, that makes it doubtful that it will be able to achieve profitability. Nevertheless, with $36.9m in cash and $30.7m in short-term investments, Napster is an attractive target at its current valuation of $62.25m.

We previously speculated that SanDisk would attempt to acquire a proprietary music service of its own. But given its financial woes, as well as reported takeover negotiations with Samsung, we do not think it will bite. We believe Napster’s fierce competitor RealNetworks, the majority owner of the Rhapsody music service, is the most likely acquirer. Amid growing competition from Apple, which unveiled its iTunes 8 and a new line of iPods this week, and with digital music newcomers Amazon, Nokia and a few promising startups making waves, this is a much more plausible proposition. Last year Rhapsody picked up Viacom’s Urge, which had been struggling despite its high-profile association with MTV and Microsoft. RealNetworks has the cash, and has repeatedly told us it is bullish on acquisitions that spur growth. Given Napster’s current valuation and similar deals, we estimate that it will fetch around $80-100m in a sale.

CA: Ghosts of deals past

Brenon Daly1 Comment

When CA Inc opens the doors for its annual meeting today, we expect there will be more than a few ghosts floating around the hallways at the company’s Long Island headquarters. CA, which has been under one form of investigation or another for much of this decade, can’t seem to leave the past behind. Just last week, in a sort of Shakespearian development, the former chief executive, currently in jail, lobbed the charge that the company’s board and other executives knew all about the book-cooking. Sanjay Kumar may have initially taken the fall for the company’s ’35-day months,’ among other shady accounting practices. But now he’s looking to drag others down.

We mention the latest courtroom contretemps because we have the sense that it has taken CA out of the M&A market. CA, which typically buys a handful of companies each year, hasn’t inked a deal since July 2006. (One of those acquisitions, in the late 1980s, actually brought Kumar to CA.) While we have heard rumors that CA may be on the verge of ending the two-year drought, nothing has been closed. (One set of rumors had CA looking at acquiring a systems management vendor.) Further, a few conversations with bankers indicate that not many of them are bothering with a trip out to Long Island to pitch possible deals. That’s understandable, since the company’s lawyers are probably too busy with other matters to look at a deal book.

CA deal flow

Year Deal volume
YTD 2008 0
2007 0
2006 6
2005 6
2004 3
2003 4

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Spending the ‘divestiture dividend’

Brenon Daly

On the same day it closed the divestiture of its authentication business, Secure Computing said it will pay $15m for Securify. The deal, which is expected to close in the fourth quarter, also has a potential $5m earnout. Secure said it plans to add Securify’s identity-based monitoring and control technology to its firewall. The majority of Securify’s customers are government, and Secure Computing plans to cross-sell into that market. Founded in 1998, Securify had raised more than $70m in VC. However, it only generated about $13m in revenue last year. Secure Computing indicated the acquisition would boost earnings next fiscal year.