Category: investment banking

Hiring bankers

Brenon Daly

Once thought to be just part of the broader ERP offering, the so-called human capital management (HCM) market has come into its own in recent years. That has meant a few IPOs (going back to when there was a market for the offerings) as well as two or three HCM deals each year worth more than $100m. Recently, those twin threads came together in HireRight. The $195m acquisition of that company, which sells pre-employment screening software, closed earlier this month, almost exactly a year after the company went public.

In addition to the acquisition of HireRight by a private company serving the US government, we also noted one of the largest deals for market consolidation earlier this summer when Taleo spent $129m for longtime recruiting software rival Vurv Technology. (As opposed to consolidation, earlier HCM deals were typically done as a way for the acquirer to get into new markets or expand its product portfolio, such as outsourcing giant ADP spending an estimated $160m two years ago for Employease, an on-demand HCM vendor focused on the midmarket.)

So what does HCM deal flow look like for the rest of the year? Salary.com, which picked up a small British firm on Tuesday, has indicated that it plans to ink another deal or two before the year is out. Salary.com went public last year and has done two deals since then, including this week’s $5m purchase of InfoBasis.

More intriguing, however, is the rumor we heard from two market sources that PreVisor, a PE-backed HCM vendor selling employee screening and testing software, is looking to sell. The company was formed in August 2005 through the combination of three companies, and it has done a handful of acquisitions since then. There is no initial word on who might be bidding on PreVisor, which is owned by Veronis Suhler Stevenson.

HCM deal flow

Period Deal volume Deal value
Jan.-Aug. 2006 45 $617m
Jan.-Aug. 2007 35 $2bn
Jan.-Aug. 2008 26 $511m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Red-zone M&A

So-called ‘New Europe’ is emerging as an important Web 2.0 market. Revenue growth is steady in the mid- to high-double digits compared to low-double digits for the established US web portals. That hasn’t gone unnoticed by global companies scrambling to tap into these faster-growing markets. The latest example is the rumored sale of leading Czech Republic search engine and web portal Seznam. Goldman Sachs has reportedly been tapped to head the sale. Google, Microsoft and private equity shop Warburg Pincus are said to all be serious contenders, according to the Czech media.

Seznam is closely held. Founder Ivo Lukacovic owns just over two-thirds of the company, with the rest held by investment firms Tiger Holding Four and Miura International. The 450-employee portal says it took in about $55m last year, up from about $30m the year before. Revenue is expected to reach $80m for the year. Seznam is reportedly being shopped around at a valuation of $900m. At a multiple of 11 times sales, that is a premium compared to a similar deal inked by Warburg Pincus last year. The buyout firm acquired Seznam competitor NetCentrum for $150m at a multiple of 6.5 times revenue. Nonetheless, compared to recent US Web 2.0 deals, the rumored valuation of Seznam is in line with, or at a discount to, market prices.

If a deal for Seznam gets done, the purchase will stand as one of the largest Internet deals ever inked in the former Soviet block. And as the Eastern European Internet market continues to grow, we believe so will the M&A activity from anxious companies trying to make an early land grab. Meanwhile, other search engines may look to go it alone. Yandex, a leading Russian portal, has reportedly been preparing for a US public offering for some time now, but an almost nonexistent IPO market may lead it to consider a sale, instead. We’re fairly certain that Google and Microsoft stand ready to provide the liquidity for either (or both) of these companies if the public markets can not.

Recent transatlantic search M&A

Date Acquirer Target Deal value TTM Revenues
July 18, 2008 Google ZAO Begun (Russia) $140m Not disclosed
May 26, 2008 Google 265.com (China) Not disclosed Not disclosed
January 8, 2008 Microsoft Fast Search & Transfer (Norway) $1.24bn $167.75m
December 4, 2007 Warburg Pincus NetCentrum (Czech Republic) $155m (reported) $24m (reported)

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Corporate castoffs

Brenon Daly

Look who’s hitting the corporate garage sales these days – other corporations. While divestitures used to go most often straight to private equity shops, more than a few castoff businesses are now finding homes inside new companies. The latest example: AMD’s sale of its digital TV chip division Monday to Broadcom for $193m.

Given AMD’s struggles, as well as the fact that rival Intel has shed a number of businesses in recent years, the divestiture wasn’t a surprise. In fact, my colleague Greg Quick noted two weeks ago that AMD was likely to dump its TV chip business, naming Broadcom as one of the likely acquirers.

On the buy side, Broadcom joins fellow publicly traded companies Overland Storage, L-1 Identity Solutions and Software AG, among others, that picked up properties from other listed companies this year. That’s not to say that buyout firms have been knocked out of the market, despite the tight credit conditions. PE shops Vector Capital, Thoma Cressey Bravo and Battery Ventures have all taken businesses off the books of publicly traded companies in 2008.

Still, the activity by the corporate shoppers is noteworthy. And the list is likely to grow as more companies look to clean up their operations during the lingering bear market. The next name we may well add to the list is Rackable Systems, which said earlier this month that it is looking to shed its RapidScale business. (The divestiture would effectively unwind its acquisition two years ago of Terrascale Technologies, and comes after a gadfly investor buzzed Rackable for much of the year.)

As to who might be eyeing the assets, we doubt there are many hardware vendors interested in RapidScale, because they have either made acquisitions (Sun’s purchase of Cluster File Systems, for instance) or have partnerships (both EMC and Dell partner with Ibrix). However, a service provider could use the technology to enhance its storage-as-a-service offering. In a similar move, we’ve seen telecom giants like BT and Verizon pick up security vendors to offer that as a service. And finally, we’d throw out a dark horse: Amazon, which is one of Rackable’s largest customers, could use RapidScale’s clustered storage technology to bolster its S3 offering.

Big, happy family or favorite child?

Brenon Daly

For an executive who learned the ropes from Larry Ellison, Marc Benioff has adopted a very ‘un-Oracle-like’ approach to M&A. Since the company he founded, Salesforce.com, went public in mid-2004, Benioff has inked just five deals. The total shopping bill: less than $100m. Oracle, on the other hand, hardly touches a deal worth less than $100m. In the same four-year period that Salesforce.com has been public, Oracle has closed 45 deals with an announced value of more than $30bn.

Of course, the two companies are in very different stages of their lives, which goes a long way toward shaping their M&A activity. While Ellison and Oracle look to consolidate huge blocks of the software landscape, Benioff and Salesforce.com target tiny technology purchases that allow them to extend their on-demand offering to new markets. We saw that with Salesforce.com’s purchase last year of content management startup Koral, which had just nine employees. And on Wednesday, Salesforce.com announced its largest deal so far, spending $31m on call center software vendor InStranet.

But we would add another – perhaps less obvious – reason for the rather shallow deal flow at Salesforce.com. In many ways, the company is caught between shopping and partnering. In an effort to get a richer valuation, Salesforce.com has pushed Force.com and AppExchange as a way to be viewed as a platform company, rather than merely an applications vendor. (That effort got a big boost this week from Dell, which said it will be developing applications on the Force.com platform over the next three years.)

However, the very success of these efforts helps to explain why Salesforce.com has to keep its checkbook in its pocket when shopping. It can either focus on building out its platform or it can focus on deal-making – it can’t do both. By design, platforms are broad, open and inclusive, while M&A necessarily involves selecting one above all others. Benioff can’t pick a favorite child and expect to have a big, happy family.

To illustrate the dilemma, consider the situation concerning sales compensation, a line of business that’s a logical extension of Salesforce.com’s core CRM product and one the company could easily buy its way into. Indeed, there are already more than a half-dozen companies offering their sales compensation products on AppExchange. But imagine if Salesforce.com decided to buy one of the vendors, say Xactly Corp. Obviously, that purchase would alienate AppExchange rivals like Centive and Callidus Software, which would probably pull their offerings from AppExchange the day the deal was announced. Salesforce.com may well make up that immediate loss of revenue down the line. But as indicated by Wall Street’s brutal reaction Thursday to the company’s second-quarter report, it’s best not to tamper with the top line.

Salesforce.com: an unwilling buyer

Announced Target Deal value Target description
Aug. 2008 InStranet $31.5m Customer service automation
Oct. 2007 CrispyNews Not disclosed Community news, website development
April 2007 Koral $7m* Web content management
Aug. 2006 Kieden Not disclosed Search engine marketing management
April 2006 Sendia $15m Wireless application developer

*451 Group estimate, Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Rise in social networking deals

After a trickle of deals in 2007, this year has seen a flood of acquisitions of social networking sites as buyers look to sell advertising and services around these properties. Acquirers have spent some $1.15bn already on networking sites, compared to just $95m in all of 2007. This year’s M&A was boosted by several key service providers making significant bets on the market, including AOL’s $850m purchase of Bebo and Comcast’s acquisition of Plaxo for an estimated $150m. (Both deals, we should note, are larger than last year’s collective tally for social networking sites.)

And it’s not just the obvious acquirers picking up these online sites. Mobile phone maker Nokia shelled out an estimated $30m for geo-social networker Plazes, while Hoover’s, primarily known as a business directory, bought into the Web 2.0 trend with its tiny $4.2m acquisition of Visible Path. Even Barry Diller went shopping in this market, with his IAC/InterActiveCorp’s purchase of Girlsense.com.

Despite the broad interest and appetite for social networking sites, we wonder if supply hasn’t outstripped demand. At last count, there were more than 130 networks of various stripes. With only two companies (Facebook and LinkedIn) likely to go public anytime soon, that leaves a slew of sites hoping to connect with buyers. Coming off a 1,200% increase in M&A from last year, we can only surmise that the number of deals – and, more important, the valuations handed out to the sites – is likely to come down.

Acquisitions of social networking sites

Period Deal volume Deal value
Jan.-Aug. 2008 20 $1.15bn
Jan.-Dec. 2007 9 $95.1m
Jan.-Dec. 2006 2 $5.1m
Jan.-Dec. 2005 1 $580m
Jan.-Dec. 2004 4 $129.8m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

eBay places bid

EBay officially acknowledged rumors this week that it is in talks with Interpark to acquire its roughly 37% stake in Korean auction competitor Gmarket. Gmarket shares rallied 15% on the news. Should this transaction go through, we believe eBay would quickly hit the ‘buy it now’ button for Gmarket to establish control of the Korean auction market.

Amid a slowing U.S. auction business, eBay has been relying on its international operations for growth. For its recent second quarter ended June 30, eBay’s international revenue accounted for about 54% of total revenue. International revenue grew close to 30% year over year, while US revenue was up just 12%. Most of the international success, however, stemmed from eBay’s European operations, with German and UK operations accounting for more than half of international revenue.

Interpark announced that it was shopping its shares earlier this year, putting a $1.4bn price tag on Gmarket. This is a 15% premium over Gmarket’s current market cap of $1.23bn, and means eBay would have to shell out slightly more than $500m for the shares. That works out to 5.5x Gmarket’s trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue of $254.34m and 31.4x TTM EBITDA of $44.56m. That’s a premium compared to eBay’s own valuation of 4x TTM revenue and 24x TTM EBITDA.

By acquiring Gmarket, eBay would get a company that understands the local market. Its failure to adapt to economic and cultural realities burned eBay with its first attempt to crack the Korean market. Former CEO Meg Whitman simply applied a template that had worked in the West and put the operation on cruise control. It seems that new CEO John Donahoe has learned from that mistake. Rather than continue the failed strategy of going it alone, we expect Donahoe to try to succeed in Asia through joint ventures and acquisitions of local competitors. Given the huge potential upside for further international growth by capturing that elusive Asian market share, this deal is likely the first of many.

Significant eBay acquisitions, 2005 – present

Date Target Deal value
January 28, 2008 Fraud Sciences $169m
May 30, 2007 StumbleUpon $75m
January 10, 2007 StubHub $310m
April 24, 2006 Tradera AB $48m
October 10, 2005 Verisign (payment gateway business) $370m
September 12, 2005 Skype $2.57bn
June 1, 2005 Shopping.com $678m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Meru: Nasdaq or bust

Brenon Daly

At the rate networking companies are consolidating, there may be no one left to buy Meru Networks. Earlier this week, Hewlett-Packard satisfied its appetite for WLAN equipment by acquiring Colubris Networks. That deal comes just two months after rival Trapeze Networks got snapped up by Belden, a cable and wiring company.

But the deal that probably scotched any potential trade sale for Meru was Brocade’s $3bn gamble on Foundry. The reason: Foundry has an OEM arrangement with Meru and was viewed as the most-likely acquirer of the WLAN equipment startup. We’re guessing Brocade probably figures it has its hands full with integrating Foundry’s existing business without adding additional pieces. Also, we view the planned Brocade-Foundry pairing as focused primarily on the datacenter, which wouldn’t have much use for WLAN equipment.

The only suitor we can put forward for Meru at this point is Juniper Networks. While Meru’s enterprise focus would fit well with Juniper, we understand the two companies kicked around a deal in 2005, at a reported $150m, but talks didn’t go far. Besides, a Meru source indicated recently that the company is plugging away on an IPO for next year. (We’ve heard that from the company for more than two years , but maybe 2009 will be the year.)

For Meru to go public at a decent valuation, however, it needs both a healthy IPO market and a healthy comparable, Aruba Networks. That company is currently trading at half the level it was at the start of the year, following a blown quarter in February. Aruba will have a chance to make amends in two weeks, as it will report results from its fiscal year on August 28.

Recent WLAN deals

Date Acquirer Target Price
Aug. 2008 HP Colubris Not disclosed
June 2008 Belden Trapeze Networks $133m
July 2008 Motorola AirDefense $85m*
*Estimated      

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

UBS: You buy us?

Brenon Daly

As it reported an ‘unsatisfactory’ loss of hundreds of millions of dollars, UBS AG also said Tuesday that it will carve off its investment banking business. The move represents a retreat from the ‘universal bank’ model the Swiss giant has pursued. And despite management’s statements, it makes a sale of the banking unit more likely. (Just as Time Warner splitting AOL’s legacy Internet access division from its online advertising business clears the way for a sale of the dial-up unit. That is, if there are any AOL subscribers left to sell.)

Washed away by the gallons of red ink spilling from the investment banking department is that UBS actually has a fairly robust advisory business, particularly for transatlantic tech deals. In terms of deal value, it ranked fifth in our recent league tables covering transactions between North America and the EU from mid-2007 to mid-2008. The previous year, UBS placed fourth. (An executive summary of the report is available here; download the full report here.)

Far and away, UBS was the busiest bank, advising on 13 transatlantic transactions over the past year. Both Lehman Brothers and Deutsche Bank advised on eight transactions. And UBS has kept its momentum, already claiming another tombstone since we closed our survey period on June 30. (UBS served as sole adviser for IBM in its purchase of Paris-based ILOG for $340m.) But given how things stand now, the next big deal UBS advises on could be the sale of its own banking business.

Selected UBS-advised transatlantic deals

Date Acquirer Target Price
July 2008 IBM (sole UBS mandate) ILOG $340m
April 2008 Apax Partners TriZetto Group (sole UBS mandate) $1.4bn
Feb. 2008 Reed Elsevier (co-adviser UBS) ChoicePoint $4bn
April 2008 Diodes (sole UBS mandate) Zetex Semiconductors $176m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Beijing: unsporting laws on M&A

Brenon Daly

The opening of the 2008 Beijing Summer Olympics today has the world’s sporting eyes on China. Of course, global dealmakers had their sights on the large (and growing) Chinese markets long before Beijing landed the Olympics. However, as my colleague Anita Cheung notes, those efforts suffered a setback last week when China passed the latest and strictest set of regulations on foreign investment and M&A in 15 years.

The new regulations give the federal government more control over direct foreign investment and take off the table virtually any acquisition of a Chinese company by a foreign firm. Chinese regulators cite national security and antitrust concerns for these recent actions. This is a distressing development for the idea of a global M&A marketplace. While other countries have certainly used regulation to block ‘sensitive’ acquisitions, few have succeeded with a blanket policy blocking essentially all deals.

In the months before these new regulations took effect, several US media and technology companies were able to ink purchases of Chinese companies. For instance, Hearst Business Media acquired ee365.cn, a technology news website for engineers, last month. Also, CNET acquired Beijing-based 55BBS.com in June, while Google picked up Chinese search engine 265.com one month before. And deals aren’t just being inked by US companies. In June, one of Australia’s largest telecommunications companies, Telstra, picked up a controlling stake in two large Chinese Internet companies, Norstar Media and Autohome/PCPop.

Rather than those transactions being models for future M&A activity in China, we would expect to see more deals break down because of politics. In other words, more deals like February’s aborted $2.2bn leveraged buyout of 3Com, which was led by Bain Capital, with minority participation by Chinese networking equipment vendor Huawei Technologies. In that proposed transaction, US regulators got all worked up over the possible threats to US national security of having partial Chinese ownership of 3Com’s TippingPoint Technologies business. The fear was that the Chinese might be able to spy on the US by using TippingPoint’s intrusion-prevention system to gain access to networks. As silly as that seems, it was enough to sink the deal. And unfortunately, China seems to have adopted that as policy.

Recent foreign deals in China

Date Acquirer Target
July 2, 2008 Hearst Business Media ee365.cn
June 27, 2008 Telstra Norstar Media; Autohome/PCPop
June 17, 2008 CNET 55bbs.com
May 26, 2008 Google 265.com

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase