Facebook sucks the air out of the IPO market

Contact: Brenon Daly

All the breathless coverage of Facebook’s kickoff of its IPO roadshow bordered on the ridiculous, even for Wall Street. The reports flew as Facebook made its way along the well-trod path to becoming a public company, a journey that thousands of other companies have already made. But each step (even the most inconsequential) apparently merited coverage: Which door did CEO Mark Zuckerberg use to get into the meeting with potential investors? Did he wear his trademark hoodie as he met the button-down types?

Given this, it’s pretty clear that Facebook hasn’t left any room on the IPO stage for any other would-be debutant. That was underscored by the fact that – according to our understanding – another tech company was originally thinking about making the rounds to buyside institutions this week. Word was that Eloqua was loosely targeting mid-May for its roadshow, but understandably stepped back as the Facebook carnival rolled into town.

Whenever Eloqua does get a chance to tell its story to Wall Street, however, we think it’ll get a pretty good hearing from investors. The on-demand marketing automation vendor is growing about 40% annually (the rate in Q1 actually came in above that level, outstripping full-year 2011) and is likely to finish this year at roughly $100m in sales. It’s right on the cusp of profitability, too. Beyond that, Eloqua has a highly valued rival that recently made its debut: ExactTarget, which currently garners a market value of $1.6bn.

So it’s probably a prudent move by Eloqua and its underwriters not to try to compete with all the noise and flash from the once-in-a-generation offering from Facebook. After all, Wall Street isn’t known for its patience, much less a long attention span. Once Facebook does get listed, many investors will be off looking for the next shiny object.

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LinkedIn looks to keep users more linked with SlideShare acquisition

Contact: Brenon Daly

In its largest-ever acquisition, LinkedIn said Thursday afternoon that it will pay $119m for SlideShare in an effort to draw more people to the professional network and keep them there longer. SlideShare has some 29 million unique monthly visitors, and the combination should allow LinkedIn members to expand their professional development and identity. It also significantly increases the amount of content on LinkedIn’s network, which is crucial for the company to grow beyond a site that the 160 million registered users only access when they are looking for a job.

The purchase, which continues the company’s practice to cover its M&A bill with a mix of cash and stock, represents a significant inorganic move to bump up engagement on top of LinkedIn’s earlier in-house efforts such as forming professional groups and a dedicated news page. To date, LinkedIn has had success with its strategy.

As it announced the SlideShare acquisition, LinkedIn also reported financial results for its first quarter. Sales for the January-March period doubled to $189m, with the business running at a solid 20% ‘adjusted EBITDA’ margin. Perhaps more importantly, revenue from all three segments of its business (hiring, marketing, subscriptions) posted strong growth. It’s fairly rare that a fast-growth business (LinkedIn has at least doubled revenue for seven straight quarters now) can put up consistent results across completely different business units without a misstep.

Wall Street has certainly noticed that performance. Shares hit their highest level since last May’s IPO, changing hands at about $120 each in Friday afternoon trading. That values the company at $12.3bn, or more than 13 times the forecasted revenue of roughly $900m for 2012. In comparison, old-line job board Monster Worldwide is valued at only $950m, despite being on track to generate slightly higher revenue this year.

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Will patience pay off for RGB Networks?

Contact:  Thejeswi Venkatesh

On its way to an IPO, Envivio tripled its top line in just two years, reflecting increased demand for high-quality video content on a range of platforms and devices. Yet with just $50m in sales in its last fiscal year, we’re not sure if the video-processing and distribution provider was quite big enough to be a public company. That was evident in Wall Street’s chilly reception of Envivio as it made its way to the Nasdaq. Unlike many other recent tech IPOs, the company had to price its offering below the target range. Then, for most of its first few days as a public company, it traded below the reduced offer price. With a market cap of less than $250m, Envivio won’t quite make the list of hot stocks on Wall Street, which tends to favor larger companies and higher liquidity.

Meanwhile, Envivio’s primary competitor RGB Networks continues to grow its business steadily. We understand that RGB generated $56m in revenue for 2011, which is slightly higher than Envivio’s top line during the same period. Perhaps learning from its rival’s travails, RGB wants to wait before putting in its papers to go public. If all goes according to plan, the company is likely to be much larger at the time of its public debut, which seems to be what Wall Street is buying these days.

Splunk soars in rip-roaring IPO

Contact: Brenon Daly

In a rip-roaring debut, Splunk soared onto the public market Thursday in an IPO that created more than $3bn of market value for the data analytics vendor. That’s a heady, double-digit valuation for a company that’s likely to generate only about $200m in sales this year. (Just as we predicted in last week’s special IPO report, the company has captured the attention of Wall Street. Subscribers can click here to read what else we see coming in the IPO pipeline in the next few months, and how the offerings are likely to fare.)

But Splunk’s rich pricing simply reflects the tremendous opportunity that the company has in front of it. If the name ‘Splunk’ conjures up images of exploring a cave, or ‘spelunking,’ we might suggest that a more accurate way to view the company is one ready to run – and run quickly – into a wide-open greenfield.

The company, which has already garnered 3,700 customers across a broad number of industries, makes the pitch that any company with large amounts of data is a potential customer. Splunk’s core offering is a search product that helps users make sense of the ever-increasing volumes of data, much of it machine-generated.

After it got going in 2003, Splunk had most of its use cases around IT operations and security. However, the company has expanded its product to also cover application performance management, online customer experience monitoring, marketing and beyond.

Originally, Splunk’s seven underwriters set a range of $8-10 for each share, but then ended up pricing at double that level at $17 each. In the aftermarket, the stock nearly doubled again, changing hands in the low $30s in mid-Thursday trading on the Nasdaq. (It trades under the ticker SPLK.)

A final interesting little market anecdote about the offering: With roughly 100 million shares outstanding, Splunk is starting its life as a public company at almost exactly the same amount ($3.3bn) that Hyperion Solutions finished its life as a public company. Splunk’s current CEO Godfrey Sullivan was previously CEO at Hyperion, which sold to Oracle five years ago.

For more real-time information on tech M&A, follow us on Twitter @MAKnowledgebase.

Marketo buys into social marketing with Crowd Factory

Contact: Brenon Daly

Announcing its first-ever acquisition, Marketo said Wednesday that it is picking up Crowd Factory. The deal adds Crowd Factory’s social campaign management technology to Marketo’s marketing automation platform, expanding the distribution of marketing pitches to social channels such as Facebook pages and Twitter.

Although terms weren’t disclosed, we imagine that this was a small technology tuck-in. As we understand it, Crowd Factory was planning on raising a new round of financing of about $10m, but instead took the offer from Marketo. (Crowd Factory had already raised money from Storm Ventures, Hummer Winblad Venture Partners and Peninsula Ventures.) Our understanding is that Crowd Factory generated a little more than $1m in 2011 (with just two sales people) and was planning on tripling revenue this year.

For Marketo, this purchase rounds out its platform, adding cross-channel capabilities as well as bringing analytics to measure returns on the sharing of social campaigns, such as sweepstakes pages. The technology additions should help the company compete in the red-hot marketing automation space, which has seen significant moves by rivals recently. ExactTarget went public last month, creating some $1.6bn in market capitalization, while Eloqua has been on file since last summer. We could certainly envision Marketo following with an IPO of its own, but probably not until it tops $50m in revenue next year.

Tech IPO market looks to next week’s triple-header

Contact: Brenon Daly

Although the US equity market has been a bit choppy over the past week or so, shares are still generally inching higher. Sure, it hasn’t necessarily been the uninterrupted ascent of the Nasdaq that we saw in the first quarter, which recorded the strongest start to a year in two decades. But the sentiment – despite renewed concerns about the economies of Europe as well as the quality of some Q1 results, which will begin trickling in over the coming weeks – has been bullish. That goes double for the newest entrants into the equity markets, IPOs.

We have already highlighted the warm reception that Wall Street has given the companies that have come to market so far this year. We expect that to continue next week, which is shaping up to the busiest week in tech underwriting in a long time. Splunk, Infoblox and Proofpoint are all scheduled to price their offerings next week. (The trio set preliminary ranges earlier this week. A fourth tech company, Envivio, also set its range this week but will likely be heading out later in the month.) Of the IPOs on the calendar, Splunk is all but certain to capture a disproportionate amount of attention as it steps onto Wall Street.

Splunk, which plans to trade under the ticker SPLK on the Nasdaq, will almost certainly be valued at more than $1bn on its debut. (This week, it set the range for its 13.5 million shares at $8-10 each, although we suspect that the actual price will be north of that range.) Splunk finished its most recent fiscal year (ending January 31) with $121m in sales, an 83% increase over the previous year. The growth rate for the second half of the year actually accelerated at the company, so it will hit the market with a lot of momentum. (And with four bulge-bracket bookrunners, Splunk’s performance will be trumpeted loudly across Wall Street.)

We’ll have an in-depth look at Splunk and next week’s other two IPO candidates in tonight’s Daily 451. Additionally, the report will look ahead to what’s coming in the pipeline after this trio hits the market. If anything, the second round of IPOs this year will be even hotter than this current round. Look for the special IPO report tonight.

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Citrix consolidates collaboration

Contact: Ben KoladaThejeswi Venkatesh

In its third collaboration deal in the past 18 months, Citrix Systems said Wednesday that it will acquire small Copenhagen-based startup Podio. The target provides team collaboration SaaS for SMBs, apparently mostly through a ‘freemium’ model. Its product is used for project management, social information sharing, sales lead management and employee recruitment management. It also provides related Apple iPhone and Google Android applications. But Citrix isn’t the only company consolidating in the collaboration market – its Podio buy comes at a time of record interest in this sector.

While there are many collaboration vendors in the market, Podio has a different approach – it enables users to create their own applications to carry out specific tasks. This allows teams to tweak the platform to cater to their specific needs. Citrix will integrate Podio into its GoTo cloud services suite, making it easy for existing customers to adopt the platform. Podio already integrates with Dropbox, Google Docs and Box.

Citrix isn’t disclosing terms of the acquisition, but we suspect that the three-year-old firm probably generated less than $5m in revenue. Podio claims tens of thousands of customers in 170 different countries, but the majority of them are likely only using its free product. If our revenue assumption is correct, then this deal should be considered more of ‘tech and talent’ play than anything else. Citrix traditionally pays above-average valuations, but we doubt that it paid more for Podio than the $54.2m it forked over in its last collaboration acquisition – ShareFile. The 27-employee firm had raised a total of $4.6m from Sunstone Capital, CEO Tommy Ahlers and private investors Thomas Madsen-Mygdal and Ulrik Jensen.

Beyond Citrix’s recent consolidation, the collaboration market is seeing increasing interest overall. The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase shows 79 collaboration acquisitions in 2011 – nearly double the volume in 2010 and an all-time record. Throughout the collaboration sector, some of the most notable transactions since the beginning of 2011 include Yammer buying oneDrum (announced just today), salesforce.com reaching for Manymoon and Dimdim, Citrix competitor VMware acquiring Socialcast and SlideRocket, and Jive Software picking up OffiSync (click on the links for disclosed and estimated valuations). Jive itself made its own splash in social collaboration when it went public in December. The company hit the Nasdaq at $850m and has since seen its market cap balloon to nearly $1.6bn, or 14 times projected 2012 revenue.

Citrix’s collaboration acquisitions

Date announced Target Collaboration sector Deal value
April 11, 2012 Podio Team collaboration Not disclosed
October 13, 2011 Novel Labs (aka ShareFile) File sharing & team collaboration $54.2m
December 17, 2010 Netviewer AG Web conferencing $115m

Source: 451 Research M&A KnowledgeBase; Click on the links for disclosed and estimated valuations

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Palo Alto puts in its paperwork

Contact: Brenon Daly, Thejeswi Venkatesh

Long rumored to be an IPO candidate, Palo Alto Networks has finally filed its paperwork for a $175m offering. The application-level firewall security vendor has put up astonishing growth in recent quarters, but unlike other early-stage companies, Palo Alto has been running in the black recently. But the real story – and one that will certainly draw interest on Wall Street – is Palo Alto’s astonishing growth. From essentially a standing start in 2007, the company has racked up more than 6,650 customers.

On the top line, Palo Alto has grown tenfold since 2009, recording sales of $185m over the past four quarters. In its most recent quarter, which ended January 31, the company more than doubled sales to $57m. While Palo Alto is obviously just getting started, it’s nonetheless worth considering how the startup is growing relative to the firewall industry’s stalwart, Check Point Software. That vendor, which crossed over the $1bn mark in 2010, expanded revenue about 13% last year.

Off a revenue base that’s counted in the billions of dollars, Check Point’s growth rate is actually fairly impressive. To put that another way, Check Point generated an additional $149m in revenue in 2011, which is less than Palo Alto generated but a level that’s still respectable. (And we should note that Check Point increases sales at a level of profitability that most other tech companies can only envy: For every dollar it books as sales, more than 40 cents of that drops straight to the bottom line.)

Wall Street certainly is bullish on Check Point, having driven the company’s shares to their highest level in 11 years. It currently garners a market cap of $12.8bn, a full 10 times trailing sales. We would expect Palo Alto to at least trade at that multiple when it comes to market later this summer. That could put its valuation above $2bn. Not a bad bit of value creation for a company that raised just $65m in venture backing. Greylock Partners and Sequoia Partners are Palo Alto’s biggest shareholders, with each firm owning 22% of the startup.

LifeLock buys an insurance policy

Contact: Brenon Daly

In its first-ever acquisition, LifeLock bought itself a bit of an insurance policy. The identity theft prevention player recently raised a big slug of money and handed it over for ID Analytics, an acquisition that we suspect was partly motivated by LifeLock’s plan to go public soon. How do we figure that?

On its own, LifeLock has built a powerful business since its founding in 2005. With more than two million registered users, the company recorded revenue of about $190m in 2011. LifeLock is known for its unapologetically brash marketing, including the full-page newspaper advertisements in which the company’s CEO tauntingly gives out his real social security number to any would-be identity thieves. (In the past, some of the company’s claims have landed LifeLock in hot water with regulators and consumer advocacy groups.)

Indeed, many critics have blasted LifeLock as little more than a marketing machine, one that chews through tens of millions of dollars each year to keep its consumer brand growing. With the acquisition of ID Analytics, however, some of that criticism has been knocked down. For starters, the purchase gets LifeLock into the enterprise business for the first time. (ID Analytics, which was founded 10 years ago, has 280 enterprise clients and will continue to operate as a stand-alone subsidiary following the acquisition.)

But perhaps more important than buying its way into a new market is the fact that LifeLock shored up some serious IP around identity risk management, compliance and credit analytics. Indeed, ID Analytics had been a key data provider to LifeLock since 2009. LifeLock likely paid roughly $150m (plus a bit of equity) for ID Analytics, which we understand was generating about $30m in sales. But that may be a small price for LifeLock to pay for being taken more seriously on Wall Street, if it does indeed go public.

A popping tech IPO market

Contact: Brenon Daly

If the overwhelmingly bullish equity market didn’t do much for M&A in the first months of 2012, it certainly gave a big boost to the companies looking to go public. Investors have handed out double-digit valuations to a number of IPO candidates so far this year, pushing several new offerings above the magical threshold of $1bn in market capitalization. That has sparked a rethink about exits by startups and their backers, who had been banking almost exclusively during the recession on selling their companies. (Overall, as we recently noted, spending on tech M&A in Q1 dropped to its lowest quarterly level in two years.)

A quick look at the list of Q1 offerings arguably shows a healthier period for tech IPOs than at any point in the past decade: Guidewire Software, which went public in January, has doubled since its debut and currently trades at a $1.5bn market value. ExactTarget has created even more market value since its March offering, which gave the company the largest capitalization of any SaaS company on its debut. Millennial Media nearly doubled during its March debut, valuing the mobile ad platform vendor at nearly $2bn. In late February, Bazaarvoice went public above its expected range and has risen steadily since then. The social commerce firm commands a valuation of $1.1bn, roughly 10 times the sales it recorded in 2011. Demandware trades at an even steeper multiple: Its $800m market cap works out to an eye-popping 14 times last year’s sales.

And, if anything, the current quarter should build on the momentum established by the IPO market at the start of the year. All investor eyes are looking ahead to the seminal offering from Facebook, which is reportedly set to take place next month. The social networking site, which filed its prospectus on February 1, is likely to start its life as a public company valued at about $100bn. That’s an astounding valuation for a company that earned $1bn on sales of $3.7bn in 2011.

While Facebook is pretty much a once-in-a-generation IPO, the buzz it generates will undoubtedly spread beyond the specific offering and even the consumer Internet sector. That will likely help entice more IPO candidates to put in their paperwork, as well as boost the fortunes of those that do make it to market.

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