Trapeze’s long road to an obvious home

Contact: Brenon Daly

Two and a half years after a head-scratching sale to an unexpected buyer, Trapeze Networks has finally landed where it pretty much should have gone in the first place: Juniper Networks. The networking giant said Tuesday that it will hand over $152m in cash for the WLAN gear maker, with the deal expected to close before the end of the year. The price is actually $19m (or 14%) higher than Trapeze fetched in its sale in June 2008 to Belden. (That’s a reversal from most divestitures, which typically return dimes on the dollar compared to the original acquisition price.)

Trapeze’s combination with Belden was a bit puzzling from the start, so it’s not surprising to see the company, which is primarily known for its wiring products, unwind its purchase of a wireless vendor. In fact, it’s only surprising that Trapeze went through a period of ownership at a company other than Juniper. After all, Juniper had an OEM arrangement with Trapeze and even put money into the startup’s series D round of funding. We gather that Juniper was close to taking home Trapeze before it sold to Belden, but the two partners got snagged on a final price.

Since Trapeze sold for the first time, there have been a handful of exits for other WLAN providers. Most notably, Colubris Networks got snapped up by Hewlett-Packard and Meru Networks actually made it to the Nasdaq. Meru went public at $15 per share, which has been basically the midpoint of its trading range since its debut in late March. The stock also currently trades at about $15, giving Meru an equity value of roughly $240m, or about three times 2010 sales. Incidentally, Bank of America Merrill Lynch both led Meru’s offering and advised Juniper on its pickup of Trapeze.

Blue-sky thinking on a bidding war for Isilon

Contact: Brenon Daly

Based on the two previous multibillion-dollar deals in the storage industry, we should be bracing for a bidding war around Isilon Systems. Recall that Data Domain last year and 3PAR this summer each attracted after-the-fact suitors that drove up the price on both by more than a few dollars. But in the case of Isilon, we don’t actually see the process going to a public auction.

For starters, there’s the not-insignificant matter of the buy-in bid, which currently values Isilon more richly (on a price-to-sales ratio) than either Data Domain or 3PAR. (As we note in our full report on EMC’s planned purchase, Isilon is being taken off the market at its highest-ever price, roughly five times the level where the company started the year and roughly twice where it traded just three months ago.)

Setting aside Isilon’s acrophobia-inducing valuation, which company could we imagine putting in a topping bid? Admittedly, that requires a rather vivid imagination, but one name we could come up with is Dell. (My colleague, Henry Baltazar, looked at Isilon and other potential targets for Dell in a recent report.) The company has already demonstrated a willingness to spend big to build out its storage portfolio, taking home EqualLogic three years ago and making an unsuccessful run at 3PAR this summer. (If nothing else, Dell’s effort to land 3PAR signaled that the tech giant doesn’t appear content to simply continue its long-term reliance on EMC for storage business. We suspect that marriage of convenience may well be on the rocks.)

Not that we necessarily expect it to happen, but Isilon would nonetheless bring Dell a fast-growing storage vendor (roughly 60% revenue growth for 2010) and a solid roster of more than 1,500 customers, which is roughly twice the number it would have picked up with 3PAR.

Granted, there would be some overlap with the NAS technology Dell obtained with Exanet earlier this year. But Isilon would significantly enhance that, as well as fit well with Dell’s more recent storage purchase, Ocarina Networks. (Isilon and Ocarina actually had a partnership, putting Ocarina’s digital image de-duplication technology in front of Isilon. That’s particularly useful for storage requirements for media and entertainment companies, which account for one-third of revenue at Isilon.) Again, we highly doubt that Dell plans to start a bidding war for Isilon. But it’s enough to get us thinking.

Isilon and 3PAR: strikingly similar storage sales

Contact: Brenon Daly

EMC’s planned purchase of Isilon Systems comes as the second storage acquisition valued at more than $2bn in just three months. In fact, it lines up rather closely on a number of fronts with the other recent big-ticket storage deal, Hewlett-Packard’s pickup of 3PAR. For starters, the adviser. Qatalyst Partners got sole print for helping to sell 3PAR, and also had a hand in the process for Isilon. (Morgan Stanley and Qatalyst teamed up on the sell side.)

In terms of financial results, both Isilon and 3PAR are very similar. The two vendors were both generating about $200m in trailing revenue and only modest amounts of cash flow at the time of their acquisitions. (Both also had slightly more than $100m in cash on hand, thanks primarily to their recent IPOs.) That means both Isilon and 3PAR secured a valuation of more than 10 times trailing revenue in their sales to EMC and HP, respectively. If anything, Isilon is garnering an even richer valuation at 12.8x trailing 12-month sales and 8.7x projected 2011 sales.

And finally, both Isilon and 3PAR are being taken off the market at their highest-ever valuations, with acquisition offers of about $33 for each share. (That was the exact clearing bid for 3PAR, which came after two rounds of bumped bids, while Isilon shareholders are set to pocket $33.85 for each of their shares.) Given that Isilon and 3PAR were trading in the single digits just a few months before their acquisitions, shareholders in both storage vendors have reason to smile.

Making a middleware mini-mammoth

Contact: Brenon Daly, Dennis Callaghan

Imagine combining Informatica and TIBCO Software into a middleware mammoth. Now, shrink the scale by almost 100. Move it from the US to Europe. And make it open source rather than proprietary software. In a roundabout way, that’s what we see in Talend’s recent acquisition of SOPERA. At least in part.

Since its founding in 2005, Talend has focused on offering an open source alternative to Informatica. (As we noted earlier this week, Informatica is a rather rich target. The data-integration vendor currently garners its highest price in a decade, valuing it at roughly 6 times projected 2010 sales.) Talend has enjoyed a good deal of success, doubling revenue last year and likely to finish next year with sales of roughly $50m, according to our understanding.

In addition to its core data integration, Talend also provides a data management suite combining master data management, which it snagged via the acquisition of Amalto Technologies in September 2009, and data quality. Now, it will also be serving up SOPERA’s application integration, where TIBCO is probably the best-known vendor. For its part, SOPERA has a much more modest business than its acquirer, claiming 60 customers, compared to the 1,500 paying customers that Talend has. SOPERA was actually founded inside the IT department of Deutsche Post a decade ago.

Though small, the purchase of SOPERA is nonetheless significant. As my colleague Dennis Callaghan has indicated, Talend now has a more compelling story to tell in open source middleware, especially as more enterprises take advantage of hybrid cloud environments, with applications running in private and public cloud environments that need connectivity and data sharing between them

Reading Cisco’s signals

Contact: Brenon Daly

As a bellwether for the tech industry, Cisco Systems laid out a fairly bearish outlook for Wall Street in its report on fiscal first-quarter results. The projections of lower-than-expected revenue at the networking giant trimmed some $20bn from its market value Thursday, and helped dragged down the Nasdaq, which has tacked on 6% over the past month. But from our perspective, Cisco is not just a key indicator for the equity market – it’s also a key indicator for the M&A market.

Looking more closely at the company’s fiscal Q1 report, we can’t help but be struck by Cisco’s paltry M&A spending. During the August-October period, the company handed over a total of just $69m (net of cash at acquired companies) for its purchases of ExtendMedia and Arch Rock. (Specific terms on both deals weren’t disclosed.)

While that may sound like a lot of money, it’s pocket change to Cisco, which generated $1.7bn in cash flow from operations in the quarter. Or more dramatically, consider this: during Q1, Cisco spent $2.5bn on share repurchases. That means it spent more than 35 times more on its own equity than on the equity of other companies.

Not that Cisco has been alone in staying out of the big-ticket M&A market recently. We noted that October (the final month of Cisco’s fiscal first quarter) was the first month of 2010 that a tech company didn’t announce a single transaction valued at more than $1bn. Obviously, that streak was broken last week, when Oracle said it was spending $1bn for Art Technology Group. Still, it was only Oracle’s second significant acquisition of the past 18 months.

An acquisition breaks the back of Bakbone

Contact: Brenon Daly

In some ways, it was a misguided purchase last year by BakBone Software that led to yesterday’s distressed sale to Quest Software. The backup and recovery vendor made its largest-ever acquisition in May 2009, paying some $16m in cash and stock for ColdSpark. The rationale of the combination seemed sound at the time: broaden BakBone’s data-protection platform by adding ColdSpark’s messaging management. What could go wrong with that?

Unfortunately, plenty went wrong, as the two businesses never meshed. BackBone relies heavily on its indirect sales channel, while ColdSpark sold directly into enterprises. The average sales price for the messaging software was significantly higher than BakBone’s core storage products, which made for a highly unpredictable sales cycle at the acquired business. In the roughly one year that it owned ColdSpark, BakBone recorded only $1m in revenue from the business, according to SEC filings. It shuttered ColdSpark last May.

The integration struggles, however, came at a steep cost to BakBone, a Bulletin Board-traded company where cash has always been tight. Consider this: to generate the roughly $1m in sales at ColdSpark required spending of more than $3m in just R&D and sales/marketing efforts, to say nothing of the additional costs at the business. The spending drained BakBone’s treasury to just $5m, as of the company’s latest quarterly report.

Obscured by the smoke from the flameout around the acquisition is the fact that BakBone’s core storage management business actually puts up pretty decent numbers. In the latest fiscal year, it has run at a respectable 91% gross margin and 13% operating margin, while sales increased 9%. It boasts more than 17,000 customers. And Quest is getting all that for a relative bargain, paying just 1x sales for BakBone. As a final note on the deal, which is expected to close early next year, we would add that BakBone stands as the only public company we’re aware of that Quest has ever acquired

The rich valuation of integration

Contact: Brenon Daly

A lot of attention (and the accompanying financial rewards) around data management has tended to pile up in security, storage, analytics and other well-known market segments. Rather quietly but consistently, data integration has joined the list of richly valued markets as customers use these offering to get at the massive stores of information that run their businesses. The premium valuation is showing up both on Wall Street and, just recently, in M&A, too.

Take the case of Informatica. Shares of the data-integration provider have nearly doubled over the past year, and currently fetch their highest price in a decade. Informatica currently trades at a $3.8bn market capitalization, a rather rich six times its projected 2010 sales of $640m. The company has always stressed that part of its value has been in its independence among the software giants, but Informatica has nonetheless attracted M&A speculation in the past.

Those highly valued (and highly visible) public market vendors have helped drive up the valuation of smaller data-integration startups. For instance, we estimate that IBM paid about $200m for Cast Iron Systems, which we understand was running at about $30m in sales. And just last week, Dell reached for Boomi in a deal that valued the company at more than twice that multiple. (Subscribers can see our full report, which includes our estimates on the revenue as well as the price of Boomi.)

Windstream makes hosting splash among private equity waves

Contact: Ben Kolada

Windstream Communications bought into business services once again, this time picking up managed hosting, colocation and cloud computing provider Hosted Solutions. The deal is the first hosting play for Windstream, and shows that private equity buyers aren’t the only ones shopping in the sector.

Windstream is paying $310m in cash for Hosted Solutions, which posted $52m in trailing sales. The deal values Hosted Solutions at 12.7x its trailing EBITDA, and more than double the price that ABRY Partners paid for the company in April 2008. Hosted Solutions employs 125, and Windstream initially plans to retain the majority of those employees, though we expect there will be some corporate turnover as part of the integration.

Although telcos have gone shopping for colocation and hosting companies this year (with the most notable deal being CyrusOne’s sale to Cincinnati Bell), private equity firms have dominated the headlines. We recorded 10 hosting and colocation deals this year with deal values of at least $100m. Of this group, half of the targets went to private equity buyers, and four of those deals involved the target company simply jumping from one PE portfolio to another. Further, buyout shops, including firms both in the US and abroad, accounted for nearly half (46%) of the total spending for these 10 deals.

Top 10 hosting and colocation deals of 2010

Buyer category Number of acquisitions Percent of total spending
Private equity 5 46%
Hosting/colocation 3 32%
Telecommunications 2 22%
Total spending $3.8bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Bidding war keeps Phoenix Technologies rising

Contact: Brenon Daly

Shareholders in Phoenix Technologies were originally supposed to have their say today on the planned take-private of their company. Instead, they’ll be sitting tight, waiting to see if the maker of core systems software can fetch yet another round of topping bids. The vote is currently scheduled in two weeks, and we wouldn’t at all be surprised if the price put to shareholders then is higher than the one on the table now.

Original bidder Marlin Equity Partners is currently offering $4.20 for each share of Phoenix Technologies, valuing the company altogether at $152m. That’s roughly 9% higher than the $139m that Marlin initially offered in mid-August before getting jumped by The Gores Group. (RBC Capital Markets is advising Phoenix Technologies in the process.) To our mind, there’s more than a little irony in a bidding war around Phoenix Technologies, a company that has been unknown and unloved for much of its two decades on the Nasdaq.

In any case, the tug-of-war over Phoenix Technologies is a far cry from the wildly lucrative bidding war around 3PAR earlier this summer. A comparable escalation would push the offer for Phoenix Technologies a bit above $7 per share, or more than $250m. That’s not likely to happen. But we could certainly imagine a few more dollars tacked on to the final price. Investors expect that as well. Shares of Phoenix Technologies have traded above the official bid all week.

Rich tech companies put away their checkbooks

Contact: Brenon Daly

Where are the corporate buyers? That’s what we were wondering when tech M&A activity in October came in well below both the year-ago period and the monthly average so far this year. Consider this: October stands as the first month in 2010 that so-called strategic buyers didn’t announce a single transaction valued at $1bn or more.

Instead, the shopping in October was led by private equity (PE) shops, notably The Carlyle Group. The buyout firm announced the two biggest tech deals of the month, with back-to-back acquisitions of CommScope and Syniverse Technologies. Carlyle values those two purchases at $6.5bn – representing half the value of all tech M&A spending in October. (See our full report on October’s M&A totals.)

Carlyle’s big pair of deals in October follows a more representative September, when IBM and Hewlett-Packard held the top two spots for large deals. (IBM paid $1.8bn for Netezza on September 20, a week after HP said it will pay $1.65bn for ArcSight.) More broadly, tech companies have posted a number of 10-digit transactions since the summer, with Intel notching two of them, plus the typically acquisition-averse SAP doing the largest deal in its history in May.

It’s hard to figure out exactly what’s keeping companies out of the market these days. Third-quarter financial results, many of which were announced in October, have been solid for the most part. Similarly, guidance for the fourth quarter and into 2011 has been relatively upbeat. Reflecting that, the Nasdaq tacked on nearly 6% in October, helping the tech-heavy index approach the highs that it hit both back in April and in mid-2008. Further, the cash just keeps gushing into the treasuries at many tech companies.