Though relatively small, Thoma Bravo’s Mediware buy signals larger trends

Contact: Ben Kolada

Although Thoma Bravo’s $195m reach for Mediware Information Systems isn’t exactly a market-moving acquisition, tech dealmakers will note that the transaction underscores a pair of larger trends in tech M&A. The deal continues the consolidation in the medical-focused IT vertical, as well as hints at the reemergence of buyout shops as volume acquirers.

Thoma Bravo is handing over $22 in cash for each share of Mediware’s stock, a 40% premium to the day-prior closing price, and the highest price Mediware’s shares have ever seen. The transaction values Mediware’s equity at $195m. However, the medical management software vendor’s $40m in cash holdings, and no debt, reduces its net cost to $155m. Using that enterprise value figure, Mediware is valued at 2.4 times trailing revenue and 8.8x trailing EBITDA.

Mediware’s sale is the latest acquisition in the rapidly consolidating medical-focused IT vertical. In July, Huntsman Gay Global Capital sold Sunquest Information Systems to Roper Industries for $1.4bn, or about 10x projected EBITDA, and One Equity Partners acquired M*Modal for an enterprise value of $1.1bn, or 2.4x trailing sales. We’ve recently noted that medical speech recognition and transcription companies in particular seem to be receiving considerable buyout interest.

While the Mediware acquisition shows the health of medical-focused tech M&A, it also points at somewhat of a reemergence of private equity firms as volume acquirers. Thoma Bravo, including its portfolio companies LANDesk and PLATO Learning, has already announced five acquisitions this year. PE firms were also especially active in August, with Carlyle Group shelling out $3.3bn for Getty Images.

PE activity also comes while some strategics are sitting on the sidelines. For instance, CA Technologies, which has historically announced about four acquisitions per year, has only announced one this year – the purchase of process automation software veteran Paragon Global Technology. The deal, announced this week, is CA’s first disclosed transaction in more than a year. Also, Symantec has been out of the market since March.

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Increasing interest in Internet M&A, as Getty Images sells for $3.3bn

Contact: Ben Kolada

In another sign of growing interest in the digital media sector, and in Internet companies in particular, Getty Images has announced that its management and The Carlyle Group are acquiring the company from Hellman & Friedman for $3.3bn. The consortium is paying nearly 40% more for the company than H&F did just four years ago when it took Getty private in a $2.4bn deal. The deal is the largest Internet content and commerce acquisition since Silver Lake Partners and Warburg Pincus announced in May 2010 that they were taking Interactive Data Corp private for $3.4bn.

With the exception of a dip in 2003, M&A volume in the broad Internet content and commerce category has risen every year since we began tracking tech acquisitions in 2002. Unlike the greater tech sector, Internet deal volume was even resilient during the recent recession. According to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, while overall yearly tech M&A volume dropped 25% from its high of 4,032 transactions announced in 2006 to 3,020 in 2008, Internet M&A volume rose 10.5% over the same period.

Both older Internet properties and hot upstarts are attracting interest. The advent of social media has enabled today’s Internet startups to rapidly market their products to millions of consumers through powerful word of mouth marketing. Meanwhile, older Internet vendors that survived the tech industry’s nuclear winter a decade ago have now matured, and many are seeking liquidity.

Also driving M&A activity is the rise of serial Internet acquirers such as Google, which has picked up 31 Internet firms. And we’re seeing a resurgence of Internet consolidation shops, such as Rebellion Media and MITRE.

Internet content and commerce annual deal volume

Year Deal volume % change
2012 YTD 441 N/A
2011 787 26%
2010 625 9%
2009 572 13%
2008 504 4%
2007 485 6%
2006 456 53%
2005 298 62%
2004 184 8%
2003 170 -36%
2002 265 N/A

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

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Vista Equity rolls up the rollups

Contact: Brenon Daly

Just a half-year after Vista Equity Partners dropped a quarter-billion dollars on bankrupt enterprise software vendor CDC Software, the buyout shop has significantly bulked up the platform with the addition of Consona. The combined entity, which is the collection of more than 30 separate acquisitions by the two companies over the years, also got a name change. It now does business as Aptean.

With the double-barreled deals, Vista Equity now has a fairly sizable ERP and CRM business. CDC was generating about $220m in sales when Vista Equity picked it up earlier this year. The addition of Consona will push Aptean’s top line to nearly $350m, according to our understanding. (Terms of the transaction weren’t officially released.)

Perhaps more important to Vista Equity, however, is the fact that Consona probably throws off as much – if not more – cash than the much larger CDC. Our understanding is that Consona ran at an EBITDA margin in the 30% range, meaning it generates about $40m of cash flow each year. And that level is almost certain to go up when Vista Equity consolidates some of the duplicate operations of CDC and Consona.

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After setting sail for IPO, Avast changes its tack

Contact: Brenon Daly

In the half-year leading up to AVAST Software pulling its IPO paperwork on July 25, the market moved steadily against it. A number of high-profile consumer-focused offerings – and, importantly, their subsequent after-market trading – have burned a lot of investors, making them hesitant to buy shares of a security vendor selling entirely to consumers. Additionally, there’s the overhang about the health of Europe, where AVAST has its headquarters and where it still does half its business.

In terms of perception, it also didn’t help AVAST that the IPO of fellow European security software vendor AVG Technologies earlier this year has been a money-loser. AVG priced its shares at the low end of its expected range, and has been underwater since then. The stock is currently changing hands at about $10, one-third lower than where the company initially sold it.

Amid those bearish grumblings on Wall Street, business at AVAST also started to slow. After soaring along with 50% bookings growth in 2011, the pace in the first quarter dipped to 38%. Meanwhile, its margins also ticked lower this year compared with 2011.

Granted, both the revenue growth and the company’s incredibly rich margins are at levels that most companies could only aspire to reach. For instance, AVAST – a company that generates around $100m in bookings with just 207 employees – runs at around a 65% Free Cash Flow (FCF) margin. It currently nets more than $10m each quarter.

But we suspect that business model wouldn’t have gotten much appreciation on Wall Street – at least not initially. If AVAST had gone ahead and priced at the high end of its expected range, it would have debuted at about eight times trailing bookings and 13x trailing FCF. That’s hardly an outrageous valuation, particularly when compared to the rich multiples enterprise-focused vendors have drawn in their recent IPOs. To put a point on that, consider this: at around an $800m debut valuation, AVAST would be worth just one-fifth the amount of the most-recent security IPO, Palo Alto Networks.

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Healthy M&A activity in medical speech recognition and transcription

Contact: Ben Kolada

There’s seemingly been a burst in deal volume in the niche medical-focused speech recognition and transcription market lately. On Thursday, iMedX announced the acquisition of Electronic Medical Transcription Services (eMTS), capping off a growing line of acquisitions in this sector. Driving deal flow, among other things, is healthcare professionals’ increasing use of transcription and voice recognition systems and various legislation being passed that provides incentives for digital clinical documentation.

One such bill is the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act, also known as the HITECH Act, which became law in 2009. HITECH provides incentives for healthcare providers to use electronic health records, which store clinical data in a digital format.

Although the eMTS buy is likely quite small in the grand scheme of things, there is big M&A money being poured into medical speech recognition and transcription deals.

Earlier this month, One Equity Partners bet its money on this market when it announced that it was taking M*Modal private for $840m, or $1.1bn when including $260m of net debt. That transaction was announced almost exactly a year after M*Modal was acquired by rival MedQuist, which assumed the target’s name.

We’ve previously written that Nuance Communications, with its Nuance Healthcare unit, has been a major consolidator in this sector. In March, Nuance announced that it was paying $313m for medical-focused rival Transcend Services – its largest purchase since its last significant medical acquisition in April 2008, when it paid $363m for eScription. Nuance’s Healthcare division generated $583m in trailing sales as of March 31.

Recent select M&A in medical transcription and speech recognition

Date announced Acquirer Target Deal value
July 2, 2012 One Equity Partners M*Modal $840m
March 7, 2012 Nuance Communications Transcend Services $313.5m
August 15, 2011 Nuance Communications Loquendo $75m
July 14, 2011 Nuance Communications Webmedx Not disclosed
July 11, 2011 MedQuist M*Modal $130m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

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Tech M&A stuck in low gear

Contact: Brenon Daly

Tech dealmakers continued to stay on the sidelines in the just-completed Q2 as worries about the slowing US economy and a financial collapse in parts of Europe had them rethinking their acquisitions. Spending on deals across the globe in the April-June period plummeted to $43bn, a 40% slide from the same quarter in 2011. Further, the number of transactions slid 9% year-over-year to 878 – the lowest quarterly total in a year and a half.

On a year-over-year basis, tech M&A spending declined in every month of Q2. Viewed more broadly, that means that buyers have spent less money on deals in five of the six months so far in 2012 compared with 2011. The waning activity has left the total value of acquisitions announced in the first half of 2012 at its lowest level in three years. Somewhat ominously, the spending rate so far in 2012 puts the full-year level at almost exactly the same level as the recession-wracked year of 2009.

2012 monthly activity

Month Deal volume Deal value % change in spending vs. same month, 2011
January 340 $4.1bn Down 65%
February 266 $10.4bn Up 16%
March 282 $16.8bn Down 30%
April 277 $14.1bn Down 47%
May 310 $15.6bn Down 47%
June 291 $13.3bn Down 20%

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

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The (bargain) quest for Quest

Contact: Brenon Daly

Nobody wants you, then everyone wants you. In the year leading up to the proposed management buyout of Quest Software in early March, shares of the management software vendor had shed one-quarter of their value. (At one point in its slide last August, the stock dipped to $15 – its lowest point in two years.)

The ongoing bidding war, of course, has changed all that. Since sinking to its low-water mark last summer, Quest’s valuation has risen a cool $1bn, with an unidentified suitor (widely assumed to be Dell) bidding about $2.4bn for the old-line software company on Monday. The latest offer is $27.50 per share, some 20% higher than the $23 per share offered by Insight Venture Partners back in early March. Just to put some context around the price, Quest stock hasn’t changed hands above $30 in 11 years.

And yet, even with the four rounds of bumped bids, Quest is still trading slightly below the median valuation of significant acquisitions so far this year. According to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, the 50 largest transactions in 2012 have gone off at 3 times trailing sales. The latest bid for Quest values the company at 2.7 time trailing sales.

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LANDesk lands the largest MDM deal so far

Contact: Brenon Daly, Chris Hazelton

Two months ago, LANDesk Software switched from being a company that got bought to a company that does some buying of its own with the pickup of Managed Planet. (The old-line systems management vendor has had five owners in recent years.) LANDesk followed up that acquisition with another one earlier this week, reaching for mobile device management (MDM) vendor Wavelink. What’s more, the transaction is likely the largest one in the MDM sector so far.

Although terms weren’t disclosed, the deal triggered a Hart-Scott-Rodino (HSR) review, which would indicate that it is valued at more than the threshold level of $68m. (A source confirmed the HSR review of the transaction.) We understand that the price was actually closer to $90m, or about 4.5 times our estimated revenue for Wavelink of $20m. That would move LANDesk’s acquisition of Wavelink ahead of the sector’s previous big print, Symantec’s purchase of Odyssey Software. (Terms weren’t disclosed, but we estimate that Big Yellow paid $60m for its MDM partner Odyssey.)

As its own market segment, MDM emerged three years ago as iPhone and Android devices started popping up in offices and IT needed management tools since Research In Motion’s highly popular BlackBerry Enterprise Server did not support these devices at the time. Over the past 18 months, more than 80 vendors of varying sizes and sustainability have appeared to offer software and services to manage the ever-increasing number of smartphones and tablets.

That has tipped MDM toward commoditization, which is reflected in recent deal flow in the sector. For instance, big-name buyers such as Motorola Mobility, RIM and Numara have all done MDM deals valued at less than $10m, according to our estimates. However, there are a couple of medium-sized private MDM providers that are nearing breakeven and driving the evolution of this market to include application and data management.

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What’s a Smarsh to do?

Contact: Ben Kolada

Depending on which way the bidding goes for systems management vendor Quest Software, Smarsh’s future could change considerably. The compliance-focused archiving startup announced in February that it sold a majority of its equity to Quest, just three weeks before its newfound parent became the center of an ongoing bidding war. But one side’s plans for Quest post-close may not include Smarsh.

After the closing bell Tuesday, Vector Capital joined Insight Venture Partners and Quest’s management in announcing that they had increased their offer for Quest to $25.75 per share, for a total deal value of about $2.24bn by our calculations. The revised bid tops a competing offer from an unidentified suitor – widely believed to be Dell – that was announced last week.

While all eyes are on Quest at the moment, the continued bidding casts a shadow over who will ultimately own Smarsh. Right now, the company is seen as more of a Quest investment rather than an operating business unit.

If Insight and the rest ultimately win Quest, Smarsh could be considered just another portfolio company for the private equity firms. However, if that unidentified bidder is Dell, and Dell ultimately wins, Smarsh could soon be cast off, since Dell already offers archiving products competitive to Smarsh. In 2008, Dell acquired MessageOne – a direct rival to Smarsh – for a whopping $155m. Dell also has its own archive storage system, the DX platform, based on software OEMed from Caringo. (However, we’d note that neither of these initiatives seems to have gone too far yet.)

Rather than worry about would could happen in the future, Smarsh is keeping itself busy in the present. The company has announced two acquisitions in the past month. In May, Smarsh bought Web content-archiving vendor Perpetually.com and on Tuesday it announced the purchase of compliance-focused website hoster AdvisorSquare, which targets the finance vertical. The deals should ramp up the company’s growth rate for 2012 and 2013. We estimate that Smarsh generated $20m in revenue last year, or about 30% year-over-year top-line growth.

Timeline

Date Event
February 14, 2012 Quest Software acquires 60% stake in Smarsh.
March 9 Insight Venture Partners and Quest management offer to buy Quest for $2bn.
May 16 Smarsh picks up Perpetually.com.
June 14 Unidentified bidder offers approximately $2.22bn for Quest.
June 18 Smarsh acquires AdvisorSquare from Symantec.
June 19 Vector Capital joins Insight and Quest management to buy Quest for approximately $2.24bn.

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

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Some unlikely M&A agitation against BMC

Contact: Brenon Daly

Having already agitated for the sale of at least five tech businesses over the past few years, Elliott Associates has set its sights on a significantly bigger target: BMC. The hedge fund said on Monday that it has acquired 5% of the systems management giant and will push for a sale of the company.

For its part, BMC retained Morgan Stanley to advise it on its defense against the unwanted approach and, more importantly, adopted a poison pill that makes any unsolicited deal highly unlikely to succeed. Nonetheless, the idea that BMC could get sold goosed the company’s shares, which added 9% in mid-Monday trading.

From our view, however, it’s highly unlikely that 32-year-old BMC, which has been public since August 1988, will get snapped up. The first – and most obvious – hurdle is the poison pill, or ‘shareholder rights plan’ in the company’s description. But even beyond that, there aren’t very many companies or (probably more relevantly) buyout shops that could write the $10bn or so check that it would take to clear BMC.

For a strategic buyer, we’ve always thought Cisco Systems would be the logical home for BMC. The two companies have partnered around the datacenter, with Cisco providing the gear and BMC serving up the management layer. However, the returns on that partnership haven’t been overwhelming, and Cisco has taken to acquiring small management vendors on its own over the past year and a half. (To bolster its management portfolio, Cisco has reached for startups such as LineSider Technologies, Pari Networks and newScale.) But Cisco, which reported weak financial results last week while also forecasting a ‘cautious’ IT spending environment, is hardly in a place to do its largest-ever acquisition.

That would leave private equity firms as the most likely acquirer of BMC. Those shops have been the buyers of the other companies that Elliott has put in play, including Epicor Software, Blue Coat Systems, Novell and others. However, the collective value of all those Elliott-inspired deals would likely be only half the size of a BMC purchase, which would be a whopper for any single firm. (That goes double because of the reserved credit markets right now.)

The last point underscores one of the other large problems with a BMC takeout: even though its shares have lost nearly 20% of their value over the past year, the company isn’t particularly cheap. It garners a $7.2bn market capitalization, so throwing a 35% premium on that takes the (hypothetical) acquisition price to about $10bn. That works out to about 4.6 times 2011 revenue (10x maintenance revenue) and more than 12x the $800m in cash flow from operations that BMC generated last year. Even with the $1.4bn cash ‘rebate’ from BMC’s treasury, any potential buyer is still looking at paying a double-digit cash-flow multiple for a single-digit grower.

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