Let’s do two

Brenon Daly

Through the first six weeks of the year, tech acquirers have already announced more than 500 transactions, putting 2012 so far ahead of three of the previous four years in terms of the pace of M&A. If the current rate holds for the remainder of 2012 – granted, a big assumption in the lumpy, bumpy world of acquisitions – the total for the year would top 4,000 transactions for the first time since 2006.

We had an early indication that activity in 2012 could well pick up thanks to our December survey of corporate development executives. A key finding of our annual survey was that the percentage of corporate buyers who projected that they would be accelerating their M&A programs this year was four times higher than the level that expected to slow their shopping.

One reason why the number of tech transactions is running along at a robust clip so far in 2012 is the fact that an unprecedented number of companies are announcing ‘doubleheader deals.’ Just in February, seven companies have announced two acquisitions in the same day. Granted, most of these are small transactions, and the releases probably have more to do with marketing than strategy. But it’s nonetheless a new trend that’s adding to the deal flow in 2012.

Few targets left in FEO, but are there any buyers?

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

In the past year, networking vendors have acquired many of the independent front-end optimization (FEO) startups, further narrowing the field in this already niche sector. In fact, there are only a few notable independents left. But is this really a race to consolidate the market, or are acquirers simply adding these capabilities to their portfolios by picking up properties at fairly cheap prices?

FEO focuses on getting a browser to display content more quickly, as opposed to dynamic site acceleration and other services that use network optimization to speed content delivery. For the most part, the FEO segment has been made up of a handful of startups. However, consolidation in the past year took three of these companies out of the buyout line. In May 2011, AcceloWeb sold to Limelight Networks for $12m and two months later Aptimize sold to Riverbed for $17m. Terms weren’t disclosed on Blaze Software’s recent sale to Akamai, but we’re hearing that the price was in the ballpark of $10-20m. That leaves Strangeloop Networks as one of the last companies standing, and its fate is basically secured. After the Blaze deal severed Strangeloop’s partnership with Akamai, the company is likely to find an eventual exit in a sale to remaining partner Level 3 Communications.

Firms interested in entering this sector shouldn’t fret over potentially losing Strangeloop to a competitor. Instead, they should actually reconsider their entry into the FEO market. FEO providers, both past and present, have done little to validate the space. According to our understanding, Aptimize was the largest of the acquired vendors, and its revenue was only in the low single-digit millions. The fact that each target sold for no more than $20m further suggests that the market isn’t yet living up to expectations.

More of the same at SuccessFactors under SAP

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

With the official closing today of SAP’s $3.6bn acquisition of SuccessFactors, it’ll be business as usual for the human capital management (HCM) vendor – starting at the top. Certainly the new ownership hasn’t throttled CEO Lars Dalgaard in the least. During his Wednesday luncheon keynote at the Pacific Crest Securities Emerging Technology Summit, Dalgaard was jarringly blunt, colorfully profane and wickedly insightful. In other words, same old Lars.

For instance, during his keynote he gave the flick to the more than 70 venture capitalists that he said passed on SuccessFactors when he was raising money back in the early part of last decade, and then rubbed that in by pointing out that the VC firms that did invest got a return of more than 4,000%. Similarly, in a video clip he played during his speech, Dalgaard noted that one of the more gratifying parts of the sale to SAP – the largest-ever SaaS deal, which valued SuccessFactors at its highest-ever price – was the fact that the acquisition ‘fried’ investors who had shorted SuccessFactors’ stock.

Dalgaard also indicated that even though his company is now owned by SAP, it will continue to be active in M&A. (On its own, SuccessFactors announced six acquisitions, after looking at some 140 companies, according to Dalgaard.) In fact, we understand that SuccessFactors will actually have an expanded corporate development role, taking on responsibility for cloud deals that would go beyond the HCM sector it focused on as a stand-alone company. That mirrors SAP’s decision to tap Dalgaard to run its overall cloud business

I/O virtualization sector consolidates

Contact: Thejeswi Venkatesh, John Abbott

Rumors are swirling that Fusion-io has acquired patents and key employees from Aprius, after the I/O virtualization vendor failed last year. I/O virtualization, which helps remove the I/O bottleneck from servers, frees up resources for datacenter users and simplifies configuration and cabling. The sector has seen a wave of consolidation and exits recently, indicating both the difficulty of surviving as independents and the importance of the technology for future generations of server infrastructure. First, it was 3Leaf systems, which announced its acquisition by Huawei in November 2010 – only to be blocked by pressure from the US government. Then, earlier this year, Micron announced the purchase of Virtensys.

That leaves NextIO and Xsigo Systems as the only surviving independent companies that have multiplatform products. Xsigo is the more successful of the two and has been expanding its scope into networking I/O territory. For its part, NextIO has indicated that it’s going strong establishing new OEM partnerships. However, given the level of activity in the sector, we wouldn’t be surprised if the two surviving players got acquired by existing strategic partners Dell or IBM. Other potential suitors include firms in the adapter space such as Emulex, Mellanox and QLogic.

Cable & Wireless Worldwide may lose independence

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada, Thejeswi Venkatesh

Just two years after parent company Cable & Wireless Group split itself into two businesses, the consumer division Cable & Wireless and the business services unit Cable & Wireless Worldwide (CWW), CWW may once again find itself as part of a larger organization. Vodafone confirmed Monday that it is in talks regarding the possible acquisition of CWW. The deal, which is rumored to be valued at roughly $1bn, should be welcome news to CWW’s investors, who have seen the company’s stock plummet by two-thirds in the past year.

Independent CWW, which provides fixed lines that link to wireless transmitters and switches, among other voice and data services, has fared poorly since the split, as revenue flatlined and the company issued several profit warnings. However, exploding Internet usage on mobile phones has caused renewed interest in CWW. Vodafone, which is light on its fixed-line capacity in the UK, would likely use the acquisition to enable more bandwidth availability for its mobile users. Vodafone will be able to take advantage of CWW’s vast infrastructure to backhaul its own cellular services, rather than rely on third-party operators. CWW’s investors are hopeful that the deal will come to fruition, with shares of the telco closing the trading day 30% higher. Vodafone has until March 12 to make a decision on the acquisition.

Putting a premium on growth

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

Over just the past two months, the two largest stand-alone human capital management (HCM) providers have been gobbled up by two of the largest software vendors. Back in December, it was SAP reaching across the Atlantic for SuccessFactors, while just yesterday Oracle announced its plan to take home Taleo. Both of the software giants paid the highest-ever stock price for their HCM targets, which will serve as key components of their cloud strategies.

But the valuations – both on an absolute and a relative basis – are strikingly different, with SAP valuing its HCM property almost twice as richly as Oracle. The specifics: SAP is paying $3.6bn for SuccessFactors, which works out to more than 11 times trailing sales, while Oracle is handing over $2bn, or slightly more than 6x trailing sales, for Taleo.

Why the disparity in the pricing of the two comparable deals? Well, for all of their similarities, there is one crucial difference between SuccessFactors and Taleo. Last year, SuccessFactors increased revenue by about 60%, twice the rate of growth at Taleo in 2011.

SaaS, SaaS and more SaaS

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

Oracle today announced the $2bn acquisition of Taleo, and SAP is getting closer to completing its $3.6bn purchase of SuccessFactors. Both announcements come less than a month after Oracle closed its $1.5bn RightNow Technologies buy. These transactions are the largest we’ve seen in the SaaS sector. However, we doubt they represent the end of the acquisition spree of these companies, with their highly disruptive business models. Although SaaS M&A has been playing out for some time now – and even set new records in 2011 – dealmaking in this sector is far from over.

If the growing use of SaaS and public cloud is any indication of deal flow, we expect volume to continue to rise. According to a report by ChangeWave Research, 22% of respondents currently use applications that run on public cloud services, up from 17% a year earlier. We’ve been beating the drums on cloud and SaaS M&A for a while now. The reason is simple: customer demand is pushing IT vendors to change the way IT services are delivered.

As businesses increasingly adopt cloud services, as opposed to packaged software maintained on-premises, the largest IT firms are increasingly looking to break into this industry. Oracle’s RightNow and Taleo acquisitions alone represent a total of $3.5bn invested in cloud services in less than a half-year. SAP spent that much on SuccessFactors alone. And there’s undoubtedly more to come. We’ll take a deeper look at the Taleo buy, as well as provide information on SaaS valuations, in a longer report in tonight’s Daily 451.

Source: Corporate Cloud Computing Trends, January 2012. ChangeWave Research, a service of 451 Research

Webinar: The future of enterprise IT

Brenon Daly

Contact: Brenon Daly

In this era of disruptive technologies, what does the future hold for enterprise IT? What new innovations are expected to reshape software, networking and even the datacenter itself in the coming year? For a look ahead, join us for a special webinar on Thursday, February 9 at 9:00am PST/12:00pm EST. (Click here to register.) The heads of several practice areas at 451 Research will highlight a number of key trends in their sectors, and what impact that will have on the broader IT landscape.

Topics we will cover in the hour-long webinar include the emergence of truly virtualized infrastructure, the rise of software-defined networks and the trend toward modularity inside the new datacenters. We will also cover some of the financial implications of those trends, both in terms of capital raising and M&A valuations. To join the webinar on Thursday, simply register here.

Selling to Facebook

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

Rather than buy into Facebook after it debuts on the open market, many companies may consider selling to the social networking giant after its IPO. Facebook is already rich with cash, and is about to become much richer. Meanwhile, its M&A strategy has so far focused on acquiring smaller startups for their IP and engineering talent, but the company has said it may do bigger deals in the future.

According to The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase, Facebook has so far bought 25 companies, mostly for their specialized employees such as software engineers and product designers, but also for complementary technology. The company has been fairly cash conscious in its transactions, preferring to motivate acquired personnel with stock options rather than upfront cash payouts – in fact, Facebook spent just $24m in cash, net of cash acquired, on the deals it closed in 2011.

While innovative startups with skilled personnel, particularly those in the collaboration and social networking sectors, should still consider selling to Facebook a viable exit, midmarket and larger technology firms should also consider Facebook a potential suitor. In both public reports and in its IPO prospectus, the company has said it could put its treasury to work on larger deals. And it will certainly have the fire power – adding proceeds from its $5bn public offering to its treasury would bring its total spending power to nearly $9bn (including cash and marketable securities).

Facebook could apply some of its rationale for buying smaller vendors to larger acquisitions. For complementary technology, it could target a larger mobile advertising network (it picked up development-stage rel8tion in January 2011). The lack of a mobile ad platform is a gaping hole in Facebook’s portfolio, especially considering it had 425 million mobile monthly active users at the end of 2011. A company similar to AdMob (which sold to Google) or Quattro Wireless (acquired by Apple) such as Millennial Media or Jumptap would go some way toward filling that gap. For regional expansion and consolidation, Facebook could make a move for any of a number of international competitors, including Cyworld in Korea, Mixi in Japan, Vkontakte in Russia or Renren in China. As the trend toward consumerization in the enterprise continues in the form of social networking and collaboration (salesforce.com’s Chatter or Oracle’s Social Network come to mind), Facebook could look at an enterprise offering as well. The leading candidate in this sector would be Jive Software, one of the most prized properties in the social enterprise space with a market valuation of about $1bn.

j2 Global buys into CRM, nabs Landslide Technologies

Ben Kolada

Contact: Ben Kolada

J2 Global continues to diversify its business through M&A, this time with the acquisition of Landslide Technologies. The company’s latest deal, its second in as many weeks, is j2’s first CRM purchase – a stark contrast from its recent M&A plays, which have focused primarily on propping up its managed messaging business at home and abroad.

We’ve previously covered j2’s dealmaking, noting that the company has expanded via M&A from its core fax offering to now include a number of services for small businesses such as email, Web-based collaboration and even marketing. Landslide provides Web-based CRM SaaS, including online, social and mobile CRM applications, to SMBs.

Terms of the deal weren’t disclosed, but the majority of j2’s transactions have gone off for less than $15m. We see no reason why this acquisition would significantly diverge from this path. The company was likely cautious in its first move into the CRM market, meaning j2 likely paid at or below market valuations. And even with a possible premium given to the business because of its SaaS delivery model, we still doubt that the price was too high, considering an SEC report filed in December 2010 noted that Landslide’s revenue was $1m-5m.