Banking deals

With the current credit crisis rocking the big banks, online consumer banking portal Bankrate has sidestepped most of the damage and even plans to do a bit of shopping. In the last month alone, it acquired banking blog Bankaholic and consumer credit resource portal Creditcardguide.com for $12.4m and $34m, respectively. That brought its total shopping tab over the past year to $150m on six acquisitions. (We would note that most of the companies that Bankrate picked up were existing partners.) The company recently told us that it will continue its acquisition spree, and it has the means to do so. Bankrate will have an estimated $35m in cash after its latest acquisitions, and has generated some $25m in cash flow over the past year. So who might the portal bank next?

Bankrate is decidedly a so-called ‘Web 1.0′ company. It lacks the customization and social networking features that many of its newer Web 2.0 competitors tout. This lack of new technology, along with a softening online advertising market, could land the portal in trouble. Bankrate could help shore itself up against those technology shortcomings by focusing its acquisition efforts on personal finance startups like Rudder and Mint.com. However, we don’t think it will do that. Instead, we expect Bankrate to focus strictly on the space that it knows, expanding partly by targeting its legacy competitors.

Given this, we think a likely target might be Creditcards.com, which is both a rival and a partner. Creditcards.com, majority owned by Austin Ventures since 2006, tapped Credit Suisse and Citigroup to bring it public in December, but the economic environment forced it to delay its offering in May. The company is profitable, with $60m in sales, but is laden with debt. Besides having very similar businesses, the two companies are hardly strangers. In fact, current Creditcards.com CEO Elisabeth DeMarse was the CEO of Bankrate prior to becoming Austin Ventures’ CEO-in-residence.

Given Creditcards.com’s likely valuation of several hundred million dollars, however, it is unlikely that Bankrate could afford the acquisition. (Bankrate currently sports a market capitalization of about $700m.) Instead, we suspect that Bankrate will continue to ink tuck-in acquisitions. We wouldn’t be surprised if smaller competitors like Credit.com or Credit-Land.com caught its eye.

Recent Bankrate acquisitions

Date Target Deal Value
September 23, 2008 Bankaholic $12.4m
September 11, 2008 LinkSpectrum (dba CreditCardGuide.com) $34m
February 5, 2008 InsureMe $65m
February 5, 2008 Lower Fees (dba Fee Disclosure) $2.9m
December 10, 2007 Nationwide Card Services $27.4m
December 10, 2007 Savingforcollege.com $2.3m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Bygone buyouts

Brenon Daly

While overall tech spending on M&A has fallen about one-third so far this year, the once-bustling leveraged buyout (LBO) business has virtually disappeared. Just how much? It’s literally dimes instead of dollars. Buyout spending has plummeted from more than $100bn during the first three quarters of 2007 to just $12bn so far this year. That’s about the level of LBOs in 2004, before buyout shops were really looking at tech companies and before banks were comfortable lending for deals in the unproven and cyclical industry. (Of course, we have new problems in the credit market these days.)

Still, LBOs are getting done, despite the disappearance of debt and, in some cases, even the banks that were backing the buyouts. Earlier this week, for instance, Bedford Funding took home on-demand talent management vendor Authoria for $63m, the first of what we expect to be several deals by Bedford in the fragmented human capital management market.

Also, Nokia said earlier this week that it plans to sell its security appliance unit to an unnamed financial buyer. Several sources have indicated that one of the lead suitors for Nokia’s firewall and VPN business is Vector Capital. The San Francisco-based buyout shop already has experience with a security hardware company, having teamed with Francisco Partners to acquire WatchGuard Technologies, the maker of the Firebox UTM appliance for the midmarket, for $151m in July 2006.

PE deal flow

Period Deal volume Deal value
Q1-Q3 2004 38 $13bn
Q1-Q3 2005 42 $28bn
Q1-Q3 2006 67 $38bn
Q1-Q3 2007 102 $101bn
Q1-Q3 2008 67 $12bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Elliott elbows Epicor

Brenon Daly

Well, that didn’t take long. Just two days after we noted who won’t be bidding for Epicor, Elliott Associates tossed an offer of $9.50 per share for Epicor. The bid comes just two months after the hedge fund disclosed a large stake and began stirring for a sale of the old-line ERP vendor. With about 59m shares outstanding, Elliott’s offer values Epicor’s equity at about $566m. Additionally, Epicor holds $132m in cash and $380m in debt, giving the proposed deal an enterprise value of $814m. Epicor, which has seen substantial executive turnover this year, has struggled to record growth recently. However, the business has two attractive assets: a healthy maintenance revenue stream and solid cash-flow generation. Epicor shares closed Wednesday at $8.93, their highest level since mid-April.

Big buyers sit out Q3 uncertainty

Brenon Daly

With the third quarter in the books, we get our first glimpse of the impact that the unprecedented upheaval on Wall Street is having on tech M&A. Over the past three months, the value of tech deals dropped about one-third from year-ago levels, sinking from $58bn to $37bn.

The falloff was even more pronounced at the high end of the market: only six deals worth more than $1bn were announced during the July-September period, down from 11 deals worth more than $1bn during the same period last year and 22 deals worth more than $1bn during the third quarter of 2006. (Along those lines, IBM has acquired just one public company so far this year, down from three last year.)

There are a number of reasons for the muted deal flow, starting with the barren conditions in the credit market. That knocked the number of leveraged buyouts from 36 in the third quarter of last year to just 12 this year.

Strategic acquirers, too, faced their own difficulties in striking deals as they got clubbed on the Nasdaq. Consider Google, which saw its shares bottom out at the end of the quarter at a three-year low. So far this year, the online ad giant has inked just four deals, down from 14 during the same period last year. Or Citrix, which recently saw its shares reach their lowest level since mid-2005. The enterprise software company has scaled back its acquisitions, picking up a product line and a tiny German company so far this year, after closing five deals during the first three quarters of 2007. See full report.

Third-quarter deal flow

Period Deal volume Deal value
Q3 2005 811 $87bn
Q3 2006 1,030 $102bn
Q3 2007 822 $58bn
Q3 2008 691 $37bn

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

JDA: No really, we can pay for it

Brenon Daly

In a sign of how rocky the credit market has become, JDA Software Group took the highly unusual step Tuesday afternoon of issuing a press release to confirm that it has the financing to pull off its planned $461m acquisition of supply chain management vendor i2 Technologies. Among other moves, JDA added Wells Fargo to the loan syndicate. According to terms of the early August deal, JDA was planning to borrow up to $450m from Credit Suisse and Wachovia. As Wachovia reeled due to its own risky loan portfolio, market participants began questioning Wachovia’s ability to help finance JDA’s purchase. That uncertainty knocked i2 shares, which were trading near JDA’s bid of $14.86 earlier this month, to as low as $11.50 on Wednesday. The stock snapped back after JDA’s release hit the wire, rebounding to about $13.50 on Tuesday afternoon. (As an aside, we wonder how many arbs got crushed in that swing.) i2 shareholders are slated to vote on JDA proposed deal on Nov. 6.

Another security buy for VMware?

Brenon Daly3 Comments

Although the knickknacks have long since been packed up from VMworld earlier this month, one rumor continues to make the rounds. Several sources have indicated that VMware, the host of VMworld in Las Vegas, has acquired startup Blue Lane Technologies for about $15m. The two companies have been technology partners for more than a year, with Blue Lane’s VirtualShield integrated with VMware’s VirtualCenter.

Security and virtualization in general have been major concerns for VMware. To help shore up the hypervisor and broader virtual environment, VMware in March introduced VMsafe, a set of APIs that third-party security vendors can use to write interoperable programs. Blue Lane was one of about 20 initial partners in VMsafe, as were the security industry’s heavyweights.

If indeed Blue Lane has been acquired (as one industry source and two financial sources reveal is the case), then it marks the end of a company that got its start more than six years ago. When we initially checked in with the vendor shortly after it rolled out its first product three years ago, the Cupertino, California-based company was shipping a patch management appliance. Along the way, it received some $18.4m in two rounds of funding. Remaining startups that are focusing on securing virtual networks include Catbird Networks and Reflex Security.

Selected VMware acquisitions

Date Target Price Rationale
June 2006 Akimbi $47.3m Testing and configuration
August 2007 Determina $15m* Hypervisor security
September 2007 Dunes Technologies $45* Workflow and orchestration
January 2008 Thinstall Not disclosed Application virtualization

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase *Estimated deal value

Who’s not shopping for Epicor

Brenon Daly1 Comment

In virtually any other credit market, we’d be tempted to hold out old-line ERP vendor Epicor Software as an exemplary buyout candidate. The company will do about $530m in revenue this year, with $200m of that coming in the easily bankable form of software maintenance fees. (And the company is hardly expensive, with an enterprise value that’s just 3.7x this year’s maintenance revenue.) Moreover, it’ll throw off some $65m in cash flow in 2008 to help cover a hypothetical leveraged buyout.

But as we said, these are not normal days for debt. So in our report last week on an activist hedge fund pushing the company to pursue ‘strategic alternatives,’ we focused on the strategic buyers that might be interested in – and could afford – Epicor. They are, in order of likelihood: Microsoft, Oracle and SAP. Truth be told, though, none of those acquirers seems likely. And while we’re scratching potential suitors for Epicor, we can go ahead and erase M2 Technology Partners.

The buyout firm, which launched in mid-June with backing from Accel-KKR, is headed by Mark Duffell and Michael Piraino, who served as Epicor’s COO and CFO, respectively, until earlier this year. We understand that M2 is exploring other opportunities in the business applications market, and may well have its inaugural investment signed, sealed and delivered by the end of the year. It won’t be Duffell and Piraino’s old shop Epicor, but just think how much time they’d save on due diligence if it were.

Significant ERP deals

Date Acquirer Target Price
December 2000 Microsoft Great Plains Software $1.1bn
May 2002 Microsoft Navision $1.3bn
June 2003 PeopleSoft JD Edwards $1.75bn
December 2004 Oracle PeopleSoft $10.46bn
June 2005 Lawson Intentia International $449m
November 2005 Golden Gate Capital Geac Computer $1bn
January 2008 Unit 4 Agresso Group Coda $314m

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Standstill around the lamp

Brenon Daly

After a few months of pointed exchanges, Aladdin Knowledge Systems and its would-be buyer, Vector Capital, have agreed to a standstill in an attempt to negotiation a deal. Vector, the encryption vendor’s largest shareholder, had been pushing for a shareholder vote on Oct. 23 on its plan to replace three of Aladdin’s five board members. The buyout firm has set aside that demand, as well as agreeing not to unload any of its 14% holding. For its part, Aladdin agreed to sign a confidentiality agreement with Vector, and will not to seek another buyer for part or all of its business. Last month, Vector offered $13 for each share of Aladdin; the stock currently trades above that. The standstill gives the two sides at least a month to work out a deal, as Vector can’t call for another shareholder meeting until Oct. 30 at the earliest.

Tombstones for a law firm

Brenon Daly

As if the recent bankruptcy of one investment bank and hasty sale of another wasn’t disruptive enough to current deal flow, we now have yet another major M&A adviser headed toward breakup. Only this time, it’s a law firm: Heller Ehrman indicated that it will dissolve on Friday. Unlike the banks, however, the winding down of Heller Ehrman was not caused by the current upheaval on Wall Street. Instead, the San Francisco-based law firm, which traces its roots back to 1890, has been slumping since the end of last year, as partners defected amid a slight dip in revenue in 2007.

Like its financial brethren, Heller Ehrman had clients across industries, with a significant technology practice. The firm worked on 42 tech deals last year, including IronPort Systems’ $830m sale to Cisco in January, Hewlett-Packard’s $1.6bn purchase of Opsware, Autonomy Corp’s $375m acquisition of Zantaz and the $200m leveraged buyout of Embarcadero Technologies. Overall, Heller Ehrman tied for fourth-busiest law firm in terms of tech deals, according to our rankings.

Legal league tables, 2007 deal volume

Rank Firm Number of transactions
1 DLA Piper 63
2 Cooley Godward 61
3 Jones Day 57
4 (tie) Heller Ehrman/O’Melveny & Myers 42

Source: The 451 M&A KnowledgeBase

Transmeta: No money? No credit? No problem

Brenon Daly

Just how desperate is Transmeta to get sold? Well, the pitch from the former high-flying semiconductor IP vendor now sounds like something we usually hear on late-night TV: easy financing. (‘No money? No credit? No problem. At Transmeta, we’re ready to do a deal with you.’) And honestly, that’s one of the only selling points left at the company, which retained Piper Jaffray six months ago to advise it on a possible sale. On Wednesday, Transmeta removed the word ‘possible’ and said it was starting the sale of the company. Shares jumped 20%, giving Transmeta a market capitalization of about $200m.

The financing comes into play because Intel, which had been slated to pay $100m to Transmeta in equal installments over the next five years, is writing a lump-sum check for $92m in the next few days. That’s on top of the $150m Intel has already paid to settle a patent lawsuit with Transmeta. As the company has noted, the settlement ‘strengthens’ its balance sheet, which effectively greases a deal by having the cash on hand to finance a transaction. Given the frozen credit markets, that’s not insignificant.

As to who might buy Transmeta, a year ago my colleague, Greg Quick, tapped Advanced Micro Devices as the most-obvious buyer. AMD, which licenses Transmeta technology, also owns a stake in Transmeta through its purchase of a block of preferred shares last year. Other companies that license Transmeta technology, including Sony, Toshiba and Fujitsu, also might be interested but are probably long shots. Whoever does end up buying Transmeta will get a bargain on the company, which never lived up to its hype. Transmeta’s sale price is likely to be in the neighborhood of one-tenth of the company’s valuation at its IPO eight years ago.