Silver Lake’s two very different elephants

Contact: Brenon Daly

Silver Lake has placed its bet, and it’s a big one. As noted, the planned $24.4bn take-private of Dell is the largest tech leveraged buyout (LBO) since the end of the recession. It’s also twice the price of Silver Lake’s previous mega-LBO, the $11.3bn club deal for SunGard Data Systems.

As we look at the two mammoth transactions, they don’t line up very closely at all. For starters, they belong to different eras: SunGard was an early, prelapsarian private equity (PE) transaction, while Dell comes as the credit markets have only recently returned to health after the worst economic recession in several generations.

Further, the two companies find themselves exiting the public market with very different outlooks for their business. SunGard has been riding the steady trend of business services, while Dell has been taking steps to catch emerging trends but still relies on PC sales for more than half its revenue.

The separation between the pair of companies is clear when we look at their financials: Unlike Dell, SunGard was growing at the time of its LBO, not to mention the fact that it ran at a 28% EBITDA margin compared with about 8% at Dell. (SunGard also got valued at twice the price-to-EBITDA multiple that terms give to Dell.)

Finally, we would note that since the Silver Lake-led LBO, SunGard has acquired some 45 companies. The steady M&A, along with organic growth, has seen SunGard bump its top line from about $3bn when it went private eight years ago to about $4.5bn now. We highly doubt that Dell will put up that kind of performance, at least not right away. There’s a lot of work to do at Dell.

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